15个篮球场大小的钢铁巨物在波涛中无声滑行,这座万吨级"巨无霸",其背后多项创新技术支撑,为亿吨级 油田年内投产、助力渤海油田上产奠定了坚实的基础。 渤海亿吨级油田——垦利10-2油田群开发项目(一期)中心处理平台是由海洋石油工程(青岛)有限公司承 建的,该公司成功完成浮托安装,一举打破渤海区域海上油气平台尺寸和重量新纪录。 本次安装的中心处理平台是一座集生产、生活为一体的3层8腿多功能海洋平台,高度22.8米,投影面积相 当于近15个标准篮球场大小,设计重量超2万吨,是渤海海域重量最重、外形尺寸最大的海上油气平台,超 过了国内海上浮吊的能力极限,采用浮托技术进行海上安装。 当2万吨钢铁巨构在波涛间举重若轻,世界看见的不仅是山东智造的"硬实力",更是中国工程师以柔克刚的 智慧。据大众新闻 "我们精确监测海况信息,在施工船舶设置多套'毫米级防撞雷达',并应用自主设计的新型护舷系统和桩腿 耦合缓冲等保护装置,成功将8个插尖和桩腿的对接精度控制在了5毫米以内。"海油工程垦利10-2项目安 装经理马晋雄介绍说。 由于此次浮托的组块重量和尺寸大,载荷转移过程中导管架承载重量大,且目标海域水位较浅,在潮差影响 下存在浅水 ...

行 业 及 产 业 石油石化 2025 年 07 月 21 日 受油价下跌拖累，2025Q2 石化行 业景气下行，关注未来中下游景气 修复 看好 ——石油化工 2025 年中报业绩前瞻 证 券 研 究 证券分析师 刘子栋 A0230523110002 liuzd@swsresearch.com 宋涛 A0230516070001 songtao@swsresearch.com 研究支持 陈悦 A0230524100003 chenyue@swsresearch.com 联系人 陈悦 (8621)23297818× chenyue@swsresearch.com 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 表 1：主要石油化工品价格走势 | | 价格 | 环比（%） | 同比（%） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 2025Q2 | 2025Q1 | 2024Q2 | | Brent 原油（美元/桶） | 66.7 | -11.0% | -21.5% | | WTI 原油（美元/桶） | 63.8 | -10.8% | -20.8% | | NYMEX 天然气（美元/百万英热） ...

行 业 及 产 业 石油石化 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 2025 年 07 月 20 日 石化行业 20 年以上老旧产能有望 退出，EIA 上调今年油价预测 看好 —— 石油化工行业周报(2025/7/14—2025/7/20) 相关研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 证券分析师 刘子栋 A0230523110002 liuzd@swsresearch.com 宋涛 A0230516070001 songtao@swsresearch.com 研究支持 陈悦 A0230524100003 chenyue@swsresearch.com 联系人 陈悦 (8621)23297818× chenyue@swsresearch.com 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 本期投资提示： ⚫ 风险提示：地缘政治影响；石油及化工品价格波动；经济下行风险。 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 - ⚫ 石化行业 20 年以上老旧产能有望退出，EIA 上调今年油价预测。国家应急管理部发布 的《化工装置老化评估方法(征求意见稿)》，以达到设计使用年限或实际投产运行超过 20 年的主体老旧装置为重点，加快更 ...

7月6日，国家能源领域首台（套）重大技术装备之一的广东肇庆浪江300兆瓦变速抽水蓄能机组交 流励磁系统，在江苏常州通过工厂试验并正式下线，标志着我国自主研制的首台大型变速抽蓄机组 正式拥有了"超强新肺"。 业内专家介绍，这些技术突破不仅打破了国外技术的长期垄断，而且在部分性能指标上实现了超 越。 海洋石油工程股份有限公司七功能机械手研发项目负责人王杰文介绍说，此次完成应用的机械手自 重仅60公斤，较国际同类产品减重35%，全臂展最大负载能力达125公斤，项目突破3项核心技 术，累计申请专利21项，创新性攻克了串联机械臂油道内置难点，极大减少了油管膨胀收缩变形导 致的运动延迟，在复杂海况下的操作灵敏度相较传统机械手有明显提升。 "过去，我国在无人遥控潜水器技术上依赖国外，不仅采购成本高昂，关键技术还要依赖别人。"海 洋石油工程股份有限公司水下机器人总监韩超说，如今，自主研发的七功能机械手实现工程化应 用，标志着我国已跻身全球少数掌握深水无人遥控潜水器设计、制造及工程应用全套能力的国家之 列，实现了关键技术的重大突破与自主可控。 据了解，作为我国首台大型变速抽蓄机组的"超强新肺"，新下线的机组交流励磁系统容量达到 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the petrochemical industry, highlighting potential recovery in polyester and refining sectors [2][14]. Core Insights - The EIA has revised down its natural gas price forecasts due to rising inventories, with the third-quarter price expected at $3.37 per million British thermal units (MMBtu) and the fourth quarter at $3.99 MMBtu [2][3]. - U.S. natural gas inventories reached 30,060 billion cubic feet, significantly above the five-year average, indicating a clear accumulation trend [6]. - Oil prices have shown an upward trend, with Brent crude futures closing at $70.36 per barrel, reflecting a 3.02% increase week-over-week [18]. - The report anticipates a downward adjustment in oil prices due to widening supply-demand dynamics, although OPEC production cuts and shale oil cost support may maintain prices at mid-high levels [2][18]. Summary by Sections Natural Gas Market - The EIA has lowered its natural gas price forecasts for Q3 and Q4 2025, with average prices expected at $3.67 and $4.41 per MMBtu for 2025 and 2026, respectively [2][3]. - U.S. natural gas production reached 11.68 billion cubic feet per day in Q2 2025, a year-on-year increase of 4.7 billion cubic feet per day [6]. - Solar power is increasingly substituting natural gas in electricity generation, with a projected 3% decline in gas-fired generation in 2025 [11]. Upstream Sector - Brent crude oil prices increased to $70.36 per barrel, while WTI prices rose to $68.45 per barrel, with weekly average prices showing gains of 2.34% and 2.44%, respectively [18]. - U.S. commercial crude oil inventories rose to 426 million barrels, with gasoline inventories decreasing to 229 million barrels [19]. - The number of active drilling rigs in the U.S. decreased to 537, down 2 from the previous week and 47 year-on-year [29]. Refining Sector - The Singapore refining margin for major products decreased to $13.70 per barrel, reflecting a decline of $0.31 per barrel week-over-week [50]. - The report notes that refining profitability is expected to improve as oil prices adjust downward, with domestic refining product margins still at low levels [48]. Polyester Sector - The report highlights a recovery expectation in the polyester sector, with improved profitability anticipated as supply-demand dynamics stabilize [14]. - Key companies to watch include Tongkun Co. and Wankai New Materials, which are expected to benefit from this recovery [14]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on leading refining companies such as Hengli Petrochemical, Rongsheng Petrochemical, and Sinopec, which are expected to benefit from improved competitive dynamics [14]. - It also suggests monitoring companies in the upstream exploration and production sector, particularly offshore oil service firms like CNOOC Services and Offshore Oil Engineering, which are projected to see performance improvements [14].

Core Points - China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) has successfully delivered 24 sets of 2000-meter deep international suction anchors for the Mero Phase II project in Brazil, marking a significant achievement in deepwater engineering [2] - The suction anchors, which utilize negative pressure to secure marine facilities, are essential for deep-sea energy development and are recognized for their high efficiency, reusability, and load-bearing capacity [2] - The project represents the largest application depth for suction anchors constructed domestically, with a total structural weight of approximately 2674 tons [2] Technical Innovations - The Mero Phase II suction anchors feature a maximum construction height of 21 meters, a diameter of 8 meters, and a wall thickness of only 25 millimeters, presenting substantial construction challenges [3] - The project team pioneered several construction techniques, including horizontal extension and vertical assembly, and employed advanced technologies such as 3D scanning and finite element simulation to address technical difficulties [3] - The quality assurance rate exceeded 99.9%, with dimensional deviations maintained within 1 millimeter per meter, achieving an industry-leading standard [3] Industry Contributions - CNOOC has been enhancing its core technologies in deepwater oil and gas equipment, successfully constructing several significant platforms, including the world's first 100,000-ton semi-submersible production and storage platform [3] - The company has also delivered multiple large-scale floating production storage and offloading units (FPSOs) internationally, contributing to the global deepwater oil and gas equipment market and promoting high-level cooperation in marine energy [3]

Group 1 - The China Securities Index series includes the CSI 500, CSI Hong Kong-Shanghai-Shenzhen Small Comprehensive Index, and CSI Hong Kong-Shanghai-Shenzhen Comprehensive Index, categorized into 11 industries to reflect the overall performance of different industry securities [1][2] - The CSI Hong Kong-Shanghai-Shenzhen Small Comprehensive Energy Index has shown a 2.88% increase over the past month, a 7.73% increase over the past three months, and a 6.22% decrease year-to-date [1] - The top ten holdings in the CSI Hong Kong-Shanghai-Shenzhen Small Comprehensive Energy Index include China Coal Energy (11.12%), Jereh Oilfield Services (6.61%), Meijin Energy (4.44%), and others [1] Group 2 - The market share of the CSI Hong Kong-Shanghai-Shenzhen Small Comprehensive Energy Index is distributed as follows: Shanghai Stock Exchange 52.20%, Shenzhen Stock Exchange 24.29%, and Hong Kong Stock Exchange 23.51% [2] - The industry composition of the index shows that coal accounts for 37.32%, coke for 18.96%, fuel refining for 12.62%, oil and gas extraction for 12.35%, and oilfield services for 9.14% [2] - The index samples are adjusted biannually, with adjustments occurring on the next trading day after the second Friday of June and December [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the oil and petrochemical industry, indicating a "Buy" rating for specific companies within the sector [4][5]. Core Insights - OPEC has announced an unexpected production increase of 548,000 barrels per day for August, but the actual impact of this increase remains to be observed [4][5]. - The upstream sector is experiencing a downward trend in oil prices, with Brent crude oil futures closing at $68.3 per barrel, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 0.78% [4][18]. - The refining sector is seeing mixed results, with overseas refined oil crack spreads declining, while olefin price spreads show varied trends [4][47]. - The polyester sector is facing profitability challenges, but there are expectations for recovery as supply and demand improve [4][13]. Summary by Sections Upstream Sector - OPEC's actual production increase has been lower than expected, with April's total production at approximately 31.1 million barrels per day, a decrease of 210,000 barrels from the previous month [4][8]. - The U.S. oil rig count decreased to 539, down 8 from the previous week and down 46 year-on-year [31][32]. - The report anticipates a widening supply-demand trend in crude oil, with potential downward pressure on prices, but expects prices to stabilize at mid-high levels due to OPEC's production cuts and shale oil cost support [4][18]. Refining Sector - The Singapore refining margin for major products was $14.01 per barrel, down $2.46 from the previous week [51]. - The U.S. gasoline RBOB-WTI spread was $22.37 per barrel, up $0.53 from the previous week, with a historical average of $24.86 per barrel [56]. - The report suggests that refining profitability may improve as economic recovery progresses, despite current low levels [4][47]. Polyester Sector - The PTA price has seen a decline, with the average price in East China at 4,971.4 yuan per ton, down 3.26% week-on-week [4][13]. - The report highlights a potential recovery in the polyester industry, with expectations for improved profitability as supply-demand dynamics shift positively [4][13]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on leading companies in the polyester sector such as Tongkun Co. and Wankai New Materials, as well as top refining companies like Hengli Petrochemical and Sinopec [4][13]. - It also suggests that the upstream exploration and development sector remains robust, with high capital expenditure expected to continue, particularly for offshore oil service companies [4][13].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information provided about the industry investment rating in the given content. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The cease - fire of the Israel - Iran conflict led to a significant decline in international oil prices [1] - The report provides a comprehensive analysis of the weekly data of the US crude oil and refined oil markets, including prices, inventories, production, demand, and import - export volumes [2] - It also presents the performance of the petroleum and petrochemical sector and related listed companies, along with their valuations [21][24] 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Crude Oil Weekly Data Briefing - The data sources include Bloomberg, WIND, EIA, TSA, Baker Hughes, and the Dongwu Securities Research Institute [8][9] 3.2 This Week's Petroleum and Petrochemical Sector Market Review 3.2.1 Petroleum and Petrochemical Sector Performance - Information on the sector's performance includes the sector's sub - industry price changes and the trend of the sector's sub - industries and the CSI 300 index [17] - Data sources are WIND and the Dongwu Securities Research Institute [15][20] 3.2.2 Performance of Listed Companies in the Sector - The report shows the price changes of major companies in the upstream sector in different time periods (last week, last month, last three months, last year, and since the beginning of 2025) [22] - A valuation table for listed companies is provided, including share prices, total market values, net profits attributable to the parent company, PE, and PB ratios from 2024 to 2027 [24] 3.3 Crude Oil Sector Data Tracking 3.3.1 Crude Oil Price - Analyzes the prices and price differences of Brent, WTI, Urals, ESPO crude oils, and the relationships between crude oil prices and the US dollar index, copper prices [29][39][43] - Data sources are WIND and the Dongwu Securities Research Institute [30][32][34] 3.3.2 Crude Oil Inventory - Examines the correlation between US commercial crude oil inventory and oil prices, and the relationship between the weekly destocking rate of US commercial crude oil and the price change of Brent crude oil [45][46] - Presents data on US total crude oil inventory, commercial crude oil inventory, strategic crude oil inventory, and Cushing crude oil inventory [48][49][53] - Data sources are WIND and the Dongwu Securities Research Institute [45][48][49] 3.3.3 Crude Oil Supply - Analyzes US crude oil production, the number of active crude oil rigs, and the number of active fracturing fleets, as well as their relationships with oil prices [57][58] - Data sources are WIND and the Dongwu Securities Research Institute [57][59] 3.3.4 Crude Oil Demand - Analyzes US refinery crude oil processing volume, refinery operating rate, and Shandong refinery operating rate [62][64] - Data sources are WIND and the Dongwu Securities Research Institute [63][64] 3.3.5 Crude Oil Import and Export - Analyzes US crude oil import volume, export volume, net import volume, and the import - export volume of crude oil and petroleum products [67][70] - Data sources are WIND and the Dongwu Securities Research Institute [68][69][70] 3.4 Refined Oil Sector Data Tracking 3.4.1 Refined Oil Price - Analyzes the prices and price differences between crude oil and domestic/US/European/Singapore gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel, as well as the wholesale - retail price differences of domestic gasoline and diesel [75][84][90] - Data sources are WIND and the Dongwu Securities Research Institute [75][77][82] 3.4.2 Refined Oil Inventory - Presents data on US gasoline, diesel, aviation kerosene inventories, and Singapore gasoline and diesel inventories [102][105][111] - Data sources are WIND and the Dongwu Securities Research Institute [102][106][112] 3.4.3 Refined Oil Supply - Analyzes US gasoline, diesel, and aviation kerosene production [117][118][120] - Data sources are WIND and the Dongwu Securities Research Institute [119][120] 3.4.4 Refined Oil Demand - Analyzes US gasoline, diesel, aviation kerosene consumption, and the number of airport security checks for passengers [122][125][129] - Data sources are WIND and the Dongwu Securities Research Institute [123][126][130] 3.4.5 Refined Oil Import and Export - Analyzes the import - export situation and net export volume of US gasoline, diesel, and aviation kerosene [132][135][136] - Data sources are WIND and the Dongwu Securities Research Institute [133][136][137] 3.5 Oil Service Sector Data Tracking - Analyzes the average daily rates of self - elevating and semi - submersible drilling platforms in the industry [146][147][149] - Data sources are WIND and the Dongwu Securities Research Institute [146][148][150]

Group 1: Core Insights - The report highlights five key stocks for July, each representing different industries with strong growth potential and attractive valuations [1][3][4]. Group 2: Industry Summaries - **Electronics - Huakin Technology (603296.SH)**: The company is a global leader in smart product platforms, with data center business expected to ramp up in the second half of the year [3]. - **Textiles and Apparel - Zhejiang Natural (605080.SH)**: The stock is undervalued due to tariff impacts, but is seeing a recovery in orders for old products alongside new product launches, indicating high growth potential [4]. - **Social Services - Tianli International Holdings (1773.HK)**: This company is a leader in K12 private education in China, focusing on high school education and diversifying its brand influence [4]. - **Oil and Petrochemicals - CNOOC Engineering (600583.SH)**: The company benefits from overseas orders, with rapid growth in annual and quarterly performance; projected dividend yield for 2024 is close to 4% [4]. - **New Energy - Putailai (603659.SH)**: The company is expected to see a gradual recovery in lithium battery anode performance, with small-scale production orders for CVD silicon-carbon anodes and plans for production in 2025 [4].