Compound annual growth rate (CAGR)

Search documents
Can Cameco Sustain Its Strong Revenue Growth Through 2025?
ZACKS· 2025-07-22 16:26
Core Insights - Cameco Corporation (CCJ) has demonstrated a strong growth trajectory with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 24.8% in revenues from 2021 to 2024, and a 17% year-over-year revenue increase in Q1 2025 to CAD 789 million ($550 million) [1][12] Revenue Performance - The uranium segment's revenues increased by 10% in Q1 2025, driven by a 15% rise in the Canadian dollar average realized price, despite a 5% decline in sales volumes [2] - In 2024, Cameco delivered 33.6 million pounds of uranium, generating revenues of CAD 2.68 billion ($2.29 billion), with forecasts for 2025 sales deliveries between 31-34 million pounds and revenues projected at CAD 2.8–3.0 billion [3] Fuel Services Division - The fuel services division saw a significant revenue increase of 88% in Q1 2025, reaching $135 million, supported by a 60% rise in sales volumes and a 17% increase in average realized price [4] - For 2025, fuel services revenues are projected to be CAD 500–550 million, with sales deliveries of 13–14 million kgU [5] Market Comparison - In contrast to Cameco, peers like Energy Fuels and Ur Energy have shown more volatile revenue patterns due to their strategies of withholding sales during low price periods [6] - Energy Fuels reported a 106% year-over-year revenue surge to $78.11 million in 2024, but faced a 33.5% decline in Q1 2025 due to withheld uranium sales [7] Stock Performance and Valuation - Cameco shares have gained 50% year-to-date, outperforming the industry growth of 18.7% and the broader Zacks Basic Materials sector's increase of 12.4% [11] - The company is trading at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 12.87, significantly higher than the industry's 1.24 and above its five-year median of 6.58 [13] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Cameco's earnings for fiscal 2025 indicates a year-over-year growth of 120.4%, with a projected growth of 49.6% for 2026 [14]