农业农村部发布监测数据显示，9月9日，全国农产品批发市场鸡蛋批发平均价格为7.85元/公斤， 比7月6日的6.82元/公斤上涨15.1%。 "最近几个星期，鸡蛋价格震荡运行，波动比较频繁，是由多种因素共同对蛋价形成拉扯造成 的。"北京新发地农产品批发市场统计部经理刘通说。一方面，前期高温酷暑，中小养鸡场蛋鸡产蛋量 下降，对鸡蛋价格产生拉抬作用。临近中秋假期，食品企业开始增大月饼供应，用蛋量明显增加，对蛋 价形成拉抬。另一方面，规模养鸡场鸡蛋产量并没有下降，而价格低于中小养鸡场，对整体鸡蛋价格形 成压制。此外，前期蛋商手中还存有大量鸡蛋，蛋价上涨，蛋商库存鸡蛋会加大出库量，又制约了蛋价 上涨幅度。不过，尽管蛋价波动比较频繁，总体走势仍处于波动上行中。 9月5日，北京新发地农产品批发市场鸡蛋批发平均价为7.16元/公斤，比8月29日的7.02元/公斤上涨 1.99%，比8月5日的6.23元/公斤上涨14.93%，比去年同期(2024年9月5日)的10.34元/公斤下降30.75%。周 环比小幅上涨，月环比大幅上涨，年同比大幅下降。 就9月上旬表现看，预计蛋价在9月份还会小幅上涨。综合来讲，进入三季度后，蛋价缓慢上 ...

鸡蛋价格为何上涨动力不足？中国农业科学院农业经济与发展研究所副研究员朱宁认为，主要原因在于 供需两个方面，尤其是供给方面。供给方面，前期养殖场户雏鸡补栏量较高，导致新开产蛋鸡较多，叠 加养殖场户看好三季度市场行情，稳产保产意愿较强，蛋鸡产能仍居高位。而新建或扩建大规模养鸡场 持续投产，小幅推高三季度全国在产蛋鸡存栏量。虽然高温高湿天气影响蛋鸡产能，产蛋率和蛋重双 降，但近些年蛋鸡养殖管理水平增强，难以撼动鸡蛋高供给态势。需求方面，消费带动有限，而且今年 中秋节较往年偏晚，食品企业备货启动也相对较晚。监测数据显示，7月份和8月份鸡蛋集贸市场交易量 比去年同期小幅下降。综合来看，蛋价上涨缺乏支撑和拉力。 刘通表示，目前鸡蛋供应比较充足，不仅产量充足，库存量也充足，蛋价不具备持续上涨的条件。 对蛋鸡养殖行业来说，鸡蛋价格在7月中上旬可能已经见底，后期将以震荡运行为主。进入9月份以后， 蛋价持续小幅上涨。9月9日鸡蛋批发价比9月2日上涨了3.43%。朱宁预计，随着中秋、国庆双节临近， 鸡蛋消费将得到有效提振，拉动蛋价上涨，蛋鸡养殖有望实现盈利。 农业农村部发布监测数据显示，9月9日，全国农产品批发市场鸡蛋批发平均价格 ...

Core Viewpoint - The egg market is experiencing a downturn despite the traditional peak season, with prices falling below production costs, leading to significant losses for farmers [1][4]. Group 1: Market Conditions - The price of eggs has dropped significantly, with current selling prices around 2.8 yuan per jin, compared to over 4 yuan per jin last year, indicating a near 50% decrease [1]. - In July, there was a brief increase in egg prices, reaching over 3 yuan per jin, but this was followed by a nearly 20% decline within a week [1]. - Retail prices have also fluctuated, with prices rising from 4.3 yuan to 4.8 yuan per jin and then falling back to around 4.2 yuan, which is nearly 1 yuan cheaper than last year [1]. Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The supply of eggs is high due to an increase in the number of laying hens, which reached a peak of 1.356 billion by the end of July, coupled with favorable production conditions for large-scale farms [4]. - The average wholesale price of eggs in the national agricultural market was 7.54 yuan per kilogram on August 12, down approximately 27.29% from 10.37 yuan per kilogram the previous year [3][4]. - Factors contributing to the low demand include a decrease in egg consumption in major cities and competition from other protein sources like pork and duck eggs [5]. Group 3: Cost Pressures - Rising feed costs are impacting profitability, with corn prices increasing from 1,800 yuan to 2,500 yuan per ton, and soybean meal prices fluctuating significantly [2][3]. - The cost of feed for a farm with 13,000 hens can reach nearly 2,000 yuan per day, exacerbating the financial strain on farmers [2]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Despite potential increases in demand due to seasonal factors like the start of school and the Mid-Autumn Festival, the ongoing supply pressure is expected to limit significant price increases, with forecasts suggesting average prices may not exceed 4 yuan per jin in the coming months [5].

Core Viewpoint - The egg market is experiencing a downturn during the traditional peak season, with prices falling below production costs, leading to significant losses for farmers [1][8]. Group 1: Market Conditions - Egg prices have dropped significantly, with current selling prices around 2.8 yuan per jin, compared to over 4 yuan per jin last year, indicating a nearly 50% decrease [1][6]. - In July, there was a brief price increase where egg prices rose to over 3 yuan per jin, but this was short-lived, with prices dropping nearly 20% shortly after [1][6]. - Retail prices have also fluctuated, with prices moving from 4.3 yuan to 4.8 yuan and then back down to around 4.2 yuan per jin, which is nearly 1 yuan cheaper than last year [1][6]. Group 2: Supply and Demand Factors - The supply of eggs is high due to an increase in the number of laying hens, which reached a peak of 1.356 billion by the end of July, coupled with a significant amount of eggs stored in cold storage being released into the market [8][9]. - The demand for eggs has been negatively impacted by a decrease in consumption in the restaurant sector and competition from other egg types, such as duck and quail eggs [9]. - Despite potential increases in demand due to seasonal factors like the start of school and the Mid-Autumn Festival, the overall supply pressure is expected to limit significant price increases in the near term [9]. Group 3: Cost Pressures - Feed costs are rising, with corn prices increasing from 1,800 yuan to 2,500 yuan per ton, and soybean meal prices fluctuating significantly, impacting the profitability of egg production [3][4]. - Farmers are hesitant to introduce new chicks due to the current market conditions, leading to a reduction in the number of laying hens as older chickens are sold off without replacement [4][8].

Core Viewpoint - In July, egg prices experienced a decline due to increased supply and weak demand, but have started to recover towards the end of the month due to rising demand from tourism and the food service sector [1][3]. Supply and Demand - In Dezhou, Shandong Province, a poultry farm produces 500,000 eggs daily, primarily supplying supermarkets and wholesale markets in Jinan and Qingdao. The demand for eggs weakened in the first half of July due to school holidays, leading to a price drop, but has since rebounded with increased demand from the tourism sector [3]. - The Agricultural Rural Department reported that the national wholesale price of eggs in July was 7.19 yuan per kilogram, reflecting a month-on-month decrease of 1.8% and a year-on-year decrease of 25% [7]. Production Insights - The number of laying hens in the country increased by 0.8% month-on-month, reaching approximately 1.14 billion, contributing to a sufficient supply in the egg market [9]. - Poultry farmers are currently focused on managing high temperatures to ensure stable egg production, preparing for the upcoming school season and the Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day holidays [5]. Market Outlook - The demand for eggs is expected to rise due to favorable factors such as the peak tourism season, the start of the school year, and upcoming holidays, which may support an increase in egg prices. However, the high inventory of laying hens may limit the extent of price increases [9].