Economic Indicators and Employment Data - The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) will release November job openings, quitting, and layoffs data, alongside the December jobs report [2] - Economists project that approximately 60,000 jobs were added in December, resulting in a total of about 670,000 jobs added for 2025, significantly lower than the 2 million jobs added in 2024 [5] - The jobless rate is expected to decrease to 4.5% in December from a four-year high, indicating a modest employment growth trend [5] Inflation Trends - In the euro zone, inflation reports for Germany and France are due, with expectations that the headline inflation will stabilize at 2% and core inflation at 2.4% [6][7] - Switzerland's inflation is predicted to slightly increase to 0.1% after an unexpected drop to zero in November, which aligns with the central bank's forecast [11] - Australia's CPI figures are expected to show a modest easing of inflation, remaining above the central bank's target, which will influence the Reserve Bank of Australia's policy stance [14] Central Bank Policies - The European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to maintain a cautious approach to monetary policy, with upcoming data likely supporting the stabilization of inflation at target levels [7][8] - In Latin America, central banks in Chile, Peru, and Mexico may consider mild adjustments to monetary policy, while Brazil is positioned for aggressive unwinding of rates [17][18] - Peru's central bank may hold rates at 4.25% due to inflation running below the target range, reflecting a cautious approach amid upcoming elections [19] Sector-Specific Insights - The rapid adoption of artificial intelligence is seen as a limiting factor for payroll growth, as companies focus on enhancing productivity [3] - Employers have slowed hiring in 2025, indicating a stabilization in job openings and a cautious approach to additional hiring due to government trade-policy announcements [4]

Economic Outlook - The U.S. economy is expected to experience solid growth in 2026, with lower unemployment and slightly reduced inflation compared to 2025 [2][9] - Vanguard's forecast for 2026 includes a drop in the unemployment rate to 4.2% from 4.6% in November 2025, driven by increased investments in AI and other projects [7] Employment and Job Market - The job market is anticipated to rebound in 2026 after a sluggish performance in 2025, as businesses increase investments and economic growth drives demand for workers [7][9] Economic Growth - GDP growth is projected at 2.25% for 2026, supported by strong investment numbers and fiscal policy changes, particularly tax cuts from the "One Big, Beautiful Bill" [7][10] Inflation Trends - Inflation is expected to remain elevated due to the continued impact of tariffs, with consumer prices rising by 2.6% in 2026, slightly down from 2.8% in September 2025 [10][11]

30 December 2025 | 5:48PM EST Economics Research USA: FOMC Minutes Note "Most" Participants See Further Rate Cuts "Over Time," While "Some" See Policy "Unchanged for Some Time" BOTTOM LINE: The minutes to the FOMC's December meeting noted that "most" participants supported the Committee's decision to lower the fed funds rate in December, while "some" participants preferred to leave policy unchanged and "a few" participants noted either that their support for a cut was "finely balanced" or that they could ha ...

President Trump said he is considering a lawsuit against Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell for “gross incompetence” – adding that he’d love to fire “Too Late Powell” for not slashing interest rates quickly enough.He claimed that Powell’s renovation of Fed headquarters near the National Mall in Washington, DC, is over budget by roughly $1.5 billion.“It’s going to end up costing more than $4 billion – $4 billion!” Trump fumed Monday during a press conference with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu ...

The US economy continued to show resilience, with gross domestic product (GDP) growing at an annualised rate of 4.3% in the third quarter – its fastest pace in about two years. Household spending was ... ...

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All those marked-down smart home gadgets and Ralph Lauren socks under Christmas trees this year have already been regifted. To Uncle Sam. Commerce Department data released just before the holiday showed that US gross domestic product rose at an unexpectedly robust 4.3% in the third quarter, with the American consumer to thank for it. That might be enough to power one final miniature stock market rally to end 2025. SUBSCRIBE:  Receive more of our free The Daily Upside newsletter. READ ALSO: Video Game Con ...

Vi e w p o i n t | 23 Dec 2025 04:21:39 ET │ 16 pages Japan Economics Prospects for 2026：Will seeds of destabilization emerge amidst stability? CITI'S TAKE We expect Japan's GDP to grow at above-trend +1.0% in 2026, demonstrating resilience (albeit down modestly from +1.3% growth in 2025). As headline inflation temporarily falls below 2% and strong wage growth continues, headwinds facing purchasing power of consumers look likely to ease. We expect this situation to allow pass-throughs of rising costs to ser ...

First Insights Global Markets Research Economics - Asia ex-Japan India: Are rate cuts over? The December MPC meeting minutes show that ultra-low inflation was the trigger for the rate cut, while advocating data dependence ahead. Downside surprise on inflation led to the December cut In the December meeting, the RBI materially cut its FY26 (year ending March) inflation forecast to 2.0% from 2.6%, with the one-year ahead forecast lowered by around 50bp to 4.0% (at the RBI's target). With concurrent inflation ...

J P M O R G A N Asia Pacific Economic Research 22 December 2025 Global Data Watch: Asia China's post-tariff export diversification is broader than presumed No place to hide: China's post-tariff export diversification is broader than presumed A recurring theme characterizing 2025 has been that Chinese domestic demand disappointments have been offset by external sector resilience. Even as US tariffs on China at ~32% are among the highest in the world, China's goods exports have grown by 5% in 2025, in line wi ...