Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight," indicating that the industry is expected to outperform the overall market [9]. Core Insights - The photovoltaic glass industry is experiencing a recovery driven by self-discipline and policy guidance, with a significant reduction in inventory levels and an increase in prices since July 2025 [4]. - Major photovoltaic glass companies have shown signs of performance improvement in Q2 2025, with notable profit increases for companies like Fuyao and Qibin Group [4]. - The head companies in the photovoltaic glass sector are expected to demonstrate stronger resilience and profitability due to their scale, cost advantages, and technological strengths [4]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - As of September 19, 2025, the industry inventory level reached 1.3 million tons, marking a near one-year low [4]. - The operating rate of photovoltaic glass production was 51.59% as of the end of August 2025, with a production capacity of 129,000 tons per day [4]. Market Dynamics - The "anti-involution" actions within the industry have been crucial in driving price recovery, with several companies planning to collectively reduce production by 30% [4]. - The average prices for 3.2mm and 2.0mm single-layer coated glass have increased by 1.75 and 2.5 CNY per square meter, respectively, since early July 2025 [4]. Company Performance - Fuyao achieved a net profit of 155 million CNY in Q2 2025, a 46% increase quarter-on-quarter, with a gross margin improvement of approximately 5 percentage points to around 16.7% [4]. - Qibin Group reported a net profit of 420 million CNY in Q2 2025, a 14% year-on-year increase, with its photovoltaic glass business generating 3.2 billion CNY in revenue, up 11% year-on-year [4]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a positive outlook for leading companies like Fuyao and Qibin Group, anticipating a dual recovery in profitability and valuation as the industry stabilizes [4].

Report Summary 1. Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core View - As the National Day holiday approaches, the production and sales of the photovoltaic glass industry are weakening, and the price of photovoltaic glass before the holiday is expected to remain stable. Although the cost side has weakened and the profitability of the industry has improved, there are potential risks of increased supply and reduced demand. [1][2][3][7] 3. Section Summaries 3.1 Photovoltaic Glass Weekly Outlook - Supply: The supply side remained stable last week with no production line changes. The in - production capacity was 88,780 tons per day, and the capacity utilization rate was 68.52%, both remaining unchanged from the previous week. A 1,200 - ton - per - day production line is expected to be ignited this week. [1][7][11] - Demand: The production and sales of photovoltaic glass manufacturers showed signs of weakening last week. The previous supply - short situation has eased as downstream enterprises are preparing for the National Day holiday shutdown. [1][7][19] - Inventory: The overall decline in inventory continued to narrow last week, and the inventory of many enterprises remained stable. It is expected that the industry inventory will turn from decreasing to increasing this week due to the rising supply and expected reduction in orders. [1][7][22] - Cost and Profit: The profitability of the photovoltaic glass industry further improved last week due to the weakening cost side, with the current industry gross margin at about 3.03%. [2][7][25] 3.2 Domestic Photovoltaic Glass Industry Chain Data Overview - **Spot Price**: As of September 19, the mainstream price of 2.0mm coated photovoltaic glass was 13 yuan per square meter, and that of 3.2mm coated was 21 yuan per square meter, both remaining unchanged from the previous week. [8] - **Supply End**: The supply side was stable last week. The in - production capacity was 88,780 tons per day, and the capacity utilization rate was 68.52%, both unchanged. A 1,200 - ton - per - day production line is expected to be ignited this week. [11] - **Demand End**: The production and sales of manufacturers weakened last week. The previous supply - short situation was mainly due to unshipped August orders and remaining September orders, which has now eased as downstream prepares for the holiday. [19] - **Inventory End**: The overall decline in inventory narrowed last week, and many enterprises' inventory was stable. Inventory is expected to increase this week due to supply increase and order reduction. [22] - **Cost - Profit End**: The industry's profitability improved last week with a gross margin of about 3.03% due to weakening costs. [25] - **Trade End**: From January to July 2025, China's photovoltaic glass export volume increased by 13.8% compared with the same period in 2024, and the export end remains prosperous. [33]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the construction materials industry [2]. Core Insights - The construction materials sector is expected to benefit from price increases in cement and electronic fabrics, with significant opportunities in the African cement market [1][5]. - The report highlights a shift from "demand expansion" to "price elasticity" in the industry, driven by scarcity and high barriers to entry [5]. - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on high-quality companies within the sector, particularly those with strong brand recognition and operational leverage [5]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The total market capitalization of the construction materials industry is 874.92 billion yuan, with a circulating market value of 823.62 billion yuan [2]. - Key companies in the sector include Beixin Building Materials, Conch Cement, and China Jushi, all rated as "Buy" [4]. Market Trends - National cement production from January to August 2025 was 1.105 billion tons, a decrease of 4.8% year-on-year, with August production at 148 million tons, down 6.2% year-on-year [5]. - The report notes a price increase in cement in various regions, with Yunnan province planning to raise prices by 100 yuan/ton and Shaanxi province by 70 yuan/ton [5]. Company Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies like China National Materials and Huaxin Cement, which are expected to perform well due to their overseas growth and undervaluation [5]. - It also suggests monitoring the waterproofing industry, which is showing signs of recovery in demand and profitability [5]. Price Movements - The national cement market price increased by 0.5% week-on-week, with price hikes observed in regions such as Jiangxi, Guangxi, and Sichuan [33]. - The average cement shipment rate across key regions was approximately 48%, with a slight increase of 2 percentage points [33].

Core Viewpoint - The article provides an overview of the pricing trends for photovoltaic glass, highlighting the current market prices and their fluctuations, which are essential for understanding the industry's dynamics and potential investment opportunities [1]. Pricing Summary - The highest price for 2.0mm photovoltaic glass is 13 yuan per square meter, while the lowest is 12 yuan, resulting in an average price of 12.5 yuan per square meter with no price fluctuation reported [1]. - For 3.2mm photovoltaic glass, the highest price is 21 yuan per square meter, the lowest is 20 yuan, leading to an average price of 20.5 yuan per square meter, also with no price fluctuation reported [1]. - The prices mentioned are inclusive of tax and are based on the comparison of quotes from multiple photovoltaic glass manufacturers [1].

Core Viewpoint - The glass industry, particularly the photovoltaic glass sector, is experiencing a positive shift in supply and demand dynamics, leading to price increases and improved profitability for leading companies like Fuyao Glass [1] Industry Summary - In September, the price of 2.0mm photovoltaic glass increased by 2 yuan per square meter compared to early August, indicating better-than-expected supply-demand improvements and a decline in industry inventory days [1] - The photovoltaic glass industry is characterized by a favorable market structure, with Fuyao Glass expected to outperform the industry due to its leading position, potentially benefiting from a recovery in profitability as component production resumes [1] Company Summary - According to Changjiang Securities, Fuyao Glass is likely to be among the first to benefit from the recovery in profitability, especially if component production resumes, enhancing expectations for margin improvement [1] - CITIC Securities anticipates that due to previous production cuts, supply and demand have reached a near balance, and if the price increase for photovoltaic glass is implemented, the company could turn losses into profits [1] - The photovoltaic glass segment is noted for its high level of self-discipline within the supply chain, with a long-term expectation of dynamic balance in supply and demand [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the positive outlook for Fuyao Glass (06865), with its stock price increasing by 3.56% to HKD 12.21, and a trading volume of HKD 57.85 million [1] - Changjiang Securities reports that the price of 2.0mm photovoltaic glass has increased by 2 CNY per square meter compared to early August, driven by improved supply-demand dynamics and decreasing industry inventory days [1] - The photovoltaic glass industry is in a favorable position, with Fuyao Glass expected to outperform the industry due to its leading position, potentially benefiting from a recovery in profitability as component production resumes [1] Group 2 - CITIC Construction Investment anticipates that the supply-demand balance has been restored following previous production cuts, and if the price increase for photovoltaic glass in September is realized, the company could turn a profit [1] - The photovoltaic glass segment is characterized by high self-discipline within the photovoltaic supply chain, with expectations for long-term dynamic balance in supply and demand [1] - Market focus in the short term will be on the sustainability of the September price increase and the acceptance of this increase by downstream customers, as well as the resumption of production for photovoltaic glass [1]

Report Summary 1. Investment Rating No investment rating for the industry is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoint The current production and sales of photovoltaic glass are basically balanced, the decline in manufacturers' inventory continues to narrow, and the short - term price of photovoltaic glass is expected to remain stable [3][7]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Photovoltaic Glass Weekly Outlook - **Supply**: Last week, the industry supply increased slightly. A single kiln resumed production, with the in - production capacity increasing by 200 tons per day. Currently, the in - production capacity is 88,780 tons per day, and the capacity utilization rate is 68.52%, which is still at a low level. Supply is expected to remain stable next week [7][12]. - **Demand**: Recently, the domestic demand for photovoltaic glass has been positive. Some orders placed in August were not shipped, and there are remaining orders to be delivered in September, creating a short - term supply - demand imbalance. However, downstream orders are mostly placed, and production and sales are basically balanced. After the "stockpiling wave" of component manufacturers, downstream purchases are mainly based on rigid demand [7][21]. - **Inventory**: The overall decline in photovoltaic glass manufacturers' inventory continued to narrow last week. The decline was due to the uncertainty of component export tax - refund policies and high downstream component production schedules. As the "stockpiling wave" ends, the decline in inventory will further narrow, and the inventory is expected to change little this week [7][23]. - **Cost - profit**: The photovoltaic glass industry has turned a profit, and the profitability improved last week. The current industry gross profit margin is about 2.6% [7][27]. 3.2 Domestic Photovoltaic Glass Industry Chain Data Overview - **Spot Price**: As of September 12, the mainstream price of 2.0mm coated photovoltaic glass was 13 yuan per square meter, and that of 3.2mm coated was 21 yuan per square meter, both unchanged from last week. The market transactions were smooth, and some second - and third - tier component manufacturers were still rushing to buy [8]. - **Supply**: The in - production capacity increased by 200 tons per day last week. The current in - production capacity is 88,780 tons per day, and the capacity utilization rate is 68.52%, remaining at a low level. Supply is expected to be stable next week [12]. - **Demand**: The demand has been positive recently. Some August orders were not shipped, and there are September remaining orders. But downstream orders are mostly placed, and production and sales are balanced. After the "stockpiling wave", downstream purchases are based on rigid demand [21]. - **Inventory**: The decline in manufacturers' inventory continued to narrow last week. The reasons for the previous decline were the uncertainty of export tax - refund policies and high component production schedules. As the "stockpiling wave" ends, the inventory decline will narrow, and the inventory is expected to change little this week [23]. - **Cost - profit**: The industry has turned a profit, and the profitability improved last week. The current gross profit margin is about 2.6% [27]. - **Trade**: From January to July 2025, China's photovoltaic glass exports increased by 13.8% compared with the same period in 2024. The export market remains prosperous, and overseas installation demand is strong [33].

Summary of Qibin Group's Conference Call Industry and Company Overview - The conference call focuses on Qibin Group, a company in the photovoltaic glass industry, which has rapidly expanded its production capacity to 60%-70% of that of its competitor, Fuyao [2][6] - Qibin Group is positioned as the third-largest player in the photovoltaic glass sector, with a total production capacity of 11,800 tons across 9 production lines [3] Core Insights and Arguments - **Cost Control and Profit Margins**: Qibin Group has effectively controlled costs through large furnace technology and a high self-sufficiency rate in silica sand, narrowing the profit margin gap with Fuyao to approximately 0.4-0.5 yuan per bottle [2][3] - **Overseas Expansion Strategy**: Establishing overseas factories is a key strategy for enhancing competitiveness, allowing Qibin Group to reduce shipping costs and improve customer proximity, thereby optimizing the supply structure in Southeast Asia [2][5] - **Industry Trends**: The photovoltaic industry is experiencing a trend of "anti-involution," where companies focus on technological innovation and efficiency improvements to achieve sustainable growth [2][9] - **Supply Side Adjustments**: The photovoltaic glass industry is undergoing significant supply-side adjustments, with an expected capacity exit rate of 33.3% in the second half of 2024, indicating a mature response to market conditions [2][10] Additional Important Points - **Profitability Expectations**: Despite a reduction in single product profit margins, Qibin Group's cost control capabilities are superior to its peers, with float glass gross margins leading other listed companies by 10-15 yuan/ton [2][11] - **Raw Material Advantages**: Qibin Group has a self-owned sand mine with a self-use rate of over 70% for float glass, and it utilizes a cost-effective fuel mix to further reduce production costs [4][12] - **Market Demand Dynamics**: While the float glass market is currently facing limited demand growth, Qibin Group is more reliant on supply-side adjustments to manage market fluctuations [7][8] - **Long-term Growth Potential**: The company is expected to maintain strong growth in the photovoltaic glass sector, with ongoing capacity expansion and effective cost management strategies [6][15] - **Investment Logic**: The core investment rationale for Qibin Group centers on its growth potential in the photovoltaic sector, with a historical ability to maintain profitability even in challenging years [4][15] This summary encapsulates the key points discussed during the conference call, highlighting Qibin Group's competitive advantages, industry trends, and future growth prospects.

Market Overview - The US non-farm payroll data has been significantly revised downwards, leading to sustained expectations for interest rate cuts. The Hong Kong stock market has risen again, with the Hang Seng Index successfully breaking through the 26,000 mark, reaching a nearly four-year high. The index closed up 1.01% or 262.13 points at 26,200.26, with a total turnover of HKD 288.21 billion [1] Blue Chip Performance - Lenovo Group (00992) led the blue-chip stocks, rising 4.63% to HKD 11.31, contributing 5.88 points to the Hang Seng Index. Huatai Securities expects Lenovo to benefit from strong demand for AI products in the second half of the year, maintaining a "buy" rating with a target price of HKD 16 [2] - Other notable blue-chip performances include JD Logistics (02618) up 4.45%, Sun Hung Kai Properties (00016) up 4.28%, while Xinyi Solar (00968) and Xiaomi Group-W (01810) saw declines of 2.77% and 2.22% respectively [2] Sector Highlights - Large technology stocks performed well, with Bilibili rising over 7% and JD up over 3%. Cloud computing stocks also saw gains, with Kingsoft Cloud rising nearly 9% [3] - Oracle's cloud business reported a 28% year-on-year revenue growth, with cloud infrastructure revenue up 55%. The company expects cloud infrastructure revenue to reach USD 18 billion in FY2026, a 77% increase from FY2025 [4] Real Estate Sector - Hong Kong real estate stocks generally rose, with Sun Hung Kai Properties up 4.28% and Hang Lung Properties (00101) up 2.79% [4] - The Hong Kong government is set to release its 2025 policy address, with expectations of further tax cuts on residential properties and measures to attract more mainland visitors [5] Lithium Sector - Lithium stocks faced significant declines, with Ganfeng Lithium (01772) down 7.02% and Tianqi Lithium (09696) down 7.97%. The lithium carbonate main contract fell nearly 5% amid expectations of oversupply [6][5] Popular Stocks - Yunfeng Financial (00376) surged 27.83% after receiving approval to upgrade its securities license to offer virtual asset trading services [7] - Yaojie Ankang-B (02617) reached a new high, up 27.57%, following its inclusion in the Hong Kong Stock Connect program [8] - Longfor Group (03380) rose 9.47% after reaching a revised agreement with creditors regarding its offshore debt restructuring [9] - Shandong Molong (002490) (00568) increased by 7.92% due to rising oil prices amid geopolitical tensions in the Middle East [10]

Core Insights - The current supply and inventory levels in the photovoltaic glass industry are relatively low, indicating a potential for price and profit recovery [1] - There is a need to monitor the potential release of supply increments, as policies and various stakeholders are actively promoting the photovoltaic industry to avoid internal competition [1] - The expectation is for further policies related to capacity and price competition mechanisms to be introduced, which may benefit leading companies with scale and profit advantages [1]