来源：新浪证券-红岸工作室 11月26日，晶科能源跌0.53%，成交额3.43亿元，换手率0.61%，总市值561.29亿元。 主力持仓 异动分析 BC电池+TOPCON电池+光伏概念+储能 1、2023年6月2日公司互动：公司已量产高效电池聚焦N型TOPCon技术，同步积极开展新技术、新工艺 的研发，储备了IBC电池技术和钙钵矿电池技术等。 2、公司在N型TOPCon领域技术工艺储备丰富、提效降本路径清晰，未来将持续加大投入以保持"N型时 代"领跑者的地位。公司在安徽合肥、浙江海宁投产的16GW大尺寸N型TOPCon电池产能进展顺利，各 项指标符合预期。其中合肥TOPCon电池工厂已经满产，量产测试效率已达24.7%，可用良率与PERC产 线持平。海宁尖山工厂爬坡顺利，于2022年6月底满产。 3、公司的主营业务是太阳能光伏组件、电池片、硅片的研发、生产和销售以及光伏技术的应用和产业 化，并以此为基础向全球客户提供高效、高质量的太阳能光伏产品，持续输送清洁能源。 4、2023年5月16日互动易回复：公司推出了户用储能（1kWh-50kWh）、工商业储能（50kWh-1MWh） 以及源网侧储能三种储能产品解决 ...

Quantitative Models and Construction Methods 1. Model Name: 250-Day New High Distance Model - **Model Construction Idea**: This model tracks the distance of stock prices or indices from their 250-day high to monitor market trends and identify potential market leaders. It is based on the momentum and trend-following strategy, which has been proven effective in various studies[11][18]. - **Model Construction Process**: The 250-day new high distance is calculated as follows: $ 250 \text{-day new high distance} = 1 - \frac{\text{Close}_{t}}{\text{ts\_max(Close, 250)}} $ Where: - $\text{Close}_{t}$ represents the latest closing price - $\text{ts\_max(Close, 250)}$ represents the maximum closing price over the past 250 trading days If the latest closing price reaches a new high, the distance is 0. If the price has fallen from the high, the distance is a positive value, indicating the degree of decline[11]. - **Model Evaluation**: The model effectively identifies market trends and highlights stocks or indices that are leading the market, aligning with the principles of momentum and trend-following strategies[11][18]. 2. Model Name: Stable New High Stock Selection Model - **Model Construction Idea**: This model focuses on selecting stocks that exhibit stable price paths and consistent momentum, as smoother price trajectories are associated with stronger momentum effects[24][27]. - **Model Construction Process**: The selection process involves the following criteria: - **Analyst Attention**: At least 5 buy or overweight ratings in the past 3 months - **Relative Strength**: 250-day price change in the top 20% of the market - **Price Stability**: Stocks are ranked based on: - **Price Path Smoothness**: Ratio of price displacement to the total price path - **Sustainability of New Highs**: Average 250-day new high distance over the past 120 days - **Trend Continuity**: Average 250-day new high distance over the past 5 days The top 50 stocks based on these criteria are selected[24][27]. - **Model Evaluation**: The model emphasizes the importance of smooth price paths and consistent momentum, which are less likely to attract excessive attention and thus yield stronger returns[24][27]. --- Model Backtesting Results 1. 250-Day New High Distance Model - **Indices' 250-Day New High Distance**: - Shanghai Composite Index: 4.83% - Shenzhen Component Index: 8.65% - CSI 300: 6.20% - CSI 500: 9.69% - CSI 1000: 7.59% - CSI 2000: 7.40% - ChiNext Index: 12.16% - STAR 50 Index: 16.45%[12][13][32] 2. Stable New High Stock Selection Model - **Selected Stocks**: 15 stocks were identified, including Heertai, Sray New Materials, and Zangge Mining. - **Sector Distribution**: - Manufacturing: 5 stocks (e.g., construction industry) - Cyclical: 5 stocks (e.g., non-ferrous metals industry)[28][33] --- Quantitative Factors and Construction Methods 1. Factor Name: 250-Day New High Distance - **Factor Construction Idea**: This factor measures the relative distance of a stock's price from its 250-day high, serving as an indicator of momentum and trend strength[11]. - **Factor Construction Process**: The formula is: $ 250 \text{-day new high distance} = 1 - \frac{\text{Close}_{t}}{\text{ts\_max(Close, 250)}} $ Where: - $\text{Close}_{t}$ is the latest closing price - $\text{ts\_max(Close, 250)}$ is the maximum closing price over the past 250 trading days[11]. - **Factor Evaluation**: The factor effectively captures momentum and trend-following characteristics, making it a reliable indicator for identifying market leaders[11]. 2. Factor Name: Price Path Smoothness - **Factor Construction Idea**: This factor evaluates the smoothness of a stock's price trajectory, as smoother paths are associated with stronger momentum effects[24]. - **Factor Construction Process**: - Calculate the ratio of price displacement to the total price path over a specified period - Rank stocks based on this ratio and select the top performers[24]. - **Factor Evaluation**: The factor highlights stocks with stable momentum, which are less likely to attract excessive attention and thus yield stronger returns[24]. --- Factor Backtesting Results 1. 250-Day New High Distance Factor - **Indices' 250-Day New High Distance**: - Shanghai Composite Index: 4.83% - Shenzhen Component Index: 8.65% - CSI 300: 6.20% - CSI 500: 9.69% - CSI 1000: 7.59% - CSI 2000: 7.40% - ChiNext Index: 12.16% - STAR 50 Index: 16.45%[12][13][32] 2. Price Path Smoothness Factor - **Selected Stocks**: 15 stocks were identified, including Heertai, Sray New Materials, and Zangge Mining. - **Sector Distribution**: - Manufacturing: 5 stocks (e.g., construction industry) - Cyclical: 5 stocks (e.g., non-ferrous metals industry)[28][33]

Group 1 - The report tracks stocks, industries, and sectors that are reaching new highs, indicating market trends and hotspots [1][4][24] - As of November 21, 2025, the distance to the 250-day new high for major indices is as follows: Shanghai Composite Index 4.83%, Shenzhen Component Index 8.65%, CSI 300 6.20%, CSI 500 9.69%, CSI 1000 7.59%, CSI 2000 7.40%, ChiNext Index 12.16%, and STAR 50 Index 16.45% [5][24] - Among the CITIC primary industry indices, the sectors closest to their 250-day new highs include petroleum and petrochemicals, textiles and apparel, basic chemicals, home appliances, and steel [8][24] Group 2 - A total of 1,127 stocks reached a 250-day new high in the past 20 trading days, with the highest number of new highs in the basic chemicals, machinery, and power equipment and new energy sectors [2][13][24] - The highest proportion of new high stocks is found in the textiles and apparel, coal, and non-ferrous metals sectors, with respective proportions of 41.41%, 38.89%, and 38.71% [13][24] - The cyclical and manufacturing sectors had the most new high stocks this week, with 364 and 315 stocks respectively [15][24] Group 3 - The report identifies 15 stocks that have shown stable new highs, including Heertai, Sry New Materials, and Cangge Mining, with the manufacturing and cyclical sectors contributing the most stocks [3][20][25] - The construction industry had the highest number of new highs within the manufacturing sector, while the non-ferrous metals industry led in the cyclical sector [20][25]

Core Points - The stock price of JA Solar Technology Co., Ltd. has decreased by 1.31% year-to-date and by 5.04% over the last five trading days, with a current price of 13.57 CNY per share [1] - The company reported a significant decline in revenue and net profit for the first nine months of 2025, with revenue of 36.809 billion CNY, down 32.27% year-on-year, and a net loss of 3.553 billion CNY, down 633.54% year-on-year [2] - The company has a market capitalization of 44.912 billion CNY and has seen a net outflow of 15.5186 million CNY in principal funds recently [1] Financial Performance - JA Solar's main business revenue composition includes photovoltaic modules (91.10%), other revenues (5.85%), and photovoltaic power station operations (3.05%) [2] - Cumulative cash dividends since the A-share listing amount to 3.055 billion CNY, with 2.415 billion CNY distributed in the last three years [3] - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders decreased by 17.24% to 147,800, while the average circulating shares per person increased by 20.84% to 22,370 shares [2] Shareholder Structure - The second-largest circulating shareholder is Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, holding 214 million shares, a decrease of 7.3649 million shares from the previous period [3] - Other notable shareholders include GF High-end Manufacturing Stock A and Huatai-PB CSI 300 ETF, with varying changes in their holdings [3]

Core Viewpoint - Trina Solar's stock has experienced fluctuations, with a recent decline of 2.22%, and the company is facing significant financial challenges, including a substantial drop in revenue and net profit [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - As of November 19, Trina Solar's stock price was 20.27 CNY per share, with a market capitalization of 44.176 billion CNY [1]. - Year-to-date, the stock has increased by 5.03%, but it has seen a decline of 1.98% over the last five trading days [1]. - Over the past 20 days, the stock has risen by 16.23%, and over the last 60 days, it has increased by 25.43% [1]. Group 2: Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Trina Solar reported a revenue of 49.970 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 20.87% [2]. - The company recorded a net profit attributable to shareholders of -4.201 billion CNY, representing a significant year-on-year decline of 396.22% [2]. Group 3: Business Overview - Trina Solar, established on December 26, 1997, operates in three main business segments: photovoltaic products, photovoltaic systems, and smart energy [1]. - The revenue composition of the company includes photovoltaic products (64.66%), system solutions (21.23%), other services (5.54%), digital energy services (4.42%), and energy storage (4.14%) [1]. Group 4: Shareholder Information - As of October 20, 2025, Trina Solar had 46,900 shareholders, an increase of 0.73% from the previous period [2]. - The average number of circulating shares per shareholder was 46,472, a decrease of 0.72% [2]. Group 5: Dividend Information - Trina Solar has distributed a total of 3.487 billion CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 2.410 billion CNY distributed over the last three years [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company is experiencing accelerated growth in semiconductor equipment, with a significant advantage in perovskite technology [1] - The forecast for net profit attributable to the parent company for 2025-2027 is 7.6 billion, 8.8 billion, and 11.0 billion RMB respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 39, 34, and 27 times [1] Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 8,089 million RMB, with a year-on-year growth of 94.99%. However, a decline of 23.09% is expected in 2025 [1][8] - Net profit attributable to the parent company for 2023 is estimated at 913.90 million RMB, with a growth of 6.03%. A decrease of 17.39% is anticipated in 2025 [1][8] - The latest diluted EPS for 2023 is 3.27 RMB, expected to drop to 2.74 RMB in 2025 before rising to 3.93 RMB by 2027 [1][8] Market Position and Product Development - The company has made significant advancements in semiconductor wafer etching and advanced packaging equipment, achieving key breakthroughs with differentiated technology [7] - The company has successfully launched several core devices in the semiconductor packaging sector and has a leading market share in laser grooving equipment [7] - The company is expanding its product matrix in 2024, introducing new equipment such as temporary bonding machines and laser debonding machines [7] - The company is also rapidly advancing in perovskite technology, adding a full suite of equipment necessary for perovskite tandem solar cells [7]

Core Viewpoint - Tongwei Co., Ltd. has experienced a decline in stock price and significant changes in shareholder structure, alongside a decrease in revenue and net profit for the first nine months of 2025 [1][2]. Financial Performance - As of October 20, 2025, Tongwei Co., Ltd. reported a revenue of 646.00 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.38% - The company recorded a net profit attributable to shareholders of -52.70 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year decrease of 32.64% [2]. Stock Market Activity - On November 18, 2025, Tongwei's stock price fell by 2.02%, trading at 24.71 yuan per share with a total transaction volume of 12.33 billion yuan - The stock has increased by 11.76% year-to-date, but has seen a decline of 7.52% over the past five trading days [1]. Shareholder Structure - As of October 20, 2025, the number of shareholders decreased to 249,200, a reduction of 12.13% - The average number of circulating shares per shareholder increased by 13.81% to 18,065 shares [2]. Dividend Distribution - Since its A-share listing, Tongwei has distributed a total of 251.92 billion yuan in dividends, with 169.23 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [3]. Institutional Holdings - As of September 30, 2025, major institutional shareholders have reduced their holdings, with Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited holding 136 million shares, down by 27.91 million shares from the previous period [3].

11月18日，星帅尔盘中下跌2.12%，截至10:11，报15.20元/股，成交1.12亿元，换手率2.07%，总市值 54.68亿元。 资金流向方面，主力资金净流出1218.28万元，特大单买入263.34万元，占比2.36%，卖出549.31万元， 占比4.92%；大单买入2670.57万元，占比23.90%，卖出3602.88万元，占比32.24%。 星帅尔今年以来股价涨56.51%，近5个交易日涨2.15%，近20日涨9.20%，近60日涨4.83%。 今年以来星帅尔已经1次登上龙虎榜，最近一次登上龙虎榜为5月6日。 资料显示，杭州星帅尔电器股份有限公司位于浙江省杭州市富阳区受降镇祝家村交界岭99号(2、3、4、 5幢)，成立日期2002年5月15日，上市日期2017年4月12日，公司主营业务涉及各种类型的制冷压缩机用 热保护器、起动器、密封接线柱,以及小家电用温度控制器和中小型、微型电机产品的研发、生产和销 售。主营业务收入构成为：太阳能光伏组件48.44%，冰箱、冷柜、空调等压缩机及小家电用配套产品 34.62%，厨余粉碎机、新能源汽车、清洁水泵等电机9.78%，其他(补充)5.69%，光通信、光 ...

Core Viewpoint - JinkoSolar's stock price has experienced fluctuations, with a recent decline of 2.04% and a year-to-date increase of 1.16%, indicating volatility in the market [1] Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, JinkoSolar reported a revenue of 36.809 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 32.27% [2] - The company recorded a net profit attributable to shareholders of -3.553 billion yuan, reflecting a significant year-on-year decline of 633.54% [2] Stock Market Activity - As of November 18, JinkoSolar's stock was trading at 13.91 yuan per share, with a total market capitalization of 46.038 billion yuan [1] - The stock has seen a trading volume of 283 million yuan with a turnover rate of 0.60% [1] - The company has appeared on the "龙虎榜" (a list of stocks with significant trading activity) twice this year, with the latest instance on October 29, where it had a net buy of 1.56 billion yuan [1] Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, JinkoSolar had 147,800 shareholders, a decrease of 17.24% from the previous period [2] - The average number of circulating shares per shareholder increased by 20.84% to 22,370 shares [2] Dividend Distribution - JinkoSolar has distributed a total of 3.055 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 2.415 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [3] Institutional Holdings - As of September 30, 2025, the second-largest circulating shareholder is Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, holding 214 million shares, a decrease of 7.3649 million shares from the previous period [3] - Other notable institutional shareholders include Guangfa High-end Manufacturing Stock A and Huatai-PineBridge CSI 300 ETF, with varying changes in their holdings [3]

Core Points - Baoxin Technology's stock price decreased by 2.05% on November 17, trading at 6.69 CNY per share with a market capitalization of 4.817 billion CNY [1] - The company has experienced a 16.48% decline in stock price year-to-date, with a recent 3.74% drop over the last five trading days [1] - Baoxin Technology's main business involves CNC sheet metal technology, with revenue composition primarily from equipment parts (90.62%) [1] Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Baoxin Technology reported a revenue of 150 million CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 33.80%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was -54.46 million CNY, showing a year-on-year increase of 67.05% [2] - The company has not distributed any dividends in the last three years, with a total payout of 72.08 million CNY since its A-share listing [3] Shareholder Information - As of October 31, 2025, Baoxin Technology had 75,600 shareholders, a decrease of 3.08% from the previous period, with an average of 7,330 circulating shares per shareholder, an increase of 3.18% [2] - Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited is the third-largest circulating shareholder, holding 5.324 million shares, an increase of 3.348 million shares from the previous period [3]