Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for both A-shares and H-shares of the company, with current prices at 7.94 CNY and 5.80 HKD respectively [1]. Core Views - The company reported a steady performance in Q1 2025, with total revenue of 753.1 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 7.3% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 10.5%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 46.8 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2.3% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 45.6% [5][6]. - The integrated industry chain of the company helps to withstand oil price fluctuations, leading to stable growth in net profit for Q1 2025. The average Brent crude oil price was 74.98 USD/barrel, down 8.3% year-on-year but up 1.3% quarter-on-quarter [6][12]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved an operating cash flow of 139.4 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 25.5%. The debt-to-asset ratio improved to 37.9%, down 1.1 percentage points year-on-year [6][12]. - The upstream business benefited from increased natural gas production and effective cost control, achieving an operating profit of 46.1 billion CNY, up 7.0% year-on-year. The average price of crude oil was 70.00 USD/barrel, down 7.2% year-on-year [7][8]. Segment Performance - The natural gas sales business reported an operating profit of 13.5 billion CNY, up 9.7% year-on-year, driven by increased sales volume and improved profitability across the industry chain. Total natural gas sales reached 86.4 billion cubic meters, a year-on-year increase of 3.7% [8][10]. - The refining and chemical segment faced challenges, with an operating profit of 5.4 billion CNY, down 33.6% year-on-year, primarily due to narrowing margins in refined products and lower profitability in chemical products [10][11]. Long-term Growth Potential - The company plans to maintain high capital expenditures, with a budget of 210 billion CNY for upstream investments in 2025. The expected growth in oil and gas equivalent production is 1.6% for the year [12][14]. - The company aims to transition towards a comprehensive energy service provider, enhancing its focus on high-value products in the chemical sector and increasing the proportion of high-margin products [12][14]. Shareholder Confidence - The major shareholder, China National Petroleum Corporation, plans to increase its stake in the company, reflecting confidence in its future development. The company maintains a strong dividend policy, with a stable dividend yield that enhances its investment value [13][14]. Earnings Forecast - The report slightly lowers the earnings forecast for the company, projecting net profits of 166.1 billion CNY, 171.2 billion CNY, and 175.7 billion CNY for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.91, 0.94, and 0.96 CNY per share [14][16].

564只个股今日获机构买入型评级，11股最新评级被调高，38股机构首次关注。 行业来看，医药生物行业最受青睐，东阿阿胶、迈瑞医疗等50只个股上榜机构买入评级榜。电子、机械 设备等行业也较受机构关注，分别有49只、47只个股上榜。（数据宝） 机构今日买入型评级个股 | 代码 | 简称 | 买入评级 | 今日涨跌 | 动态市盈 | 行业 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 家数 | 幅（%） | 率（倍） | | | 600519 | 贵州茅台 | 11 | 0.19 | 18.10 | 食品饮料 | | 600809 | 山西汾酒 | 7 | 0.55 | 9.36 | 食品饮料 | | 600938 | 中国海油 | 6 | -0.36 | 8.13 | 石油石化 | | 601233 | 桐昆股份 | 6 | 3.03 | 10.71 | 石油石化 | | 600398 | 海澜之家 | 6 | 5.46 | 10.66 | 纺织服饰 | | 002244 | 滨江集团 | 6 | 3.08 | 8.26 | 房地产 | | 002345 | 潮宏基 ...

证券研究报告 | 2025年04月30日 中国海油（600938.SH） 优于大市 油气产量稳增长，2025 年第一季度实现归母净利润 365 亿元 公司 2025 年第一季度实现归母净利润 365 亿元，盈利韧性凸显，业绩超预 期。公司 2025 年第一季度实现营业收入 1068.6 亿元（同比-4.1%，环比 +13.1%），归母净利润 365.3 亿元（同比-8.0%，环比+71.9%），扣非 归母净利润 370.3 亿元（同比-6.2%，环比+111.2%）。2025 年第一季度 布伦特原油期货均价为 75.0 美元/桶（同比-8.3%），公司受益于油气 产销量上升、降本增效、人民币贬值、实现气价上升等因素，部分抵销 了实现油价下跌的影响，业绩超预期。 公司油气净产量稳步增长，成本管控成效显著。公司 2025 年第一季度油气 销售收入为 882.7 亿元（同比-1.9%，环比+4.9%），油气净产量达到 188.8 百万桶油当量（同比+4.8%），其中国内净产量 130.8 百万桶油当量（同比 +6.2%），占比 69.3%，主要得益于渤中 19-6 等油气田贡献，海外净产量 58.0 百万桶油当量（ ...

25Q1 油气当量产量维持高增，天然气产量同比增长10.2%公司持续加快上产步伐，25Q1 实现净产量 188.8 百万桶油当量，同比增长4.8%。其中，原油产量同比+3.4%，天然气产量同比+10.2%；中国净产 量130.8百万桶油当量，同比+6.2%，主要得益于渤中19-6 等油气田的贡献；海外净产量58 百万桶油当 量，同比+1.9%，主要由于巴西Mero2 等项目的贡献。实现价格方面，25Q1 公司平均实现油价72.65 美 元/桶，同比-7.7%，平均实现天然气价格为7.78 美元/千立方英尺，同比+1.2%。2025Q1，公司资本支出 277 亿元，有力支撑新项目建设和产量增长。 25Q1 公司共获得2 个新发现，并成功评价14 个含油气构造。其中，惠州19-6油田探明地质储量超1 亿 吨油当量，涠洲10-5 油气田展示了北部湾盆地潜山领域广阔的勘探前景；成功评价绥中36-1 南，有望 成为中型油田。期内，番禺10/11 区块联合开发项目、东方29-1 气田开发项目、渤中26-6 油田开发项目 （一期）、文昌19-1 油田二期项目以及巴西Buzios7 项目等多个新项目已成功投产。其他新项目正在 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) [1] Core Views - The company's performance demonstrates resilience during periods of oil price fluctuations, with significant cost reduction and efficiency improvements [6][11] - CNOOC's net profit for Q1 2025 is projected to be 366 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 7.95% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 71.84% [5][11] - The company continues to enhance its production capacity and maintain cost advantages, with a focus on high-quality development and stable production growth [10][11] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, CNOOC achieved total revenue of 1,069 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.14% but an increase of 13.09% compared to the previous quarter [5] - The average realized oil price was 72.65 USD per barrel, down 7.7% year-on-year, while natural gas prices increased by 1.2% to 7.78 USD per thousand cubic feet [7] Production and Exploration - CNOOC's net production in Q1 2025 reached 188.8 million barrels of oil equivalent, a year-on-year increase of 4.8%, with natural gas production growing by 10.2% [7] - The company made two new discoveries and successfully evaluated 14 oil and gas structures during the quarter, indicating strong exploration potential [8] Cost Management - The company reported a decrease in oil production costs to 27.03 USD per barrel, down 2.0% year-on-year, showcasing its effective cost control measures [9] - CNOOC's operating cash flow for Q1 2025 was 573 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 4.5% but maintaining a high level of cash flow [6] Capital Expenditure and Future Outlook - CNOOC plans to maintain high capital expenditures in 2025, with a budget of 1250-1350 billion yuan to support stable production growth [10] - The company aims for a production target of 760-780 million barrels of oil equivalent in 2025, with a focus on sustainable growth in the following years [10][11]

一项竞争性要约收购计划，正在以更加戏剧性发展，演绎整个A股历史上前所未见的生死时速戏码！ 4月28日晚间，油气开采运营企业ST新潮（600777）(600777.SH)发布了一则"关于预计无法按期披露定 期报告的风险提示性公告"。 该公告称，原定于2025年4月30日披露2024年年度报告及2025年第一季度报告，因定期报告涉及的部分 财务信息需要进一步补充提供，公司预计无法在法定期限内(即4月30日前)披露年报。 按照交易所上市规则，若ST新潮在4月30日前确系无法披露定期报告，那么公司将从5月6日，即劳动节 假期后首个交易日起停牌。若依然持续无法披露年报，那么公司股票将在7月7日被标注退市风险警示， 若此后依然不披露，则将在9月8日被交易所采取强制退市举措，股票届时将进入退市整理期。 值得注意的是，目前ST新潮正面临浙江金帝石油勘探开发有限公司(以下简称"金帝石油")和B股上市公 司伊泰B(900948.SH)——两方势力对公司竞争性要约收购的关键时刻。而这一突如其来的退市风险，给 本已胜券在握的伊泰B要约收购方案，带来极大的不确定性。 考虑4月30日将是ST新潮可能长期停牌的最后一个交易日，ST新潮的所 ...

此外，阎洪涛还表示，公司始终坚持全球配置油气资产的原则，如若国际油价继续下跌，对于中国海油这种有大 量现金流、桶油成本较低且利润率较高的公司而言，或是较好的并购机会。公司将根据彼时的市场情况、国际形 势，以及公司的技术专长和管理能力，具体分析并决策，按照市场运行原则，寻求调整和优化公司油气资产组合 的机会。 "基于对全球石油供需长期情况的预判，我们并不悲观。低油价不会影响中国海油的长期发展战略，公司2025年的 投资计划和产量目标指引也不会调整。"阎洪涛指出，当前低油价是受特朗普政府相关关税政策影响，市场预期未 来全球经济下行将影响石油需求，"低油价是结果，而非原因。"基于此，他认为，低油价不会造成石油行业在全 球所有行业中地位变弱，也不代表石油公司的经济性、地位在全球范围内下降，特朗普关税政策对全球的影响 是"一贯且连续的"。 面对国际油价低位震荡现状，阎洪涛表示，中国海油将继续坚持低成本策略，始终在全球主要石油公司中保持桶 油成本优势。"在高油价时不盲目乐观，不大手笔花钱、增加桶油成本；低油价时也不悲观，要坚守成本优势。" 不过，油气销量上升，以及公司对桶油成本的控制一定程度抵消了油价下跌影响。今年一季度 ...

Core Viewpoint - China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) reported a decline in revenue and net profit for Q1 2025, despite an increase in oil and gas production, highlighting the impact of falling international oil prices on financial performance [1][2][3] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, CNOOC achieved operating revenue of 106.85 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.1% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 36.56 billion yuan, down 7.9% year-on-year [1] - The average realized oil price was 72.65 USD/barrel, a decrease of 7.7% year-on-year, while the average realized gas price increased by 1.2% to 7.78 USD/thousand cubic feet [2] Production and Exploration - CNOOC's net production reached 188.8 million barrels of oil equivalent, an increase of 4.8% year-on-year, with domestic production rising by 6.2% [1][2] - The company made two new discoveries and successfully evaluated 14 oil and gas structures during the quarter [2] - Significant contributions to production came from the Bohai region and overseas projects, particularly from Brazil's Mero2 [1][2] Capital Expenditure and Projects - Capital expenditure for the quarter was approximately 27.71 billion yuan, a decrease of 4.5% year-on-year [2] - Several new projects, including the Panyu 10/11 block and the Wenchang 19-1 oil field, have been successfully put into production [2][3] - The Wenchang 9-7 oil field development project was announced to have commenced production, with an expected peak output of about 12,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day by 2027 [3][4] Future Outlook - CNOOC's controlling shareholder announced plans to increase shareholdings in the company by 2 to 4 billion yuan over the next 12 months, reflecting confidence in the company's long-term investment value [3] - The company aims to enhance operational efficiency and achieve its annual production and operational targets [3]

Core Viewpoint - ST New潮 is facing significant challenges, including the inability to disclose its 2024 financial report on time and the looming risk of delisting, primarily due to internal control issues and a complex ownership structure that has led to a lack of actual control over its assets [1][29]. Financial Performance - ST New潮 has reported impressive financial figures, including overseas oil and gas assets valued at over 30 billion, a net profit of 7.376 billion as of September 2024, and retained earnings of 6.947 billion [1]. - However, approximately 99% of these assets and profits are trapped in its U.S. subsidiaries, with the domestic parent company failing to distribute dividends for 15 years and accumulating significant debt [1]. Corporate Governance Issues - The company has been under scrutiny for its internal control deficiencies, leading to its designation as ST (Special Treatment) and increasing the risk of delisting [1][29]. - The lack of a real controlling shareholder and the ongoing governance disputes have resulted in a complex web of ownership and financial maneuvers that have left the company vulnerable [1][11]. Acquisition Interest - Despite its challenges, ST New潮 has attracted interest from major capital players, with significant bids for acquisition, including a recent 11.8 billion cash offer from Inner Mongolia's coal giant Yitai Group [4][18]. - The competition for ST New潮's assets highlights the perceived value of its overseas oil and gas holdings, despite the inherent risks associated with its governance and financial structure [4][23]. Historical Context - ST New潮 has a long history, originally established as a textile factory in 1985, and has undergone multiple transformations, ultimately becoming a "super shell" in the A-share market [5][6]. - The company has experienced numerous significant equity transfers and asset maneuvers, totaling over 15 major transactions involving more than 15 billion [9][11]. Regulatory Challenges - The complexity of ST New潮's asset control chain has raised concerns among regulators, particularly regarding the transparency and veracity of its overseas operations [24][32]. - The company's recent internal control audit revealed that only 18% of its overseas assets were subject to review, raising alarms about the reliability of its financial reporting [24][27]. Future Outlook - The potential acquisition of ST New潮 poses a high-risk gamble for interested parties, as the ability to effectively manage and repatriate its overseas assets remains uncertain [30][32]. - The ongoing governance issues and the intricate ownership structure could hinder any new owner's ability to realize the value of ST New潮's substantial overseas assets [30][32].

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market showed mixed performance with the Hang Seng Index declining by 0.04% while the Hang Seng Tech Index increased by 0.12% [1] - The total market turnover reached HKD 169.03 billion [1] Sector Performance - Real estate, hotel and catering, blind box, and small home appliance sectors experienced the largest declines [1] - Conversely, the oil and gas extraction, banking, AI computing chips, and electricity sectors saw notable gains [1] Individual Stock Movements - Yao Cai Securities (01428.HK) surged nearly 82% [1] - Pop Mart (09992.HK) rose over 12% [1] - China National Pharmaceutical Group (01099.HK) increased by nearly 5% [1] - JD.com (09618.HK) and SenseTime (00020.HK) both gained over 2% [1] - BYD Electronics (00285.HK) fell by over 8% [1] - China Shenhua Energy (01088.HK) dropped by over 4% [1] - BYD Company (01211.HK) declined by nearly 4% [1]