Um, for more on tomorrow's Fed decision, let's bring in Evan Brown of UBS. He is the head of multi-asset strategy. Evan, great to see you again.Um, what do you make of where we are in the markets right now given the backdrop we just laid out. >> Yeah, I mean, I think it's uh it first of all, it's a strange economy right now. We're talking about that that GDP is is uh quite strong with the labor market is is soft and we're waiting to see how that will will evolve.But the soft labor market is what's getting t ...

September's jobs report. We don't have one thanks to the government shutdown. So, with the data blackout, Wall Street is looking elsewhere for clues, especially as the Fed debates its next interest rate decision later this month.Here are three signs labor market is cooling, even without that official jobs report. Number one, jolts, aka the job openings and labor turnover survey. Job openings are holding steady, but hiring is slowing and fewer people are quitting.That tells us workers feel less confident and ...

Labor Market Analysis - The US government shutdown has resulted in the BLS not releasing labor market data, including the unemployment rate which was expected to be around 43% [1][2] - The Chicago Fed estimates the unemployment rate for September to be 434%, slightly higher than the previous month's 432%, indicating a potential softening in the labor market [2][3][4] - Job openings saw a slight increase from 721 million to 723 million, remaining relatively steady over the past year [7] - Job quits have dropped back down to cycle lows of 19%, suggesting people are less willing to leave their jobs due to fear of not finding new employment [9] - Layoffs remain relatively low, at pre-pandemic levels, which may be contributing to the continued rise of risk assets [10] - Initial claims data was not released this week, but the previous spike to 264000 has since receded [11] - Job postings on Indeed continue to slowly decline [14] - Non-farm private payroll employment from ADP shows negative revisions, with the last month revised to -3000 and this past month at -32000, indicating a potential slowdown [20] - Construction employment is slowing down, with the year-over-year change starting to decrease, though not yet negative [26] Bitcoin Market Analysis - Bitcoin's current market cycle shows similarities to post-election years like 2013, 2017, and 2021, with a high in August, a low in late September/early October, and a potential rally into a market cycle top [30][31] - The current cycle also resembles 2020, with a Q1/Q2 capitulation low, sideways movement before the 21-week EMA catches up, and a potential Q4 rally [33] - The 50-week moving average is now at $100000, and a weekly close below this level could signal the end of the cycle [35][36]

conference board and Jolts on the tape as well. Let's get to Rick Santelli again. Hey Rick.>> Yes, on Jolts. This is an August read. Openings expected to be right around 7.2% million.A little bit extra horsepower. 7,227,000. That'll be the best number since well just June.But in the rearview mirror, a nice upward revision. Last month originally reported 7,181 becomes 7,208. And it's significant because that now changes the dynamics.That would have been last month, July, the weakest of the year. Moving it to ...

Labor Market - US JOLTS job openings reached 7,227,000 [1] - The job openings exceeded expectations of 7,100,000 [1]

Market Performance - Market indexes experienced gains, with the Dow up +68 points, S&P 500 gaining +17 points, and Nasdaq increasing +107 points, while the Russell 2000 rose +2 points [2] - The market was influenced by a government shutdown threat and OPEC+'s decision to raise oil production by 137K barrels per day, leading to a -3.8% drop in WTI prices and a -2.5% decline in Exxon Mobil and BP stocks [1] Housing Market - Pending Home Sales rose by +4.0% in August, surpassing expectations and reversing a previous downward trend, aided by slightly easing mortgage rates [3] - Newly-built homes also saw an increase, with homebuilder stocks like Lennar, Pulte Home, and KB Home rising more than +1% due to pent-up demand [4] Cannabis Industry - The Trump administration is considering reclassifying cannabis from Schedule I to Schedule III, which could have significant implications for the industry, resulting in a +60% increase in Tilray's stock price [5] Economic Data Expectations - Upcoming economic data includes Case-Shiller Home Prices, Chicago Business Barometer, and Consumer Confidence, with expectations for slight increases and a narrowing in Consumer Confidence to 95.8 [6] - The Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) is expected to show a decrease in job openings to 7.1 million, the lowest since September 2024 [7] Company Earnings - Nike is set to report fiscal Q1 earnings, with expectations of a -60% year-over-year earnings decline and -4.95% revenue drop, despite having outperformed earnings expectations for eight consecutive quarters [8][9]

💥BREAKING:🇺🇸 Stock Market VS Job Openings.Huge divergence... 👀 https://t.co/QqHBBVAg94 ...

America's labor market is showing serious cracks. Hiring has cooled off, layoffs are climbing, and those help wanted signs are quietly disappearing from storefronts across the country. So, is this the start of a recession that will crush markets.Or is it just the kind of economic hiccup that brings the rate cuts everyone has been begging for without triggering a full-blown panic. Today, we're cutting through the economic noise and breaking down what this labor wobble actually means for your portfolio. My na ...

THIS IS NOT BREAKING NEWSJOB REPORTS ARE A MASSIVE LIE WITH THEIR SAMPLE SETS!HIGHERPolymarket (@Polymarket):BREAKING: The US now has more unemployed people than job openings. ...

Job Market Overview - Job openings decreased in July, but hiring actually increased [1] - The report highlights which industries experienced the most job growth [1]