Core Viewpoint - Deckers Outdoor has shown signs of recovery in fiscal Q1 2026, with significant revenue growth and improved earnings, despite challenges from tariffs and a decline in U.S. sales [1][3][6]. Financial Performance - Deckers reported a revenue growth of 17%, surpassing the analyst forecast of 9.2% [3] - Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) grew by 24%, reaching 93 cents, contrary to expectations of a 10% decline [3] - International revenue surged by 50%, driven by strong performance from HOKA and UGG brands, marking the fastest growth in six quarters [4] - U.S. sales, however, fell nearly 3% in a challenging consumer environment [4] Margins and Costs - Gross margin decreased by 110 basis points to 55.8%, while operating margin increased by 105 basis points to over 17.1% [5] - The company has not seen negative impacts from initial price increases implemented on July 1, indicating potential for maintaining demand despite higher prices [8] Market Conditions and Tariffs - The sentiment around Deckers has been affected by tariffs, with the U.S. tariffs on Vietnam currently at 20%, a significant reduction from previous proposals [6][7] - Management has expressed optimism that price increases have not adversely affected demand, which is a positive indicator for future performance [8] Sales Channels - Direct-to-consumer (DTC) sales showed minimal growth, while wholesale sales increased by 26.7%, suggesting a potential rebound in DTC sales in the future [9] Stock Valuation and Forecast - The current stock price is $112.43, with a 12-month price target of $137.50, indicating a potential upside of 22.30% [10][11] - The stock trades at a forward P/E multiple of 18x, which is approximately 26% below its three-year average of over 24x, suggesting undervaluation [10][11]

Core Viewpoint - Deckers Outdoor has shown resilience and potential for recovery despite recent stock struggles, presenting a buying opportunity for investors due to its strong brand performance and financial metrics. Group 1: Company Performance - Deckers Outdoor has returned nearly 10,000% since its IPO in 1993, driven by the success of Hoka and Ugg brands [1] - The company has achieved industry-leading gross margins approaching 60% [2] - Despite a strong first-quarter earnings report, shares are down 48% from their peak earlier this year due to concerns about slowing growth and tariffs [2] Group 2: Earnings and Guidance - The sell-off in stock price appears to be an overreaction, with overall revenue growth slowing to 6.5%, including 10% growth in Hoka and 3.6% growth in Ugg [5] - Deckers exceeded its first-quarter revenue guidance of $890 million to $910 million, reporting $964.5 million, with EPS of $0.93 surpassing the guidance of $0.62 to $0.67 [6] - Second-quarter guidance anticipates 7% revenue growth, with a range of $1.38 billion to $1.42 billion, and EPS of $1.50 to $1.55 [7] Group 3: Stock Valuation - Deckers is trading at a P/E ratio of 18, which is lower than many peers in the footwear and apparel sector and the S&P 500 at 28 [9] - The company reported 17% revenue growth in the first quarter, with 20% growth in Hoka and 19% in Ugg, indicating potential for higher growth than market expectations [10] - Deckers has a strong balance sheet with no debt and $1.7 billion in cash, representing about 10% of its market cap [10] Group 4: Share Buyback - The company has reduced its shares outstanding by nearly 4 million, or 2.5%, over the last four quarters, with 1.7 million shares bought back in the most recent quarter [11] - Deckers has $2.4 billion remaining under a share repurchase authorization, indicating confidence in its stock value [11] Group 5: International Market Strength - International sales accounted for nearly half of Deckers' revenue in the first quarter, growing 49.7% to $463.3 million [12] - Strong performance was noted in the Asia-Pacific and EMEA regions, with significant sales growth in China [13] - The new Hoka Arahi 8 model has achieved double-digit weekly sell-throughs in EMEA, indicating strong demand [13]

Core Insights - Crocs (CROX) is facing short-term challenges primarily due to the underperformance of its HEYDUDE brand and supply chain uncertainties linked to tariffs [1] - The company operates through two segments: HEYDUDE and the Crocs brand, with current investor concerns focused on declining sales [1] - There is a belief that the market is overly focused on short-term issues, potentially mispricing strong companies that have been negatively impacted by these challenges [1] Segment Analysis - **HEYDUDE Brand Performance** - The HEYDUDE brand is currently struggling, contributing to the overall challenges faced by Crocs [1] - **Supply Chain Issues** - Supply chain uncertainties are exacerbated by tariffs, affecting the company's operational efficiency and sales [1] - **Long-term Investment Perspective** - The company is viewed as having strong fundamentals, and there is an opportunity to uncover long-term value despite short-term headwinds [1]

Financial Performance - Deckers Outdoor shares surged after surpassing Wall Street estimates [1] Market Dynamics - Strong demand in international markets boosted the footwear company's results [1] - Monitor chart levels for Deckers Outdoor [1]

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Core Viewpoint - Deckers Outdoor exceeded expectations in its Q1 report, alleviating investor concerns about growth despite earlier stock declines due to tariff fears and weakening consumer sentiment [1][2]. Financial Performance - Revenue grew 17% to $964.5 million, surpassing the consensus estimate of $900.4 million [4]. - Hoka revenue increased by 19.8% to $653.1 million, while UGG sales rose 18.9% to $265.1 million [5]. - Wholesale revenue surged 26.7% to $652.4 million, and international sales jumped 49.7% to $463.3 million, driven by strong performance in China [6]. - Gross margin decreased from 56.9% to 55.8%, but operating income rose from $132.8 million to $165.3 million, with EPS increasing from $0.75 to $0.93, exceeding estimates of $0.68 [7]. Future Outlook - The company anticipates a $185 million increase in costs due to new tariffs, which could impact revenue by nearly 4% [8]. - For Q2, revenue is expected to be between $1.38 billion and $1.42 billion, reflecting a 7% increase at the midpoint, with EPS projected between $1.50 and $1.55 [9].

Group 1: Intel - Intel's stock fell more than 8% to $20.76 per share after a 3.5% decline on Thursday due to the announcement of a plan to cut 25,000 staff and scrap European projects as part of a turnaround strategy [2] Group 2: AEye - AEye's stock rose about 18% to $3.44 per share following a significant 160% surge on Thursday, attributed to the integration of its Apollo lidar units into Nvidia's Drive AGX platform, with second-quarter results expected next week [3] Group 3: Deckers Outdoor - Deckers Outdoor's stock increased over 12% to $118.19 per share after reporting better-than-expected second-quarter results, with earnings per share 44% higher than analysts' estimates [4][8] Group 4: UnitedHealth - UnitedHealth's stock decreased about 0.6% to $277.03 per share after a nearly 5% decline, following confirmation of a Department of Justice investigation into its Medicare billing practices, with potential Medicare fraud allegations reported [9] Group 5: AST SpaceMobile - AST SpaceMobile's stock dropped over 8% to $54.99 per share after a 2% gain on Thursday, following the announcement of a proposed private offering of $500 million in convertible senior notes [10]

Market Overview - The market opened mixed, with the Dow dropping -316 points (-0.70%) after a +500-point gain the previous day, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq saw modest increases of +0.07% and +0.18% respectively [1] - The small-cap Russell 2000 index fell -1.3% [1] Services & Manufacturing PMI - The S&P Services PMI for July was reported at 55.2, exceeding expectations of 53.2 and the previous month's 52.9, marking the highest level in 2025 [2] - In contrast, the S&P Manufacturing PMI fell to 49.5, below the anticipated 52.7 and the previous month's 52.9, indicating a decline in new orders for the first time this year [3] Earnings Results - Intel reported Q2 earnings with a loss of -$0.10 per share, missing the expected +$0.01, while revenues were $12.9 billion, surpassing the consensus of $11.87 billion [4] - Intel's guidance for Q3 includes revenue expectations of $12.6-13.6 billion but forecasts earnings of $0.00 per share, down from the expected 2 cents, and announced a further -15% workforce reduction [5] - Deckers Outdoor exceeded earnings expectations with 93 cents per share against estimates of 68 cents, and revenues of $965 million, a +17% increase year-over-year [6] - Despite a +20% surge in shares post-announcement, Deckers' stock is still down approximately -40% year-to-date [7] Upcoming Economic Indicators - Durable Goods Orders for June are anticipated to show a negative swing, with estimates at -11%, following erratic behavior influenced by tariff policies [8] - Q2 earnings reports are expected from Phillips 66 and AutoNation, with major companies like Microsoft, Apple, and Amazon set to report next week [9][10]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported total revenue of $965 million, a 17% increase compared to the previous year [8][31] - Diluted earnings per share rose 24% to $0.93 from $0.75 in the prior year [8][31] - Gross margin decreased to 55.8%, down 110 basis points from 56.9% last year [31] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - HOKA's global revenue increased 20% to $653 million, with wholesale up 30% and DTC up 3% [10][23] - UGG's global revenue rose 19% to $265 million, with wholesale increasing 30% while DTC decreased by 1% [23][24] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - International revenue for Deckers increased by 50%, significantly contributing to overall growth [8] - EMEA and China were the largest contributors to international growth for both HOKA and UGG [11][24] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company focuses on building premium brands through authenticity, innovation, and purpose [9] - HOKA aims to enhance its market presence through strategic retail expansions and improved consumer experiences [15][63] - UGG is leveraging its three sixty-five initiative to drive year-round sales, particularly in men's footwear and sandals [27] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in navigating macroeconomic uncertainties and emphasized the importance of brand strength [30][42] - The company is cautious about consumer reactions to price increases and tariffs but remains optimistic about brand momentum [42][66] Other Important Information - The company repurchased approximately $183 million worth of shares during the first quarter [35] - The company ended the quarter with $1.7 billion in cash and equivalents, with no outstanding borrowings [35] Q&A Session Summary Question: HOKA's second quarter guidance and inventory status - Management indicated that HOKA is expected to grow 10% in Q2, with improvements in both wholesale and DTC channels [48][50] - Inventory for older models like Bondi Eight and Clifton Nine is largely cleared, with positive performance for Arahi Eight [51] Question: DTC growth and retail strategy - Management confirmed expectations for balanced growth between wholesale and DTC, with improvements anticipated in the U.S. market [60][62] - The company plans to expand its retail footprint, with new stores opening in key international markets [63] Question: Price increase strategy - The company is implementing selective price increases, with some products seeing increases of around $5 [71][75] - Price adjustments will be evaluated based on tariff impacts and consumer response [75] Question: HOKA's international performance and growth drivers - International growth is driven by strong sell-through rates and new distribution partnerships [91] - Management remains optimistic about healthy order books for the upcoming seasons [92] Question: SG&A outlook and spending control - SG&A expenses are expected to increase due to investments in brand building and marketing [94] - The company will manage expenses efficiently while continuing to invest in growth initiatives [96]

Core Viewpoint - On Holding (ONON) is experiencing volatility, currently trading at $49.94, down 3.2% in the afternoon, with an 8.5% year-to-date deficit, but historical patterns suggest potential for recovery [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Since mid-June, ONON has faced resistance at $55, limiting breakout attempts and contributing to its year-to-date underperformance [1] - Historical data indicates that after similar market conditions, ONON has increased in value 75% of the time, averaging a 10.6% gain one month later [2] Group 2: Technical Indicators - ONON is currently within one standard deviation of the 80-day moving average, having spent 80% of the past two months above this average [2] - The stock's recent trading behavior suggests a potential upward movement if the historical trend continues [2] Group 3: Market Sentiment - Options traders exhibit extreme bearish sentiment, with a put/call open interest ratio of 1.66, placing it in the 99th percentile of the past year [4] - A reversal of this bearish sentiment could provide additional support for ONON's stock price [4]