Market Timing and Historical Context - The difficulty of timing the market is highlighted, emphasizing the need to exit and re-enter at the right times, which is challenging [1] - Historical stock market crashes illustrate the unpredictability of stocks in the near term, making market timing a risky endeavor [2] - The S&P 500 index's performance during the dot-com bubble and subsequent crash serves as a reminder of the potential for significant losses [3][4] Labor Market Insights - Private sector job losses were reported, with a decline of 32,000 jobs in September, primarily in small and mid-sized businesses [9] - Hiring intentions have weakened, with the lowest job addition plans for September since 2011, indicating a cooling labor market [10] - Job openings increased slightly to 7.23 million in August, suggesting ongoing demand for labor despite a cooling market [11] Consumer Confidence and Spending - Consumer confidence has decreased, with a notable drop in perceptions of job availability, reflecting a cooling labor market [14][15] - Despite weak consumer sentiment, consumer spending data remains strong, indicating a disconnect between sentiment and actual spending behavior [24] Economic Growth and Market Outlook - The long-term outlook for the stock market remains positive, driven by expectations of earnings growth [21] - While demand for goods and services is still positive, economic growth has normalized from previous high levels [23] - The U.S. stock market may outperform the economy in the near term due to companies adjusting cost structures and achieving positive operating leverage [25]

Joining us now is David Steinberg. He's the CEO of Zeta Global. David, we're gonna maybe brand this as David Zeta data.What do you think. >> I don't know. My my wife and kids might like it, but the uh you know, as you've said, in the current environment, getting access to data is getting harder.And what we're seeing is more and more people looking at private indicacies like the Zeta Economic Index. Yeah, because with you know and now there's all this also it's not just that government data may not happen Da ...

Joining us now is David Steinberg. He's the CEO of Zeta Global. David, we're gonna maybe brand this as David Zeta data.What do you think. I don't know. My my wife and kids might like it, but the uh you know, as you've said, in the current environment, getting access to data is getting harder.And what we're seeing is more and more people looking at private indicacies like the Zeta Economic Index. Yeah, because with you know and now there's all this also it's not just that government data may not happen David ...

Economic Growth - The U.S. economy expanded at a 3.8% annualized rate in the second quarter, marking the fastest growth in nearly two years, driven by robust consumer spending and solid business investment [1] - The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) raised its growth expectations for the U.S. to 1.8% in 2025, up from 1.6% in June, but forecasts for 2026 are projected at 1.5%, indicating a notable drop from 2.8% in 2024 [2] Consumer Spending - Consumer spending, which constitutes over two-thirds of economic activity, rose by 2.5% in the second quarter, revised up from a previous estimate of 1.6% [3] - In the last month, consumer spending increased by 0.6%, following a 0.5% gain in July [3] Household Wealth - Household wealth reached a record $176.3 trillion in the second quarter, although lower-income families face challenges from rising import-driven prices [4] Investment Trends - U.S. equity funds experienced a net inflow of $12.06 billion in the week ending September 24, reversing two weeks of outflows, with large-cap equity funds attracting $16.94 billion, the largest weekly inflow since April 9 [5] - Large-cap ETFs are recommended as a balanced investment strategy to capture growth potential while maintaining a defensive stance amid economic uncertainty [6] ETF Recommendations - Suggested large-cap ETFs include Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO), SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY), iShares Core S&P 500 ETF (IVV), and Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI) [7] - Growth ETFs such as Vanguard Growth ETF (VUG), iShares Russell 1000 Growth ETF (IWF), iShares S&P 500 Growth ETF (IVW), SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 Growth ETF (SPYG), and iShares Core S&P U.S. Growth ETF (IUSG) are also recommended for investors seeking higher growth potential [9]

Sanjay Malhotra, governor of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), during a news conference in Mumbai, India, on Wednesday, Dec. 11, 2024. India's newly-appointed central bank governor Malhotra said he will look to uphold stability and continuity in policy in his role. Photographer: Dhiraj Singh/Bloomberg via Getty ImagesIndia's central bank kept its policy rate unchanged at 5.5% Wednesday in line with the expectations of economists polled by Reuters.Inflation moderated significantly in the first quarter, but gr ...

Wall Street logged a downbeat performance last week.The S&P 500 declined 0.3%, and the Dow edged lower by 0.2%, and the Nasdaq slipped 0.7%, marking the first weekly loss in four weeks for the Nasdaq and the S&P 500, as quoted on CNBC.Inflation Data in FocusAugust’s personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation, came in largely as expected. Core PCE, barring food and energy, rose at an annual rate of 2.9%, while the all-items index recorded a 2.7% ...

If lawmakers can't come to an agreement on funding the government by end of day tomorrow, we're going to be headed into the first full government shutdown since 2013. Now, usually by this point, agency's plans for the shutdown would have been made public. Most of them have not put out those plans yet, but based on what we know previously, here's what we expect.First of all, no jobs data on Friday if the shutdown goes until then. And if the shutdown goes even longer, that could impact the collection of other ...

If lawmakers can't come to an agreement on funding the government by end of day tomorrow, we're going to be headed into the first full government shutdown since 2013. Now, usually by this point, agency's plans for the shutdown would have been made public. Most of them have not put out those plans yet, but based on what we know previously, here's what we expect.First of all, no jobs data on Friday if the shutdown goes until then. And if the shutdown goes even longer, that could impact the collection of other ...

[Music] Good morning from Yahoo Finance's New York City headquarters studios. I'm Yao Finance executive editor Brian Sazi. You are watching Norwegian Cruise Line sailing into the New York Stock Exchange to ring the opening bell.Arc Best getting things underway over at the NASDAQ. Now, the rosecolored glasses remain on for investors to start the week, but maybe they shouldn't be when taking a look at the potential minefields out there over the next 5 days of trading. Government shutdown could happen on Octob ...

Economic Indicators - The Atlanta Fed tracker indicates a GDP growth rate of approximately 3.9% for Q3, following a 3.8% growth in Q2, suggesting a strong economic performance [2] - Weekly jobless claims decreased to 218,000, with a four-week moving average of about 230,000, indicating a healthy labor market [2][16] - Durable goods orders rose by 5.4% year-over-year, driven by Boeing, while new home sales increased by 20% month-over-month and 15% year-over-year, reflecting robust consumer activity [3] Market Outlook - The earnings outlook for the next quarter is positive, with expectations of broad-based growth across various sectors, including housing and financials [4][6] - Financials are expected to perform well, with Morgan Stanley raising targets for large-cap banks due to favorable numbers [7] - The industrial sector and data center investments are anticipated to continue thriving, supported by strong visibility [8] Investment Strategies - Investors are encouraged to diversify beyond technology stocks, with a focus on sectors like housing and autos, which may benefit from lower interest rates [6][7] - Capital One is highlighted as a favorable investment due to its recent acquisition of Discover Financial, which enhances its scalable payments network [9] - Cybersecurity is identified as a growing sector, with potential for consolidation among the 4,000 companies in the field, driven by increasing demand for AI-related security solutions [11][12] Consumer Behavior - The consumer remains resilient, supported by job stability and wage growth of about 5%, despite inflationary pressures [18] - A significant amount of capital, approximately $8 trillion, is currently in money markets, which may shift into equities as interest rates decline [14][15] Risks and Concerns - The labor market is closely monitored, with a warning threshold set at 250,000 to 260,000 weekly jobless claims, as a significant increase could signal economic trouble [16][17] - Potential government shutdowns are not seen as a major concern, with expectations that any issues will be resolved quickly [19][20]