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黄金与美元负相关性
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大摩上调年底黄金目标价至3800美元,黄金股ETF(159562)连续8日累计“吸金”超4.9亿元
Group 1 - COMEX gold futures are currently trading around $3680 per ounce, with related ETFs experiencing fluctuations and declines [1] - The gold stock ETF has seen a net inflow of 494 million yuan over the past eight trading days, while the non-ferrous metal ETF has had a net inflow of over 313 million yuan over the last thirteen days [1] - The gold ETF Huaxia has recorded a net inflow of 204 million yuan over the past six trading days [1] Group 2 - UBS analysts predict gold prices will rise to $3700 per ounce by mid-next year, while Goldman Sachs forecasts a baseline price of $4000 by mid-2026 [2] - Morgan Stanley has set a year-end target price for gold at $3800 per ounce, emphasizing the strong negative correlation between gold and the US dollar [2] - Goldman Sachs analysts are optimistic about gold mining stocks, expecting a 14% increase in gold prices by 2026 due to strong demand from central banks and ETFs [2]
华尔街集体唱多黄金,黄金股ETF(159562)涨超2.5%,3个交易日“吸金”1.5亿元
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights a strong performance in gold and non-ferrous metal stocks, driven by rising gold prices and positive sentiment from Wall Street regarding the continuation of a gold bull market [1] Group 1: Market Performance - As of the report, the gold stock ETF (159562) increased by 2.58%, while the non-ferrous metal ETF fund (516650) rose by 1.03% [1] - Key stocks such as Silver Holdings and Western Gold reached their daily limit, marking a three-day consecutive rise, with other companies like Zhongjin Gold, Chifeng Gold, and Shandong Gold also showing strong performance [1] - The Huaxia Gold ETF (518850) saw an increase of 1.33% [1] Group 2: Fund Flows - The gold stock ETF (159562) experienced a net inflow of 150 million yuan over the past three trading days [1] - The non-ferrous metal ETF fund (516650) recorded a net inflow of 156 million yuan over the last five trading days [1] Group 3: Analyst Predictions - UBS reiterated its forecast that gold prices will reach $3,700 per ounce by June 2026, suggesting a potential rise to $4,000 in the event of worsening geopolitical or economic conditions [1] - Morgan Stanley set a year-end target price for gold at $3,800 per ounce [1] - The report emphasizes the strong negative correlation between gold and the US dollar, indicating that a continued depreciation of the dollar index would benefit dollar-denominated precious metals [1]