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2025年港股IPO市场回顾暨2026年展望:风起潮未落-申万宏源
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-20 06:40
Group 1 - The Hong Kong IPO market performed exceptionally well in 2025, with a total financing amount of HKD 285.4 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 224%, and the number of IPOs reached 114, an increase of 44 from the previous year [1][11] - The strong performance is attributed to continuous optimization of the listing system, including the establishment of SPAC mechanisms and the lowering of listing thresholds for specialized technology companies, alongside an accelerated process for domestic companies to list in Hong Kong [1][13] - New stock performance was robust, with an average first-day increase of 37% and a historical low first-day failure rate of 28%, indicating a significant recovery in IPO returns [1][22][29] Group 2 - Key drivers of the market's strength include an increase in secondary market valuations, with the Hang Seng Index rising 28% over the year, and the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio increasing from 9 times to 12 times, providing a valuation cushion for new stocks [2][25] - The proportion of AH stock IPOs accounted for 49% of total fundraising, with over 30% of companies in the queue being AH stocks, primarily from TMT and advanced manufacturing sectors [2][60] - The public offering structure changed significantly, with the public offering ratio dropping to 12% after new placement regulations were implemented in August 2025, leading to a high participation rate from cornerstone investors [2][34] Group 3 - Looking ahead to 2026, the IPO financing and investment climate in Hong Kong is expected to remain active, supported by global liquidity easing and improved corporate earnings expectations [2][47] - The number of IPO applications in the Hong Kong Stock Exchange exceeds 300, with enhanced review efficiency providing support for supply [2][52] - The market is anticipated to continue its transformation towards new economy sectors, with TMT and high-end manufacturing leading the restructuring of the industry [2][62]
2025年港股IPO市场回顾暨2026年展望:风起潮未落
——2025年港股IPO市场回顾暨2026年展望 | 证券分析师:彭文玉 | | A0230517080001 | | --- | --- | --- | | | 朱敏 | A0230524050004 | | | 任奕璇 | A0230525050002 | | 研究支持: | 陈榕杰 | A0230125080001 | | 联系人: | 陈榕杰 | A0230125080001 | | 2026.01.09 | | | 摘要 证券研究报告 风起潮未落 www.swsresearch.com 2 ◼ 2025年港股IPO融资规模领跑全球,新股上市表现强劲,破发率降至历史低位。供给端,港股上市制度持续优化,叠加外地公司赴港进程加 速,使港股成为企业融资及二次上市的重要选择;定价端,二级市场估值上行拓宽了新股上涨空间,一二级价差走阔为新股首日表现创造了 条件。在此背景下,2025年港股打新收益显著回暖,稳获一手(500-2000万港元)对应的表观收益率回升至0.57%~1.04%,明显高于 2021-2024年水平,基石投资者平均解禁收益率64%,约89%项目录得正收益。展望2026年,预期港股IPO投融资两 ...