Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Core Viewpoints - The Asia IG space was 1 - 2bps wider this morning, with better selling on KR/JP/HK T2s [4]. - Tactical buyers continued to pick up cheaper offers in higher - yielding LGFV names in preparation for next year, while lower - yielding CNH issues remained under selling pressure [3]. - The report maintains a buy rating on PCORPM 7.35 Perp due to better carry, trading liquidity, smooth access to diverse funding channels, and notably lower refinancing pressure [11]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Trading Desk Comments - There was better selling on Japanese names such as NOMURA/JERA/KUB/MITCO/MIZUHO/MUFG. Small selling on the BBLTB curve occurred due to news of new USD issues. PBs were buying Asia/Yankee FRNs with wider spreads. Mixed two - way flows were seen on AU/KR lower - spread names. Chinese onshore accounts were buying FRNs of leasing/security houses. Macau gaming names had price changes ranging from unchanged to 0.2pt lower, LIHHK 26 was 0.5pt higher, the NWDEVL complex was unchanged to 0.9pt lower, LASUDE 26 was down by 0.7pt. In Chinese properties, VNKRLE 27 was 0.2pt lower while VNKRLE 29 was 0.2pt higher, and some other property papers had price drops [2]. Analyst Comments - PCORPM's net leverage improved due to lower net working capital. Its revenue declined by 10% yoy in 9M25, mainly due to lower sales volume and selling price. However, gross profit increased by 15% yoy, EBITDA grew by 11% yoy, and net profit surged 37% yoy. Free cash flow jumped 361% from 9M24 to PHP47bn. The report maintains a buy on PCORPM 7.35 Perp [8][9][11]. - WESCHI proposes to issue a new USD bond to fund a tender offer for WESCHI 26 at 101.238. Holders of WESCHI 26 who subscribe to the new bond may get priority in the tender offer and preferential allocation. The offer expires on 28 Nov '25 5pm CET, and WESCHI 26 was 0.4pt higher this morning [4]. Top Performers and Underperformers - Top performers include PTTTB 4 1/2 10/25/42 (price 88.7, change 0.6), CRNAU 9 1/4 10/01/29 (price 92.4, change 0.6), CQSXGU 6.95 08/07/28 (price 99.1, change 0.6), LIHHK 4.8 06/18/26 (price 94.9, change 0.5), ROADKG 6 03/04/29 (price 19.5, change 0.5) [5]. - Top underperformers include NWDEVL 5 1/4 PERP (price 45.1, change - 0.9), TENCNT 3.68 04/22/41 (price 85.5, change - 0.9), NWDEVL 6 1/4 PERP (price 44.7, change - 0.8), LASUDE 5 07/28/26 (price 68.1, change - 0.7), NWDEVL 10.131 PERP (price 48.3, change - 0.6) [5]. Macro News Recap - On Monday, S&P (-0.92%), Dow (-1.18%), and Nasdaq (-0.84%) were lower, and UST yield was lower. The 2/5/10/30 - year yield was at 3.60%/3.72%/4.13%/4.73% [7]. Offshore Asia New Issues - Priced: Guilin ETDZ Holding Group issued a 3 - year USD40mn bond with a 5.0% coupon at 5.0% and is unrated [15]. - Pipeline: Sichuan Kaizhou Development Holding plans a 3 - year bond with a 6.5% coupon and is unrated; The Hong Kong Mortgage Corporation plans a 5 - year bond at T + 50 with a rating of Aa3/AA+/- [16]. News and Market Color - 98 credit bonds were issued onshore yesterday with an amount of RMB120bn. Month - to - date, 1,027 credit bonds were issued with a total amount of RMB1,115bn, a 27.9% yoy increase. S&P upgraded Bharti Airtel to BBB from BBB - and Del Monte Pacific 2QFY26 sales rose 10% yoy to USD234.9mn [17]. - Danantara will restore all grounded Garuda Indonesia aircraft by next year. Geely Automobile seeks a USD1.5bn - equivalent one - year loan for ZEEKR take - private. S&P downgraded Longfor to BB - from BB. NWD announced early tender results of its USD bonds and perps. Rio Tinto pauses a AUD215mn (cUSD140mn) BioIron green steel project. Transurban launches tender offers for TCLAU 3.375 03/22/27 and EUR bonds due 2028 and 2030 [23].

Summary of China Property Market Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call focused on the **China Property** market, highlighting significant declines in investment, completion rates, and home prices as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) for October 2025. Key Points and Arguments Investment and Sales Trends - **Real Estate Investment (REI)** dropped by **22.5% year-over-year** in October, worsening from a **21.6% decline** in September, marking the sharpest decline since November 2022 [1] - **Completion rates** fell by **28% year-over-year**, a significant drop from a **1.5% increase** in September [1] - **New construction starts** decreased by **29% year-over-year**, compared to a **14% decline** in September [1] - **Residential sales** saw a **25% decline**, with the gross floor area (GFA) sold down **20%**, both representing the largest retreats since May 2024 [1] - The **70-cities price index** showed a widening decline, with new home prices down **0.5% month-over-month** and secondary home prices down **0.7% month-over-month** [1] Macro Economic Context - October exports experienced a **1.1% decline**, the first drop in eight months, while fixed asset investment (FAI) missed expectations with a **12% decline** [1] - Credit data remained soft, with new loans and total social financing (TSF) at **RMB 0.2 trillion** and **RMB 0.8 trillion**, respectively, below consensus estimates [1] - Retail sales showed stability with a **2.9% increase**, while the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) exceeded expectations [1] Local Government Initiatives - Local governments are promoting high-quality property development under the **15th Five-Year Plan**, with new rules linking completed home sales to new land sales [2] - For instance, Pingjiang County in Hunan requires completed home sales for new land acquisitions, with completed homes accounting for **62%** of local sales [2] - Fujian's Fuzhou is linking pre-sales approvals to property firms' credit profiles, and Guangzhou mandates **100% pre-fabrication** for new residential lands starting in 2026 [2] Market Dynamics - Secondary sales in **18 key cities** dropped by **29% year-over-year** in October, with average weekly volumes at **21,000 units**, the second-lowest year-to-date [3] - Listings in **39 cities** remained flat month-over-month, but Tier-1 cities saw a **1.5% increase** [3] - The flexibility in secondary price cuts may lead to continued price weakness and shift demand from new homes to the secondary market [3] Sector Outlook - The property sector is expected to experience range-bound trading, with limited new property policies anticipated apart from execution urgencies [4] - Property sales are likely to remain soft in **Q4 2025** due to high bases and limited support from easing measures in low-tier cities [4] - However, top-10 cities are showing mild growth, with **82%** of listed companies' land acquisitions occurring in these areas, and luxury home sales are outperforming with improved margins [4] - Preferred investment targets include companies with luxury and quality products, such as Jinmao, C&D, CRL, and COLI, which has shown strong sales in Tier-1 cities [4] Additional Insights - The **National Residential Inventory** reached **396 million sqm** by October 2025, indicating a significant amount of unsold inventory [24] - The **transaction amount** for overall real estate in October was **RMB 598 billion**, reflecting a **25.5% decline** year-over-year [9] - The **average weekly primary transaction volume** in October was down **35.4% year-over-year**, indicating a significant slowdown in market activity [27] Conclusion The China property market is facing substantial challenges with declining investment, sales, and prices. Local government initiatives aim to stimulate high-quality development, but the overall outlook remains cautious, particularly for the remainder of 2025. Investors are advised to focus on companies with strong fundamentals and luxury offerings amidst the ongoing market volatility.

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call focuses on the **China Real Estate** sector, highlighting the current market dynamics and sentiment shifts within the industry [2][6]. Core Insights and Arguments 1. **Market Sentiment**: The property market is experiencing softened sentiment, particularly in the high-end housing segment, indicating potential instability despite previous recovery efforts [2][6]. 2. **Government Policy Impact**: The effectiveness of government policies aimed at improving living standards and housing demand is questioned, suggesting that these measures may not be sufficient to stabilize the new home market [2][6]. 3. **Investor Outlook**: Investors are advised to remain vigilant for potential supportive housing market policies that could act as catalysts for stock performance, especially during periods of low policy expectations [2][6]. 4. **Earnings Visibility**: Companies such as CRL, C&D, and Seazen are highlighted as key picks due to their strong fundamentals and higher earnings visibility compared to peers [3][6]. 5. **Home Price Trends**: Recent data indicates a decline in home prices in tier-1 cities like Beijing and Shanghai, which may improve affordability and rental yields, potentially leading to market stabilization [7][6]. 6. **Project Launch Strategies**: Developers are delaying project launches due to subdued sales momentum, with selective price adjustments expected to facilitate sales and capital recycling [7][6]. 7. **Regional Resilience**: Low-tier cities, particularly tier-3 cities in Fujian Province, are showing greater resilience compared to top-tier cities, emphasizing the importance of product positioning [7][6]. 8. **Market Recovery Expectations**: Beike has indicated a potential housing market turnaround by the end of 2026 or early 2027, with a projected normalized Gross Transaction Value (GTV) of RMB 15 trillion [7][6]. Additional Important Points 1. **Sell-Through Rates**: The sell-through rates of key projects launched by various developers are provided, indicating varying performance levels across different companies [15][16]. 2. **Valuation Metrics**: The report includes valuation metrics for several property developers, with target prices and upside potential highlighted for CR Land, C&D International, and Seazen [27][27]. 3. **Risks Identified**: Key risks to the outlook include the inability to maintain sales momentum, lower-than-expected margins, and uncertainties related to macroeconomic and property-specific policies [27][27]. This summary encapsulates the essential insights and data points discussed during the conference call, providing a comprehensive overview of the current state and future outlook of the China Real Estate sector.

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Core Insights - Anlong Lake Real Estate Development Co., Ltd. is highlighted as a key player in the real estate sector, indicating its significant market presence and potential for growth [2] Company Overview - The company is involved in the development of real estate projects, focusing on residential and commercial properties [2] - Anlong Lake Real Estate has been expanding its portfolio, which may enhance its competitive edge in the market [2] Industry Context - The real estate industry is experiencing fluctuations due to various economic factors, impacting investment opportunities [2] - There is a growing demand for residential properties, which could benefit companies like Anlong Lake Real Estate [2]

Summary of China Property Monthly Tracker Industry Overview - The report focuses on the **Chinese property market**, highlighting significant declines in new property starts, sales, and construction activities, indicating a downturn in the sector. Key Points Market Performance - **New starts** in October 2025 fell to the lowest monthly level (excluding January and February) since the current downturn began [2][9] - **Primary sales** volume and value declined by **19%** and **24%** year-over-year (YoY), respectively, while construction activities (completion and new starts) plunged nearly **30%** YoY [2][9] - **Secondary sales volume** also fell short of expectations, contributing to a broader weakening in market sentiment and income expectations [2][9] Price Trends - The **average selling price (ASP)** for properties continued to decline, with primary ASPs down **0.5%** month-over-month (MoM) and secondary ASPs down **0.7%** MoM in October [9][31] - The **ASP** in tier-1 cities showed a **0.3%** decline for primary and **0.9%** for secondary markets, indicating a divergence in pricing trends [9][31] Future Expectations - For November 2025, expectations include: 1. Continued price weakness, especially in secondary ASPs across all cities [3][11] 2. An expansion in the YoY decline for primary transaction volume and value, with new starts remaining weak [3][11] 3. A narrowing trend in secondary transaction volume YoY, but still recording substantial declines [3][11] 4. A further decline in land sales volume and a potential negative YoY change in land sales value [3][11] Developer Insights - Developers' land acquisition profitability improved slightly month-over-month in October, with land acquisition spending averaging **28%** of contract sales, down from **54%** in September [2][10] - The report notes that developers are likely to be less aggressive in land banking for the remainder of the year, having largely met their full-year land replenishment plans [18][10] Government Policies and Market Sentiment - The report highlights ongoing discussions regarding the removal of housing purchase restrictions in core districts of tier-1 cities, which could positively impact home purchases [4][10] - There is a noted deterioration in the demand-side strength score, which dropped to **37 out of 100**, indicating a challenging environment for home purchases and secondary market performance [53][55] Construction and Investment Trends - Construction activities are expected to see a high single-digit percentage decline YoY for completions and a **30-40%** decline for new starts in November [17][11] - Developers are expected to focus on smaller projects with better ASP visibility and easier product positioning, rather than larger land parcels requiring phased development [18][10] Financial Metrics - The report provides a detailed summary of key market indicators, including: - **GFA sold**: **61 million sqm** in October, down **18.8%** YoY - **Property sales**: **Rmb 0.6 trillion**, down **24.3%** YoY - **ASP**: **Rmb 9,723/sqm**, down **6.8%** YoY - **New starts**: **37 million sqm**, down **29.5%** YoY - **Completions**: **37 million sqm**, down **28.2%** YoY [20][29] Conclusion - The Chinese property market is experiencing significant challenges, with declining sales, construction activities, and prices. The outlook for November remains cautious, with expectations of continued weakness in both primary and secondary markets. Developers are adjusting their strategies in response to market conditions, and government policies may play a crucial role in shaping future demand.

Summary of the Conference Call Transcript Industry Overview - The report focuses on the **Vietnamese equity market**, particularly the **VN30 index** and various sectors within it, including **Consumer Discretionary**, **Real Estate**, **Information Technology**, and **Materials** [2][8][9]. Key Findings Earnings Results - Most sectors in the Vietnamese market **missed earnings expectations** this quarter, with **six sectors** delivering misses and **three sectors** posting beats. Notably, **Consumer Discretionary** and **Real Estate** were among the sectors that beat expectations, with Real Estate achieving this for the **third consecutive quarter** [2][9]. Sales and Earnings Revisions - Overall revisions for sales and earnings lean slightly positive. There is a minor negative adjustment to aggregate earnings for **2026E** and **2027E**, but the magnitude is negligible. The ratio of positive to negative revisions does not indicate a broadly negative outlook [3][11]. - **Consumer Discretionary** and **Consumer Staples** showed meaningful upward revisions across all three forward years, while **Information Technology** and **Materials** faced downward revisions [3][15][18]. Sector Performance - **Consumer Discretionary** and **Real Estate** sectors performed well, with **Consumer Discretionary** achieving a **100% beat rate** among its constituents [10]. - **Information Technology** and **Materials** sectors faced challenges, with **Information Technology** experiencing misses across all three forward years [15][18]. Valuations - As of **November 11, 2025**, the VN30 index was trading at **2.1x** 12-month forward price-to-book (PB), which is **6.6% above** its 10-year average of **2.0x**. Year-to-date performance in USD terms is on par with **MSCI Emerging Markets** but outperformed **MSCI ASEAN** by **21%** [4]. Preferred Stocks - The report identifies preferred stocks in Vietnam, including: - **Mobile World Investment (MWG)**: Price target of **96,000 VND** for 2025, with a market cap of **4.334 billion USD** and a **P/E ratio** of **18.2x** for 2025. - **Asia Commercial Joint Stock Bank (ACB)**: Price target of **40,000 VND**, market cap of **4.851 billion USD**, and a **P/E ratio** of **7.3x** for 2025. - **Hoa Phat Group (HPG)**: Price target of **34,000 VND**, market cap of **7.759 billion USD**, and a **P/E ratio** of **13.3x** for 2025. - **Nam Long Investment Corporation (NLG)**: Price target of **42,000 VND**, market cap of **670 million USD**, and a **P/E ratio** of **14.9x** for 2025 [5]. Consensus Rating Changes - The consensus rating distribution has skewed towards downgrades post-results, particularly in the **Real Estate** sector, which did not experience upgrades despite delivering strong results [22]. Risks and Challenges - The report highlights various risks for the preferred stocks, including: - **Mobile World**: Risks related to strategic planning, operational errors, and competition. - **ACB**: Risks from competition, regulatory challenges, and potential asset quality issues. - **Hoa Phat Group**: Risks from regulatory challenges, trade protectionism, and reliance on imported raw materials. - **Nam Long**: Risks related to land access, project pre-sales uncertainties, and execution of strategy [27][28][29][30]. Conclusion - The Vietnamese equity market shows mixed results with certain sectors outperforming while others face challenges. The overall sentiment remains cautiously optimistic, with specific stocks identified as potential investment opportunities amidst the evolving market landscape [3][4][22].

Core Viewpoint - Bill Ackman sees significant upside potential in his investments, particularly in Uber, Brookfield Corporation, and Alphabet, among others, due to their strong fundamentals and growth prospects [1][2]. Investment Strategy - Ackman focuses on high-quality businesses with strong cash flow and limited downside risk, often taking activist positions to unlock shareholder value [2][3]. Portfolio Overview - Pershing Square Capital Management holds shares in 15 large-cap companies, with 75% of its $15 billion stock portfolio concentrated in five key holdings [3]. Key Holdings - **Uber Technologies (19.6%)**: Ackman appreciates Uber's strong network effects, management quality, operational performance, and cash flow, expecting earnings per share to grow over 30% annually [4][5]. - **Brookfield Corporation (17.7%)**: Added to the portfolio in 2024, Brookfield is positioned for growth due to AI infrastructure demand and an aging population, potentially quadrupling its wealth solutions asset base to $600 billion [6][8]. - **Alphabet (14.4%)**: Ackman has invested in Alphabet due to its rapid AI integration and strong financial performance, including $100 billion in revenue and a 33% year-over-year profit growth [9][11]. - **Howard Hughes Holdings (13.4%)**: Ackman aims to transform Howard Hughes into a diversified holding company, increasing its stake to 47% and focusing on unlocking value from real estate assets [12][13]. - **Restaurant Brands (10.6%)**: The company is valued for its capital-light business model and plans to enhance sales through investments in Burger King and expansion in Tim Hortons [14][17].

Core Insights - Safe and Green Development Corporation reported record revenue growth and margin expansion for Q3 2025, driven by strong performance in engineered soils and logistics divisions [1][2] - The company achieved total revenue of $4.9 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, a significant increase from $0.2 million in the prior-year period, representing over 2,300% year-over-year growth [6] - A key strategic advancement is the full purchase of the Microtec milling system, expected to enhance profitability by enabling the production of high-margin growing media [3][4] Financial Performance - Q3 2025 revenue reached $3.5 million, a remarkable increase of over 4,200% compared to approximately $81 thousand in Q3 2024 [9] - Gross profit for Q3 2025 was $0.9 million, with a gross margin of approximately 26%, up from ~23% in Q2 2025 [9] - The nine-month net loss was $(12.3) million, compared to $(7.4) million in 2024, influenced by non-cash impairment and bad debt charges [6][7] Operational Developments - New equipment delivered to the Florida site is operational and expected to drive increased throughput and efficiency [2][4] - Integration expenses are anticipated to continue through Q4 2025, but a streamlined operating structure is expected by early 2026 [4] - The company is focused on establishing a scalable foundation for future growth, with expectations for continued revenue growth and margin strengthening as it heads into 2026 [11]

Core Insights - The company has shown significant progress in its real estate development projects across Tallinn, Riga, and Vilnius, with various projects nearing completion and strong sales performance [2][5][8][10][15]. Real Estate Development - In Tallinn, the Uus-Kindrali project is ongoing, while the White Building has reached approximately 73.1% sell-out as of Q3 2025, with final client inspections scheduled [2][3]. - Another residential building with 90 units is under construction next to the White Building, expected to be completed by October–November 2026 [3]. - The Kalaranna development has completed its final phase, achieving approximately 60.9% sell-out [5]. - In Riga, the Blue Marine project has commenced construction, with retaining wall piles completed and excavation works underway [6][7]. - In Vilnius, the Šaltinių Namai Attico project is on schedule, with nearly 43% sell-out in villas and over 21% in the commercial building [8]. Financial Performance - Total revenue for the first nine months of 2025 was EUR 34.3 million, a significant increase from EUR 10.6 million in the same period of 2024 [17]. - Gross profit for the first nine months of 2025 rose to EUR 11.9 million compared to EUR 2.9 million in 2024, with a gross profit margin of 35% [20][23]. - The operating result improved to a profit of EUR 7.7 million in the first nine months of 2025, compared to a loss of EUR 1.7 million in 2024 [20][23]. - The net result for the first nine months of 2025 was a profit of EUR 6.0 million, compared to a loss of EUR 4.1 million in the previous year [21][23]. Market Outlook - The company is optimistic about the remainder of 2025, citing a solid pipeline and improving market sentiment, which is expected to translate into continued growth [16][15]. - The Italian operations have shown resilience despite market slowdowns, with increasing recognition of the bare ownership model among investors [12][13].