ABD(Anything But the Dollar)
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资管市场速递:全球央行黄金储备占比首超美债
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-14 12:39
Group 1 - The expansion of investment areas for special bonds has been noted, with 27 provinces in China planning to issue approximately 777.1 billion yuan in local bonds, including 460.1 billion yuan in new special bonds aimed at government investment funds [1] - Public fund institutions are increasingly focusing on enhanced index funds, with over 100 new enhanced index funds issued this year, surpassing the total for 2023 and 2024 [1] - Star fund manager Liu Gesong has stepped down from managing the Guangfa Multi-Asset Emerging Stock Fund, with his total managed fund size still exceeding 30 billion yuan, indicating a diversification in investment preferences [2] - Goldman Sachs reports that hedge funds have reached a two-year high in their net positions in Chinese stocks, with a net buying volume in August marking the highest since September 2024 [2] Group 2 - The second batch of Sci-Tech Innovation Bond ETFs has been approved, with 14 fund companies participating, filling a gap in the public fund sector for technology finance bond funds [3] - The U.S. and South Korea are at an impasse regarding the details of a $350 billion investment fund, which is a key component of a broader trade agreement [3] - Global central banks have seen a milestone shift, with gold now surpassing U.S. Treasury bonds in their reserve composition for the first time since 1996, indicating a significant change in reserve asset preferences [4]
投顾周刊:公募机构大力布局增强指数型基金
Wind万得· 2025-09-13 22:28
Group 1 - The expansion of investment areas with local special bonds injected into government investment funds, with 27 provinces planning to issue approximately 777.1 billion yuan in local bonds, including 460.1 billion yuan in new special bonds [1] - Public fund institutions are actively increasing their layout of enhanced index funds, with over 100 new enhanced index funds issued this year, surpassing the total number issued in 2023 and 2024 [1] - Star fund manager Liu Gesong's latest portfolio adjustment reveals a shift towards a more diversified investment preference, including increased exposure to Hong Kong stocks and new economy sectors [2] Group 2 - Hedge funds have reached a two-year high in their net positions in Chinese stocks, with a net buying volume in August marking the highest since September 2024 [2] - The second batch of Sci-Tech Innovation Bond ETFs has been approved, with 14 fund companies participating, filling a gap in the "technology finance" bond fund sector [3] - The U.S. and South Korea are at an impasse regarding the details of a $350 billion investment fund, which is a core component of a broader trade agreement [4] Group 3 - Global central banks' gold reserves have surpassed U.S. Treasury securities for the first time since 1996, marking a significant shift in reserve asset preferences [4] - Recent performance of major stock indices shows a strong upward trend, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 1.52% and the Hang Seng Index increasing by 3.82% during the week of September 8-13, 2025 [6] - The bond market in China exhibited mixed results, with the 10-year government bond yield rising by 4.10 basis points, indicating pressure on long-term bonds [8] Group 4 - The recent week saw a diverse performance in the commodity market, with gold and silver prices rising significantly, while oil prices also rebounded [11] - The bank wealth management market is dominated by fixed-income and pure debt products, with fixed-income plus products accounting for 55.70% of new issuances [12] - Bank wealth management subsidiaries continue to lead the market, issuing 461 new products, which represents 75.08% of the total new issuances [12]
美银警告极端看涨美股情绪,黄金或成为避风港
Di Yi Cai Jing Zi Xun· 2025-09-13 02:31
Group 1 - The U.S. stock market continues to hit historical highs, driven by expectations of three interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year, with a shift in focus from tariff-related inflation risks to concerns about a slowing job market [1][2] - Michael Hartnett, Chief U.S. Equity Strategist at Bank of America, warns of "extreme bullish sentiment" among investors, which could signal a market reversal, especially if cash holdings drop below 3.7% and stock allocations rise significantly [2] - Current investor sentiment is characterized by a strong belief in the Federal Reserve's decision-making, as evidenced by rising financial stocks and narrowing credit spreads [2] Group 2 - Gold funds have seen a significant inflow of $3.4 billion in a single week, marking the fourth-largest weekly inflow in history, as investors seek to hedge against inflation [3] - The investment philosophy of "ABD" (Anything But the Dollar) is emerging, with a notable increase in capital expenditures among hyperscaler tech companies, which have doubled to 72% of cash flow over the past two years [3] - Hartnett advocates for a "BIG" investment strategy, focusing on Bonds, International assets, and Gold, while maintaining a view that 30-year U.S. Treasury yields will drop to around 4% [3] Group 3 - Market sentiment is expected to shift seasonally, favoring Europe in spring, China in summer, and Japan by year-end, while gold remains a preferred tool for hedging against disorderly risks and dollar depreciation [4] - Bank of America anticipates that gold prices could rise further, potentially reaching $3,700 by the end of the year [4]