Photographer: Akos Stiller/Bloomberg Gold and silver slumped as traders booked profit following a powerful year-end rally that sent both metals to record highs, with thin market liquidity exacerbating the price swings. Spot gold fell as much as 5%, marking the biggest intraday drop since Oct. 21 and the second time this year the precious metal plunged that much in one day. Silver tumbled 11% in its biggest intraday decline since September 2020. Both metals posted a sharp retreat from fresh all-time highs ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - On December 10, the main contract of Shanghai gold futures closed up 0.26% to 956.4 yuan/gram, and the main contract of Shanghai silver futures closed up 5.44% to 14,737 yuan/kilogram [5]. - Gold prices are maintaining high - level fluctuations as the market has fully priced in interest - rate cuts and there is uncertainty about the future path. Silver has risen significantly again due to the resonance of its "macro - industrial" dual attributes under the uncertain supply tightness. Both London spot silver and Shanghai silver futures have reached new historical highs [5]. - In the future, gold prices will remain high, and silver will show strong resilience due to the imbalance in supply - demand structure and overseas delivery risks. However, investors should be cautious of short - term sharp fluctuations in the silver market and control their positions [5]. - In the long - term, factors such as the Fed's ongoing interest - rate cut cycle, global geopolitical uncertainties, unsustainable US debt, increased great - power competition, and continued central - bank gold purchases will likely push up the long - term center of gold prices. Long - term investors are recommended to buy on dips [5]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Price Tracking - **Gold and Silver Prices on December 10, 2025**: London gold spot was at $4,206.15/ounce, London silver spot at $61.34/ounce, COMEX gold at $4,234.20/ounce, COMEX silver at $61.88/ounce, AU2602 at 956.4 yuan/gram, AG2602 at 14,373 yuan/kilogram, AU (T + D) at 951.2 yuan/gram, and AG (T + D) at 14,351 yuan/kilogram. Compared with December 9, 2025, the price increases were 0.6%, 5.8%, 0.6%, 6.0%, 0.5%, 5.6%, 0.5%, and 5.5% respectively [3]. - **Price Spreads and Ratios on December 10, 2025**: The gold ID - SHFE active price spread was - 5.2 yuan/gram, the silver ID - SHFE active price spread was - 22 yuan/kilogram, the gold domestic - foreign (TD - London) spread was - 5.60 yuan/gram, the silver domestic - foreign (TD - London) spread was - 1,254 yuan/kilogram, the SHFE gold - silver main ratio was 66.54, the COMEX gold - silver main ratio was 68.43, AU2604 - 2602 was 2.06 yuan/gram, and AG2604 - 2602 was - 1 yuan/kilogram. Compared with December 9, 2025, the changes were 8.1%, 340.0%, 22.6%, 8.7%, - 4.8%, - 5.0%, - 9.6%, and - 150.0% respectively [3]. 3.2 Position Data - **On December 9, 2025**: Gold ETF - SPDR was 1,047.97 tons, silver ETF - SLV was 15,973.1589 tons, COMEX gold non - commercial long positions were 256,572 contracts, non - commercial short positions were 54,265 contracts, non - commercial net long positions were 202,307 contracts, COMEX silver non - commercial long positions were 54,166 contracts, non - commercial short positions were 20,945 contracts, and non - commercial net long positions were 33,221 contracts. Compared with December 8, 2025, the changes were - 0.11%, 0.53%, - 3.66%, - 11.97%, - 1.15%, - 3.20%, 11.17%, and - 10.50% respectively [3]. 3.3 Inventory Data - **On December 10, 2025**: SHFE gold inventory was 91,299 kilograms (unchanged from December 9, 2025), SHFE silver inventory was 741,845 kilograms (up 3.35% from December 9, 2025). On December 9, 2025, COMEX gold inventory was 36,099,219 fine ounces (down 0.31% from December 8, 2025), and COMEX silver inventory was 455,821,771 fine ounces (down 0.07% from December 8, 2025) [3]. 3.4 Other Market Data - **On December 10, 2025**: The 2 - year US Treasury yield was 3.61%, the 10 - year US Treasury yield was 4.18%, NYMEX crude oil was 16.93, the US dollar index was 99.24, VIX was 58.39, the S&P 500 was 6,840.51, and the US dollar/Chinese yuan central parity rate was 7.08. Compared with December 9, 2025, the changes were 0.24%, 1.62%, - 0.09%, 1.12%, 0.14%, - 0.78%, and - 0.03% respectively [4].

longest win streak since August of 2020. You all remember that was the pandemic. We were out, you know, toilet paper, everything was kind of flying around and transports really took off.What situation are we seeing right now that would lead to that same kind of a streak. So, it's not the demand side. The demand side hasn't kicked in yet.When we came out of CO, it was stuff. We all wanted stuff, more things. Right now, we're not seeing things move. We're actually seeing capacity start to come out.So, we're f ...

Group 1: Market Overview - The storage market continues to experience a supply-demand imbalance, leading to price increases across various products [1][2] - The significant rise in storage prices is impacting the entire supply chain of consumer electronics, including smartphones, computers, electric vehicles, and servers [1] - Market transaction volumes are declining due to widespread price hikes and supply constraints, resulting in a sluggish overall order situation [1] Group 2: Product-Specific Insights - DRAM prices are experiencing substantial increases, with spot prices showing significant volatility and active transactions [1][6] - SSD prices are also on the rise, with lead times extending and a phenomenon of "price without market" emerging due to high prices [3][6] - Flash Wafer market prices have doubled, with a notable 38% increase in 64G TLC prices, driven by strong demand and limited supply [8][9] Group 3: Market Dynamics - The current storage market is expected to maintain an upward trend in the short term, with supply-demand conflicts unlikely to ease [2][8] - OEM pricing for DRAM and SSD products has shown increases ranging from 1% to 6% across various capacities [4][5][7] - The USB market is also seeing price increases, but demand remains weak, leading to reduced transaction volumes [10]

Core Insights - The oil industry is currently facing challenges, leading to significant capital spending cuts and job reductions among major companies like TotalEnergies, Chevron, and ConocoPhillips [1][2] Group 1: Industry Spending and Employment - TotalEnergies plans to reduce its capital spending by $1 billion annually over the next four years [1] - Chevron and ConocoPhillips, along with other companies in the industry, are cutting jobs [1] Group 2: Market Dynamics - The oil industry has become more cautious due to government policies favoring energy transition and natural price fluctuations, with forecasts predicting lower international oil prices for the next year [2] - There is an imbalance between supply and demand, characterized by lukewarm demand and excess supply, largely attributed to OPEC's actions [3][4] Group 3: Production Trends - U.S. shale production is reportedly shrinking, moving away from aggressive drilling strategies, while OPEC is not meeting its production increase targets [4][5] - Despite expectations of oversupply, U.S. shale producers are refraining from drilling due to unfavorable prices, and OPEC is unable to flood the market as anticipated [5] Group 4: Demand Insights - Recent data indicates healthy demand for oil, with Russian oil flows reaching a 16-month high, suggesting that demand trends may not be as weak as previously forecasted [5][6] - Factors such as electric vehicle sales and U.S. tariffs have not significantly impacted oil demand in major markets like India and China [6]

Core Viewpoint - The airline industry is experiencing a supply-demand imbalance, benefiting FTAI Aviation, a company specializing in aircraft maintenance, repair, and leasing [1][4]. Company Overview - FTAI Aviation is based in New York City and operates in two main divisions: asset ownership and leasing, and manufacturing, refurbishing, and repairing aircraft engines and components [1]. - The company focuses on two key engines: the CFM56 and the V2500, which are widely used in commercial aviation [3]. Industry Challenges - The airline industry faces significant equipment supply issues, including a shortage of aircraft and components due to pandemic-related production halts, a lack of skilled labor, and an aging fleet requiring repairs or replacements [4]. - Aircraft engine maintenance and repair has become a critical bottleneck, with turnaround times increasing by 35% for legacy engines and 150% for new engines, with peak issues expected by mid-2026 [5]. Financial Performance - FTAI's second-quarter results showed a 53% year-over-year revenue increase to $676 million, with earnings per share (EPS) of $1.57, a significant recovery from a loss of $2.26 the previous year [9]. - The company's stock price has risen 47% since the July 29 results announcement, with a 19% increase this year and over 1,100% growth in the past five years [9]. Future Outlook - Wall Street forecasts a 47% revenue increase for FTAI this year to $2.55 billion, with further growth expected to $3.03 billion in 2026. EPS is projected to rise 160% this year to $4.75 and another 41% next year to $6.70 [10]. - The market cap of FTAI is approximately $17.2 billion, with a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of about 22, indicating it is relatively inexpensive compared to peers [11]. Demand Dynamics - Demand for air travel has returned to pre-pandemic levels and is expected to continue growing rapidly through 2040, further supporting FTAI's business model [11]. - FTAI is well-positioned to capitalize on ongoing supply chain issues in the aviation industry, as it provides essential engines and parts that are currently in high demand [12].

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Net sales increased by 4% to $1.183 billion compared to $1.14 billion in the prior year [14] - Gross profit rose by 6% to $120 million from $113 million in the prior year, with gross margin expanding to 10.2% from 9.9% [6][15] - Net income attributable to Fresh Del Monte was $57 million, up from $54 million in the prior year, with adjusted diluted earnings per share increasing to $1.23 from $1.16 [18] Business Segment Data and Key Metrics Changes - Fresh and value-added products segment net sales increased by 4% to $723 million, driven by higher selling prices in the pineapple product line [19] - Banana segment net sales also rose by 4% to $410 million, primarily due to higher selling prices across regions [21] - Other products and services segment saw a slight decrease in net sales to $50 million from $51 million, attributed to lower selling prices in poultry and meats [22] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Consumer spending on tropical fruit has risen by 58% since February 2017, indicating a growing market relevance [8] - The company launched PingGlow in the UAE, marking its first sustained market entry for a variety in the Middle East [8] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is transitioning from legacy break box shipping vessels to container vessels in the Asia Pacific region to enhance operational efficiency [27] - There is a focus on expanding production capacity in Costa Rica and other regions, including Brazil and Africa, to meet growing demand [36][38] Management Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management anticipates a continued shortage of pineapple supply into 2026, with strong market dynamics expected to persist [35][36] - The company remains confident in its ability to deliver on full-year objectives, expecting net sales growth of 2% year-over-year [28] Other Important Information - The company declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.30 per share, equating to an annualized yield of 3.3% based on current share price [26] - The effective tax rate for the second quarter was 20%, reflecting increased earnings in higher tax jurisdictions [23] Q&A Session Summary Question: Update on pineapple supply and growth expectations - Management expects a continued shortage of supply through the end of the year and into next year, with strong market conditions for premium varieties [35][36] Question: Distribution growth for Pink Glow - Supply is currently constrained due to regulatory issues, but management anticipates increased acreage and supply in about 18 months [40][41] Question: Demand sources for fresh cut fruit - Demand is primarily coming from retail and convenience stores, with growth observed globally, not just in North America [45][46] Question: Impact of black sigatoka on banana supply - Costa Rica's export volume is down over 20% due to black sigatoka disease, which is expected to worsen [52] Question: Foreign exchange impact on revenue - The strengthening of the euro, British pound, and Japanese yen positively impacted net sales, while the Costa Rican colon presented headwinds [62][65]

Core Viewpoint - OPEC+ has unexpectedly increased production for two consecutive months, leading to a significant drop in international oil prices, with Brent crude falling over 20% this year [1][3][11] Group 1: Production Increase - OPEC+, led by Saudi Arabia, agreed to increase production by 411,000 barrels per day in June, nearly three times higher than Goldman Sachs' initial forecast of 140,000 barrels per day [5] - Over the past two months, OPEC+ will add more than 800,000 barrels per day to the market, severely impacting an already fragile market [5][8] - The decision to increase production reflects a strategic shift within OPEC+, prioritizing production discipline over price stability [6][10] Group 2: Market Reaction - On Monday, U.S. crude futures fell by 4.27%, dropping to $56.30 per barrel, while Brent crude dropped 3.9% to $59.09 per barrel [2][3] - The increase in supply has caught the market off guard, especially following a similar production increase announced just a month prior [8] - The oil market is facing downward pressure due to a mismatch between supply and demand, exacerbated by concerns over economic recession stemming from U.S. tariff policies [9] Group 3: Compliance and Challenges - OPEC+ is facing compliance issues, particularly from Iraq and Kazakhstan, which have not adhered to production agreements [8] - The financial breakeven points for member countries vary significantly, with Russia needing $62 per barrel and Saudi Arabia requiring $81, creating a high-stakes "game of chicken" among members [9] - The long-term threats to OPEC+ include the resurgence of U.S. shale oil production and the global energy transition, which could further complicate their strategy [10] Group 4: Future Outlook - Analysts are revising their forecasts downward due to the unexpected supply surge, with Goldman Sachs' previous price predictions for U.S. and Brent crude potentially facing adjustments [11] - Oilfield service companies like Baker Hughes anticipate a reduction in exploration and production investments due to the oversupply outlook and geopolitical uncertainties [12] - The current data indicates a bearish outlook, with OPEC+ prioritizing short-term supply over price stability, suggesting further price declines may occur before compliance improves or geopolitical risks diminish [13][14]

Core Viewpoint - OPEC+ has significantly increased oil production for two consecutive months, leading to a sharp decline in international oil prices, with U.S. crude futures dropping over 4% and Brent crude falling nearly 4% [1][2]. Group 1: OPEC+ Production Decisions - OPEC+, led by Saudi Arabia, agreed to increase production by 411,000 barrels per day in June, nearly three times higher than Goldman Sachs' initial forecast of 140,000 barrels per day [5]. - The total additional supply from OPEC+ over the two months exceeds 800,000 barrels per day, posing a severe impact on an already fragile market [5]. - This decision marks a strategic shift for OPEC+, prioritizing production discipline over price stability, indicating a planned long-term low oil price environment [5][6]. Group 2: Market Reactions and Predictions - The unexpected increase in supply has led analysts to revise their forecasts downward, as the market was caught off guard by the consecutive production hikes [6]. - The increase in production is attributed to non-compliance by key member countries, particularly Iraq and Kazakhstan, raising concerns about OPEC+'s ability to maintain discipline [6]. - The disparity in fiscal breakeven points among member countries, with Russia needing $62 per barrel and Saudi Arabia requiring $81, creates a high-risk scenario for compliance [6]. Group 3: Economic and Geopolitical Factors - The oil market is facing downward pressure due to concerns over economic recession triggered by U.S. tariff policies, which may lead to reduced oil demand [6]. - The potential resurgence of U.S. shale oil production in response to falling prices poses a long-term threat to OPEC+, complicating their strategy of prioritizing compliance over price stability [6][7]. - Geopolitical factors, including trade tensions and sanctions on Russian oil, may also influence supply dynamics, while resilient demand could help absorb excess supply if the global economy avoids recession [8].

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company's annual module shipments increased by 18.3% year-over-year to approximately 93 gigawatts, ranking first in the industry [9] - Gross margin dropped to 10.9% in 2024 from 16% in 2023, while net income fell by 98% year-over-year to $7.9 million [10] - In Q4, gross margin was 3.6%, down from 15.7% in Q3, with a net loss of $64.9 million compared to net income of $3.2 million in Q3 [11][33] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total module shipments for Q4 were approximately 25.2 gigawatts, with over 50% shipped to domestic markets where prices were lower [11] - The proportion of higher-priced overseas orders declined sequentially, leading to decreased average selling price (ASP) and profits [11] - The N-type Tiger Neo series accounted for over 95% of shipments in Q4 and nearly 90% for the full year [28] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Newly added installations in China reached 277 gigawatts in 2024, a 28% increase year-over-year, setting a record high [12] - China's module exports reached 236 gigawatts in 2024, an increase of 13% year-over-year [12] - The global PV industry maintained fast growth momentum, with expectations for newly added installations in China to be around 270 gigawatts or higher in 2025 [29] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is committed to maintaining technology leadership through continuous R&D investments and mass production of innovative products [15] - A cautious approach to capacity expansion is being taken, with no new capacity added aside from upgrades to TOPCon technology [24] - The company aims to optimize its asset and liability structure while maintaining healthy cash reserves to strengthen resilience to risks [25][32] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that the industry may have entered a deep adjustment period, with companies lacking competitive costs likely to be phased out [21] - In the medium to long term, renewable energy is expected to supply half of global electricity demand by 2030, highlighting the growth potential of the PV industry [22] - The company expects module shipments to be between 16 to 18 gigawatts for Q1 2025 and between 85 and 100 gigawatts for the full year [24] Other Important Information - The company received a BBB rating for the second consecutive year in the MSCI ESG ratings, reflecting its commitment to ESG [18] - A strong patent portfolio was built, including 462 granted TOPCon patents, making the company a leading holder of such patents globally [19] - The company is actively responding to patent infringement claims from competitors, asserting that the allegations lack merit [20] Q&A Session Summary Question: Impact of increased import tariffs from Vietnam on margins and pricing strategy - Management indicated that they have prepared solutions for AD/CVD tariffs and do not expect a significant negative impact on margins [45] Question: Expectations for U.S. shipments and potential pullback due to higher tariffs - Management stated it is too early to define shipment volumes to the U.S. due to uncertain policies [48] Question: Q1 margin expectations - Management expects Q1 margins to be lower than Q4 due to lower prices from previous orders [58] Question: CapEx expectations for 2025 - Management expects CapEx to be much lower than the previous year, approximately RMB4 billion to RMB5 billion [65] Question: Updates on Saudi capacity and operational timeline - The Saudi Super Factory is in early preparation, with ground-breaking targeted by the end of Q2 and full operational status expected by the end of next year [82] Question: Market share expectations for 2025 - Management anticipates a slight decrease in market share this year due to industry consolidation but expects to be in a good position for future growth [89]