Spark Commodities数据显示，上周五，从美国向欧洲运送LNG的船舶日租金上涨约12%，至130,750美 元，为2023年12月以来最高。 据知情人士透露，运价似乎仍有进一步上行空间——已经有一艘12月下旬启程的大西洋航线LNG船， 被租家以超过15万美元/日的价格拿下。 然而，Spark Commodities指出，运价急涨已促使部分LNG买家寻求延后在大西洋盆地的装船。此外， 太平洋航线LNG运输船的日租金亦创下一年多新高。 LNG海运相关港股： 中远海能（600026）(01138)：目前中远海能已形成多元业务结构，经营油轮、LNG、LPG、化工品运 输等多元业务板块，并受托管理仓储码头业务板块，LNG运输业务板块2025年前三季度累计贡献归母 净利润6.74亿元，同比基本持平，表现较为稳健。 中集安瑞科(03899)：2025年4月，中集安瑞科公布，旗下南通中集太平洋海洋工程与欧洲船东签订1艘2 万立方米LNG运输加注船订单，将在2027年4月交付使用。中集安瑞科表示，年初至今已交付中国首艘 LNG换罐1.4万吨级清洁能源江海直达干散货船，以及向加拿大船东交付7600立方米LNG加注船， ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [1] Core Views - The report highlights that the company's net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 4.37% in Q3, with expectations for improved financial performance due to rising freight rates in September [3] - The report emphasizes the company's proactive expansion into Western markets for foreign trade oil transportation [1][3] Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue**: For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a total revenue of 171.08 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 2.55%. In Q3 alone, revenue was 54.66 billion yuan, also down by 2.55% year-on-year [3] - **Net Profit**: The net profit attributable to shareholders for the first three quarters of 2025 was 27.23 billion yuan, down 21.22% year-on-year, with Q3 net profit at 8.53 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 4.37% year-on-year [3] - **Gross Profit**: The foreign trade oil transportation business reported a gross profit of 17.9 billion yuan for the first three quarters, a decline of 43.2% year-on-year [3] - **LNG and LPG Transportation**: The LNG transportation business maintained stable performance with a net profit of 6.74 billion yuan, while the LPG transportation business saw a significant gross profit increase of 22.5% [3] Earnings Forecast - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 243.64 billion yuan, 250.10 billion yuan, and 255.59 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 4.82%, 2.65%, and 2.19% [3] - The forecasted net profit attributable to shareholders for the same years is 47.94 billion yuan, 56.60 billion yuan, and 58.22 billion yuan, with growth rates of 18.76%, 18.06%, and 2.88% respectively [3] - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating based on the projected earnings per share (EPS) of 0.88 yuan, 1.04 yuan, and 1.07 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6] Core Views - In Q2, the company achieved operating revenue of 5.89 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.3%, while net profit attributable to the parent company was 1.16 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 15.3% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 64.2% [2][4] - The foreign trade oil transportation sector is showing signs of improvement, while external chartering has increased costs; domestic trade has been affected by a decrease in business volume but maintains stable profitability; LNG transportation continues to show growth due to fleet expansion [2][10] - Looking ahead, LNG transportation benefits from stable project-based revenue and fleet expansion, solidifying baseline profits; the oil transportation sector is expected to see a peak season in Q4 due to increased compliance oil imports from India and ongoing OPEC production increases [2][10] Summary by Sections Revenue and Profit Analysis - In the first half of 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 11.64 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 2.6%, and net profit of 1.87 billion yuan, down 29.2% year-on-year [4] - In Q2, the company’s operating revenue was 5.89 billion yuan, with a net profit of 1.16 billion yuan, reflecting a significant quarter-on-quarter recovery [4] Business Segment Performance - Foreign trade oil transportation revenue was 3.73 billion yuan in Q2, down 5.4% year-on-year, with a gross profit of 750 million yuan, a decrease of 44.7% year-on-year [10] - Domestic trade oil transportation revenue was 1.37 billion yuan, down 6.3% year-on-year, but maintained a gross profit margin of 24.0% [10] - LNG transportation revenue reached 630 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 56.5%, with a gross profit margin of 49.9% [10] Future Outlook - The LNG transportation sector is expected to continue solidifying profits due to stable project revenues and fleet expansion [10] - The oil transportation sector is anticipated to benefit from seasonal demand in Q4, with potential for price increases [10] - The report suggests that the oil tanker sector is currently undervalued and may experience a rebound [2][10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [8]. Core Views - In Q1 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 5.75 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.0%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 710 million yuan, down 43.3% year-on-year. The increase in foreign trade oil transportation capacity boosted foreign trade revenue, but declining freight rates and rising charter costs impacted profitability. Domestic oil transportation revenue fell due to a decrease in domestic refined oil transportation volume, although the gross margin remained resilient. The LNG transportation business benefited from stable project-based income and contributions from new ship deliveries, with gross profit maintaining rapid growth. Market sentiment towards oil transportation is currently pessimistic due to the end of the Russia-Ukraine conflict and the impact of U.S. tariffs. If OPEC+ increases production further and oil prices continue to decline, oil transportation demand may recover. Additionally, LNG vessels will be delivered between 2025 and 2028, solidifying performance stability [2][5][10]. Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - In Q1 2025, the company transported 47.91 million tons of oil products (excluding time charter), a year-on-year increase of 13.8%, and the transportation turnover (excluding time charter) was 174.7 billion ton-nautical miles, up 16.2% year-on-year [5]. Foreign Trade Oil Transportation - The company increased its fleet size, operating 54 VLCCs and 8 Aframax tankers in Q1 2025, leading to foreign trade oil transportation revenue of 3.58 billion yuan, down 6.0% year-on-year. However, due to increased charter costs and high base effects, the gross profit for foreign trade oil transportation was 540 million yuan, down 55.9%, with a gross margin of 15.0%, a decrease of 16.9 percentage points [10]. Domestic Oil Transportation and LNG Business - Domestic oil transportation revenue was 1.39 billion yuan, down 4.7% year-on-year, primarily due to a 9.1% decline in refined oil transportation volume. The gross profit was 330 million yuan, down 9.3%, with a gross margin of 24.0% [10]. - The LNG segment benefited from stable project-based income and new ship deliveries, achieving revenue of 620 million yuan, up 10.6% year-on-year, and gross profit of 300 million yuan, up 19.2%, with a gross margin of 49.4%, an increase of 3.6 percentage points [10]. Market Outlook - The report indicates a potential recovery in oil transportation demand if OPEC+ increases production and oil prices decline, which could lead to improved profitability. The company has 36 LNG vessels on order, set to be delivered from 2025 to 2028, which will further solidify performance stability. The projected revenues for 2025-2027 are 5.3 billion, 5.9 billion, and 6.3 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 9.2, 8.3, and 7.8 times [10].