Trefis Reinforced Value (RV) Portfolio

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The Trade Desk: Buy TTD Stock Now At $65?
Forbes· 2025-08-08 09:25
Getty Images The Trade Desk stock fell by 29% in after-hours trading, despite reporting strong quarterly results. This was mainly attributed to a slight miss on the Q3 guidance and the unforeseen departure of Laura Schenkein as CFO of the company, which has unsettled investors. This drop follows a significant rally, with TTD shares climbing nearly 20% over the past thirty days after the company's addition to the S&P 500 index. In light of its recent sell-off, a pivotal question is whether TTD stock is worth ...
Buy, Sell, Or Hold Tripadvisor Stock?
Forbes· 2025-07-03 15:35
Core Insights - Tripadvisor's stock surged 8% following the announcement of activist investor Starboard Value acquiring a stake exceeding 9% in the company, which led to a further 7% increase in after-hours trading [2][3] - Despite the stock's recent performance, Tripadvisor has faced significant challenges, including a 15% decline in shares over the past year and ongoing strategic considerations since early 2024 [3][9] - Tripadvisor's financial fundamentals reveal concerning metrics, including a price-to-free cash flow (P/FCF) ratio of 61.3, significantly higher than the S&P 500's 20.9, and a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 41.1 compared to the benchmark's 26.9 [4][9] Financial Performance - Revenue growth has stalled, with only a 1.4% increase over the past 12 months and a mere 0.8% year-over-year growth in the most recent quarter, raising concerns about future growth sustainability [5][9] - Tripadvisor's operating margin is at 6.5%, free cash flow margin at 5.8%, and net margin at 2.9%, all significantly below the S&P 500 averages [5][9] Financial Health - The company has $1.3 billion in debt, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 68.9%, which is considerably higher than the S&P 500 average of 19.4% [7] - However, Tripadvisor maintains a strong cash position of $1.2 billion, representing 42% of total assets, providing a safety net against its elevated debt levels [7] Market Resilience - Historically, Tripadvisor has underperformed during market downturns, with a 60.5% decline during the 2022 selloff and a 53.9% drop during the COVID-19 pandemic, indicating limited resilience in volatile conditions [8][9] - The stock currently trades around $15, less than a quarter of its 2021 peak, highlighting ongoing challenges in recovering from past performance [8] Investment Outlook - Tripadvisor's growth momentum is diminishing, profitability remains weak, and the current valuation appears disconnected from its fundamental performance, making it an undesirable investment for long-term investors [9][10]