不仅是销区，主产区鸡蛋价格也在回升。在鸡蛋主产省山东，德州平原县这家蛋鸡养殖场每天生产鸡蛋5万多斤，主要销往北京、上海、广州 等地的商超。 农业农村部数据显示，12月16日，全国农产品批发市场鸡蛋平均价为每公斤7.45元，比12月1日上涨2%。 商户们介绍，随着客户采购、备货增加，鸡蛋价格也开始从11月份的年内最低价反弹回升。 央视网消息：今年以来，全国鸡蛋价格呈现下降态势，11月份更是降至近年来的低点，不过进入12月份，随着需求回升，鸡蛋价格也出现了反 弹。来看记者报道。 上午10点，北京新发地市场的商户陈硕正在和工人将产自河北、山东的鸡蛋装车销售给商超和单位食堂。 陈锡佐称："今年参保的蛋鸡每只大约赔付3元左右，这样确保养殖利润不受市场波动的大幅影响。" 山东省青岛市农业农村局畜牧处工作人员杨丽称："为应对鸡蛋价格波动，我们一是推出政策性蛋鸡期货收入保险，提升养殖场户的抗风险能 力，实施以来共为2035户次减轻养殖收入损失。二是拓宽'机器换人'应用范围，青岛全市蛋鸡养殖设施化率超90%，蛋鸡死亡淘汰下降1%，产 蛋增加1.5%。" 山东：价格升 成本降 蛋鸡养殖恢复至盈亏平衡附近 鸡蛋价格反弹，上游蛋鸡养 ...

Core Insights - The average wholesale price of eggs in China's agricultural markets has increased to 7.85 CNY/kg as of September 9, marking a 15.1% rise from 6.82 CNY/kg on July 6 [1] - The fluctuations in egg prices are attributed to various factors, including reduced production from small-scale farms due to high temperatures and increased demand from food companies preparing for the Mid-Autumn Festival [1] - Despite the recent price increases, the overall trend remains upward, although the current prices are still at a low compared to historical levels [2][3] Supply and Demand Analysis - The supply of eggs is currently robust, with high production levels and sufficient inventory, which limits the potential for sustained price increases [3] - Factors contributing to the supply include a high number of newly produced laying hens and the ongoing operation of large-scale poultry farms, which maintain high egg production capacity [2] - Demand for eggs has been relatively weak, with lower consumption rates observed in July and August compared to the previous year, and the timing of the Mid-Autumn Festival has delayed the stocking up by food companies [2] Price Trends and Future Outlook - The egg price is expected to see slight increases throughout September, driven by seasonal demand from upcoming holidays [2][3] - The current price levels are significantly lower than those from the same period last year, with a 30.75% decrease compared to September 5, 2022 [1] - Analysts suggest that while prices may rise due to holiday demand, the overall market conditions indicate that significant price increases are unlikely in the near term [2][3]

Core Insights - The average wholesale price of eggs in China's agricultural markets has increased to 7.85 yuan/kg as of September 9, marking a 15.1% rise from 6.82 yuan/kg on July 6 [1] - Egg prices have been fluctuating due to various factors, including reduced production from small-scale farms and increased demand from food companies preparing for the Mid-Autumn Festival [1][2] - Despite recent price increases, the overall trend remains upward, with expectations for slight further increases in September [2][3] Price Trends - The average wholesale price of eggs on September 5 was 7.16 yuan/kg, up 1.99% from 7.02 yuan/kg on August 29, and up 14.93% from 6.23 yuan/kg on August 5 [1] - Year-on-year, the price has decreased by 30.75% compared to 10.34 yuan/kg on September 5, 2022 [1] - The price is currently at a near 10-year low, indicating limited upward momentum compared to previous years [2] Supply and Demand Dynamics - The supply of eggs is currently robust, with high production levels and sufficient inventory, which limits the potential for sustained price increases [3] - Factors contributing to the supply include a high number of newly produced laying hens and the ongoing operation of large-scale poultry farms [2] - Demand has been relatively weak, with a slight decrease in trading volumes in July and August compared to the previous year, and the timing of the Mid-Autumn Festival affecting consumer behavior [2] Future Outlook - As the Mid-Autumn and National Day holidays approach, there is an expectation for increased consumption, which may support a rise in egg prices [3] - The egg production industry is anticipated to maintain profitability as demand increases during the holiday season [3]

Core Viewpoint - The egg market is experiencing a downturn despite the traditional peak season, with prices falling below production costs, leading to significant losses for farmers [1][4]. Group 1: Market Conditions - The price of eggs has dropped significantly, with current selling prices around 2.8 yuan per jin, compared to over 4 yuan per jin last year, indicating a near 50% decrease [1]. - In July, there was a brief increase in egg prices, reaching over 3 yuan per jin, but this was followed by a nearly 20% decline within a week [1]. - Retail prices have also fluctuated, with prices rising from 4.3 yuan to 4.8 yuan per jin and then falling back to around 4.2 yuan, which is nearly 1 yuan cheaper than last year [1]. Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The supply of eggs is high due to an increase in the number of laying hens, which reached a peak of 1.356 billion by the end of July, coupled with favorable production conditions for large-scale farms [4]. - The average wholesale price of eggs in the national agricultural market was 7.54 yuan per kilogram on August 12, down approximately 27.29% from 10.37 yuan per kilogram the previous year [3][4]. - Factors contributing to the low demand include a decrease in egg consumption in major cities and competition from other protein sources like pork and duck eggs [5]. Group 3: Cost Pressures - Rising feed costs are impacting profitability, with corn prices increasing from 1,800 yuan to 2,500 yuan per ton, and soybean meal prices fluctuating significantly [2][3]. - The cost of feed for a farm with 13,000 hens can reach nearly 2,000 yuan per day, exacerbating the financial strain on farmers [2]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Despite potential increases in demand due to seasonal factors like the start of school and the Mid-Autumn Festival, the ongoing supply pressure is expected to limit significant price increases, with forecasts suggesting average prices may not exceed 4 yuan per jin in the coming months [5].

Core Viewpoint - The egg market is experiencing a downturn during the traditional peak season, with prices falling below production costs, leading to significant losses for farmers [1][8]. Group 1: Market Conditions - Egg prices have dropped significantly, with current selling prices around 2.8 yuan per jin, compared to over 4 yuan per jin last year, indicating a nearly 50% decrease [1][6]. - In July, there was a brief price increase where egg prices rose to over 3 yuan per jin, but this was short-lived, with prices dropping nearly 20% shortly after [1][6]. - Retail prices have also fluctuated, with prices moving from 4.3 yuan to 4.8 yuan and then back down to around 4.2 yuan per jin, which is nearly 1 yuan cheaper than last year [1][6]. Group 2: Supply and Demand Factors - The supply of eggs is high due to an increase in the number of laying hens, which reached a peak of 1.356 billion by the end of July, coupled with a significant amount of eggs stored in cold storage being released into the market [8][9]. - The demand for eggs has been negatively impacted by a decrease in consumption in the restaurant sector and competition from other egg types, such as duck and quail eggs [9]. - Despite potential increases in demand due to seasonal factors like the start of school and the Mid-Autumn Festival, the overall supply pressure is expected to limit significant price increases in the near term [9]. Group 3: Cost Pressures - Feed costs are rising, with corn prices increasing from 1,800 yuan to 2,500 yuan per ton, and soybean meal prices fluctuating significantly, impacting the profitability of egg production [3][4]. - Farmers are hesitant to introduce new chicks due to the current market conditions, leading to a reduction in the number of laying hens as older chickens are sold off without replacement [4][8].

Core Viewpoint - In July, egg prices experienced a decline due to increased supply and weak demand, but have started to recover towards the end of the month due to rising demand from tourism and the food service sector [1][3]. Supply and Demand - In Dezhou, Shandong Province, a poultry farm produces 500,000 eggs daily, primarily supplying supermarkets and wholesale markets in Jinan and Qingdao. The demand for eggs weakened in the first half of July due to school holidays, leading to a price drop, but has since rebounded with increased demand from the tourism sector [3]. - The Agricultural Rural Department reported that the national wholesale price of eggs in July was 7.19 yuan per kilogram, reflecting a month-on-month decrease of 1.8% and a year-on-year decrease of 25% [7]. Production Insights - The number of laying hens in the country increased by 0.8% month-on-month, reaching approximately 1.14 billion, contributing to a sufficient supply in the egg market [9]. - Poultry farmers are currently focused on managing high temperatures to ensure stable egg production, preparing for the upcoming school season and the Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day holidays [5]. Market Outlook - The demand for eggs is expected to rise due to favorable factors such as the peak tourism season, the start of the school year, and upcoming holidays, which may support an increase in egg prices. However, the high inventory of laying hens may limit the extent of price increases [9].