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Wall Street cheers bad news on jobs, sending stocks higher and betting that a soft labor market will force Powell’s hand in December
Fortune· 2025-11-05 17:32
Market Performance - Stocks rose on Wall Street, with the S&P 500 increasing by 0.5%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising by 62 points (0.1%), and the Nasdaq composite up by 0.8% [1] - The gains were driven by big technology stocks, with Nvidia rising by 1.6% and Alphabet increasing by 2.4% [2] Company Earnings - McDonald's shares rose by 2% following the return of its popular Snack Wraps, contributing positively to sales in Q3 [3] - International Flavors & Fragrances saw a 4.7% increase in stock price after exceeding quarterly profit forecasts [3] - Axon Enterprise's stock fell by 11.9% due to weaker profit forecasts than expected [3] - Live Nation Entertainment's shares dropped by 7.8% after its results did not meet analysts' expectations [3] Economic Indicators - A monthly ADP report indicated that private payrolls rose more than expected in October, providing insight into the job market [5] - The services sector expanded more than anticipated in October, although employment within that sector was still contracting [5] - The economic growth in October persisted despite the government shutdown, as noted by Comerica Bank's chief economist [6] Federal Reserve Outlook - The Federal Reserve is concerned about the weaker job market, which has influenced its decision to cut benchmark rates twice this year [7] - There is a mixed outlook regarding future rate cuts, with a 65% chance of a December rate cut now forecasted, down from 90% prior to the last cut [8] Bond Market - Treasury yields rose, with the 10-year Treasury yield increasing to 4.15% from 4.09% and the two-year Treasury yield rising to 3.62% from 3.58% [9]
Yum! Brands, Inc. (NYSE:YUM) Stock Update: Barclays Maintains Overweight Rating
Financial Modeling Prep· 2025-11-05 17:12
Core Insights - Yum! Brands, Inc. is a major player in the fast-food industry, owning chains like KFC, Pizza Hut, and Taco Bell, and competes with McDonald's and Domino's [1] - Barclays has maintained an "Overweight" rating for Yum! Brands, raising its price target from $163 to $175, indicating optimism about the company's future [2][5] - The stock price was $149.55 at the time of the announcement, with a recent increase of 7.30%, translating to a rise of $10.17 [4] Trading Activity - There has been a significant surge in options trading activity, with 10,299 call options acquired, marking an increase of 1,178% compared to the usual daily volume of 806 call options, suggesting strong investor interest [2][5] - Yum! Brands' stock has fluctuated between a low of $143.14 and a high of $149.91 on the day of the report, with a market capitalization of approximately $41.51 billion and a trading volume of 5.60 million shares [4] Insider Activity - Recent insider activity includes CEO David W. Gibbs selling 7,176 shares at an average price of $149.80, totaling around $1.07 million, while still holding 102,893 shares valued at approximately $15.41 million, reflecting a 6.52% decrease in his ownership [3] - CEO Scott Mezvinsky also sold 275 shares on October 1st, indicating some insider selling activity [3][5]
Strong Private Payrolls for October
ZACKS· 2025-11-05 17:06
Labor Market Insights - The October ADP private-sector payroll report indicates an addition of +42K new jobs, surpassing expectations by +20K and reversing the previous month's downward revision of -29K [2] - Despite this positive report, the American labor market shows signs of decline, with an average gain of only +29K new jobs over the last four months, a decrease from +53K and +197K in the previous two four-month periods [3] Job Growth by Sector - Goods-producing jobs increased by +9K, while services jobs rose by +33K, with large firms (over 500 employees) contributing +73K to the job growth, contrasting with negative growth in small and medium-sized companies [4] - The Trade/Transportation/Utilities sector led job growth with +47K, followed by Education/Healthcare at +26K, while Leisure/Hospitality and Professional/Business Services saw declines of -6K and -15K respectively [5] Wage Trends - Wage gains for job stayers averaged +4.5%, while job changers saw an increase of +6.7%, indicating a narrowing historical gap and suggesting less urgency for employees to seek new positions [6] Company Earnings Reports - McDonald's (MCD) reported earnings of $3.22 per share, missing estimates of $3.35, but same-store sales increased by +3.6%, leading to a +3% rise in pre-market trading [7] - Humana (HUM) exceeded earnings expectations with $3.24 per share, a +11.34% beat, and revenues of $32.65 billion, but lowered guidance caused shares to drop by -5.5% [8] - Aurora Cannabis (ACB) reported earnings of $0.09 per share, a +200% surprise compared to expectations, with record quarterly revenues of $70.5 million, up +15% year-over-year, resulting in a +9% increase in pre-market trading [9]
Semiconductor stocks erase $500B in value. Plus, what happens if Musk leaves Tesla?
Youtube· 2025-11-05 15:53
Market Overview - A significant selloff in the semiconductor sector has occurred, with a total of $500 billion wiped off the Philadelphia semiconductor index in just two days, raising concerns about growth rates [2][18]. - Despite strong earnings reports from companies like AMD, the market has reacted negatively, indicating a potential overvaluation of stocks [6][15]. Bank of America Insights - Bank of America held an investor day, outlining medium-term earnings per share (EPS) growth targets of 12% [4]. - CEO Brian Moynihan noted no noticeable impact on consumer spending due to the government shutdown, suggesting stability in their business operations [24]. Consumer Behavior Trends - There is a bifurcation in consumer spending, with low-income consumers pulling back significantly while high-income consumers continue to seek value [21][46]. - McDonald's has adapted by introducing more value options to attract consumers, indicating a shift in strategy to cater to changing consumer preferences [22]. Fast Food Industry Challenges - The fast food sector, particularly companies like Papa John's, is facing challenges due to declining same-store sales growth and increased competition from grocery stores offering ready-to-eat meals [40][46]. - Private equity interest in fast food chains is waning as low-income consumers reduce spending, leading to a shift towards more stable casual dining investments [41][46]. Federal Reserve and Economic Outlook - The Federal Reserve's credibility is under scrutiny as inflation expectations remain elevated, complicating the outlook for interest rate cuts [30][26]. - Market participants are cautious about the potential for a Santa Claus rally, with historical trends suggesting a strong November and December if the market ends October positively [16][18].
Dow Surges 100 Points; McDonald's Posts Downbeat Earnings
Benzinga· 2025-11-05 15:19
U.S. stocks traded higher this morning, with the Dow Jones index gaining around 100 points on Wednesday.Following the market opening Wednesday, the Dow traded up 0.21% to 47,186.17 while the NASDAQ gained 0.41% to 23,444.53. The S&P 500 also rose, gaining, 0.28% to 6,790.48.Check This Out: How To Earn $500 A Month From Qualcomm Stock Ahead Of Q4 EarningsvLeading and Lagging SectorsEnergy shares jumped by 0.6% on Wednesday.In trading on Wednesday, information technology stocks fell by 0.5%.Top HeadlineMcDona ...
Bitcoin ticks higher after falling below $100K, AMD stock falls despite earnings beat
Youtube· 2025-11-05 15:09
Group 1: Stock Market Overview - US stocks are experiencing a rebound after a significant tech sell-off that resulted in a loss of approximately $500 billion in market value from chip stocks [1][5] - Futures are slightly higher, indicating a modest opening in the green across major indexes [5][37] - The tech sector, particularly chip stocks, has faced pressure following earnings reports, leading to cautious investor sentiment regarding valuations [1][5] Group 2: AMD Performance - AMD reported strong third-quarter earnings, beating estimates across various revenue segments including data center, client, and gaming [3][7] - Despite the positive results, AMD's stock fell as Wall Street had high expectations that were not fully met [7][8] - The company raised its revenue guidance for Q4, but investors were anticipating immediate revenue impacts from recent deals with OpenAI and Oracle, which will not be reflected until later [9] Group 3: Bitcoin Market Dynamics - Bitcoin has dropped below $100,000 for the first time since June, down over 20% from its record high reached a month ago [2][22] - Analysts attribute the decline to "whale selling," with long-term holders selling approximately 400,000 Bitcoin in the past month [23][24] - The market is experiencing volatility, and there are concerns about whether it has reached a capitulation point or if further declines are possible [25][27] Group 4: Consumer Sector Insights - McDonald's reported strong sales growth, driven by the successful reintroduction of the snack wrap, with same-store sales increasing for the second consecutive quarter [14][15] - The consumer landscape is showing a K-shaped recovery, with lower-income consumers facing challenges while higher-income consumers remain resilient [16][17] - Cava's same-store sales growth has slowed, and the company has lowered its guidance for the year, indicating pressure on younger consumers [19][20] Group 5: Company-Specific Updates - Novo Nordisk is cutting growth expectations for its obesity and diabetes treatments due to intensified competition, marking the fourth forecast reduction this year [33] - IBM plans to cut thousands of jobs as it shifts focus to higher growth software and services, despite positive investor sentiment towards its software business [34] - Pinterest shares have declined following a weaker-than-expected revenue outlook, raising concerns about its advertising business growth [35]
US Stock Market Navigates Mixed Premarket Amid AI Valuation Concerns and Key Economic Data
Stock Market News· 2025-11-05 14:07
Core Insights - The U.S. stock market is experiencing mixed premarket trading as investors react to a stronger-than-expected private sector employment report while remaining cautious about high valuations in AI-related stocks [1][3]. Premarket Activity and Futures Movements - U.S. stock index futures are mixed, with S&P 500 futures up approximately 0.2%, Nasdaq 100 futures gaining around 0.2% to 0.24%, and Dow Jones Industrial Average futures climbing roughly 0.19% to 0.2% [2]. - This slight rebound follows earlier declines, indicating fluctuating sentiment ahead of the market open [2]. Employment Data Impact - The October U.S. private sector employment data from ADP showed a gain of 42,000 private payrolls, reversing a 32,000 decline from September, which provides optimism about the labor market [3]. Major Market Indexes Performance - On Tuesday, all three major U.S. stock indexes closed lower, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average falling 0.5% (down 251.44 points to 47,085.24), the Nasdaq Composite dropping 2% (down 486.09 points to 23,348.64), and the S&P 500 sliding 1.2% (closing at 6,771.55) [4]. Valuation Concerns - The S&P 500's forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio has surpassed 23, nearing its highest level since 2000, raising fears of a market correction amid concentrated gains in select AI stocks [5]. Upcoming Economic Data - Key economic data releases include the October PMI Composite Final and the ISM Services Index, with expectations for the ISM Services Index to rise to 51.0 from 50.0 in September [7]. Earnings Releases - A busy earnings calendar includes reports from McDonald's, Qualcomm, Energy Transfer LP, Lucid, AMC Entertainment, Robinhood Markets, and Snap Inc., which will provide insights into corporate health and consumer spending trends [8]. Company-Specific Movements - Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) shares fell between 3.2% and nearly 5% despite reporting strong third-quarter results, indicating investor concerns over AI stock valuations [12]. - Super Micro Computer (SMCI) dropped approximately 9.6% after reporting first-quarter fiscal 2026 results that missed market expectations [13]. - Nvidia (NVDA) slipped between 1.2% and 4%, contributing to the tech sell-off, while Palantir Technologies (PLTR) fell 7.9% despite beating analysts' forecasts [14]. - Pinterest (PINS) plunged 18% to over 20% after missing earnings estimates, while McDonald's (MCD) slipped between 1% and 1.2% after its earnings fell short [15]. - Conversely, Leidos Holdings Inc. (LDOS) surged 3.4%, Yum! Brands Inc. (YUM) climbed 7.3%, Wingstop Inc. (WING) jumped 10.9%, and Marriott International Inc. (MAR) advanced 3.2% after reporting better-than-expected earnings [16].
US tech sell-off set to continue, China says it will remove tariffs on some US farm products
Youtube· 2025-11-05 13:37
[Music] Hello and welcome to Morning Brief Market Sunrise. I'm Raman Carmali live from Yahoo Finance Studios in London. It's Wednesday, 5th November.Coming up on the show, global stocks continue to slide after Wall Street's tech selloff. The current government shutdown is now the longest on record. And New York has a new mayor.>> This is not only how we stop Trump, it's how we stop the next one. So, Donald Trump, since I know you're watching, I have four words for you. Turn the volume up.[Music] Well, the f ...
McDonald’s earnings miss estimates, but sales are rising in ‘challenging environment’
CNBC Television· 2025-11-05 12:29
looking at uh third quarter results from McDonald's. Stock doesn't uh like it. It's weird because Kate, I think they missed on the bottom line of 322, but the the same store sales uh US were above expectations, weren't they.>> Yeah, that's right. So, this is a mixed third quarter here for McDonald's. Adjusted EPS, as you said, a miss 322 lower than estimates of $3.33%.Revenues 7.08% billion. That's just slightly below the 7.1% billion that was estimated by analysts. But as you said, same store sales a brigh ...
McDonald's Non-GAAP EPS of $3.22 misses by $0.11, revenue of $7.08B misses by $10M (NYSE:MCD)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-05 12:01
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