Earnings revisions

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Profitable production will come for companies in fiscal year '26, says Merrill's Chris Hyzy
CNBC Televisionยท 2025-06-23 20:13
Market Outlook - Bank of America Private Bank is generally bullish, expecting earnings revisions to increase, driven by productivity and margin protection [1] - The market's resilience is attributed to learnings from the pandemic, enabling corporations to maintain margins [6] - Generative AI is expected to produce efficiencies, further justifying market valuations [7] - The market is currently at 22 times earnings, with potential for multiple expansion, but not immediately [7] - Positive earnings revisions are anticipated for fiscal year 2026 [8] Risk Assessment - While negative surprises have occurred, they haven't significantly impacted earnings or consumer behavior as much as expected [3] - The market seems to be pricing in an antidote to potential escalations, particularly in the oil markets [10] - The market's current valuation at 22 times earnings is justified by the companies within the index [13] Sector Focus - The tech sector is seen as a potential leader, with a trampoline event overall [13] - Tech leadership has been evident since April 2nd [13]