CANADA - 2025/03/07: In this photo illustration, the MongoDB logo is seen displayed on a smartphone screen. (Photo Illustration by Thomas Fuller/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images)SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty ImagesMongoDB (NASDAQ: MDB), a document database, is scheduled to release its earnings on Tuesday, August 26, 2025. Based on the past five years of data, the stock’s post-earnings movement is unpredictable, with an equal chance of rising or falling.Over the last five years, MongoDB's stock h ...

Core Insights - Workday (NASDAQ: WDAY) is scheduled to report its earnings on August 21, 2025, with historical data indicating a 55% chance of a positive one-day return post-earnings, averaging a median gain of 9.1% [2][7] - The consensus for the upcoming quarter anticipates earnings per share of $2.11 on revenue of $2.34 billion, compared to $1.75 on $2.08 billion in the same quarter last year [3] - Workday's current market capitalization is $62 billion, with trailing twelve months revenue of $8.7 billion, an operating profit of $640 million, and net income of $487 million [4] Historical Performance - Over the last five years, Workday has had 20 earnings observations, resulting in 11 positive and 9 negative one-day moves, with a positive return occurring 55% of the time [7] - The likelihood of a positive return increases to 67% when focusing on the last three years, with a median of 9.1% for positive returns and -5.6% for negative returns [7] Trading Strategies - Event-driven traders can utilize historical patterns to inform their positions, assessing both pre-earnings and post-earnings strategies [6] - A correlation analysis between one-day, five-day, and twenty-one-day returns can help traders identify the best timing for trades following earnings announcements [8] Peer Influence - Workday's post-earnings reaction may be influenced by the earnings results of its peers, with pricing often adjusting before Workday's own report [9]

Group 1 - Palo Alto Networks is set to announce its fiscal Q4 earnings on August 18, with historical stock performance showing a positive one-day return in 65% of cases over the past five years, with a median return of 7.7% [2][7] - Analysts estimate earnings of $0.89 per share on $2.5 billion in revenue, an increase from the previous year's earnings of $0.75 per share on $2.19 billion in revenue [3] - The company currently has a market capitalization of $112 billion, with $8.9 billion in revenue, an operating profit of $984 million, and a net income of $1.2 billion over the last twelve months [4] Group 2 - Historical data shows that there are 20 earnings data points over the last five years, with 13 positive and 7 negative one-day returns, indicating a 65% chance of positive returns [7] - The correlation between short-term and medium-term returns post-earnings can inform trading strategies, with a focus on the strongest correlations between 1D and 5D returns [8] Group 3 - Peer performance can influence post-earnings stock reactions, with historical data comparing Palo Alto Networks' stock performance to peers that reported earnings just before it [9]

Core Insights - Procter & Gamble (P&G) is set to announce its earnings on July 29, 2025, with historical data indicating a strong likelihood of positive one-day returns post-announcement, occurring in 70% of cases [2][6] - The analysts' consensus for the upcoming quarter is earnings of $1.42 per share on revenues of $20.85 billion, reflecting modest growth expectations compared to the previous year's earnings of $1.40 per share on revenues of $20.53 billion [3] - P&G currently has a market capitalization of approximately $372 billion, with $84 billion in revenue over the past year, $20 billion in operating profits, and a net income of $15 billion [4] Historical Performance - Over the last five years, P&G has recorded 20 earnings data points, with 14 positive and 6 negative one-day returns, resulting in a median increase of 2.2% for positive returns and a median decrease of -2.9% for negative returns [6] - The probability of positive one-day returns drops to 67% when considering the last three years instead of five [6] Trading Strategies - Traders can utilize historical trends to position themselves ahead of earnings releases or analyze post-earnings returns to inform their trading strategies [5][7] - A strategy based on the correlation between short-term and medium-term returns can be effective, particularly if the 1D and 5D returns show a strong correlation [7][8]

Core Insights - UnitedHealth (NYSE: UNH) is scheduled to release its earnings on July 29, 2025, with analysts expecting earnings of $4.94 per share on revenue of $111.6 billion, compared to last year's earnings of $6.80 per share on revenues of $98.86 billion, indicating a contraction in profit margins due to rising medical costs [2][3] Group 1: Earnings Performance - Over the past five years, UNH stock has shown positive one-day returns after earnings announcements in 53% of cases, with a median one-day gain of 4.0% and a maximum increase of 7.2% [2][7] - In the last three years, the percentage of positive one-day returns drops to 45%, with a median of 4.0% for positive returns and -2.9% for negative returns [7] Group 2: Financial Metrics - UnitedHealth has a current market capitalization of approximately $267 billion, generating $410 billion in revenue over the past twelve months, with operating profits of $33 billion and a net income of $22 billion, reflecting strong operational profitability [3] Group 3: Trading Strategies - Traders can utilize historical data to position themselves ahead of earnings releases or analyze post-earnings returns to guide their trading strategies [5][9] - Understanding the correlation between short-term (1D) and medium-term (5D, 21D) returns can help traders make informed decisions based on historical performance [9]

Core Insights - Union Pacific (NYSE:UNP) is expected to announce earnings on July 24, 2025, with historical trends indicating a pattern of negative one-day returns post-announcement [1][2] - Analysts project earnings of $2.90 per share and revenues of $6.15 billion for the upcoming quarter, reflecting growth from the previous year's earnings of $2.74 per share and revenues of $6.01 billion [2] - The company currently has a market capitalization of $136 billion, with $24 billion in revenue, $9.7 billion in operating profits, and a net income of $6.7 billion over the past twelve months, indicating strong operational profitability [3] Historical Performance - Over the last five years, Union Pacific's stock has experienced a decrease on the day following earnings announcements in 55% of cases, with a median drop of -2.4% and a maximum decline of -6.8% [1][6] - Positive one-day returns occurred approximately 45% of the time, with the median of positive returns being 2.1% and the median of negative returns being -2.4% [6] Trading Strategies - Traders may consider pre-earnings positioning based on historical odds and evaluate the relationship between immediate and medium-term returns post-earnings to guide their strategies [5][7] - A strategy involving the correlation between one-day and five-day returns can be employed, where a positive one-day return may lead to a long position for the subsequent five days [7]

Core Viewpoint - MongoDB is set to report earnings on June 4, 2025, with historical data indicating a tendency for negative stock reactions post-earnings announcements, as evidenced by a 55% decline rate over the past five years [1][3]. Earnings Estimates - Consensus estimates predict earnings of $0.66 per share on revenues of $527.5 million, compared to $0.51 per share on sales of $450.6 million in the same quarter last year [3]. - MongoDB's current market capitalization stands at $15 billion, with $2.0 billion in revenue over the last twelve months, alongside an operating loss of $216 million and a net loss of $129 million during the same period [3]. Historical Performance - Over the last five years, there have been 20 earnings data points for MongoDB, with 9 positive and 11 negative one-day returns, resulting in positive returns approximately 45% of the time [6]. - The median of the 9 positive returns is 19%, while the median of the 11 negative returns is -10% [6]. - The percentage of positive returns drops to 36% when considering data from the last three years [6]. Trading Strategies - Event-driven traders can utilize historical patterns to inform their strategies, either by positioning themselves before earnings releases or analyzing the correlation between immediate and medium-term returns post-release [2][4]. - A less risky strategy involves understanding the correlation between short-term and medium-term returns, allowing traders to position themselves accordingly based on positive 1D returns [4][5].