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特朗普“大而美”法案落地:中国经济如何应对
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2025-07-08 10:26
当地时间7月4日,美国总统特朗普签署"大而美"税收和支出法案。美国国会众议院7月3日下午以218票 赞成、214票反对的表决结果通过了总统特朗普推动的"大而美"法案。 "大而美"法案是特朗普2025年初重返白宫后推出的标志性立法议程。该法案主要内容包括延长特朗普在 其第一个任期内于2017年通过的企业和个人减税措施,让小费和加班工资收入免于纳税等,其核心条款 是降低企业税。 美国国内担忧该法案将进一步加剧美国财政赤字与债务风险。对于法案的批评主要在于美国没有控制财 政扩张的冲动,在结构上也不利于缩小贫富差距等,对于美元资产的长期信心有负面影响。这对于稳慎 推进人民币国际化,提供了一定的历史机遇,但是根本上还是取决于中美经济实力的比拼。 "大而美"法案签署通过后,会给中国经济带来哪些影响? 中国银河(601881)证券首席宏观分析师张迪认为,从经济层面来看,减税对于美国经济形成一定利 好,有助于延缓美国经济衰退预期,美国经济景气度恢复将从一定程度上为特朗普政府赢得一些谈判筹 码;从贸易层面来看,"大而美"法案涉及取消全球范围内小额包裹免税权,进一步增加小额交易的摩擦 成本,800美元以下的小额包裹通过出海、转口 ...
跨境物流,虚拟仓是什么意思
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-08 08:32
虚拟仓的流程相对简单,但具高效性。首先,卖家不需要提前备货到海外仓,而是在系统中提前设定不同地区的库存信息。当某个目标国家或地区产生订单 时,系统会根据需求从国内仓库调度货物,并通过专业的专线物流进行运输。这些物流合作商会通过清关流程,将货物顺利送到目标国家。 与此同时,虚拟仓系统会实时同步"已发货"状态,确保买家能够及时查看到物流信息。并且物流信息是显示在当地发货的,这不仅能够提高买家的购物体 验,还能帮助卖家在订单管理上更为精确。 在跨境电商的发展中,物流和仓储一直是卖家面临的重要挑战之一。尤其对于部分中小型卖家而言,提前备货到海外仓库并非一个高效且可行的方案。这 时,"虚拟仓"这一新兴概念便应运而生,成为解决库存管理、降低资金压力和库存风险的一个创新方案。本文将深入探讨虚拟仓的运作模式、优势以及适用 场景,帮助跨境电商卖家更好地理解这一物流解决方案。 虚拟仓的定义及运作模式 虚拟仓(Virtual Warehouse)指的是一种基于信息化系统的仓储管理方式,不需要将货物实际存放在海外仓库,而是通过系统"预设"不同地区的库存信息。 在订单产生后,系统会根据目标国家或地区的需求,调度国内仓库的库存,通过专线 ...
河南郑州:外贸增速居中部城市首位
Core Insights - Zhengzhou's foreign trade achieved a total import and export value of 228.57 billion yuan in the first five months of this year, marking a year-on-year growth of 40.8%, ranking first among central cities, national central cities, and fourth among provincial capitals nationwide [1] Group 1: Trade Performance - The main drivers of Zhengzhou's foreign trade growth are electromechanical products and high-tech products, with electromechanical product exports reaching 125.27 billion yuan, up 76.3% year-on-year, and high-tech product exports at 100.77 billion yuan, up 92.9% [1] - Electric vehicle exports saw a remarkable increase of 243.6% year-on-year, becoming a new highlight in foreign trade growth [1] - The import of high-end products is also on the rise, with electromechanical products and high-tech products accounting for 82.9% and 69.2% of total imports, respectively, indicating strong demand for industrial upgrading and technological innovation [1] Group 2: Market Diversification - Zhengzhou has established trade relations with 226 countries and regions globally, with the EU, ASEAN, the US, Japan, India, and South Korea being the main trading partners, collectively accounting for 55.8% of the city's total foreign trade [1] - Trade growth with markets such as Brazil, Malaysia, and Germany has been significant, further enhancing Zhengzhou's resilience against external risks [1] Group 3: Logistics and Infrastructure - Zhengzhou's efficient logistics system is a significant advantage for its foreign trade development, leveraging multiple transportation modes including air, water, and road to create convenient international trade channels [2] - In the first five months, air transport accounted for 143.91 billion yuan in import and export goods, a year-on-year increase of 56.3%, representing 63% of the city's total foreign trade [2] - The Zhengzhou Airport Economic Zone has improved customs efficiency through a multi-modal transport system, facilitating the rapid development of new business models such as cross-border e-commerce [2] Group 4: Future Outlook - Experts attribute Zhengzhou's rapid foreign trade growth to dual drivers of industrial upgrading and policy support, indicating a shift towards high value-added industries [2] - The Zhengzhou Municipal Bureau of Commerce aims to optimize the foreign trade structure, targeting over 6,000 enterprises with import and export achievements by the end of the year, while maintaining a high-tech product export ratio of over 60% [2]
商贸零售行业7月投资策略暨二季报前瞻:积极把握兼具业绩确定性及成长性的新消费标的
Guoxin Securities· 2025-07-07 14:40
Core Insights - The report maintains an "outperform" rating for the retail sector, anticipating that easing international conditions and domestic policy stimulus will positively influence the sector's performance [3][42]. - The overall retail sales in May 2025 reached 4.13 trillion, growing by 6.4% year-on-year, with goods retail sales increasing by 6.5% [11][14]. Beauty and Personal Care - In May 2025, the cosmetics retail sales grew by 4.4%, with high online penetration leading to diminishing promotional effects. However, leading domestic brands are expected to outperform the market due to the trend of domestic product substitution [11][12]. - The competitive landscape is intensifying, with rising sales expense ratios expected to pressure profit margins for some brands, although top players with strong product innovation may still achieve robust growth [11][12]. Gold and Jewelry - The gold and jewelry sector saw a significant year-on-year growth of 21.8% in May 2025, benefiting from a low base effect from the previous year. Products that appeal to younger consumers are expected to drive higher growth rates [11][12]. Supermarkets and Department Stores - From January to May 2025, department store sales slightly increased by 1.3%, while supermarket sales grew by 5.7%. Companies that adapt to the current value-for-money consumption trend through supply chain upgrades are expected to perform better [12][14]. Cross-Border E-commerce - The second quarter is expected to face short-term performance pressures due to external environmental challenges. However, leading platform companies are anticipated to demonstrate strong resilience in the medium to long term due to flexible tariff responses and solid product capabilities [12][14]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends several companies across different sectors, including: - Beauty and Personal Care: Recommended companies include 毛戈平, 丸美生物, and 登康口腔, which are expected to benefit from domestic product substitution and channel optimization [3][42]. - Gold and Jewelry: Companies like 老铺黄金 and 潮宏基 are highlighted for their potential to achieve accelerated growth due to favorable market conditions [3][42]. - Cross-Border E-commerce: Recommended companies include 小商品城 and 安克创新, which are positioned to capitalize on improving trade conditions [3][42]. - Retail: Companies such as 名创优品 and 重庆百货 are suggested for their low valuation and potential for improvement [3][42].
TikTok Shop抢滩日本 ,一场跨境电商的“反内卷”突围战|「出海参考」
Tai Mei Ti A P P· 2025-07-07 13:26
Core Insights - TikTok Shop has officially launched in Japan, integrating e-commerce features within its existing app, allowing users to purchase products through shopping videos and live streams, covering various categories such as cosmetics, clothing, and home appliances [2][3] - Japan's e-commerce market is projected to reach $191.9 billion in 2024, with an annual growth rate of 8.4%, making it the third-largest e-commerce market after China and the U.S. [2] - The entry of TikTok Shop into Japan signifies a strategic move to tap into a high-potential market, amidst increasing competition from established players like Rakuten, Amazon Japan, and emerging platforms like Shein and Temu [2][3][10] Market Potential - Japan's e-commerce market is considered a "rich mine" with significant growth potential, as the current B2C e-commerce penetration is below 10%, compared to nearly 50% in China [4] - The average order value in Japan is approximately 5,000 yen (around 230 RMB), which is higher than in Southeast Asia, and the average return rate is only 5%-10%, providing a favorable environment for sellers [4][6] Challenges - Japan's mature commercial environment presents high entry barriers due to strict regulations, including product certification standards and tax compliance requirements [5][8] - Japanese consumers have high expectations for product quality and reliability, which may require TikTok Shop to adapt its strategies from its Southeast Asian operations, focusing more on quality and brand building [7][9] Competitive Landscape - The Japanese e-commerce market is dominated by Rakuten, Amazon Japan, and Yahoo! Shopping, which collectively hold over 70% market share, with Rakuten alone accounting for nearly one-third [9] - New entrants like Shein and Temu are leveraging unique strategies, such as Shein's fast supply chain and Temu's competitive pricing, to capture market share [10][11] Strategic Considerations - TikTok Shop must explore its differentiation advantages, particularly its social attributes, to engage younger consumers who are increasingly shopping through social media [11] - The platform's success will depend on its ability to balance global strategies with local market needs, focusing on how to appeal to the more affluent 35+ demographic while maintaining its core younger user base [12]
武汉流星汇聚:挂牌上海新四板,赋能跨境电商中小卖家出海
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-07 09:45
成立于2019年的武汉流星汇聚,拥有一支经验丰富的运营团队,能够精准把握行业趋势,为企业的稳健发展提供 有力支撑。公司精心打造了五对一运营教学体系,为新手卖家提供全方位、个性化的指导,帮助他们快速掌握跨 境电商运营技巧。此外,公司构建的一站式卖家孵化平台,涵盖了店铺开通、产品选品、订单发货、售后服务等 关键环节,大幅降低了行业准入门槛,吸引了众多创业者加入跨境电商领域。 2025年4月21日,武汉流星汇聚成功挂牌上海股权交易中心新四板,股权代码212795。这一重要里程碑不仅彰显了 公司的实力,也体现了市场对其发展前景的认可。新四板作为资本市场的重要平台,为中小企业提供了融资和发 展的机会,武汉流星汇聚的挂牌将进一步增强其品牌影响力,助力企业迈向更高的发展阶段。 在全球化和数字化快速发展的时代背景下,跨境电商已成为国际贸易的重要组成部分,不仅促进了各国经济的互 联互通,还推动了全球供应链的优化与升级。作为经济增长的重要引擎,跨境电商在促进就业和提升生活水平方 面发挥着积极作用。2025世界跨境电商发展大会在河北廊坊举行,围绕"构建全球营销服务体系赋能产业带出 海"的主题,全球行业领袖、专家学者与企业代表展开深 ...
金砖聚“侨”力 海外华侨华人热议金砖合作提质升级
Group 1 - The BRICS cooperation mechanism has expanded, with Indonesia officially joining as a member in January 2023, and ten other countries becoming partner nations, which has generated significant interest among overseas Chinese communities [1][2] - Overseas Chinese in Indonesia have reported tangible benefits from BRICS membership, such as the ability to conduct business transactions in RMB and reduced cross-border transaction costs by approximately 30% [2] - The BRICS mechanism has facilitated faster project implementation in Indonesia, including the joint feasibility study for the Jakarta-Bandung high-speed rail extension [2] Group 2 - Thailand's participation in the BRICS partnership has enhanced interactions between Thailand and China, leading to increased investment opportunities and job creation for Thai youth [3] - Chinese enterprises have shown interest in Thailand's potential in new energy sectors, with a recent delegation visiting to explore investment opportunities [3] - The BRICS mechanism has improved the efficiency of business operations, including faster visa processing and logistics clearance for Thai-Chinese business interactions [3] Group 3 - The BRICS summit in Brazil attracted thousands of participants, highlighting Brazil's focus on green transformation and the interest of Chinese companies in renewable energy and smart grid solutions [4] - Chinese enterprises are providing reliable technology and cost-effective solutions to support Brazil's green development, filling market gaps [4] - The expanding BRICS cooperation offers overseas Chinese more opportunities to engage in various sectors, including digital economy, green technology, and cultural education [4] Group 4 - Overseas Chinese are actively participating in BRICS cooperation by enhancing local business operations, such as developing Indonesian language customer service systems [5][6] - The BRICS framework allows overseas Chinese to engage more directly in project bidding and partnerships, increasing their involvement in local economies [6] - Initiatives like the "BRICS Entrepreneurs Matching Week" are being organized to connect young entrepreneurs and investors from different countries [6] Group 5 - The BRICS mechanism is seen as a platform for civil society and youth engagement, with calls for establishing open digital economy cooperation and joint financing for green transitions [8][9] - There is a strong desire among overseas Chinese to enhance cooperation in key areas such as food security, energy transition, and digital technology [9] - Cultural exchanges, such as performances by Chinese artists in Brazil, are viewed as vital for fostering mutual understanding and cooperation among BRICS nations [9]
贵州以“绿色”为纽带深化与国际友城合作
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-07-07 01:57
Group 1 - The 2025 Ecological Civilization Guiyang International Forum focused on "deepening local friendly cooperation and promoting green development for mutual benefit" [1] - Seven pairs of provincial and municipal friendly city agreements were signed during the forum, including agreements between Guizhou Province and Liberia's Monrovia City, as well as intentions with Mozambique's Gaza Province and Papua New Guinea's Milne Bay Province [1] - Guizhou Province aims to transform its ecological advantages into development momentum, showcasing its green development practices to the world through international friendly cities [1] Group 2 - The Governor of Milne Bay Province, Gordon Wesley, presented a specific cooperation list that includes trade of specialty agricultural products, sustainable fisheries management, and eco-cultural tourism [2] - The forum launched the "Study in Guizhou" project to attract international youth from friendly cities to study in Guizhou, fostering future cooperation [2] - The "Friendly City Shopping and Travel" cross-border e-commerce project was announced to facilitate the flow of Guizhou's ecological agricultural products and handicrafts to the world, while also allowing quality goods from friendly cities to enter the Chinese market [2]
“太湖水”交融“天山雪”硕果累累
Su Zhou Ri Bao· 2025-07-07 00:41
Group 1: Support and Collaboration - Suzhou has been providing targeted support to regions in Xinjiang, including Horgos, Gongliu, and Atushi, since 2010, enhancing cooperation in various fields [1][2] - The financial commitment includes 7.35 million yuan allocated for 24 technology innovation projects in Xinjiang, which has led to an additional 16.2 million yuan in enterprise matching investments [1] Group 2: Industrial Development - The "Horgos Comprehensive Smart Energy Project," recommended by the Suzhou working group, was recognized as an excellent entrepreneurial project, showcasing the effectiveness of industrial aid [2] - Suzhou's working group has successfully attracted influential projects to Horgos, significantly contributing to the rapid development of local industries such as foreign trade and cross-border e-commerce [2] Group 3: Medical Assistance - A significant medical achievement was made with the implantation of a wireless pacemaker in a 71-year-old patient in Gongliu County, addressing a critical health issue and filling a local technical gap [3][4] - The medical team, led by expert Li Haigang, utilized innovative techniques to perform the surgery, which was crucial given the patient's complex medical history [3][4] Group 4: Cultural and Economic Integration - The establishment of the "Atushi Mulberry Fig Cultural Tourism Scenic Area" has transformed local businesses, increasing the number of shops from over 30 in 2020 to 246 by 2024, with collective income reaching over 1.4 million yuan [5] - The integration of agriculture, culture, and tourism around the mulberry fig industry has led to a significant economic uplift for the local community [5] Group 5: Youth Exchange and Cultural Ties - The "Pomegranate Seed" summer camp initiative promotes youth exchange between Kunshan and Atushi, fostering cultural ties and enhancing ethnic unity [6]
亚马逊“海折节”盛启,能否重塑中国家庭跨境消费版图?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-06 19:56
Core Insights - Amazon China is launching a summer shopping festival called "Hai Zhe Jie" from July 8 to 12, featuring over 30,000 international brands and more than 2 million selected overseas products, aiming to create a unique summer promotion brand for Chinese consumers [1][3] Group 1: Event Overview - "Hai Zhe Jie" is designed to cater to the actual summer needs of Chinese consumers, differing from the holiday-focused "Black Friday" by emphasizing product selection and pricing strategies [3] - The event will showcase a variety of products, including tech innovations and trendy items, to meet diverse consumer demands and set trends [3] Group 2: Pricing and Logistics - The pricing strategy combines overseas discounts with local exclusive offers, providing a transparent shopping experience that enhances consumer satisfaction and loyalty [3][5] - Amazon has improved logistics efficiency, achieving "2-day delivery" from Ningbo bonded warehouse and offering 16-hour expedited customs clearance through SF International, aligning cross-border e-commerce logistics with domestic standards [5] Group 3: Market Positioning - Amazon is focusing on niche brands and series that remain underrepresented in the Chinese market, while also offering localized pricing to maintain a competitive edge against other cross-border shopping platforms [5] - The "import supermarket" feature during "Hai Zhe Jie" will include essential categories like maternal and infant products, food, and health supplements, allowing consumers to purchase high-quality imported goods at more affordable prices [5] Group 4: Technological Integration - Amazon utilizes big data and AI for product selection, enabling real-time trend capture from social media to match popular products with Chinese consumers [6] - The company is expanding its presence in lower-tier markets, with a notable increase in users from third and fourth-tier cities, driven by enhanced logistics coverage and the awakening of female consumers [6]