Group 1 - The core index, the CN Industrial Composite Index, has shown a significant increase of 5.77% over the past month, 11.65% over the past three months, and 6.12% year-to-date, reaching 2538.90 points [1] - The index is designed to reflect the overall performance of different industry securities from mainland Chinese enterprises, categorized according to the China Securities Index industry classification standards [1] - The top ten weighted stocks in the index include CATL (6.36%), China Railway Shanghai Group (1.49%), China State Construction Engineering (1.15%), and others, indicating a diverse representation of key sectors [1] Group 2 - The market capitalization distribution of the index shows that Shenzhen Stock Exchange accounts for 47.12%, Shanghai Stock Exchange for 44.98%, and other exchanges like Hong Kong and New York have smaller shares [2] - In terms of industry representation, the index is heavily weighted towards electric power equipment (29.21%) and machinery manufacturing (28.67%), with transportation and construction also holding significant portions [2] - The index samples are adjusted biannually, with changes implemented on the next trading day following the second Friday of June and December, ensuring the index remains relevant to current market conditions [3]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report - The international trade and monetary system restructuring and reserve diversification demand will continue to support the long - term bull market of gold, and Trump's new policies and economic situation will support the medium - term bull market. However, the high price and P/E ratio lead to increased volatility, and the impact of the US fiscal expansion bill and inflation on the Fed's interest - rate cut in the third quarter should be noted. It is recommended that investors take a long - position approach with medium - low positions, and short - thinking traders can consider "long gold, short silver" arbitrage opportunities [4][5]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 Precious Metals Market Quotes and Outlook - **Intraday Quotes**: Trump's criticism of Powell and the clarification of dismissal rumors, along with US PPI data, caused gold price fluctuations. Anti - involution expectations drove up silver prices. Gold's safe - haven demand is boosted, with London gold expected to oscillate between $3120 - 3500 per ounce before rising again. This week, focus on China's Q2 GDP, June economic data, and US June inflation and consumption data [4]. - **Domestic Precious Metals Quotes**: Shanghai Gold Index closed at 777.12, down 0.02%; Shanghai Silver Index closed at 9174, up 0.18%; Gold T + D closed at 770.80, down 0.18%; Silver T + D closed at 9113, up 0.04% [5]. - **Medium - term Quotes**: Since late April, London gold has been oscillating between $3100 - 3500 per ounce. International trade cooling and the US fiscal expansion bill weakened gold's demand, but Trump's new policies and geopolitical risks supported it. The gold - silver ratio has returned to pre - April levels. It is expected that London gold will continue to oscillate between $3120 - 3500 per ounce in the short term [5]. 3.2 Precious Metals Market - Related Charts - Multiple charts are provided, including Shanghai gold and silver futures indices, London gold and silver spot prices, Shanghai futures index basis to Shanghai Gold T + D, gold and silver ETF holdings, gold - silver ratio, and the correlation between London gold and other assets [7][9][11]. 3.3 Main Macroeconomic Events/Data - Trump said he doesn't plan to fire Powell but doesn't completely rule it out. Bloomberg's report of a possible dismissal caused market fluctuations [17]. - Trump mentioned maintaining Japan's tariff rates, being close to a trade deal with India, and the possibility of a deal with Europe, but it's too early to comment on the Canada deal [17]. - The EU is ready to impose tariffs worth 72 billion euros ($83.6 billion) on US goods if trade negotiations with the US fail [18]. - Canada will implement a tariff - quota system for countries with free - trade agreements (except the US) and impose a 25% additional tariff on steel imports containing Chinese - smelted and cast steel [18]. - US producer prices were unexpectedly flat in June, and weak service prices may create conditions for the Fed to cut interest rates later this year [18].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the reliability of brokerage recommendations, particularly focusing on GE Aerospace (GE), and emphasizes the importance of using these recommendations in conjunction with other analytical tools like the Zacks Rank for making informed investment decisions [1][5]. Brokerage Recommendations for GE - GE has an average brokerage recommendation (ABR) of 1.38, indicating a consensus between Strong Buy and Buy, based on recommendations from 21 brokerage firms [2][14]. - Out of the 21 recommendations, 16 are Strong Buy and 2 are Buy, which account for 76.2% and 9.5% of all recommendations respectively [2]. Limitations of Brokerage Recommendations - Solely relying on brokerage recommendations may not be advisable, as studies indicate they often fail to guide investors effectively towards stocks with high price appreciation potential [5][10]. - Analysts from brokerage firms tend to exhibit a strong positive bias in their ratings, issuing five "Strong Buy" recommendations for every "Strong Sell" [6][10]. Zacks Rank as an Alternative - The Zacks Rank, which classifies stocks into five groups based on earnings estimate revisions, is presented as a more reliable indicator of near-term price performance compared to ABR [8][11]. - The Zacks Rank is updated more frequently and reflects the latest earnings estimate revisions, making it a timely tool for predicting future price movements [12]. Current Earnings Estimates for GE - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for GE's earnings has increased by 0.8% over the past month to $5.55, indicating growing optimism among analysts regarding the company's earnings prospects [13]. - This increase in consensus estimates, along with other factors, has resulted in a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) for GE, suggesting a positive outlook for the stock [14].

Core Viewpoint - Northrop Grumman (NOC) is expected to report quarterly earnings of $6.75 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 6.1%, while revenues are anticipated to be $10.11 billion, showing a decrease of 1.1% compared to the previous year [1]. Earnings Estimates - Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised downward by 0.3%, indicating a collective reassessment by analysts [2]. - Changes in earnings estimates are crucial for predicting investor reactions, with empirical studies showing a strong correlation between earnings estimate revisions and short-term stock price performance [3]. Key Metrics Projections - Analysts project 'Sales- Mission Systems' to reach $2.90 billion, a change of +4.8% year-over-year [5]. - 'Sales- Aeronautics Systems' is expected to be $3.15 billion, indicating a +6.4% change from the prior year [5]. - 'Sales- Space Systems' is forecasted to be $2.70 billion, reflecting a significant decrease of -24.3% year-over-year [5]. - 'Sales- Defense Systems' is anticipated to reach $1.86 billion, showing a +23% increase from the previous year [6]. Operating Income Projections - 'Operating income (loss)- Defense Systems' is expected to be $183.70 million, down from $204.00 million reported in the same quarter last year [6]. - 'Operating income (loss)- Mission Systems' is projected at $421.42 million, up from $361.00 million in the prior year [7]. - 'Operating income (loss)- Space Systems' is estimated to be $283.42 million, down from $324.00 million year-over-year [7]. - 'Operating income (loss)- Aeronautics Systems' is expected to reach $301.27 million, slightly up from $295.00 million in the same quarter last year [8]. - The consensus for 'Segment operating income adjustment- FAS/CAS operating adjustment' is $65.27 million, compared to $6.00 million in the previous year [8]. Stock Performance - Northrop Grumman shares have returned +5.1% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +4.2% change [8].

Core Viewpoint - The CEO of General Electric Aviation believes that global aircraft takeoff numbers will achieve low single-digit percentage growth this year [1] Summary by Relevant Categories Company Insights - General Electric Aviation's CEO expresses confidence in the growth of aircraft takeoff numbers, indicating a positive outlook for the aviation sector [1] Industry Trends - The aviation industry is expected to see low single-digit percentage growth in aircraft takeoff numbers, reflecting a gradual recovery and increasing demand for air travel [1]

Group 1 - The CEO of General Electric Aviation stated that the company cannot fully offset the pressure from tariffs on its own [1] - The company is currently in communication with airlines regarding the tariff impacts [1]

Group 1 - General Electric's aviation business raised its profit forecast for 2025, leading to a pre-market stock price increase of over 2% [1]

Core Insights - The aerospace and defense industry is experiencing unprecedented development opportunities, driven by national security needs and technological advancements [1][2] - China's rapid progress in the aerospace sector is attributed to significant government investment in technological innovation and a robust manufacturing supply chain [1] - The shift in focus from quantity expansion to quality improvement in the aerospace sector indicates a maturation of the industry [2] Industry Analysis - The defense budget is steadily increasing, and the military reform benefits are being realized, leading to a clear upward trend in the aerospace industry [2] - China's comprehensive strength in the aerospace field is now at an advanced global level, making it a key area for long-term investment [2] - The integration of military and civilian technologies is enhancing the profitability of private enterprises in the aerospace sector, making them more attractive for investment [2] Investment Opportunities - Ordinary investors are encouraged to focus on the aerospace and defense sectors due to their high certainty and long product life cycles [2] - Investment tools like the 华夏航空航天ETF (Fund Code: 159227) are recommended for a steady and long-term investment approach in this sector [2]

Group 1 - The low-altitude economy sector experienced a strong upward trend, with Zhonghua Rock Soil hitting the daily limit and leading the gains among related stocks [1] - A significant international order was signed between UAE's Autocraft and China's Shiji Technology, involving a procurement agreement worth up to $1 billion for 350 E20 eVTOL electric vertical takeoff and landing aircraft [1] - This order marks a milestone in the development of China's eVTOL industry, being the largest single eVTOL procurement order received by a Chinese company to date [1] Group 2 - Zhonghua Rock Soil is expected to report a net loss of 150 million to 190 million yuan for the first half of 2025, a reduction from a loss of 259 million yuan in the same period last year, attributed to a significant decrease in accounts receivable and reduced credit impairment losses [2] - The company has outlined its strategic focus for the next three years on engineering construction and the low-altitude economy, planning to expand into environmental projects while ensuring stable growth in traditional engineering businesses [2] - The large procurement agreement is expected to inject strong momentum into the development of China's eVTOL industry and create positive market expectations for related concept stocks, with ongoing policy support likely to provide more growth opportunities in this emerging field [2]

Core Viewpoint - The company has decided to terminate the implementation of the 2022 Restricted Stock Incentive Plan due to significant changes in the internal and external environment, which have affected the market expectations and conditions that the performance assessment indicators were based on [5][6][7]. Summary by Sections Approval Procedures - The company has followed the necessary approval procedures for the 2022 Restricted Stock Incentive Plan, including independent opinions from directors and legal opinions from law firms [1][2][3]. Reasons for Termination - The decision to terminate the incentive plan is based on the inability to meet the original performance assessment indicators due to changes in customer demand and market conditions, which no longer reflect the current operational situation [5][6][7]. Impact and Future Arrangements - The termination of the incentive plan will not adversely affect the company's daily operations or financial status, and the company plans to optimize its compensation system and performance assessment to motivate its key personnel [6][7][8]. Opinions from Committees - The Supervisory Board, Compensation and Assessment Committee, and Independent Directors have all agreed that continuing the 2022 plan would not achieve the intended motivational effects and that terminating it aligns with the company's strategic development needs [7][8][9]. Legal Opinions - Legal counsel has confirmed that the termination and cancellation of the stock are in compliance with relevant laws and regulations, and the matter will require approval from the shareholders' meeting [8][9].