Core Insights - The S&P 500 has experienced a 2% decline in early 2025, but the market remains volatile with notable winners and losers [1] - Three stocks have significantly outperformed in the first quarter of 2025, with one stock seeing a price increase of 40% [2] Company Performance - Redfin (RDFN) is the best-performing stock, up nearly 40% due to its acquisition by Rocket Companies (RKT), which aims to create an all-in-one real estate platform [3][4] - Rocket Companies originated over $100 billion in loan volume in 2024, indicating strong potential for synergies with Redfin's platform, which attracts about 50 million monthly visitors [4] - MercadoLibre (MELI) has seen a 27% increase in stock price, driven by a strong fourth-quarter earnings report that exceeded expectations [6] - In Q4, MercadoLibre's e-commerce marketplace sold 27% more items, and its payment platform, Mercado Pago, experienced a 33% increase in payment volume [6] - Sea Limited (SE) has gained 23% in 2025, following a remarkable 160% increase in 2024, with all business segments performing better than expected [8][9] - Sea's revenue grew by 39% in Q4, and the company generated $238 million in net income, a significant turnaround from a $112 million loss the previous year [10] Investment Strategy - The company is currently in a wait-and-see mode regarding Redfin, with no immediate plans to sell shares [11] - MercadoLibre remains the largest investment among the three stocks, with plans to continue adding to the position, especially during market fluctuations [13] - Sea Limited is on the watch list for potential future investments due to its impressive turnaround and growth prospects [12]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total GAAP revenue increased by 37% year on year to $5 billion in Q4 2024 and by 29% year on year to $16.8 billion for the full year 2024, driven primarily by GMV growth in e-commerce and digital financial services [35][38] - Total adjusted EBITDA was $591 million in Q4 2024 compared to $127 million in Q4 2023, and for the full year 2024, it was $2 billion compared to $1.2 billion in 2023 [35][38] - Net income was $238 million in Q4 2024 compared to a net loss of $112 million in Q4 2023, and for the full year, net income was $448 million compared to $163 million in 2023 [40] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes E-commerce - Shopee's GMV surpassed $100 billion for the first time in 2024, with GMV growing 28% year on year and gross orders increasing by 20% year on year to 3 billion in Q4 2024 [9][35] - E-commerce adjusted EBITDA was $152 million in Q4 2024, compared to an adjusted EBITDA loss of $225 million in Q4 2023, achieving positive adjusted EBITDA for the full year 2024 [35][37] Digital Financial Services - Digital financial services GAAP revenue increased by 55% year on year to $733 million in Q4 2024 and by 35% year on year to $2.4 billion for the full year 2024 [38] - The loan book size reached $5.1 billion, with a 64% year on year increase, and the non-performing loans ratio was stable at 1.2% [38][21] Digital Entertainment - Digital entertainment bookings were $543 million in Q4 2024, up 19% year on year, and $2.1 billion for the full year 2024, also up 19% year on year [39] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Brazil, average monthly active buyers increased by more than 40% year on year in Q4 2024, significantly outpacing the industry average [17] - Shopee's live streaming contributed around 15% of overall order volume for physical goods in Southeast Asia, with strong growth in unique streamers and viewers [14] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to pursue high-quality growth by driving both top-line and bottom-line expansion in a healthy and sustainable manner, with a focus on operational excellence and structural cost advantages [32] - The strategy includes enhancing price competitiveness, improving service quality, and strengthening the content ecosystem, particularly through AI adoption [10][12][18] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the growth potential for 2025, expecting Shopee's GMV growth to be around 20% with improving profitability [19][43] - The company remains committed to risk management in its digital financial services segment while scaling rapidly [19][21] Other Important Information - The company celebrated its fifteenth anniversary in 2024, reflecting on its growth across three business verticals [6] - The integration of AI has improved service quality and operational efficiency, contributing to cost savings and enhanced user experiences [13][92] Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights on 2025 GMV growth guidance for e-commerce - Management expects 20% GMV growth driven by user number growth and purchase frequencies, with profitability expected to improve compared to 2024 [43][44] Question: Drivers behind fintech performance and loan book growth - The growth is attributed to expanding into newer markets and a focus on prime user segments, with expectations for the loan book to grow faster than Shopee's GMV [45][46] Question: Logistics and fulfillment strategy in Brazil - The fulfillment model is in early stages, aimed at improving seller service and delivery times without significant impact on profitability [64][66] Question: Take rate outlook and cash usage - Management sees potential for gradual take rate increases while remaining open to various uses of cash, including dividends and potential acquisitions [81][82] Question: AI's impact on cost efficiency and monetization - AI has improved search accuracy and customer service efficiency, leading to cost savings and better monetization through enhanced user engagement [88][92]

Core Insights - Investors may hesitate to buy growth stocks with significant share price increases, but strong earnings and positive business prospects often justify these gains [1][2] - Assessing the underlying business is crucial to determine its potential for sustained growth, focusing on competitive position, growth catalysts, and total addressable market [2] Company Summaries Meta Platforms - Meta Platforms' share price increased by 48% over the past year, reaching an all-time high of $740, supported by strong revenue and net income growth [4] - Revenue is projected to grow from $116.609 billion in 2022 to $164.501 billion in 2024, with net income nearly tripling from $23.200 billion to $62.360 billion during the same period [5] - The company generated $19.3 billion in free cash flow in 2022, increasing to $54.1 billion by 2024, and raised its quarterly dividend by 5% to $0.525 [5] - Daily active users rose to 3.35 billion, with average revenue per user increasing by 15.6% to $14.25 [6] - Meta plans to invest $65 billion in AI infrastructure, aiming to enhance product offerings and customer engagement [7] Sea Limited - Sea Limited's share price nearly tripled in the past year, with strong growth across its e-commerce, digital entertainment, and financial services divisions [8] - Revenue grew from $9.955 billion in 2021 to $13.064 billion in 2023, while net income improved from a loss of $2.047 billion to a profit of $150.726 million [10] - The company generated $2 billion in free cash flow in the first nine months of 2024, surpassing the total for 2023 [11] - Shopee maintained a 48% market share in Southeast Asia, with gross orders rising by 27.3% year over year [12] Cloudflare - Cloudflare's share price surged by 53% in the past year, driven by significant revenue and operating cash flow growth [13] - Revenue increased from $656.426 million in 2021 to $1.297 billion in 2023, with operating cash flow nearly quadrupling during the same period [14] - In 2024, revenue rose by 28.8% to $1.7 billion, with gross margin improving to 77.3% [15] - The company aims to expand its customer base and increase spending among existing customers, with a total addressable market projected to grow from $176 billion in 2024 to $222 billion by 2027 [17]