Q3'25 EPS Review: Where to from Here? Recapping Takeaways & Debates; Focus Stocks Going Forward During this past earnings season, US Internet & Interactive Entertainment companies delivered a volatile array of stock price reactions as investors focused their attention on a few themes that emerged: 20 November 2025 | 4:02PM EST Equity Research Eric Sheridan +1(917)343-8683 | eric.sheridan@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC Alex Vegliante, CFA +1(212)934-1878 | alex.vegliante@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC AMERIC ...

Core Insights - Reddit (RDDT) and Snap (SNAP) are prominent social media platforms leveraging user engagement for digital advertising revenue [1][2] - The global digital advertising market is projected to grow from $488.4 million in 2024 to $1,164.25 million by 2030, with a CAGR of 15.4% from 2025 to 2030, benefiting both companies [2] Summary of Reddit (RDDT) - Reddit is experiencing strong user engagement, with increases in daily and weekly active users and Average Revenue Per User (ARPU) [3] - In Q3 2025, Reddit's advertising revenues surged 74% year-over-year to $549 million, driven by a 75% increase in active advertisers [4] - ARPU grew 41% year-over-year to $5.04 in Q3 2025, indicating effective monetization strategies [5] - Reddit Answers feature has gained popularity, with over 75 million weekly searches, enhancing user engagement and expanding reach to multiple languages [6] - The earnings estimate for Reddit in 2025 has risen by 25.6%, indicating strong growth potential [10][20] Summary of Snap (SNAP) - Snap is benefiting from improved advertising demand, with Q3 2025 advertising revenues rising 5% year-over-year to $1.32 billion, primarily from Direct Response advertising [7] - Snapchat has over 477 million daily active users, an 8% increase year-over-year, and 943 million monthly active users, a 7% increase year-over-year [8] - AR engagement remains robust, with over 8 billion daily uses of AR lenses and 350 million daily active users engaging with AR experiences [9] - Despite growth in user engagement and AR features, Snap faces challenges with weak brand advertising revenues and increased competition [13][21] Performance and Valuation Comparison - Year-to-date, Reddit shares have gained 20.1%, outperforming Snap, which has declined by 32.2% [12] - Reddit shares are currently trading at a forward Price/Sales ratio of 13.4X, significantly higher than Snap's 1.92X, indicating overvaluation for both [16] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Reddit's 2025 earnings is $2.35 per share, a 170.57% year-over-year increase, while Snap's estimate is 25 cents per share, reflecting a 13.79% decline [20] Conclusion - Reddit is positioned for greater upside potential due to its expanding advertising business and improved user experience, while Snap continues to struggle with brand advertising and competition [21][22]

Shares of Pinterest are plunging on these new numbers from the social media site. Let's get back to Julia Borston. Talk about the breakdown, what they said about ad demand, and a lot more.JB, >> well, Carl, after Meta, Google, Amazon, and Reddit showed strong digital ad gains, Pinterest missed on EPS and gave a weak fourth quarter revenue outlook. Shares now down over 20%. The stock pacing for its worst day since May 2022 with today's losses.Pins is now negative for the year. Pinterest citing macro headwind ...

Core Insights - Pinterest's shares fell significantly after the company missed profit expectations and provided weak guidance for the holiday quarter [1][5] - The company reported third-quarter adjusted earnings per share of $0.38, which was three cents below analyst expectations, while revenue increased by 17% to $1.05 billion, meeting forecasts [1][2] Financial Performance - For the current quarter, Pinterest anticipates revenue between $1.31 billion and $1.34 billion, slightly below the $1.34 billion expected by analysts [2] - In the U.S. and Canada, revenue grew by 9% to $786 million, with average revenue per user (ARPU) increasing by 5% to $7.64, both figures falling short of analyst estimates [3] User Metrics - Pinterest achieved a record of 600 million monthly active users, indicating strong user growth despite the challenges in monetization [3][5] - Global ARPU was reported at $1.78, which was slightly below expectations, highlighting difficulties in monetizing the expanding user base [3] Market Context - The results reflect broader challenges faced by social media platforms as digital ad spending slows in North America, impacting revenue growth [2] - Compared to Pinterest, shares of competitors Snap and Meta Platforms experienced more muted reactions in early trading following the news [2]

Core Insights - Roku's third-quarter profits exceeded expectations, leading to a significant increase in stock price, which rose over 6% after an earlier increase of more than 16% [1] Financial Performance - Roku's revenue increased by 14% year over year to $1.2 billion, driven by expanded distribution of smart TVs and deeper relationships with marketers [3] - The company achieved a positive operating profit of $9.5 million for the first time since 2021, with net income improving to $0.16 per share from a loss of $0.06 per share in the same quarter of the previous year, surpassing Wall Street's estimate of $0.09 per share [5] Market Position and Growth Strategy - Roku is gaining market share in the U.S. digital ad market, aided by a partnership with Amazon that allows advertisers to target 80 million connected TV households more effectively [4] - The company anticipates a 12% year-over-year revenue growth to $1.35 billion in the fourth quarter, supported by political ad spending and the acquisition of Frndly TV [6] - Management expressed confidence in achieving double-digit platform revenue growth and increasing operating margins in 2026 and beyond [7]

Core Insights - Apple's advertising segment achieved a record during the quarter, indicating significant growth in this area [2][3] - The Services unit, which includes the advertising business, reached an all-time revenue record of $28.8 billion, reflecting a 14% year-over-year increase [3] - Apple's advertising strategy is built on privacy and control, differentiating it from competitors who are focusing on AI-driven personalization [4][5] Advertising Performance - Tim Cook confirmed that the combination of third-party and first-party advertising set a record, although he did not disclose individual performance metrics [2] - The advertising business is part of Apple's broader Services unit, which has shown organic growth and resilience [3][6] Strategic Positioning - Apple's approach to advertising maintains its privacy-first philosophy, countering assumptions that privacy measures would hinder ad revenue [5] - The company's advertising success is seen as a strategic move, focusing on building a sustainable ecosystem rather than competing directly with traditional ad platforms [4][6]

Core Insights - Walmart Inc.'s second-quarter fiscal 2026 results demonstrate a significant shift towards digital advertising, with Walmart Connect achieving 31% year-over-year growth, excluding VIZIO [1][8] - The company's global advertising revenues surged by 46% during the quarter, driven by increased marketplace adoption and brand partner engagement [2] - Higher-margin businesses, particularly advertising and membership, are transforming Walmart's income statement, indicating a long-term strategy to diversify revenue streams beyond traditional retail [3][4] Financial Performance - Walmart's advertising at Sam's Club U.S. increased by 24%, while international markets like Flipkart contributed an additional 15% to overall growth [2] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate projects year-over-year sales growth of 4.1% and earnings per share growth of 3.6% for the current financial year [10] - Walmart's forward 12-month price-to-earnings ratio is 36.29, which is higher than the industry average of 33.59, indicating a premium valuation compared to Target but a discount relative to Costco [6] Market Position - Walmart's shares have increased by 26.8% over the past year, slightly underperforming the industry growth of 28.2%, while Costco shares rose by 5.1% and Target shares fell by 34.6% [5] - The integration of digital and physical advertising channels allows Walmart to leverage its extensive ecosystem, reaching millions of shoppers and enhancing profitability [4]

Core Insights - The Trade Desk, Inc. (TTD) is experiencing accelerating global momentum, with international revenue growth surpassing U.S. performance, indicating successful expansion beyond its core market [1] - International operations accounted for approximately 14% of total spend in Q2 2025, driven by strong adoption of connected TV (CTV) and retail media platforms [1] - The company anticipates that operations outside North America will continue to be a significant growth driver [1] Group 1: International Growth and CTV Performance - TTD's international growth has outpaced North America for nine consecutive quarters, with EMEA and APAC regions contributing to this expansion [1] - CTV remains a key growth driver, with programmatic CTV being highlighted as the "most effective and highest return on ad spend" channel [2] - Video, including CTV, represented a high 40% share of total business, continuing to grow its contribution [2] Group 2: Technological Advancements and Revenue Projections - The Kokai platform, powered by Koa AI, is delivering over 20-point KPI improvements for clients, with spending on Kokai growing 20% faster than among non-users [3] - OpenPath is enhancing transparency in the digital advertising supply chain, boosting advertiser confidence and efficiency [3] - TTD expects third-quarter revenues to reach at least $717 million, reflecting a 14% year-over-year growth [3] Group 3: Market Trends and Competitive Landscape - The global digital ad spending market is projected to reach $1,483 billion by 2034, growing at a CAGR of 9.47% from 2025 to 2034, positioning TTD favorably for future growth [4] - However, macroeconomic uncertainties, including rising inflation and supply-chain disruptions, may impact advertising budgets [5] - Intense competition from major players like Google and Amazon, as well as smaller firms like Magnite and PubMatic, poses challenges to TTD's market positioning [6] Group 4: Competitor Analysis - Magnite is enhancing its CTV business through partnerships with major streaming platforms, reporting a 14% year-over-year increase in CTV contributions [7] - PubMatic's growth is driven by CTV and emerging revenue streams, with CTV accounting for nearly 20% of total revenues [8]

Core Insights - Meta Platforms, Inc. (NASDAQ:META) is recognized as one of the most promising AI stocks to buy currently, with a maintained "Buy" rating and a price target of $860.00 by analyst Brian White from Monness [1][2] - The company's aggressive expansion in AI initiatives is expected to create new growth opportunities, particularly in the generative AI sector [1][2] - Meta's strong market position in digital advertising is anticipated to drive significant revenue growth, supported by innovations in AI-driven personalization and new product launches [2] Financial Performance - Rowan Street Capital highlights that Meta has compounded over 21% annually since their initial purchase over seven years ago, showcasing its competitive advantages and operational excellence [3] - The investment management company emphasizes the importance of long-term ownership in exceptional businesses, as illustrated by Meta's performance [3] Market Position and Strategy - Meta's strategic moves, despite facing regulatory challenges and a tough macroeconomic environment, position the company well for future success [2] - The company is noted for its ability to capitalize on digital advertising trends, which is expected to enhance its revenue streams [2]

Group 1 - Investors can bet on the shift of ad dollars online through Netflix and The Trade Desk, both of which are experiencing rapid growth [1] - Netflix's third-quarter revenue grew 17% year over year to approximately $11.5 billion, an increase from 16% growth in the previous quarter [3] - Despite strong results, Netflix's shares declined sharply due to revenue meeting expectations and lower-than-expected profit caused by a one-time tax expense [4] Group 2 - For the full year, Netflix management guided for $45.1 billion in revenue for 2025, indicating a 16% growth [5] - Netflix reported its highest quarterly TV view share in the U.S. and the U.K., which is expected to support future price hikes and increase advertising inventory [6] - The company's advertising business, which is three years old, is now considered a material growth driver, with management indicating plans to double its advertising revenue this year [7]