我说了，黄金回调做多但不追涨，尤其是面临上周五的高点4353压制位置，这里是本周关键的枢纽点， 能否破位至关重要，持续探高不破高，多头能量消耗，势必会有再次展开调整的风险，所以强调短多靠 近4350关口就要及时收割，冲高关键价位不破可以尝试小损去博空，严格破高认输出局即可。 中长线黄金虽然明确看涨，但短期内的调整空间也需要关注，隔夜下跌至4285后企稳反抽至4319后止步 回落，目前盘面价格已经跌破了4285隔夜尾盘低点，回撤空间进一步打开了，今日白盘看下行延续，反 弹依托4319为空头防守择高去短空，下方支撑4257低点，白盘回撤靠近这里去接短多，对于晚间的思路 根据非农表现再行布局。 来源：市场资讯 12月16日，黄金，上周最高冲击4353附近之后出现快速大跌，基本在预期之内，离前高4380仅一步之遥 了，多头获利了解导致抛盘大跌，昨日黄金连续的慢性上涨试探高点，但是未能冲破上周五的高点后承 压回落也在预期之中。 ...

Group 1 - International gold is currently trading around $4,218, with a latest price of $4,216.17 per ounce, reflecting a 0.23% increase, and has seen a high of $4,218.07 and a low of $4,194.23 during the session [1] - The short-term outlook for international gold appears bullish [1] Group 2 - Trump plans to announce the second phase of the Gaza peace process before Christmas, which is seen as a significant diplomatic achievement of his second term, aiming to prevent a return to conflict [2] - The first phase's key objective of Hamas releasing hostages is nearly complete, with only one deceased body remaining to be returned [2] - The second phase includes further Israeli military withdrawal from Gaza, deployment of an international stabilization force, and the establishment of a governance structure led by a "peace committee" under Trump [2] - The UN Security Council has authorized the related arrangements, and the U.S. is working on troop formation and governance structure establishment, targeting a rollout within two to three weeks [2] - The governance structure will consist of a peace committee with leaders from ten countries, an international executive committee, and a Palestinian technocratic government [2] - Negotiations are ongoing between the U.S., Israel, Palestine, and regional countries with Hamas regarding disarmament and governance transition [2]

Core Insights - Russia's central bank has achieved a record gold reserve value of $299.82 billion as of November 1, 2025, despite recent gold sales [2][3] - The increase in gold reserve value is attributed to a significant rise in gold prices, which surged from $2,600 per ounce to over $4,000 per ounce in 2025, resulting in a year-on-year increase of $92 billion [3] - The central bank's strategy of low-cost gold purchases during crises has proven successful in diversifying investments and hedging against Western sanctions and distrust of the US dollar [3] Gold Reserve Construction - From 2002 to mid-2025, Russia has net purchased over 1,900 tons of gold, with significant buying periods coinciding with global economic events [4] - A recent survey indicates that the majority of central banks plan to continue purchasing gold due to its zero default risk, excellent portfolio diversification, and effectiveness in hedging inflation [4] Recent Gold Transactions - In 2025, Russia sold 3.1 tons of gold in January and August, then increased its reserves by 3.1 tons in September, followed by another sale of 3.1 tons in October, resulting in a total reduction of 6.2 tons from the beginning of the year to November 1 [5] - As of November 1, Russia's gold reserves stood at 7.48 million troy ounces (2,326.54 tons), with gold accounting for 41.3% of its international reserves, the highest level in 30 years [5]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current market resistance and support levels, along with trading strategies based on these levels, particularly in light of upcoming economic data and Federal Reserve announcements [2][4]. Market Analysis - Resistance levels are identified at 4100 (psychological level & initial resistance) and 4120-4130 (stronger resistance zone, former support turned resistance) [2]. - Support levels are noted at 4060-4070 (recent fluctuation low area) and 4040 (key support, breaking below this could open larger downside potential) [2]. Trading Strategies - The company suggests looking for short-selling opportunities near key resistance levels due to an overall weak trend [2]. - Specific entry zones for short positions are identified at 4100-4110, with a stop-loss above 4125 and a target of 4080-4065 [4]. - A breakout strategy is proposed if prices effectively break below the 4060-4070 support area, with a light position taken at 4075-4085, stop-loss above 4100, targeting 4040-4020 [4]. - For low-level rebound plays, a strong support area of 4040-4050 is highlighted, with confirmation signals needed before positioning, and a stop-loss below 4030, targeting 4070-4085 [4]. Key Upcoming Events - The Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting minutes are highlighted as a critical upcoming event, scheduled for November 20 at 03:00 Beijing time, which may reveal the Fed's latest internal views on inflation and interest rates, potentially causing significant market volatility [4]. - Other important data/events to watch include U.S. housing data tonight and initial jobless claims tomorrow evening [4]. Risk Management - Strict stop-loss measures are emphasized, with any strategy requiring pre-set stop-loss levels to prevent significant losses [6]. - Position management is advised, suggesting a reduction of positions to 50% or below normal levels before the Fed minutes are released to mitigate uncertainty risks [6]. - Attention is drawn to potential market volatility immediately following the release of the minutes, with recommendations to exit positions or set stop-loss orders in advance [8].

Core Insights - The recent sharp decline in gold prices has led to increased interest in gold investment, but it has also exposed various traps targeting inexperienced investors [1][3][5] Group 1: Market Trends - London gold prices have fallen below $3,900 per ounce, a drop of over 11% from previous highs, while domestic gold prices in Shanghai have plummeted 3% to 905 yuan per gram [1] - The decline in gold prices is attributed to a combination of reduced risk appetite, a stronger US dollar, and profit-taking by investors [10] Group 2: Investment Risks - Leveraged trading in gold has become a dangerous trend, with individuals using high leverage (up to 20 times) leading to significant losses, as seen in a case where a student lost 30,000 yuan overnight [3] - Hidden costs associated with gold trading, such as deferred fees for T+D contracts and high management fees for leveraged ETFs, can erode capital significantly [3][5] - Many gold investment schemes, such as "gold storage" with high promised returns, are identified as Ponzi schemes, with past cases resulting in substantial investor losses [5][6] Group 3: Investment Strategies - Investors are advised to focus on four legitimate gold investment channels: physical gold from banks or gold shops, bank accumulation gold, gold ETFs through securities accounts, and gold futures through futures companies [8] - A recommended strategy is to invest in gold gradually, using a portion of available funds to average down costs during price dips [9] - It is suggested that gold should only constitute 5-10% of a household's total assets, emphasizing that gold is a risk management tool rather than a quick profit vehicle [10]

Core Viewpoint - Gold is increasingly viewed as a "safe haven" asset amid high global inflation, stock market volatility, and declining bank investment yields, but over 60% of gold investors face losses due to a lack of systematic understanding [1] Group 1: Choosing the Right Platform - The first step in gold investment is selecting a compliant and reliable trading platform, which is crucial for safeguarding investments [2] - Key factors to consider include licensing qualifications, fund security, and transaction transparency [2] Group 2: Opening an Account and Funding - After selecting a platform, the next step is to open an account and deposit funds, which can be completed in about 3 minutes using the example of the Jinrong China app [5] - The process involves downloading the app, filling in personal information, completing facial recognition, and signing an electronic contract [6] Group 3: Developing Investment Strategies - New investors are advised against making trades based on intuition and should consider three low-risk strategies: 1. Gold ETF regular investment for steady cost averaging [9] 2. Bank accumulation gold combined with grid trading to capture price fluctuations [10] 3. Spot gold trend tracking using technical indicators [11] - It is important to monitor Federal Reserve interest rate decisions, as gold typically faces pressure during rate hikes and tends to rise during cuts [12] Group 4: Executing Trades - Details such as timing and fee optimization are critical for successful trading, with different market hours offering varying volatility [14] - Jinrong China offers competitive trading costs, with spreads as low as $20 per lot, and various promotional activities to further reduce investment costs [18] Group 5: Review and Exit Strategies - Successful gold trading requires ongoing review and a well-defined exit strategy, including setting profit-taking and loss-cutting thresholds [19][20] - The relationship between gold prices and factors like the strength of the US dollar, inflation fears, and geopolitical tensions is significant [21] Group 6: Conclusion - The distinction between successful gold traders and average investors lies in disciplined risk management, with long-term profitable investors keeping individual trade risks within 1-2% of their capital [22] - Gold should be viewed as a stabilizer in asset allocation, with recommendations to allocate around 10% of one's portfolio to gold to hedge against market downturns and inflation [22]

Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - The current gold price is around 3812, with expectations of potential volatility as the month-end approaches, leading to speculation about possible price drops [1] - The short-term trading range for gold is identified between 3812 and 3791, with a focus on short positions near the 3818-23 area [1][2] - Technical analysis indicates that gold has broken previous highs, with a recent increase of 21 points after surpassing 3791, marking a total rise of 49 points from the day's low of 3763, equating to a 1.21% increase [1] - Resistance levels are noted at 3818, 3821, and 3823, with a significant upper resistance at 3864, which is also a yearly pressure point [1] - Suggested trading strategy includes shorting at 3818-23 with a stop loss at 3831 and targeting 3805-3791, while also considering long positions if the price retraces to 3795-90 [4] Group 2: Oil Market Analysis - The oil market is currently experiencing a defined trading range of 67.8 to 63.5, with minor pullbacks observed [6] - Key support levels for oil are identified at 64.7-64.2 and 63.5, while resistance is noted at 66-66.3 [6] - The overall sentiment in the oil market is bullish, but the momentum is less pronounced compared to gold, indicating a simpler analysis approach [6] - Recommended trading strategy includes buying in the 64.7-64.2 range with a stop loss at 63.7 and targeting 65.7-66.3, while also considering short positions at resistance levels [8][9]

Group 1 - The article discusses the joint statement from the UK, Denmark, France, Greece, and Slovenia condemning Israel's military actions in Gaza and calling for immediate withdrawal, emphasizing the potential violation of international humanitarian law and the worsening humanitarian crisis [1] - The statement highlights the increasing risk of famine in Gaza, with children dying from hunger and civilians risking their lives for food, urging Israel to lift restrictions on aid delivery [1] - The call for a permanent ceasefire and the acceleration of the "two-state solution" for long-term peace between Israelis and Palestinians is reiterated [1] Group 2 - The current price of spot gold closed at $3,397 per ounce, with significant buying pressure observed during a recent decline, indicating a strong bullish sentiment despite ongoing market volatility [2] - Key support levels for gold are identified at $3,350 and $3,380 per ounce, with the latter being crucial for maintaining a bullish outlook; a break below these levels could lead to a range-bound trading scenario [2][3] - The MACD indicator suggests a prevailing bullish trend in the short term, with recommendations for aggressive traders to consider buying at the $3,380 support level [3] Group 3 - Trading strategies are outlined, recommending aggressive traders to buy at the $3,380 support level with a stop loss of $7 and a target of $3,400 to $3,430, while conservative traders should consider buying at $3,350 with similar stop loss and a target of $3,390 to $3,400 [4]

Core Insights - The current upward trend in gold prices is facing pressure, raising questions about whether this rally is nearing a turning point [1] - There is a need for a strategic approach in the short term regarding gold investments [1] Summary by Categories - **Market Trends** - Gold prices are experiencing upward movement but are under pressure, indicating potential volatility ahead [1] - **Investment Strategy** - A discussion is ongoing regarding the appropriate strategies to adopt in the short term for gold investments [1]

Market Reaction - The news of potential dismissal of Fed Chairman Powell led to a spike in spot gold prices from $3,320 to around $3,340 per ounce, eventually reaching $3,378 per ounce in London [1] - The US dollar index fell below the 98 mark, and major US stocks experienced a decline, while non-US currencies surged [1] Federal Reserve Insights - The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in July was reported at 95.3%, with a 4.7% chance of a 25 basis point cut [1] - By September, the probability of maintaining rates dropped to 32%, while the likelihood of a cumulative 25 basis point cut rose to 64.9% [1] Technical Analysis - Spot gold found strong support at $3,320 per ounce, with a previous resistance level at $3,365 per ounce pushed up to $3,378 due to the Powell incident [3] - The market is currently in a large range-bound trading pattern, with $3,320 as a potential support or stop-loss level and $3,378 as a resistance or stop-loss level [3] Trading Strategy - Recommendations include buying near $3,320 with a stop-loss of $7 and targeting $3,350 to $3,370, while considering selling near $3,378 with the same stop-loss and targeting $3,320 to $3,330 [4]