Front and center this hour, stocks searching for direction following the Fed meeting and that uncertainty over Iran. We'll trade all of it with the investment committee. Joining me for the hour today, Josh Brown, Stephanie Link, Jenny Harrington, Jason Snipe, our senior economics correspondent, Steve Leeman is with us as well as we check the markets here.We are mixed across the board. So, we're thinking about the Middle East. We're apparently two weeks away from any kind of decision there according to the p ...

If market volatility picks up, should you buy the dips. And if so, which stocks. Let's bring in BD8 Capital Partners, Barbara Duran.Barb, what's on your list. Well, there's a number. This is all I'm looking for names in this uncertain environment.I mean, you heard the Fed today. Things look good right now, but going forward, we're still not sure what the impact will be of tariffs in terms of they but they raised their forecast on inflation, lowered it on GDP. So, what are the kind of names that you want to ...

aside, let's talk about expectations because again, no cut right now. But we knew that not one person thought there was going to be a cut today. But when I'm looking at the end of this year into next year, the expectations, the dot plots are all over the place.Where do you and RBC fall. >> Well, we expect the fed to cut later this year, but look at the balance of shifts in these forecasts. We're going from stagflation light to stagflation moderate.And this is going to be the story for the US economy. Inflat ...

Krishna Guha and former Fed vice chair Alan Blinder. Also President Trump just speaking about the fed chair, what he'd like to see moments ago. Have a look.>> Reappointed him. I don't know why that is, but I guess maybe he was a Democrat. You know I got great advice from Mnuchin on this one a great advice.But he's done a poor job. So we have no inflation. We have only success.And I'd like to see interest rates get down now. Biden did a lot of very short term debt. So we have short term debt coming due.And b ...

Joining me now is Matt Stucky. He's the chief portfolio manager for equities at Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management. And Matt, you know, markets seem to be taking a breather today after yesterday's bounceback.How do you think investors are processing the latest risks here. Not just tariffs and inflation, but now that escalating geopolitical headwinds are on the table, that's another risk that we're going to have to deal with. Well, good morning, Ally.Thanks for having me back. Um yeah, there is no shortag ...

Interest Rate and Monetary Policy - The market anticipates the Federal Reserve (Fed) to closely monitor the path of interest rates, with discussions potentially shifting towards rate cuts [1] - Rising oil prices and existing tariffs may deter the Fed from implementing rate cuts in the immediate term [4][5] - Dovish signals from the Fed, particularly indications of rate cuts towards the end of the year, could positively influence market sentiment [4] - The industry suggests that delaying rate cuts could lead to an economic slowdown, emphasizing the need for timely intervention [6] Geopolitical Risks and Economic Impact - Geopolitical events, specifically conflicts in Israel and Iran, pose significant risks to the economy [4] - Increased oil prices, influenced by geopolitical tensions, present challenges for the Fed's monetary policy [3][5] Defense Sector Analysis - RTX (Raytheon Technologies) is highlighted as a potentially favorable stock pick due to ongoing geopolitical conflicts, trading at a 17 PE multiple and offering a 2% dividend [7] - RTX's focus on aerospace, defense, and missiles positions it as a key player in the current environment, with the ability to sell to countries outside the US [8] - Global defense spending reached $27 trillion last year, marking a 10% increase, the largest since the Cold War [9] - The defense sector, including names like Northrup Grumman and Halliburton, is generally experiencing growth, but investors should carefully assess multiples to avoid overpaying [10][11]

Market Trends & Geopolitical Risks - Investors are closely monitoring Iran and Israel's trading strikes, alongside the Federal Reserve's meeting [1] - Markets appear inclined to shrug off risks related to geopolitical or trade tensions [2] - There's no shortage of a bid from the international community [9][10] Interest Rates & Debt Market - Volatility in rates is a significant concern [2] - US debt level is a frequent topic of discussion on Wall Street [1] - Credit markets have been exceptionally resilient, with both high yield and investment grade retracing losses [3] - Credit market activity is incredibly resilient, potentially leading to a record first half, absent the Covid acceleration of debt [4] Inflation & Economic Growth - Increased inflation is expected to be a focus in the Fed's projections and press release, with a potential downgrade of growth and one rate cut pushed into next year [13] - Tariffs are expected to increase inflation, with businesses potentially passing through about 50% of tariff costs to consumers [17] - The Fed may adopt a more hawkish bias than the market anticipates, potentially pushing one rate cut into next year [20][21] Fed Policy - The Fed is in a position to wait for more data, given strong labor markets and favorable inflation numbers [10] - The Fed aims to temper expectations of a "Fed put," viewing the inflationary impact as a one-off event that will be resolved by the fall of 2026 [19]

Fed's Monetary Policy Stance - The Fed is likely to maintain a vigilant stance and signal patience before cutting rates, potentially disappointing some [2][3] - The Fed is in a "wait and see" mode, hoping for further disinflation but remaining vigilant [2][3] - The Fed is unlikely to cut rates in the upcoming meetings [2] - The Fed needs to be cautious this year, given the impact of oil prices on headline inflation and the need to prevent spillover into core inflation [6] Inflation and Rate Cut Considerations - Cutting rates is not feasible with inflation at 3.8% [3] - The Fed is on guard against signaling a rush to cut rates, considering problematic short-term inflation expectations [4] - A "good rate cut" (due to easing inflation rather than economic weakness) would be desirable [7] - Achieving a "good rate cut" this year is unlikely due to persistent risks; greater clarity and continued disinflation are needed, possibly next year [8] - The Fed should not overemphasize recent good inflation news, as past patterns have been unfavorable [10] - The Fed was late in addressing the previous inflation surge [11] External Factors and Uncertainty - Geopolitical risks, such as the Straits of Hormuz situation, need to be considered [4][5] - Uncertainties surrounding tariffs, oil impact, and immigration reform add complexity to the Fed's decision-making [8]

Group 1 - The overall market indices and sectors did not experience significant downturns, indicating a stable market environment [1] - The focus is on buying hard assets and stocks that are breaking out of a base, rather than those that are declining [2][3] - Intel Inc. is highlighted as a stock with potential for growth, suggesting it is not too late to invest [4][5] Group 2 - Intel has established a solid base since October/November 2024, indicating a foundation for potential growth [6] - The daily chart shows that Intel is currently in an accumulation phase, with strong momentum and leadership [7][8] - For further growth, Intel must close above the 50-week moving average and surpass the highest weekly close since November, specifically over 26.25 [9][10][11] - If these conditions are met, Intel could potentially reach prices of 32 and then 40.00 [12]