Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [5] Core Views - In 2024, the company is expected to achieve an operating revenue of 4.14 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 10.8%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be 730 million yuan, a decrease of 10.6% due to increased financial expenses from currency exchange and interest costs [1] - In Q1 2025, despite a decline in Brent crude oil prices, the company achieved a net profit of 230 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 33.0% due to its integrated capabilities [1] - The company signed development contracts for oil and gas blocks in Iraq, with significant geological reserves identified [2] Financial Performance and Forecast - The company’s revenue is projected to grow from 3.73 billion yuan in 2023 to 8.26 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 23% [4] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 809.88 million yuan in 2023 to 1.76 billion yuan in 2027, with a notable growth rate of 74.81% in 2025 [4] - Earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to rise from 1.75 yuan in 2023 to 3.82 yuan in 2027 [4] Production and Cost Analysis - In 2024, the company’s crude oil production is estimated at 655,000 tons, with a sales revenue of 1.93 billion yuan from domestic crude oil sales [2] - The average realized price for crude oil is calculated at 3,368 yuan per ton, equivalent to 67.7 USD per barrel, while the unit cost for domestic crude oil operations is 1,407 yuan per ton, or 28.3 USD per barrel [2] Strategic Developments - The company’s subsidiary signed contracts for the development of the EBN and MF blocks in Iraq, with substantial oil reserves identified [2]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price not specified [5] Core Views - The company has shown a continuous improvement in profit margins, with a gross margin of 16.15% and a net margin of 10.76% in Q1 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 6.24 percentage points and 2.26 percentage points respectively [1] - The company has a robust order backlog of 38.4 billion, indicating a solid foundation for future growth despite a 45% year-on-year decline in new contracts signed in Q1 2025 [3] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 5.1 billion, a decrease of 10.15% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 540 million, an increase of 13.85% year-on-year [1] - The company’s EBITDA for 2025 is projected to be 4.52 billion, with a net profit forecast of 2.51 billion, reflecting a growth rate of 16.10% [4] Operational Metrics - The company completed the construction of 10 land-based jackets and 11 offshore jackets in Q1 2025, with a notable increase in offshore installation work [2] - The company laid 79.8 kilometers of subsea pipelines, an increase of 10.9 kilometers year-on-year, indicating enhanced operational capacity [2] Order Book and Projects - The company’s major domestic projects include the development of the Penglai 19-3 oilfield and the Dongfang 13-3 gas field, while international projects include the Total ALK subsea pipeline replacement [3] - The company’s order book remains strong, with a total of 384 billion in hand orders, providing a solid basis for future revenue [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the petrochemical industry, indicating potential for excess returns in certain segments under tariff impacts [4][5]. Core Insights - The petrochemical index has historically underperformed the broader market, but segments like refining and oil services have shown periods of excess returns [5][6]. - As of April 11, 2025, refining margins for major domestic refineries reached 767 CNY/ton, with a significant month-on-month increase of 24.16% [9]. - The report highlights that the current procurement of crude oil in China is primarily from Russia and Middle Eastern countries, limiting the impact on refining costs from U.S. imports [9]. - The oil service sector is expected to continue its upward trend due to domestic requirements for increased reserves and production [11]. Summary by Sections Upstream Sector - Brent crude oil prices closed at 64.76 USD/barrel on April 11, 2025, reflecting a decrease of 1.25% from the previous week [20]. - The number of active oil rigs in the U.S. decreased to 583, down by 7 rigs week-on-week [30]. Refining Sector - The report notes a recovery in refining profitability, with domestic refining margins improving significantly [9]. - The Singapore refining margin for major products was reported at 9.87 USD/barrel, down by 4.08 USD/barrel from the previous week [9]. Polyester Sector - PTA profitability has increased, with the average price in East China at 4316.25 CNY/ton, down 11.43% week-on-week [9]. - The report suggests that the polyester industry is currently underperforming but may improve as new capacities are expected to taper off in the coming years [9]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on high-quality refining companies such as Hengli Petrochemical, Rongsheng Petrochemical, and Dongfang Shenghong due to favorable competitive dynamics [16]. - It also suggests looking at companies with high dividend yields like China Petroleum and China National Offshore Oil Corporation [16]. - For the ethylene production segment, Satellite Chemical is highlighted as a key player due to favorable supply-demand dynamics [16]. - In the polyester sector, companies like Tongkun Co. and Wankai New Materials are recommended as they are expected to benefit from tightening supply-demand conditions [16].

Core Viewpoint - The marine economy sector is experiencing a significant surge, becoming a new focal point in the A-share market, with various related stocks showing strong performance [2][4][12]. Market Performance - The stock indices in the two markets showed a volatile adjustment, with the Shanghai Composite Index dropping 0.94% to below 3400 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell 1.42%, and the ChiNext Index decreased by 1.70% [2]. - The marine economy sector continued its strong performance, with stocks such as Shaoyang Hydraulic hitting a 20% limit up, and others like Annuoqi, Haimer Technology, and Hailanxin rising over 10% [2][11]. Sector Highlights - Key sectors showing strong performance include deep-sea technology, marine engineering equipment, fisheries, and oil service engineering, all of which saw significant gains [4][12]. - The marine economy's total production value is projected to exceed 10 trillion yuan, contributing 11.5% to GDP, marking it as a new engine for economic growth [12]. Government Initiatives - The government has emphasized "deep-sea technology" in its work report, indicating a strategic focus on the marine economy and the development of new technologies and products [12]. - The "Marine Power" strategy is expected to drive innovative financial tools like blue bonds to support high-quality development in the marine economy, particularly in green industries such as offshore wind power and seawater desalination [12]. Deep-Sea Technology - Deep-sea technology integrates multiple disciplines, including oceanography, materials science, and engineering technology, and is considered a core support for the national marine power strategy [13]. - This technology encompasses various fields such as detection and development equipment manufacturing, resource utilization, and ecological protection, aiming to overcome technical bottlenecks in extreme deep-sea environments [13].

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