港股晨报 港股回顾 点，跌幅随即扩大至 247 点，低见 23730 点，其后跌幅 一度收窄至仅 20 点，午后大盘走势偏软，尾盘沽压再 度扩大。截至收盘，恒指收报 23831 点，下跌 145 点或 0.61%；国指收报 9656 点，下跌 47 点或 0.49%，大市 成交进一步减至 827.99 亿。港股通录得净流入资金 4.84 亿，其中港股通(沪)净流入 2.83 亿，港股通(深)净 流入 2.01 亿。板块方面，本地地产、软件、5G 概念板 块跌幅靠前；黄金股逆市走强。 周四港股窄幅整理，恒生指数收盘涨 0.02%，报 25835.57 点；恒生科技指数下跌 0.58%，报 5574.59 点；恒生中国企业指数微跌 0.08%，报 9143.34 点。市场成交额 2451.36 亿港元，南向 资金大举净买入 159.92 亿港元。银行、地产走 强，半导体、汽车走弱。恒生指数成分股中，创 科实业主力上涨 5.4%，李宁上涨 4%，领展房产基 金下挫 6.4%，携程集团下跌 3.6%。 资料来源:WIND 如此报告被平安证券(香港)以外其他金融机构转发，该金融机构将独自承担其转发报告的责任。如该金融机 ...

Group 1: Federal Reserve Leadership Changes - The discussion around the Federal Reserve leadership changes is intensifying, with speculation about the next chairperson as Jerome Powell's term ends in May 2026 [4] - The anticipated leadership change is impacting liquidity in financial markets, particularly influencing the precious metals market [4][6] Group 2: Precious Metals Market - Gold and silver prices have been rising, with related ETFs also increasing, driven by market concerns over potential shifts in monetary policy under new leadership [6] - Gold is viewed as a core asset in long-term investment strategies, and the current leadership change is seen as a catalyst for short-term price movements [6] Group 3: Chinese Companies' Earnings Reports - Xiaomi's earnings report was average, but negative media and security concerns have led to market uncertainty, with a critical support level at 40 yuan [8] - Pinduoduo's earnings showed a 9% revenue growth and a 17% profit increase, but the market response has been lukewarm due to concerns over future performance and market management strategies [10][12] - Pinduoduo's growth is now reliant on cost-cutting measures rather than revenue increases, indicating a shift away from its previous high-growth phase [12][14] Group 4: Nvidia's Earnings and AI Industry Dynamics - Nvidia's earnings report is crucial for market sentiment, as it reflects the health of the global AI industry [16][17] - Key metrics of focus include current revenue and future guidance, with potential implications for the broader tech sector [17][19] - Google's introduction of the Gemini 3 Pro model poses a competitive threat to Nvidia, as it utilizes proprietary technology that may reduce reliance on Nvidia's GPUs [21][22] Group 5: Outlook on Chinese Assets - International investment banks are showing optimism towards Chinese assets, particularly in the tech and AI sectors, amidst recent market volatility [25][27] - Morgan Stanley and UBS have highlighted structural opportunities in the Chinese tech sector, suggesting a growing interest from Western capital [27] - The current market sentiment remains cautiously optimistic, with a focus on technology and AI sectors for long-term investment strategies [29]

Group 1 - Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway sold a significant amount of Apple stock and purchased shares in Google's parent company, Alphabet, as part of its third-quarter 13F report [3][4] - As of the end of the third quarter, Berkshire held 41 stocks with a total market value of $267 billion, an increase of 3.4% from the previous quarter [4] - Berkshire's Apple holdings decreased from 280 million shares to 238.2 million shares, selling nearly three-quarters of its original 905 million shares [4] Group 2 - The decision to reduce Apple holdings reflects a rational approach, as the company has shown a slowdown in product innovation and its market valuation has exceeded traditional value investment safety margins [6] - The purchase of Alphabet shares may indicate a shift in investment strategy, aligning with the interests of other investment managers within Berkshire, suggesting a diversification of investment philosophy [8] - The upcoming transition to a post-Buffett era necessitates a more diversified investment strategy to adapt to changing market conditions and seize opportunities in emerging sectors like technology and renewable energy [10] Group 3 - The potential transformation of Berkshire's investment style post-Buffett could lead to a greater focus on technology investments and a more flexible approach to market opportunities, while still maintaining core value investment principles [11][12] - The essence of Buffett's investment philosophy, characterized by rationality, discipline, and long-termism, is expected to continue, even as the company adapts to new market realities [12]

Group 1: Xiaomi - Xiaomi's Q3 revenue reached 113.1 billion, a year-on-year increase of 22.3% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 2.4% [1] - Adjusted profit for the quarter was 11.3 billion, up 80.9% year-on-year [1] - Automotive revenue was 28.3 billion, showing a significant year-on-year growth of 207%, with a quarterly profit of 0.7 billion [1] - The performance in major appliances was disappointing, with a year-on-year decline of 15.7% and a quarter-on-quarter drop of 64.8% [1] - Current valuation estimates suggest Xiaomi's smartphone business could be valued at around 600 billion, while automotive and other IoT segments could add significant value [1] Group 2: Pinduoduo - Pinduoduo's Q3 revenue was 108.2 billion, marking a year-on-year increase of 9%, the first time it fell below 10% growth [2] - Net profit for the quarter was 29.3 billion, up 17% year-on-year, with over 400 billion in cash reserves [2] - Current market valuation stands at 180 billion, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 10 when excluding cash, indicating a potentially undervalued stock [2] - Concerns remain regarding the company's future dividend and buyback plans, leading to a significant drop in stock price [2] Group 3: Boss Zhipin - Boss Zhipin reported Q3 revenue of 2.16 billion, a year-on-year increase of 13.2%, with net profit reaching 0.687 billion, up 108% [3] - The substantial profit growth was attributed to reduced marketing expenses and the introduction of new paid services [3] - The company is viewed positively due to its ability to grow amidst challenging market conditions, suggesting strong potential for future performance [3] Group 4: Trip.com - Trip.com achieved Q3 revenue of 18.3 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 16% [4] - International OTA bookings surged by 60% year-on-year, while inbound travel doubled, indicating robust recovery in travel demand [4] - The company's consistent performance and market position contribute to its stable stock price, making it a strong player in the travel industry [4] Group 5: Baidu - Baidu's Q3 revenue was 31.17 billion, a year-on-year decline of 7%, although AI business revenue grew by over 50% [5] - The mixed results raise questions about the company's overall performance and future outlook [5] Group 6: Google - Google's Gemini 3 Pro model achieved the highest score in model rankings, reinforcing its strong position in the AI sector [6] - Berkshire Hathaway's recent investment in Google indicates confidence in the company's long-term business viability [6] - Overall, the recent financial results of Chinese internet companies are not perceived as particularly poor, despite heightened market expectations [6]

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market experienced a decline, with the Hang Seng Index closing at 23,831 points, down 145 points or 0.61% [1] - The market turnover decreased to 82.799 billion, with net inflows of 484 million in the Hong Kong Stock Connect [1] - The US stock market also saw declines, with the Dow Jones down 1.07% and the S&P 500 down 0.83%, marking the fourth consecutive day of losses for both indices [2] Industry Insights - The report highlights the potential for investment in undervalued sectors, particularly in local real estate, software, and 5G concepts, which have shown significant declines [1] - The report emphasizes the importance of self-reliance in technology as a core theme for future growth in the Hong Kong market, suggesting that leading companies in AI, semiconductors, and industrial software may present long-term opportunities [3] - The automotive industry, particularly in electric vehicles, is noted for its rapid growth, with a significant increase in exports of new energy vehicles, which rose by 99.9% year-on-year [9] Company Highlights - Baidu Group is recognized for its advancements in AI and smart driving, with a reported revenue of 32.713 billion yuan in Q2 2025, despite a year-on-year decline of 3.59% [10] - Xiaomi Group reported a non-IFRS net profit increase of 80.9% year-on-year to 11.31 billion yuan in Q3 2025, exceeding expectations [11] - Xpeng Motors experienced a significant drop of over 10% in stock price, reflecting challenges in the electric vehicle sector [1][16]

证券研究报告 | 2025年11月18日 AI 赋能资产配置（二十五） AI 投资实战第三赛季：事件型交易预测指南 策略研究·策略解读 | | 王开 | 021-60933132 | wangkai8@guosen.com.cn | 执证编码：S0980521030001 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 证券分析师： | | | | | 事项： 谷歌近期将预测市场平台 Polymarket 和 Kalshi 的实时数据整合进其搜索引擎与财经产品，这一标志性举动 推动着该领域从金融和时政范围的小众工具迈向主流视野，代表由大众交易产生的"预测概率"正成为一 种新型的、有价值的金融基础设施数据。AI+事件概率跟踪预测场景充分发挥出大语言模型在文字检索和 语义分析方面优势，一度超过对加密货币和股票的跟踪预测能力 AI 的深度注入成为核心驱动力，它一方 面通过自然语言交互降低使用门槛，另一方面则作为高效的套利猎手与生态赋能者，通过挖掘市场定价错 误和提供分析工具，系统性地提升市场效率，推动金融分析从定性解读迈向定量概率的新范式。 解读： 预测市场，这一将群体智慧量化为市场概率的古 ...

上周五晚些时候发布的一份证券申报文件显示，在巴菲特时代即将落幕之际，伯克希尔哈撒韦公司在截 至9月30日的季度里开辟了新领域：首次买入谷歌。受此提振，这家搜索引擎巨头周一盘中一度大涨超 5%，与其他科技巨头的走势形成鲜明对比，市场的焦点也转向了可能在本周发布的新模型。 新目标 在本月初公布的财报中，伯克希尔哈撒韦三季度的投资组合再次显示出谨慎态度。其现金储备达到3817 亿美元，再创历史新高，连续第12个季度减持美股，并继续在回购问题上态度冷淡。 在14日盘后揭晓的13F报告中，伯克希尔如外界预测那样减持了苹果和美国银行两大重仓股，并在达美 乐披萨、保险公司丘博集团（Chubb ）和住宅建筑商 D.R.霍顿上进行了调仓。令投资者感到意外的 是，截至第三季度末，伯克希尔新持有近1800万股谷歌股票，一举成为第十大重仓股。 2025.11.18 本文字数：1983，阅读时长大约3分钟 作者 |第一财经 樊志菁 新看点 今年，华尔街对谷歌的人工智能（AI）业务表现出积极态度。在华尔街投资者眼中，该公司股价已从 "人工智能领域失意者"转变为 "人工智能领域赢家"。 谷歌在周一的盘前交易中上涨超5%，年内涨幅较其他 " ...

2025.11. 18 在本月初公布的财报中，伯克希尔哈撒韦三季度的投资组合再次显示出谨慎态度。其现金储备达到 3817亿美元，再创历史新高，连续第12个季度减持美股，并继续在回购问题上态度冷淡。 在14日盘后揭晓的13F报告中，伯克希尔如外界预测那样减持了苹果和美国银行两大重仓股，并在达 美乐披萨、保险公司丘博集团（Chubb ）和住宅建筑商 D.R.霍顿上进行了调仓。令投资者感到意外 的是，截至第三季度末，伯克希尔新持有近1800万股谷歌股票，一举成为第十大重仓股。 此次投资堪称伯克希尔多年来在科技领域最重大的押注之一。鉴于这位传奇投资人数十年来对高增长 科技公司一直持犹豫态度，此举令众多关注巴菲特的人士感到有些震惊。 对 谷 歌 的 投 资 很 可 能 来 自 巴 菲 特 的 两 位 副 手 —— 康 姆 斯 （ Todd Combs ） 或 韦 施 勒 （ Ted Weschler）。目前，二人对伯克希尔规模达3000亿美元的股票投资组合的影响力正不断提升。不 过，从持仓规模来看，这一投资大概率得到了巴菲特的认可。巴菲特将于今年年底卸任伯克希尔首席 执行官（CEO）一职。此前，伯克希尔多项偏向科技领域 ...

来源：@究竟视频微博 【#谷歌成今年最火科技七巨头#】#谷歌盘中一度大涨超5%# 上周五晚些时候发布的一份证券申报文件 显示，在巴菲特时代即将落幕之际，伯克希尔哈撒韦公司在截至9月30日的季度里开辟了新领域：首次 买入谷歌。受此提振，这家搜索引擎巨头周一盘中一度大涨超5%，与其他科技巨头的走势形成鲜明对 比，市场的焦点也转向了可能在本周发布的新模型。 谷歌在周一的盘前交易中上涨超5%，年内涨幅较其他 "科技巨头"的领先优势进一步扩大。这得益于投 资者对其人工智能（AI）业务加速推进的认可，以及其云计算业务盈利能力的快速提升。谷歌云 （Google Cloud）曾一度拖累公司整体利润率，如今其营收增长已成为公司核心盈利驱动力之一。 ...

上周五晚些时候发布的一份证券申报文件显示，在巴菲特时代即将落幕之际，伯克希尔哈撒韦公司在截 至9月30日的季度里开辟了新领域：首次买入谷歌。受此提振，这家搜索引擎巨头周一盘中一度大涨超 5%，与其他科技巨头的走势形成鲜明对比，市场的焦点也转向了可能在本周发布的新模型。 新目标 在本月初公布的财报中，伯克希尔哈撒韦三季度的投资组合再次显示出谨慎态度。其现金储备达到3817 亿美元，再创历史新高，连续第12个季度减持美股，并继续在回购问题上态度冷淡。 在14日盘后揭晓的13F报告中，伯克希尔如外界预测那样减持了苹果和美国银行两大重仓股，并在达美 乐披萨、保险公司丘博集团（Chubb ）和住宅建筑商 D.R.霍顿上进行了调仓。令投资者感到意外的 是，截至第三季度末，伯克希尔新持有近1800万股谷歌股票，一举成为第十大重仓股。 对谷歌的投资很可能来自巴菲特的两位副手 ——康姆斯（Todd Combs）或韦施勒（Ted Weschler）。目 前，二人对伯克希尔规模达3000亿美元的股票投资组合的影响力正不断提升。不过，从持仓规模来看， 这一投资大概率得到了巴菲特的认可。巴菲特将于今年年底卸任伯克希尔首席执行官（CEO ...