Core Viewpoint - The development of new energy storage industry is essential for Yulin, serving as both a necessary task and a new opportunity to build a new power system, promote renewable energy consumption, and enhance grid flexibility and reliability [4]. Group 1: Event Overview - The Yulin New Energy Storage High-Quality Development Exchange Activity and the signing ceremony for key projects of the 19th Yulin International Coal Expo and the 3rd Western Hydrogen Energy Expo were held on September 14 [2]. - Key participants included researchers and officials from various institutions, highlighting the importance of collaboration in the energy sector [2]. Group 2: Strategic Goals - Yulin aims to support various new energy storage pilot demonstrations, creating a leading "wind-solar-fire-storage-hydrogen integrated" zero-carbon low-carbon park, and plans to establish a new energy storage industrial park [4]. - The goal is to form a storage industry cluster worth 100 billion, paving a new path for low-carbon development in a high-carbon city [4]. Group 3: Industry Insights - A report titled "Next Generation Power Source Technology" was presented, focusing on the development paths of high-safety, long-life battery technologies and the core value and application potential of hydrogen hybrid power technologies [4]. - The report analyzed suitable energy storage routes for Yulin's resource endowment and energy structure, discussing current trends and future prospects in the energy storage industry [4]. Group 4: Project Signings - A total of 54 projects were signed during the event, attracting investments of 30.155 billion, covering sectors such as hydrogen energy, equipment manufacturing, energy storage, and energy chemicals [7]. - Among these, 15 projects in the hydrogen energy industry chain attracted investments of 10.427 billion [7].

Report Industry Investment Ratings No relevant content provided. Core Views of the Report Financial Futures - **Macro**: China's economy needs government support. Consumption - related policies will continue. Overseas, US inflation is resilient, and the market focuses on the Fed's actions [1]. - **Renminbi Exchange Rate**: The US dollar index shows a risk of downward break - out. The RMB against the US dollar is expected to fluctuate weakly and converge to the central parity rate [2]. - **Stock Index**: The domestic fundamentals are weak, putting pressure on the stock index. It will be affected by the Fed's rate - cut decision [4]. - **Treasury Bonds**: Focus on Sino - US economic talks and the Fed's September meeting. Hold long positions [5]. - **Container Shipping**: The decline of SCFIS European line has slightly converged. The futures price is likely to continue to fluctuate. Short - term intraday operations are recommended [7]. Commodities Non - ferrous Metals - **Gold & Silver**: Medium - to long - term may be bullish. Short - term, maintain the idea of buying on dips [8][11]. - **Copper**: It will be in a high - level consolidation. The price may be around 81,000 yuan per ton in the short term [12]. - **Aluminum**: It will be oscillating strongly. The weekly price range is 20,600 - 21,400 yuan/ton [14]. - **Alumina**: It will be in a weak operation. Recommend shorting on rallies [15]. - **Cast Aluminum Alloy**: It will be oscillating strongly. The price difference with aluminum is between 400 - 500 yuan/ton [16]. - **Zinc**: It will mainly oscillate [16]. - **Nickel & Stainless Steel**: They are strongly affected by the mining end. Short - term, they are in a bottom - strengthening oscillation [17]. - **Tin**: It will be in a high - level oscillation around 274,000 yuan per ton [20]. - **Lead**: It will be in a high - level oscillation. Be cautious about chasing high prices [21]. Black Metals - **Rebar & Hot - Rolled Coil**: The macro - level drives upward. The short - term fundamentals are mixed, but the macro - drive is strong, and the price shows an oscillatingly strong trend [24]. - **Iron Ore**: The shipment has recovered. The price will oscillate within a limited range before the National Day [26]. - **Coking Coal & Coke**: The overall supply is becoming more relaxed. The price will maintain a wide - range oscillation. Pay attention to the 1 - 5 reverse spread [28]. - **Silicon Iron & Silicon Manganese**: They are supported by cost and will be strong in the short term. Try to go long on specific contracts [29]. Energy and Chemicals - **Crude Oil**: Geopolitical disturbances drive a small rebound. Supply pressure dominates. Recommend shorting on rallies [31]. - **LPG**: Driven by the macro - level, the price goes up. The external market provides support [33]. - **PTA - PX**: They oscillate with the cost and the macro - environment. PTA processing fees are expected to be repaired [36]. - **MEG - Bottle Chip**: They are oscillating strongly in the short term due to macro - warming [37]. - **Methanol**: Reduce long positions. It may oscillate in the short term [38]. - **PP**: The downside space is limited. Recommend going long on dips [42]. - **PE**: The demand recovers slowly. It will maintain an oscillating pattern [45]. - **PVC**: It is recommended to wait and see. The current fundamentals are poor, but the short - selling willingness of funds is low [46]. - **Fuel Oil**: It fluctuates with the cost. It is not advisable to continue shorting [46]. - **Low - Sulfur Fuel Oil**: Pay attention to the opportunity to short the high - low sulfur spread in the far - month contract [47]. - **Asphalt**: It is pushed up by the "anti - involution" concept. The short - term peak season is not outstanding. Consider long - position allocation after the crude oil stabilizes [48]. - **Urea**: It is in a pattern of having support below and suppression above. The 01 contract is expected to oscillate between 1650 - 1850 [49]. - **Soda Ash**: The supply - demand pattern of supply exceeding demand remains unchanged. The price is restricted by high inventory [50]. - **Glass**: The price lacks a clear trend. Pay attention to supply - side ignition, cost, and demand seasonality [51]. - **Caustic Soda**: The spot price is weakening. Pay attention to the spot rhythm, peak - season performance, and downstream stocking enthusiasm [52]. - **Pulp**: It rebounds with the commodity sentiment. Recommend buying on dips [53]. - **Propylene**: The futures and spot prices diverge. The futures are driven up by the macro - level, while the spot weakens [55]. Agricultural Products - **Hogs**: Policy disturbances emerge again [56]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Financial Futures - **Macro**: China's economic data in August shows "slow industry, weak investment, and light consumption". Policies in the consumption field will continue. Overseas, US inflation is resilient, and the market focuses on the Fed's actions [1]. - **Renminbi Exchange Rate**: The US dollar index shows a risk of downward break - out. The RMB against the US dollar is expected to fluctuate weakly and converge to the central parity rate. Enterprises are given corresponding exchange - rate operation suggestions [2][3]. - **Stock Index**: The domestic fundamentals are weak, putting pressure on the stock index. It is affected by the Fed's rate - cut decision, but the downward space is limited [4]. - **Treasury Bonds**: The bond market is less affected by the A - share market. The economic data in August is weak. Pay attention to Sino - US economic talks and the Fed's September meeting. Hold long positions [5]. - **Container Shipping**: The decline of SCFIS European line has slightly converged. The futures price is likely to continue to fluctuate. Short - term intraday operations are recommended [7]. Commodities Non - ferrous Metals - **Gold & Silver**: The price rises due to the Fed's easing expectations. The market focuses on the Fed's actions and tariff policies. Long - term, it may be bullish. Short - term, maintain the idea of buying on dips [8][11]. - **Copper**: The price is affected by the US inflation data and the Fed's rate - cut expectations. It will be in a high - level consolidation in the short term [12]. - **Aluminum**: It is affected by the Fed's rate - cut expectations and the improvement of fundamentals. The price is expected to be oscillating strongly in the early peak season [14]. - **Alumina**: The supply is in an oversupply state. The price may be weak in the short term. Recommend shorting on rallies [15]. - **Cast Aluminum Alloy**: It is affected by the shortage of scrap aluminum. It will be oscillating strongly [16]. - **Zinc**: It is mainly oscillating. The supply is in an oversupply state, and the demand is average [16]. - **Nickel & Stainless Steel**: They are strongly affected by the mining end. The fundamentals are stable. Short - term, they are in a bottom - strengthening oscillation [17]. - **Tin**: It is affected by the Fed's rate - cut expectations. It will be in a high - level oscillation around 274,000 yuan per ton in the short term [20]. - **Lead**: The price reaches a two - month high. The supply is relatively tight, and the demand is average. Short - term, the upward space is limited. Be cautious about chasing high prices [21]. Black Metals - **Rebar & Hot - Rolled Coil**: The macro - level drives upward. The current steel inventory is accumulating seasonally. The market has expectations for peak - season demand. The price shows an oscillatingly strong trend [24]. - **Iron Ore**: The shipment has recovered. The iron - water output has limited room for further increase. The price is expected to oscillate within a limited range before the National Day [26]. - **Coking Coal & Coke**: The supply is becoming more relaxed. The price will maintain a wide - range oscillation. Pay attention to the 1 - 5 reverse spread [28]. - **Silicon Iron & Silicon Manganese**: They are supported by cost and will be strong in the short term. Try to go long on specific contracts [29]. Energy and Chemicals - **Crude Oil**: Geopolitical disturbances drive a small rebound. Supply pressure dominates. Recommend shorting on rallies [31]. - **LPG**: Driven by the macro - level, the price goes up. The external market provides support [33]. - **PTA - PX**: They oscillate with the cost and the macro - environment. PTA processing fees are expected to be repaired [36]. - **MEG - Bottle Chip**: They are oscillating strongly in the short term due to macro - warming [37]. - **Methanol**: Reduce long positions. It may oscillate in the short term [38]. - **PP**: The downside space is limited. Recommend going long on dips [42]. - **PE**: The demand recovers slowly. It will maintain an oscillating pattern [45]. - **PVC**: It is recommended to wait and see. The current fundamentals are poor, but the short - selling willingness of funds is low [46]. - **Fuel Oil**: It fluctuates with the cost. It is not advisable to continue shorting [46]. - **Low - Sulfur Fuel Oil**: Pay attention to the opportunity to short the high - low sulfur spread in the far - month contract [47]. - **Asphalt**: It is pushed up by the "anti - involution" concept. The short - term peak season is not outstanding. Consider long - position allocation after the crude oil stabilizes [48]. - **Urea**: It is in a pattern of having support below and suppression above. The 01 contract is expected to oscillate between 1650 - 1850 [49]. - **Soda Ash**: The supply - demand pattern of supply exceeding demand remains unchanged. The price is restricted by high inventory [50]. - **Glass**: The price lacks a clear trend. Pay attention to supply - side ignition, cost, and demand seasonality [51]. - **Caustic Soda**: The spot price is weakening. Pay attention to the spot rhythm, peak - season performance, and downstream stocking enthusiasm [52]. - **Pulp**: It rebounds with the commodity sentiment. Recommend buying on dips [53]. - **Propylene**: The futures and spot prices diverge. The futures are driven up by the macro - level, while the spot weakens [55]. Agricultural Products - **Hogs**: Policy disturbances emerge again [56].

Core Insights - The brand value evaluation in Liaoning Province for 2025 has been released, showing a total brand value of 10,804.32 billion yuan from 262 participating brands [2] - The evaluation indicates a growth in brand value for 96 brands that participated in both 2024 and 2025, with a total value of 1,554.46 billion yuan, reflecting a 5.66% increase year-on-year [2] - Regional brands also showed growth, with 16 brands valued at 3,628.68 billion yuan, marking a 7.32% increase from the previous year [2] Group 1: Brand Evaluation Overview - The evaluation includes 17 categories such as machinery manufacturing, food processing, energy and chemicals, agriculture, biomedicine, and metallurgy [3] - A total of 233 enterprise brands were evaluated, with a combined value of 2,812.65 billion yuan, while 29 regional brands had a total value of 7,991.67 billion yuan [3] - The top enterprise brand is Shenyang Aircraft Industry Group Co., Ltd. with a value of 392.42 billion yuan, and the top regional brand is Shenyang Financial and Trade Development Zone valued at 2,493.52 billion yuan [3] Group 2: Purpose and Impact of Brand Evaluation - The brand value evaluation aims to enhance brand awareness among enterprises and regions, promoting brand development and increasing overall brand value [2] - The evaluation process assesses various factors including organizational behavior, customer relationships, market position, legal rights, technological innovation, and service quality [3] - By measuring and publishing brand values, companies can increase their visibility and influence, gaining recognition and trust from end consumers [3]

Core Insights - The energy and chemical industry faces challenges such as intense market competition, low resource utilization, and rapid technological iterations, making energy and digital transformation essential for achieving green development [1] - UCloud, a domestic cloud computing company, provides comprehensive cloud solutions to support the energy and chemical sector in building a controllable digital foundation for efficient cloud adoption and green upgrades [1] Group 1: UCloud's Offerings - UCloud has over 13 years of experience in the cloud computing field, offering services from public, private, to hybrid cloud, empowering over 100,000 enterprise clients across various sectors including government, manufacturing, and energy [1] - The company has developed a family of enterprise-level private products tailored for traditional industries, including UCloudStack (private cloud platform), UCloudStor (unified storage platform), UCMP (multi-cloud management platform), and USDP (big data platform) [1] Group 2: UCloudStack Private Cloud - UCloudStack is a domestically developed lightweight product with over 96% code autonomy, featuring virtualization technology and public cloud architecture, ensuring controllability, efficiency, compatibility, and security [2] - The platform integrates core technologies such as computing virtualization, SDN networking, and distributed storage, along with comprehensive capabilities for management, resource scheduling, monitoring, and operations [2] Group 3: Successful Applications - UCloudStack and USDP have been successfully implemented in the energy and chemical sector, exemplified by a well-known domestic electrical company's solar cell production in Xinjiang, which required real-time data analysis from numerous IoT devices [2] - UCloud's integrated solution of "private cloud + big data" effectively addressed management challenges in remote areas, reducing network latency and enabling real-time energy consumption analysis and precise forecasting [2] Group 4: Broader Applications - Beyond the energy and chemical sector, UCloud's private cloud solutions are also widely used in manufacturing, such as in the case of the Fortune Global 500 company Jianlong Group, which utilized UCloudStack to create an integrated cloud platform for its headquarters and steel plants [3] - The company aims to leverage its neutral and secure cloud platform to drive digital, efficient, and green transformations in industries like energy and manufacturing, injecting digital momentum into the industry's green transition [3]

Group 1: Report Information - Industry: MEG [1] - Date: September 15, 2025 [2] Group 2: Research Team - Energy and Chemical Research Team: Li Jie (Crude Oil and Fuel Oil), Ren Junchi (PTA, MEG), Peng Haozhou (Urea, Industrial Silicon), Peng Jinglin (Polyolefins), Liu Youran (Pulp), Feng Zeren (Glass and Soda Ash) [4] Group 3: Market Review and Operation Suggestions - Futures Market: EG2601 closed at 4,272 yuan/ton, down 34 yuan; EG2605 closed at 4,319 yuan/ton, down 29 yuan. The trading volume of the main contract was 134,697 lots, and the open interest was 317,317 lots [7] - Market Outlook: The current supply-demand structure and cost side of ethylene glycol are weak, but the low port inventory still supports the spot price. It is expected to continue to fluctuate at a low level in the short term [7] Group 4: Industry News - International Oil Prices: On September 11, the settlement price of WTI crude oil futures for October 2025 was $62.37 per barrel, down $1.30 or 2.04%; the settlement price of Brent crude oil futures for November 2025 was $66.37 per barrel, down $1.12 or 1.66% [8] - Ethylene Glycol Market: The spot negotiation price in Zhangjiagang was 4,369 - 4,377 yuan/ton, down 32 yuan/ton from the previous trading day. The mainstream transaction price was 4,375 - 4,390 yuan/ton, down 25 yuan/ton [8] Group 5: Data Overview - Charts: Include PTA-MEG price difference, MEG price, MEG futures price, spot-futures price difference, international crude oil futures price, raw material price index (ethylene), MEG downstream product price, and MEG downstream product inventory [10][15][16][18]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - China's financial aggregates are large, and future monetary policy should focus on optimizing the structure while maintaining reasonable aggregate growth [2][18]. - China's fiscal policy still has sufficient room for maneuver, with a special treasury bond issuance expected to leverage significant credit [3][19]. - The Fed is expected to cut interest rates, but the policy path after September remains uncertain [4][5]. - Industrial product prices are unlikely to rebound sustainably, and PPI may decline again after the fourth quarter [33]. - The domestic bond market is expected to be highly volatile in August - September, and the RMB exchange rate is expected to be moderately strong [34]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Macro Data Overview - GDP growth in Q2 2025 was 5.2% year - on - year, slightly lower than the previous quarter [1]. - In August 2025, the manufacturing PMI was 49.4%, and the non - manufacturing PMI for business activities was 50.3% [1]. - Social financing and credit in August 2025 showed significant changes, with an increase in M1 growth and a narrowing M1 - M2 gap [1][2][18]. - CPI in August 2025 was - 0.4% year - on - year, and PPI was - 2.9% year - on - year [1]. 3.2 Commodity Investment Reference 3.2.1 Comprehensive - China's financial aggregates are large, and future monetary policy will focus on structural optimization [2][18]. - China - US economic and trade talks will discuss issues such as tariffs and TikTok [2]. - China's fiscal policy has sufficient room, with a special treasury bond issuance to leverage credit [3][19]. - The Fed is expected to cut interest rates, but the post - September policy path is uncertain [4][5]. 3.2.2 Metals - Gold and silver prices reached new highs, and Thai gold exports to Cambodia increased [6]. - Metal inventories in the LME showed significant changes, with some increasing and some decreasing [7]. 3.2.3 Coal, Coke, Steel, and Minerals - A second round of coke price cuts is planned, and coal prices have fallen [9]. - Indonesia's seizure of a nickel mine has raised supply concerns [9]. 3.2.4 Energy and Chemicals - China's new LNG device was delivered, and international oil prices rebounded due to supply concerns [10]. - The EU may reduce its dependence on Russian natural gas [10]. - The US natural gas net long position increased, and the WTI crude oil net long position decreased [12]. 3.2.5 Agricultural Products - China's summer grain purchase was progressing smoothly, and US coffee prices rose [13]. - Most agricultural product prices in China declined, and Pakistan plans to purchase sugar [13][14]. - Speculators' net short positions in US soybeans and corn increased [14]. 3.3 Financial News Compilation 3.3.1 Open Market - The central bank adjusted the evaluation method for primary dealers in open - market operations and carried out reverse repurchase operations [16]. - The central bank will conduct a large - scale term reverse repurchase operation to maintain liquidity [16]. - There are large - scale reverse repurchase and treasury cash deposits maturing this week [17]. 3.3.2 Important News - China - US economic and trade talks were held in Spain [18]. - China's financial data showed strong support for the real economy, and there was a shift in household deposits [18][19]. - China's fiscal policy has sufficient room, and debt - related issues are being addressed [19][20]. - China opposes US export control measures and launches investigations [21][22][23]. - Policies to promote private investment and industry stability are being introduced [23][24]. - The real estate industry is in the stage of risk clearance, and banks have adjusted mortgage policies [25]. - Brokerage bond issuance reached a new high, and there were bond - related events and credit rating changes [26][27]. 3.3.3 Bond Market Summary - The inter - bank bond market showed a differentiated trend, with long - term bonds recovering [28]. - The exchange bond market had mixed performances, and convertible bond indices rose [28][29]. - Interest rates in the money market and bond issuance yields showed various changes [29][30][31]. - European and US bond yields generally increased [31]. 3.3.4 Foreign Exchange Market - The on - shore RMB against the US dollar rose, and the US dollar index showed a slight increase [32]. 3.3.5 Research Report Highlights - Industrial product prices are unlikely to rebound sustainably, and PPI may decline again [33]. - The domestic bond market will be volatile, and the RMB exchange rate is expected to be moderately strong [34]. - The market is in a complex situation with different signals from prices [34]. 3.3.6 Today's Reminders - A large number of bonds will be listed, issued, paid, and redeemed on September 15 [35]. 3.4 Stock Market News - The Beijing Stock Exchange will switch stock codes for listed companies [36]. - The pattern of the public fund market has changed, with growth in the bond - holding scale of some institutions [36][37].

Summary of Market Transactions on September 12, 2025 Core Insights - The overall market transactions showed a mixed performance across different sectors, with significant variations in both transaction volumes and holding amounts [1]. Group 1: Stock Index Sector - Stock index sector transactions amounted to 860.73 billion, reflecting a decrease of 15.38% compared to the previous period [1]. - The holding amount in this sector was 1381.94 billion, down by 1.89% [1]. - The transaction-to-holding ratio stood at 61.92% [1]. Group 2: Government Bonds Sector - Government bonds transactions totaled 458.80 billion, a decline of 20.23% [1]. - The holding amount reached 723.76 billion, decreasing by 1.75% [1]. - The transaction-to-holding ratio was 64.11% [1]. Group 3: Base Metals Sector - Base metals transactions were recorded at 358.52 billion, an increase of 27.67% [1]. - The holding amount in this sector was 523.79 billion, up by 3.58% [1]. - The transaction-to-holding ratio was 74.07% [1]. Group 4: Precious Metals Sector - Precious metals transactions amounted to 477.79 billion, showing a significant increase of 34.69% [1]. - The holding amount was 504.51 billion, with a slight increase of 2.04% [1]. - The transaction-to-holding ratio was notably high at 131.45% [1]. Group 5: Energy and Chemicals Sector - Energy and chemicals transactions reached 389.62 billion, reflecting a growth of 7.51% [1]. - The holding amount was 446.53 billion, with a marginal increase of 0.44% [1]. - The transaction-to-holding ratio was 67.68% [1]. Group 6: Agricultural Products Sector - Agricultural products transactions totaled 278.19 billion, down by 4.69% [1]. - The holding amount was 553.24 billion, showing a negligible change of 0.02% [1]. - The transaction-to-holding ratio was 42.87% [1]. Group 7: Black Building Materials Sector - Black building materials transactions amounted to 283.25 billion, an increase of 5.40% [1]. - The holding amount was 372.92 billion, down by 1.70% [1]. - The transaction-to-holding ratio was 77.39% [1].

Summary of Market Transactions and Positions Core Insights - The overall market transactions across various sectors showed a mixed performance, with significant fluctuations in both transaction volumes and positions compared to previous periods [1]. Sector-wise Summary - **Stock Index Sector**: - Transaction volume reached 860.73 billion, down by 15.38% from the previous period - Position amount was 1,381.94 billion, down by 1.89% - Transaction-to-position ratio stood at 61.92% [1] - **Government Bonds Sector**: - Transaction volume was 458.80 billion, down by 20.23% - Position amount was 723.76 billion, down by 1.75% - Transaction-to-position ratio was 64.11% [1] - **Base Metals Sector**: - Transaction volume increased to 358.52 billion, up by 27.67% - Position amount was 523.79 billion, up by 3.58% - Transaction-to-position ratio reached 74.07% [1] - **Precious Metals Sector**: - Transaction volume surged to 477.79 billion, up by 34.69% - Position amount was 504.51 billion, up by 2.04% - Transaction-to-position ratio was notably high at 131.45% [1] - **Energy and Chemicals Sector**: - Transaction volume was 389.62 billion, up by 7.51% - Position amount was 446.53 billion, up by 0.44% - Transaction-to-position ratio was 67.68% [1] - **Agricultural Products Sector**: - Transaction volume decreased to 278.19 billion, down by 4.69% - Position amount was 553.24 billion, up by 0.02% - Transaction-to-position ratio was 42.87% [1] - **Black Building Materials Sector**: - Transaction volume increased to 283.25 billion, up by 5.40% - Position amount was 372.92 billion, down by 1.70% - Transaction-to-position ratio was 77.39% [1]

Report Industry Investment Ratings - **Bullish**: Gold, Copper, Aluminum, Nickel, Stainless Steel, Zinc, Tin, Industrial Silicon, Palm Oil, Soybean Meal, Ethanol, Ethylene Glycol, Short - Fiber, Styrene, Propylene, PP, Alumina [1] - **Bearish**: Iron Ore, Coke, Coking Coal, Soda Ash, Black Metal, Cotton, Sugar, Corn, Logs, Crude Oil, Fuel Oil, BR Rubber, PTA, Pure Benzene, Styrene, PVC, LPG, Container Shipping Routes [1] - **Sideways**: Treasury Bonds, Silver, Alumina, Stainless Steel, Rebar, Hot - Rolled Coil, Paper Pulp, Live Pigs, Natural Rubber, PE, PP, PVC, PG [1] Core Views of the Report - Short - term stock index futures' discount has widened again, and with liquidity drive, short - term index adjustments may bring long - position layout opportunities. Asset shortage and weak economy are favorable for bond futures, but the central bank's short - term interest - rate risk warning suppresses the upside. The Fed is expected to cut interest rates in September, providing support for gold prices. [1] - For base metals, the US CPI inflation data basically meets expectations, increasing the Fed's interest - rate cut expectation. The approaching consumption peak season may drive up copper and aluminum prices. Nickel prices are expected to fluctuate strongly in the short - term, but there is still pressure from long - term primary nickel oversupply. [1] - In the black metal sector, the supply - demand situation is not optimistic in the short - term, with supply recovering and demand at risk of weakening, and high inventory levels. The steel market is under pressure due to supply surplus. [1] - In the agricultural products sector, the market situation varies. For example, palm oil has short - term callback risks but long - term upward logic. Cotton has short - term supply tightness, while sugar is expected to be in a weak - sideway trend. [1] - In the energy and chemical sector, the overall situation is affected by factors such as production increases, cost support, and demand changes. For example, crude oil's fundamental situation is loose, and PTA's production has recovered. [1] Summary by Related Catalogs Macro - Financial - **Stock Index Futures**: Short - term discount widening and liquidity drive may offer long - position opportunities during short - term index adjustments [1] - **Treasury Bonds**: Asset shortage and weak economy are favorable, but central - bank interest - rate risk warning suppresses upside [1] Precious Metals - **Gold**: Fed's expected September interest - rate cut provides support, short - term high - level strong operation with attention to volatility risks [1] - **Silver**: Short - term high - level strong operation [1] Non - Ferrous Metals - **Copper**: US inflation data and approaching consumption peak season may drive up prices [1] - **Aluminum**: Fed's interest - rate cut expectation and consumption peak season may lead to a strong trend [1] - **Alumina**: Production and inventory are increasing, but price is near the cost line with limited downward space [1] - **Zinc**: Social inventory increase pressures the price, but LME inventory decline and macro support limit the downside [1] - **Nickel**: Short - term macro - driven strong oscillation, long - term primary nickel oversupply pressure exists [1] - **Stainless Steel**: Raw - material support exists, short - term sideway operation [1] - **Tin**: Overall support exists, pay attention to low - long opportunities [1] Black Metals - **Rebar**: Valuation returns to neutral, industrial drive is unclear, and macro drive is positive [1] - **Hot - Rolled Coil**: Near - month contracts are restricted by production cuts, far - month contracts have upward adjustment opportunities [1] - **Iron Ore**: Short - term supply - demand is not optimistic, with high inventory [1] - **Coke and Coking Coal**: Supply - demand is weak, price is under pressure [1] - **Soda Ash**: Supply surplus pressure is large, price is under pressure [1] Agricultural Products - **Palm Oil**: Short - term callback risk, long - term upward logic [1] - **Soybean Meal**: Domestic inventory increase may pressure the price, but long - term upward logic remains [1] - **Cotton**: Short - term supply tightness, new - cotton acquisition game is the focus [1] - **Sugar**: Expected to be in a weak - sideway trend, short - term downward space is limited [1] - **Corn**: New - grain harvest may bring selling pressure, C01 is expected to decline [1] - **Soybean Meal**: MO1 has limited downward space, short - term sideway adjustment, consider low - long [1] - **Paper Pulp**: Consider 11 - 1 positive spread [1] - **Logs**: Fundamental situation is stable, price is in a weak - sideway trend [1] Energy and Chemicals - **Crude Oil**: Geopolitical tension, OPEC+ production increase, and Fed's interest - rate cut expectation affect the price [1] - **Fuel Oil**: Similar influencing factors as crude oil [1] - **Natural Rubber**: Raw - material cost support, slow inventory removal, and negative market sentiment [1] - **BR Rubber**: Follow crude oil, pay attention to inventory removal and device maintenance [1] - **PTA**: Production recovery, downstream profit improvement [1] - **Ethylene Glycol**: Basis strengthening, new device production pressure [1] - **Short - Fiber**: Device return, weakening delivery willingness [1] - **Pure Benzene and Styrene**: Inventory accumulation, supply increase, import pressure [1] - **PE**: Macro - positive, more maintenance, weak - sideway price [1] - **PP**: Maintenance support is limited, sideway - weak trend [1] - **PVC**: Return to fundamentals, supply pressure, sideway - weak trend [1] - **Alumina**: Approaching peak season, low inventory, price rebound [1] - **LPG**: Crude oil production increase, fundamental pressure, downstream profit deterioration [1] Shipping - **Container Shipping Routes**: September supply exceeds the same - period level, freight rate decline is faster than expected [1]

Group 1: Report Overview - The report is the Baocheng Futures Variety Arbitrage Data Daily Report for September 12, 2025, covering multiple commodity sectors including thermal coal, energy chemicals, black metals, non - ferrous metals, agricultural products, and stock index futures [1] Group 2: Thermal Coal - The table shows the basis, 5 - month minus 1 - month, 9 - month minus 1 - month, and 9 - month minus 5 - month spreads of thermal coal from September 5 to September 11, 2025. The basis on September 11 was - 126.4 yuan/ton, and the spreads were all 0.0 [2] Group 3: Energy Chemicals Energy Commodities - Data on the basis of fuel oil, crude oil, and asphalt, and the ratio of crude oil to asphalt are presented from September 5 to September 11, 2025. For example, on September 11, the basis of INE crude oil was 16.42 yuan/ton, and the ratio of crude oil to asphalt was 0.1413 [7] Chemical Commodities - **Basis**: The basis of rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, V, and PP from September 5 to September 11, 2025 is provided. For instance, on September 11, the basis of rubber was - 1005 yuan/ton [9] - **Inter - delivery spreads**: The 5 - month minus 1 - month, 9 - month minus 1 - month, and 9 - month minus 5 - month spreads of rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, PVC, PP, and ethylene glycol are given. For example, the 5 - month minus 1 - month spread of rubber was 30 yuan/ton [10] - **Inter - commodity spreads**: The spreads of LLDPE - PVC, LLDPE - PP, PP - PVC, and PP - 3*methanol from September 5 to September 11, 2025 are shown. On September 11, the LLDPE - PVC spread was 2352 yuan/ton [10] Group 4: Black Metals Inter - delivery spreads - The 5 - month minus 1 - month, 9 - month(10) minus 1 - month, and 9 - month(10) minus 5 - month spreads of rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal are presented. For example, the 5 - month minus 1 - month spread of rebar was 49.0 yuan/ton [19] Inter - commodity spreads - The ratios of rebar to iron ore, rebar to coke, coke to coking coal, and the spread of rebar minus hot - rolled coil from September 5 to September 11, 2025 are given. On September 11, the ratio of rebar to iron ore was 3.88 [19] Basis - The basis of rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal from September 5 to September 11, 2025 is provided. On September 11, the basis of rebar was 118.0 yuan/ton [20] Group 5: Non - Ferrous Metals Domestic Market - The domestic basis of copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin from September 5 to September 11, 2025 is shown. On September 11, the basis of copper was 10 yuan/ton [27] London Market - Data on LME non - ferrous metals including LME premium/discount, Shanghai - London ratio, CIF price, domestic spot price, and import profit/loss for copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin on September 11, 2025 are presented. For example, the LME premium/discount of copper was (61.54) [34] Group 6: Agricultural Products Basis - The basis of soybeans No.1, soybeans No.2, soybean meal, soybean oil, and corn from September 5 to September 11, 2025 is provided. On September 11, the basis of soybeans No.1 was 115 yuan/ton [39] Inter - delivery spreads - The 5 - month minus 1 - month, 9 - month minus 1 - month, and 9 - month minus 5 - month spreads of various agricultural products are given. For example, the 5 - month minus 1 - month spread of soybeans No.1 was 47 yuan/ton [39] Inter - commodity spreads - The ratios and spreads such as soybeans No.1 to corn, soybeans No.2 to corn, soybean oil to soybean meal, soybean meal minus rapeseed meal, soybean oil minus palm oil, rapeseed oil minus soybean oil, and corn minus corn starch from September 5 to September 11, 2025 are shown. On September 11, the ratio of soybeans No.1 to corn was 1.79 [39] Group 7: Stock Index Futures Basis - The basis of CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 from September 5 to September 11, 2025 is provided. On September 11, the basis of CSI 300 was - 13.97 [51] Inter - delivery spreads - The spreads of next - month minus current - month and next - quarter minus current - quarter for CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 are presented. For example, the next - month minus current - month spread of CSI 300 was - 53.8 [53]