Core Viewpoint - The petrochemical sector is experiencing slight adjustments, with the CSI Petrochemical Industry Index declining approximately 0.65% in early trading on January 29. The sector shows mixed performance among constituent stocks, with notable gains from companies like Sankeshu and Rongsheng Petrochemical, while companies like Hebang Bio and Xingfa Group are underperforming [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - The largest petrochemical ETF (159731) has seen continuous net inflows over the past 16 days, totaling 838 million yuan, reaching a new high in size at 1.166 billion yuan with a total of 1.106 billion shares [1]. - The CSI Petrochemical Industry Index is primarily composed of the basic chemical and petroleum sectors, which together account for over 91% of the index's weight [1]. Group 2: Investment Recommendations - Guolian Minsheng Securities recommends focusing on industry leaders with stable performance and high dividends, specifically China National Petroleum and China Petroleum & Chemical [1]. - The oil price is expected to have a bottom, leading to high earnings certainty for oil companies, with a recommendation to pay attention to China National Offshore Oil Corporation, which has low barrel oil costs and continuous production growth [1]. - The domestic encouragement for oil and gas reserve increases suggests monitoring companies in the growth phase of production, such as New Natural Gas and Man Oil [1].

场需求；国内市场方面，自 2018 年油气增储上产"七年行动计划"落地 实施以来，石油企业被明确赋予增储上产主体责任，原油产量增长的推 进节奏受油价短期波动的影响相对较小，行业整体保持稳定的勘探开发 投入。同时，国内天然气开发力度持续加大，进一步带动了公司主营产 品的需求增长。目前公司依托政策持续推进与市场需求的双重支撑，在 国内市场实现了稳步发展。 3.公司与北美四大石油服务公司是否存在竞争关系？ 答：公司与北美四大石油服务公司在螺杆钻具领域存在直接竞争，同时 双方也在部分业务上开展合作。例如，公司凭借先进的螺杆钻具加工设 备、完善的品控管理体系和过硬的质量把控能力，与国际知名油服企业 开展螺杆钻具核心部件的销售业务。 编号：2026-002 投资者关系活动 类别 特定对象调研 □分析师会议 □媒体采访 □业绩说明会 □新闻发布会 □路演活动 现场参观 电话会议 □其他 参与单位名称及 人员姓名 西南证券 胡光怿 时间 2026 年 1 月 28 日 16:00-17:30 地点 公司三楼办公室 上市公司接待人 员姓名 副总经理、董事会秘书 王海斌 证券事务代表 张 峰 投资者关系活动 主要内容介绍 一、公 ...

Core Viewpoint - The oil service industry is expected to maintain a favorable business environment due to stable oil prices and increasing demand for oil and gas, supported by rising capital expenditures from upstream oil companies [1][3]. Group 1: Industry Outlook - The international oil price is currently above $65 per barrel, with geopolitical uncertainties providing some support [2]. - Upstream capital expenditures are expected to increase, leading to accelerated development in oil fields and related services such as perforation, fracturing, logging, and completion [2][5]. - Oil service companies are seeing a rise in order volumes, particularly from international oil companies, indicating a positive trend for the industry [3][4]. Group 2: Company Developments - Chevron plans to maintain its 2026 capital expenditure between $18 billion and $19 billion, a 22% increase from 2025, with a significant portion allocated to upstream activities [2]. - Phillips 66 has raised its 2026 capital budget to $2.4 billion, reflecting a broader trend of increasing investment in oil exploration and production [2]. - Companies like Jereh and China National Petroleum Engineering are securing significant contracts, indicating robust demand for oil service capabilities [4].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Guosen Securities has given China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) an "outperform" rating based on several positive developments in its operations [1] Group 2 - The Weizhou 11-4 oilfield adjustment and surrounding area development project has commenced production, reaching a peak output of 16,900 barrels per day [1] - The Xijiang oilfield group 24 area development project has also started production, achieving a peak output of 18,000 barrels per day [1] - A significant oilfield discovery of 1 billion tons has been made in the shallow layers of the Bohai Sea, specifically at the Qinhuangdao 29-6 site, which strengthens the resource base for increased reserves and production [1] - The Bohai oilfield is projected to exceed an annual oil and gas equivalent production of 40 million tons by 2025, providing solid support for national energy security [1]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [2][7] Core Insights - The company has announced the production commencement of the Weizhou 11-4 oilfield adjustment and surrounding area development project, with a peak production capacity of 16,900 barrels per day expected by 2026 [4][8] - The West Jiang oilfield group 24 area development project is also set to commence production, with a peak production capacity of 18,000 barrels per day anticipated by 2026 [4][9] - A significant discovery of a billion-ton oilfield, Qinhuangdao 29-6, has been made in the Bohai Sea, which is expected to solidify the resource base for increased production [5][10] - The Bohai oilfield is projected to exceed an annual production equivalent of 40 million tons by 2025, contributing significantly to national energy security [6][11] - The company maintains its net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 at 126.3 billion, 129.7 billion, and 135 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 2.66, 2.73, and 2.84 yuan, and PE ratios of 10.6, 10.3, and 9.9x [6][11] Summary by Relevant Sections Project Developments - The Weizhou 11-4 oilfield project will utilize existing facilities and is expected to reach a peak production of 16,900 barrels per day by 2026, with 35 wells planned [4][8] - The West Jiang oilfield group 24 area project will also leverage existing infrastructure, aiming for a peak production of 18,000 barrels per day by 2026, featuring innovative technology for continuous production [4][9] Resource Discoveries - The Qinhuangdao 29-6 oilfield discovery in the Bohai Sea has confirmed geological reserves exceeding 100 million tons of oil equivalent, showcasing the exploration potential in the area [5][10] Production and Financial Forecasts - The Bohai oilfield's annual production is expected to surpass 40 million tons by 2025, marking it as a crucial asset for national energy security [6][11] - The company projects steady growth in net profits and earnings per share over the next few years, maintaining a favorable valuation outlook [6][11]

Core Viewpoint - China Petroleum reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, but showed growth in Q3 revenue and net profit compared to the previous quarter [1][3]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 2169.256 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 3.92%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 126.279 billion yuan, down 4.90% year-on-year [1]. - In Q3 2025, the company recorded operating revenue of 719.157 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.34% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 3.18%, with a net profit of 42.286 billion yuan, down 3.86% year-on-year but up 13.71% quarter-on-quarter [1]. Oil and Gas Operations - The company has proven oil reserves of 6.18 billion barrels and natural gas reserves of 728 trillion cubic feet as of 2024 [1]. - From January to September 2025, the average realized price of crude oil was $65.55 per barrel, a decrease of 14.7% compared to the same period in 2024 [2]. - The company produced 714.3 million barrels of crude oil, a year-on-year increase of 0.8%, and sold 3977.2 billion cubic feet of natural gas, a year-on-year increase of 4.6% [2]. Chemical and New Materials Business - The company’s chemical products output reached 29.59 million tons from January to September 2025, a year-on-year increase of 3.3%, with new materials production growing by 59.4% [2]. - The successful commissioning of the Jilin ethylene project and ongoing projects in Guangxi and Blue Ocean New Materials are expected to drive rapid growth in the chemical sector [3]. Sales Performance - The total sales of gasoline, kerosene, and diesel reached 120.876 million tons from January to September 2025, a year-on-year increase of 0.8%, while natural gas sales were 218.541 billion cubic meters, up 4.2% year-on-year [3]. Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendation - The company is expected to maintain a compound annual growth rate of 2.99% in net profit attributable to shareholders over the next three years, with a target price of 13.02 yuan based on a 14x PE for 2026, and a "buy" rating has been initiated [3].

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, but showed resilience in its performance despite low oil prices [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 312.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.1%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 101.97 billion yuan, down 12.6% year-on-year [1]. - For Q3 2025, the company recorded operating revenue of 104.89 billion yuan, an increase of 5.7% year-on-year and 4.1% quarter-on-quarter, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 32.44 billion yuan, a decrease of 12.2% year-on-year and 1.6% quarter-on-quarter [1]. Group 2: Oil Price Impact - The average settlement price of Brent crude oil futures for the first three quarters of 2025 was $69.91 per barrel, a year-on-year decline of 14.6%. In Q3 2025, the average price was $68.17 per barrel, down 13.4% year-on-year but up 2.18% quarter-on-quarter [2]. - The company’s realized price for oil liquids in the first three quarters of 2025 was $68.29 per barrel, a decrease of 13.6% year-on-year, indicating that the decline in oil prices has impacted the company's performance [2]. Group 3: Production Growth - The company has been actively increasing oil and gas reserves and production, with total production in Q3 2025 reaching 194 million barrels of oil equivalent, a year-on-year increase of 7.85%. Crude oil production was 149 million barrels, up 7.12% year-on-year, and natural gas production was 261.3 billion cubic feet, an increase of 10.96% year-on-year [3]. - Capital expenditure for Q3 2025 was 28.43 billion yuan, a decrease of 11.7% year-on-year, reflecting a reduction in the workload of ongoing projects while still maintaining a high level to support business operations [3]. Group 4: New Projects and Future Outlook - The company has accelerated the development of key capacity construction projects, with several new projects successfully coming online, including the Kenli 10-2 oilfield group and the Dongfang 1-1 gas field in July 2025, the Guyana Yellowtail project in August, and the Wenchang 16-2 oilfield in September [4]. - The ongoing progress of other new projects is expected to sustain high growth rates in oil and gas production, indicating strong growth potential for the company [4]. Group 5: Profit Forecast - The company is expected to maintain strong profit certainty with oil prices stabilizing at mid-to-high levels, projecting net profits attributable to shareholders of 132.3 billion yuan, 136 billion yuan, and 140.1 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with corresponding EPS of 2.78 yuan, 2.86 yuan, and 2.95 yuan, and PE ratios of 9.7X, 9.4X, and 9.2X [5].

Core Viewpoint - China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) reported strong operational performance for the first three quarters of 2025, with significant increases in oil and gas production and revenue generation [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - Oil and gas sales revenue reached 255.48 billion yuan, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 101.97 billion yuan [1]. - The net production of oil and gas for the first three quarters was 578.3 million barrels of oil equivalent, representing a year-on-year increase of 6.7% [1]. - Domestic net production was 400.8 million barrels of oil equivalent, up 8.6% year-on-year, driven by contributions from projects like Deep Sea No. 1 Phase II and Bohai Zhong 19-2 [1]. - Overseas net production was 177.4 million barrels of oil equivalent, an increase of 2.6% year-on-year, primarily due to the Mero 3 project in Brazil [1]. - In the third quarter, net production reached 193.7 million barrels of oil equivalent, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7.9% [1]. Group 2: Exploration and Development - In the first three quarters, the company made five new discoveries and successfully evaluated 22 oil and gas structures [1]. - The third quarter saw the successful evaluation of Kenli 10-6, which is expected to become a medium-sized oil field, and significant results from the integrated rolling reserve increase at Ling Shui 17-2 [1]. - The company launched 14 new projects in the first three quarters, including the development of the Kenli 10-2 oil field group (Phase I), Dongfang 29-1 gas field, Wenchang 19-1 oil field, and the Guyana Yellowtail project [1]. Group 3: Management Outlook - The President of CNOOC, Yan Hongtao, stated that the company is steadily advancing engineering construction and effectively controlling costs, aiming to meet annual production and operational targets in the fourth quarter [2].

Core Viewpoint - The oil service industry continues to show strong performance in Q3, driven by increased investment from oil and gas companies and a favorable market environment due to stable international oil prices [1][2][4]. Group 1: Company Performance - ShenKai Co. reported a revenue of 568 million yuan in the first three quarters, a year-on-year increase of 14.47%, and a net profit of 37.775 million yuan, up 86.46% [2]. - DeShi Co. achieved a net profit of 95.716 million yuan in the first three quarters, reflecting a 50.13% year-on-year growth, with Q3 net profit reaching 50.549 million yuan, a 75.47% increase [2]. - JieRui Co. reported a revenue of 10.42 billion yuan, a 29.49% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 1.808 billion yuan, up 13.11% [2]. - BeiKen Energy's revenue for the first three quarters was 747 million yuan, a 23.38% increase, with a net profit of 29.014 million yuan, up 19.21% [3]. - HaiYou Development reported a revenue of 33.947 billion yuan, a 0.81% increase, and a net profit of 2.853 billion yuan, up 6.11% [3]. Group 2: Industry Trends - The oil service industry is experiencing a positive outlook due to increased capital expenditures from upstream oil companies, leading to more business opportunities for oil service firms [2][3][5]. - Major contracts have been signed, such as HaiYou Engineering's contract with PTTEP worth approximately 800 million USD and China National Petroleum Engineering's contract in Iraq valued at 2.524 billion USD [4]. - Global oil giants, like Saudi Aramco, are planning significant investments in new projects, indicating a robust demand for oil service equipment and services [5]. - Domestic developments, such as the discovery of a new shale oil resource in the Sichuan Basin, further enhance the growth potential for the oil service sector [5].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating to the company for the first time [5]. Core Views - The company is a leading integrated oilfield service provider globally, with services spanning the entire offshore oil and gas exploration, development, and production process [14]. - The company is expected to benefit from the rising demand for offshore oil and gas development in China, supported by the capital expenditure plans of China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) [2][43]. - The drilling service segment is experiencing an upward cycle, with high platform utilization rates and potential for daily rates to increase [2][21]. - The oilfield technology service segment is characterized by lower cyclicality and is expected to see steady revenue growth due to technological advancements [3][27]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company operates in four main business segments: drilling services, oilfield technical services, marine services, and geophysical exploration services [14]. - It holds a dominant position in the nearshore drilling market in China and has extensive experience in offshore oilfield services [14][21]. Market Outlook - Oil prices are expected to stabilize in the range of $60-65 per barrel, with OPEC+ maintaining a strong interest in supporting oil prices [2][43]. - The transition from land to offshore oil and gas exploration is driven by limited land resources and rising extraction costs [2]. Financial Projections - Revenue is projected to grow from 44,109 million yuan in 2023 to 62,957 million yuan in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 10.5% [4]. - Net profit is expected to increase from 3,013 million yuan in 2023 to 4,556 million yuan in 2027, with a CAGR of about 14.7% [4]. - The estimated price-to-earnings (PE) ratio for 2025 is projected to be between 18.6 and 20.0 times [3][4]. Valuation - The reasonable valuation range for the company's stock is estimated to be between 13.62 and 14.60 yuan, indicating a potential upside of 0% to 4.06% compared to the current stock price of 14.03 yuan [5][3]. - The company is expected to maintain a healthy return on equity (ROE) of around 7.6% in 2025, increasing to 8.9% by 2027 [4].