Welcome back. Let's get to a mad dash with Jim. Let's cover one of the earnings movers this morning.We mentioned Dick Sporting Goods at the top of the show. Let's dig in a little bit. I mean, Jim, I'm looking at the fact that they raised their 25 guidance for comparable sales growth to a range of 3 and a half to 4% up from 2 to 3 and 1/2%.Why am I seeing the stock down. >> It's so interesting you say that because as soon as the numbers came out, I said, "Oh, dick should be up seven, eight bucks." David, it' ...

Core Insights - Amer Sports, Inc. reported stronger-than-expected third-quarter results, driven by strong performance in outdoor brands and effective cost management [1] - The company raised its 2025 GAAP earnings guidance to a range of 88 to 92 cents per share, exceeding analyst expectations [2] - Despite positive results, there are concerns regarding brand challenges in China and a cautious outlook for future performance [1][5] Financial Performance - The third-quarter adjusted earnings per share were 33 cents, surpassing the analyst consensus estimate of 25 cents [1] - Revenue exceeded forecasts, particularly in the Outdoor Performance segment, with notable contributions from the Salomon brand [3] - Comparable sales for the Arc'teryx brand increased by approximately 27% [3] Guidance and Outlook - The company raised its full-year 2025 revenue growth and EPS guidance, with initial 2026 revenue expectations positioned at the high end of long-term growth targets [4] - Analyst Brooke Roach noted that the fourth-quarter sales and EPS guidance appears modestly below current consensus [5] - Commentary during the upcoming conference call is expected to be critical for stock direction, especially regarding trends for Arc'teryx and performance in China [6] Market Reaction - Following the announcement, Amer Sports shares increased by 7.93%, reaching $33.19 [6]

Core Insights - Amer Sports reported a strong third quarter, with revenue soaring 30% and significant growth across all operating segments, leading to a 10% increase in stock price [1][5] - The company has raised its guidance for sales and profitability, now expecting at least 23% sales growth and improvements in gross and operating margins [3][4] - Popular brands like Salomon and Arc'teryx are driving sales and profitability, appealing to both professional athletes and outdoor enthusiasts [4][7] Financial Performance - Revenue increased by 30% in Q3, exceeding sales and margin expectations across all three operating segments [5] - The company has raised its revenue growth forecast to at least 20% for the year, with management now boosting this guidance further [3][4] - Earnings per share (EPS) have also seen a meaningful increase alongside the raised guidance for gross and operating margins [4] Market Reaction - Following the strong quarterly results, investors responded positively, driving Amer Sports' stock price up by as much as 10% [1] - After a previous decline of over 20% in stock price over the last three months, there has been a notable rebound as investors buy back in [5][7]

Core Insights - The Global Wellness Economy is projected to grow from $6.3 trillion to $9 trillion by 2028, indicating a significant trend towards health and wellness as a status symbol [1][10] - The running movement has evolved from solitary jogging in the 1970s to a social, digital, and data-driven activity, attracting diverse participants and leading to commercialization [2][3] Industry Trends - Technology is a key driver in the running boom, with brands like Garmin and Whoop gaining popularity for their advanced features such as AI coaching and recovery scores [2] - The use of activity-tracking apps has surged, with Strava reporting 135 million users in 2024, up from 120 million the previous year, and expanding through acquisitions to create a comprehensive training ecosystem [3] Social Dynamics - The modern running culture is increasingly social, with a 59% rise in running club participation and a notable number of Gen Z users meeting potential partners through fitness activities [6] - Creative initiatives like the "Friday Night Lights Run Club" are redefining social running experiences, blending fitness with entertainment [7] Market Competition - Traditional sportswear brands like Nike are losing market share due to a lack of innovation, with their global sports footwear market share declining from 28.8% in 2021 to 26.3% in 2024 [9] - Despite challenges, Nike's Q1 2026 earnings per share reached $0.49, exceeding forecasts by 81.48%, highlighting potential for recovery through strategic partnerships and athlete endorsements [9]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the performance of various sectors in the Chinese consumer market, particularly focusing on e-commerce platforms like Tmall, Taobao, and JD. The overall growth across most sectors is described as muted, with specific categories showing significant declines in year-over-year (YoY) growth rates [1][12]. Category Performance - **Supplements/Infant Milk Formula/Dairy**: - Supplements grew by 9% YoY, Infant Milk Formula (IMF) by 2%, and Dairy by 1% [1][12]. - **Declining Categories**: - Beer saw a decline of 19%, Beauty products declined by 9%, Small kitchen appliances by 7%, Sportswear by 6%, and Sports shoes by 4% YoY [1][12]. - **Flat Performance**: - Pet foods and Women's clothing remained flat YoY [1][12]. Brand Performance - **Domestic vs. MNC Brands in Cosmetics**: - Multinational Corporations (MNCs) outperformed local brands in October, attributed to easier bases and favorable platform support. Estee Lauder and Kose led with 33% and 32% YoY growth, respectively [2][29]. - Local brands like Mao Geping and Botanee grew by 33% and 11% YoY, while Proya and Giant saw declines of 24% and 25% YoY [2][28][29]. Sportswear Insights - Niche MNC brands continued to outperform larger brands, with product cycles playing a significant role in performance disparities. For instance, Adidas showed solid momentum, while Nike did not perform as well [3]. - Weather-sensitive brands like Bosideng and Uniqlo experienced growth due to colder weather in Northern China [3]. Sales Recognition Practices - The growth rates for October may be distorted due to sales recognition practices related to pre-sales and returns during the Double-11 shopping festival. A combined analysis of October and November data is recommended for a clearer picture [7]. Notable Brand Performers - **Outperforming Brands**: Lululemon, Adidas, Roborock, Pop Mart, and Maogeping [8]. - **Underperforming Brands**: QuadHA, Nutrilon, Fancl, Carlsberg, and Comfy [8]. Additional Insights - The report highlights the importance of omni-channel strategies being executed by brands, indicating that online sales may not fully reflect overall performance due to offline sales channels [3]. - The performance of various categories is further detailed in the exhibits, showing YoY trends and market share changes for key brands in the infant milk formula and supplements sectors [19][20][22][25]. Conclusion - The overall consumer market in China is experiencing stagnant growth with significant variances across categories and brands. MNCs are generally outperforming local brands, particularly in cosmetics, while certain sectors like sportswear are seeing a bifurcation in performance based on brand strategies and external factors like weather.

Company Overview - Disney operates as a multifaceted entertainment giant, with major divisions including Disney Experiences and Disney Entertainment, which encompass theme parks, resorts, film studios, and streaming services [1][2][3] - The company is valued at approximately $200 billion, making it a significant player in the entertainment industry [1] Financial Performance - In fiscal Q3 2025, Disney reported revenue of $23.7 billion, which was $103.23 million below expectations but represented a 2% year-over-year increase [7] - The non-GAAP EPS for the same quarter was $1.61, up from $1.39 year-over-year, exceeding estimates by 16 cents [7] - Disney Experiences led the company with an operating income of $2.5 billion, an increase of $294 million compared to the previous year [7] Analyst Insights - Wells Fargo analyst Steven Cahall highlights the growth and maturation of Disney's assets, predicting increased predictability in EPS growth and a potential rerating of the stock [8] - Cahall rates Disney shares as Overweight (Buy) with a price target of $159, suggesting a 43% upside potential [8] - The stock has a Strong Buy consensus rating based on 20 recent reviews, with 17 Buys and 3 Holds, and an average price target of $139.06, indicating a potential 25% gain in the next 12 months [8]

Core Insights - The "warm winter economy" is becoming increasingly integrated into daily life, with a focus on heating devices, nourishing foods, skincare, and winter sports [1] Heating Devices - New heating products have been launched, including compact desktop heaters with enclosed heating elements, upgraded water heating electric blankets with AI controls, and multifunctional heating tables that can serve various purposes [2][3] - The demand for heating devices has surged as winter temperatures drop, with significant sales increases reported for various products, including desktop heaters, oil-filled radiators, and water heating blankets [3] Nourishing and Health Products - The winter season sees a rise in demand for nourishing health products, with traditional items like donkey-hide gelatin and modern tech-enhanced products like electronic moxibustion gaining popularity among different age groups [4] - E-commerce data indicates that younger consumers prefer convenient health products, while older demographics lean towards traditional remedies [4][5] Skincare and Winter Sports - The skincare market is experiencing growth due to increased demand for moisturizing and repairing products during the dry winter months, with consumers focusing on effective ingredients [6] - Interest in winter sports products is rising, particularly among children, driven by the popularity of family skiing activities and a growing emphasis on physical fitness [7]

Core Insights - lululemon athletica inc. (LULU) is experiencing significant growth in China, which is central to its international expansion strategy [1][5] - The company aims to reach 200 stores in China under its Power of Three x2 strategy, focusing on guest engagement and digital presence [2][10] - In Q2 of fiscal 2025, revenues in China rose by 25%, with comparable sales increasing by 16% despite macroeconomic challenges [3][10] Expansion Strategy - lululemon plans to open new stores in China, enhancing brand visibility through community engagement and targeted marketing [1][5] - The company is leveraging digital platforms like Tmall, WeChat, and Douyin to broaden consumer engagement [2][10] U.S. Market Challenges - The U.S. business is facing challenges due to reliance on a few core franchises, leading to a soft guest response [4] - lululemon is working on reaccelerating growth in the U.S. by improving its go-to-market process and product assortment [4] Competitive Landscape - Key competitors in China include NIKE and adidas, both of which are also focusing on expanding their presence and consumer engagement in the region [6][7][8] Financial Performance - lululemon's shares have declined by 56.1% year-to-date, compared to an 18.1% decline in the industry [11] - The company trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 13.09X, below the industry average of 16.13X [12] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate indicates an 11.8% year-over-year drop in earnings for fiscal 2025, with a slight growth of 1.1% expected in fiscal 2026 [13]

The New York City Marathon is this Sunday. That race attracts athletes from all over the world and CEOs from major brands because of its prestige and global appeal. Joining us right now is one of those CEOs who are flocking here to New York City this weekend.Dan Sheridan is Brooks running CEO and Dan, thanks for coming in. >> Thanks for having me. It's nice to be in New York. >> It's great to have you here.Now, you guys are not an official sponsor of the New York City Marathon. Uh but you do have a lot of p ...

Core Insights - Puma is reorganizing its brand marketing division to create a new structure that integrates product creation, innovation, go-to-market, and brand marketing, aiming for stronger storytelling for its products [1][3] Management Changes - Maria Valdes, previously chief product officer, is appointed as chief brand officer to oversee the new organization at the management board level, responsible for brand marketing, product, creative direction, innovation, and go-to-market [2] Structural Adjustments - Brand marketing, which previously reported to the CEO, will now be integrated with product creation, while sports marketing will be separated and report directly to the CEO [3] Strategic Focus - The restructuring is part of Puma's strategy to enhance storytelling and product positioning against competitors in the sporting goods industry, addressing previous fragmentation in their approach [3] Recent Developments - Puma has recently split its direct-to-consumer business into global retail and global e-commerce areas, appointing Ronald Reijmers as vice president of global retail [3] - A new leadership for the global e-commerce channel will be announced soon, and a new creative and innovation hub has been opened in Los Angeles as part of the company's strategic priority to succeed in the U.S. market [4] Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, Puma's sales decreased by 2% in currency-adjusted terms, totaling 1.94 billion euros, indicating a need for revitalization within the business [5]