Scaling Law(扩展定律)
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谢尔盖·布林首次复盘:谷歌AI为什么落后,又如何实现绝地反击
3 6 Ke· 2025-12-15 00:19
Core Insights - Google has been perceived as lagging in the AI race, especially compared to OpenAI, until the return of co-founder Sergey Brin, who has since spearheaded the development of the Gemini models, marking a significant shift in the competitive landscape [1][2]. Group 1: Google's Strategic Shift - Sergey Brin acknowledged Google's early missteps in AI strategy, particularly the hesitance to fully embrace the potential of AI technologies like chatbots due to concerns over misinformation [6][18]. - The introduction of the Gemini 3 series and the seventh-generation TPU Ironwood has positioned Google to reclaim its competitive edge in AI, showcasing significant advancements in performance and efficiency over GPUs [2][3]. Group 2: Technological Advancements - The Gemini 3 series features native multimodal capabilities and an extended context window, elevating industry standards and allowing for unified understanding and generation of text, code, images, audio, and video [3]. - Google's deep integration of AI capabilities into its core applications, such as Workspace and search products, demonstrates a comprehensive approach to enhancing user experience and operational efficiency [3]. Group 3: Future Directions in AI - Brin posited that future breakthroughs in AI may rely more on algorithmic efficiency rather than merely scaling data and computational power, suggesting a shift in focus towards more effective architectures like MoE (Mixture of Experts) [4][8]. - The ongoing investment in foundational technologies, such as TPUs and deep learning algorithms, has established a robust infrastructure that supports rapid innovation and iteration in AI [7][20]. Group 4: Implications for the Workforce - Brin encouraged the younger generation to view AI as a tool for enhancing personal capabilities rather than a threat to job security, emphasizing the importance of leveraging AI for creative and productive purposes [10][24]. - He highlighted the need for individuals to adapt and refine their skills in light of AI advancements, suggesting that fields requiring deep technical knowledge will continue to be valuable [9][32].
Scaling Laws起源于1993年?OpenAI总裁:深度学习的根本已揭秘
具身智能之心· 2025-09-03 00:03
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the historical development and significance of the Scaling Law in artificial intelligence, emphasizing its foundational role in understanding model performance in relation to computational resources [2][34][43]. Group 1: Historical Context - The Scaling Law's origins are debated, with claims that it was first proposed by OpenAI in 2020 or discovered by Baidu in 2017 [2]. - Recent discussions attribute the initial exploration of Scaling Law to Bell Labs, dating back to 1993 [3][5]. - The paper from Bell Labs demonstrated the relationship between model size, data set size, and classifier performance, highlighting the long-standing nature of these findings [5][9]. Group 2: Key Findings of the Research - The NeurIPS paper from Bell Labs outlines a method for efficiently predicting classifier suitability, which is crucial for resource allocation in AI model training [12]. - The authors established that as training data increases, the error rate of models follows a predictable logarithmic pattern, reinforcing the Scaling Law's validity [12][16]. - The research indicates that after training on 12,000 patterns, new networks significantly outperform older ones, showcasing the benefits of scaling [16]. Group 3: Contributions of Authors - The paper features five notable authors, including Corinna Cortes and Vladimir Vapnik, both of whom have made significant contributions to machine learning and statistical theory [18][19][27]. - Corinna Cortes has over 100,000 citations and is recognized for her work on support vector machines and the MNIST dataset [21][22]. - Vladimir Vapnik, with over 335,000 citations, is known for his foundational work in statistical learning theory [27]. Group 4: Broader Implications - The article suggests that the Scaling Law is not a sudden insight but rather a cumulative result of interdisciplinary research spanning decades, from psychology to neural networks [34][43]. - The evolution of the Scaling Law reflects a broader scientific journey, with contributions from various fields and researchers, ultimately leading to its current understanding in deep learning [43].