Investment Rating - The report maintains a cautious stance on inflation forecasts while awaiting further policy actions [3][19]. Core Insights - The year-on-year Consumer Price Index (CPI) turned positive in June, marking a surprise after four consecutive negative readings, which may indicate potential reflation in China [3][4]. - The Producer Price Index (PPI) deflation deepened unexpectedly, highlighting a divergence in price trends among different sectors, particularly between auto and steel prices [4][19]. - The report emphasizes the importance of supply-side reforms (SSR2.0) and the role of demand in shaping inflation expectations [19]. Summary by Sections CPI Analysis - The CPI reading for June was +0.0% YoY, compared to a prior reading of -0.1% YoY, with a sequential change of -0.1% MoM [3][5]. - Significant price increases were noted in the "other goods and services" category, which includes jewelry, with a +8.1% YoY change [5][8]. - Core inflation rose by +0.7% YoY, with core goods prices increasing by 0.9% YoY [5][19]. PPI Analysis - The PPI reading was -3.6% YoY, contrasting with market expectations of a narrower contraction [4][19]. - The PPI for the auto sector showed stabilization, while ferrous metals and non-metallic minerals reported negative changes, indicating a mixed outlook for SSR2.0 candidates [4][19]. Supply Side Reform Insights - The report suggests that the upcoming Politburo meeting and action plans from relevant ministries will be crucial for future inflation trajectories [19]. - The divergence in price trends between sectors like steel and auto underscores the need for targeted demand-side policies [19].

Core Viewpoint - The Compass Diversified class action lawsuit alleges violations of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 by Compass Diversified Holdings and its executives, related to misleading financial statements and irregularities in its subsidiary Lugano Holdings [1][4]. Group 1: Lawsuit Details - The lawsuit is titled Augenbaum v. Compass Diversified Holdings, No. 25-cv-01003 (C.D. Cal.) and seeks to represent purchasers of Compass Diversified publicly traded securities [1]. - The class action lawsuit claims that Compass Diversified made false statements and failed to disclose significant financial irregularities at Lugano Holdings, which affected the reported financial results for fiscal 2024 [4]. - The lawsuit follows a press release from Compass Diversified on May 7, 2025, indicating the need to restate financial statements for fiscal 2024 due to identified irregularities, leading to a stock price drop of over 62% [5]. Group 2: Financial Impact - The acquisition of Lugano Holdings was announced on September 7, 2021, with an enterprise value of $256 million [3]. - The financial results for 2024 were allegedly distorted due to accounting violations and ineffective internal controls, leading to materially misstated financial results [4]. Group 3: Legal Representation - The plaintiffs are represented by Robbins Geller Rudman & Dowd LLP, a law firm with extensive experience in prosecuting investor class actions related to financial fraud [6][8]. - Robbins Geller has secured over $2.5 billion for investors in securities-related class action cases in 2024, highlighting its capability in handling such lawsuits [8].

Core Viewpoint - The Compass Diversified class action lawsuit alleges violations of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 by the company and its executives, primarily related to misleading financial statements and irregularities in its subsidiary, Lugano Holdings [1][4][5]. Group 1: Lawsuit Details - The lawsuit is titled Augenbaum v. Compass Diversified Holdings, No. 25-cv-01003 (C.D. Cal.) and seeks to represent purchasers of Compass Diversified Holdings publicly traded securities [1]. - The class action lawsuit claims that Compass Diversified made false statements and failed to disclose significant financial irregularities related to Lugano Holdings, which affected the reported financial results for fiscal 2024 [4][5]. - The lawsuit was initiated after Compass Diversified announced the need to restate its 2024 financial statements due to identified irregularities in Lugano's accounting practices, leading to a stock price drop of over 62% [5]. Group 2: Financial Impact - The acquisition of Lugano Holdings was announced on September 7, 2021, with an enterprise value of $256 million [3]. - Following the announcement of the need for financial restatement, Compass Diversified's stock experienced a significant decline, indicating a loss of investor confidence [5]. Group 3: Legal Representation - The plaintiffs are represented by Robbins Geller Rudman & Dowd LLP, a law firm with extensive experience in prosecuting investor class actions, particularly those involving financial fraud [6][8]. - The firm has a strong track record, having recovered over $2.5 billion for investors in securities-related class action cases in 2024 alone [8].

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the increasing trend of gold recovery transactions in China, particularly in Wenzhou, where individuals are capitalizing on rising gold prices to sell their holdings for significant profits [2][3]. Group 1: Gold Recovery Trends - A recent transaction involved an individual selling 8 kilograms of gold for 6.12 million yuan, resulting in a net profit of approximately 3.12 million yuan based on the original purchase price [2]. - The gold recovery business has seen a 50% increase in activity compared to the period before gold prices surged in 2022, with daily inquiries about gold buying and selling becoming common [3]. - High-value gold recovery orders, which were once rare, are now becoming a regular occurrence in the industry, with businesses receiving multiple inquiries daily [3]. Group 2: Gold Price Movements - As of July 1, 2023, gold prices have reached 1,000 yuan per gram, reflecting a daily increase of 15 yuan, with other brands also showing similar upward trends [7]. - The spot gold price has increased by over 25% year-to-date, making it the best-performing asset class in the first half of the year, with prices recently surpassing 3,340 USD per ounce [7]. - Analysts predict that gold prices may continue to rise, with potential targets of 3,300 USD per ounce and even 3,500 USD per ounce under extreme risk scenarios [10]. Group 3: Market Outlook - Emerging markets are expected to increase their gold reserves, with central banks projected to maintain annual purchases between 800 to 1,200 tons in the coming years [11]. - The precious metals market is anticipated to experience price increases due to a weakened US dollar credit system and heightened demand for safe-haven assets [12].

·金价盘中创近1月新低6月30日，国际黄金市场延续近期下行趋势，现货黄金价格盘中触及3246.55美元/ 盎司，创近一个月新低。受国际金价拖累，国内品牌金饰价格全线跌破1000元/克心理关口。周大福、 周生生、周六福等品牌足金饰品报价集中在978元/克至990元/克区间，除周六福外，其余品牌日跌幅在 0.9%—1.2%之间。详情>> ·油价或迎年内最大涨幅，加满一箱油要多花25元！据今日油价消息，7月1日24时，国内成品油价格或 将迎来上涨，预计汽、柴油每吨上调600元，折合每升上涨0.49—0.51元。按此计算，加满一箱50升的92 号汽油，将多花24—25元。目前，全国多地92号汽油已普遍回升至7元以上，如果此次油价上调落地， 92号汽油或将全面进入7.5—7.7元/升区间，95号汽油将进入"8元时代"。 详情>> ·实名注册赠送稳定币？京东打假：尚未发行6月30日，《辟谣财知道》注意到，京东发言人在官方微博 发布声明称，近期关注到某些企业发布有关和京东币链展开合作的信息，存在失实情况，误导了行业和 公众舆论。京东表示，请大家注意甄别，警惕"荐股"类骗局，避免财产损失。同时提醒公众，目前京东 币链科技并没 ...

Group 1 - After hitting a one-month low, spot gold experienced a significant rebound, rising above $3,290 per ounce and closing at $3,292.403 per ounce, with an intraday increase of over 0.5% [3] - Domestic gold jewelry prices fell below the psychological threshold of 1,000 yuan per gram, with major brands like Chow Tai Fook and Lao Feng Xiang pricing their gold jewelry between 978 yuan and 990 yuan per gram [4][5] - The A-share gold sector opened with fluctuations and closed down by 0.51%, with Chifeng Gold hitting a two-month low before closing up approximately 0.3% [5] Group 2 - As of June 30, over 4,000 A-share stocks rose, with major indices showing overall gains for the first half of the year, including nearly 20 bank stocks reaching historical highs [7] - The first half of the year saw spot gold increase by 25%, making it the best-performing asset class, with an overall rise of 80% since the beginning of 2023 [10] Group 3 - Over 90% of central banks surveyed expect to continue increasing their gold reserves in the next 12 months, with nearly 43% planning to add to their holdings, driven by ongoing economic and geopolitical uncertainties [11] - There is a significant divergence in institutional price targets for gold, with optimistic forecasts from JPMorgan predicting a price of $6,000 per ounce by 2029, while Citigroup anticipates a decline below $3,000 per ounce in the coming quarters [13]

Core Insights - Brilliant Earth has announced a partnership with tennis star Madison Keys, marking its entry into professional sports with its first athlete ambassador [1][3] - The collaboration aims to highlight both Keys' pursuit of excellence in tennis and Brilliant Earth's mission to transform the jewelry industry [1][3] Company Overview - Brilliant Earth is a global leader in ethically sourced fine jewelry, founded in 2005, with a mission to create a more transparent, sustainable, and compassionate jewelry industry [4] - The company reported net sales of $422 million for the full year of 2024 and has achieved positive Adjusted EBITDA for 15 consecutive quarters since going public in 2021 [4] - Brilliant Earth operates 42 showrooms across the United States and serves customers in over 50 countries worldwide [4] Partnership Details - Madison Keys, currently ranked World No. 6 and the 2025 Australian Open champion, will collaborate with Brilliant Earth on a limited-edition medallion necklace set to debut in August [2][5] - The necklace will reflect Brilliant Earth's artistry and craftsmanship, resonating with cultural icons, similar to the recent success of a Bee pendant necklace inspired by Beyoncé [2] - The partnership will also promote Keys' advocacy for kindness through her Kindness Wins foundation, aligning with Brilliant Earth's commitment to inclusivity and social responsibility [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a Neutral rating on Titan due to demand uncertainty in FY26E caused by elevated gold prices and rich valuation [5][41]. Core Insights - UBS's Basic Materials team forecasts gold prices to rise to US$3,500 in 2026, driven by tariff uncertainty, weak growth, high inflation, and geopolitical risks [2][9]. - India's gold demand is expected to moderate to approximately 725 tonnes in FY26, a 7% year-on-year decline, before recovering to 800 tonnes in FY27 as household consumption stabilizes [4][23]. - Indian households hold the largest stock of gold globally, estimated at 25,000 tonnes, valued at around US$2.4 trillion, which is 56% of FY26 nominal GDP [3][13]. Summary by Sections Gold Price Forecast - Gold prices are projected to increase significantly, with annual averages expected to reach US$3,500 in 2026, reflecting a 23% increase from previous estimates [12]. Consumer Demand for Gold - Consumer demand for gold in India is anticipated to soften in FY26, particularly in jewellery, which constitutes 70% of total demand, expected to decline by 5-10% year-on-year [4][23]. - Retail investment demand remains strong, with a notable increase in gold bars and coins, driven by gold's performance as a safe-haven asset [20]. Economic Context - India's net gold imports are projected to remain high at US$55 billion to US$60 billion in FY26/27, accounting for 1.2% of GDP, despite a manageable current account deficit [40]. - The report highlights that the upcoming pay boost of approximately US$55 billion could support household consumption and stabilize gold demand [39][23]. Gold Mobilization Efforts - Policy initiatives aimed at mobilizing gold for productive uses have seen limited success, with households primarily using gold as collateral for loans [42][45]. - The Gold Monetization Scheme and Sovereign Gold Bonds have not achieved significant participation, leading to a discontinuation of some programs [44][45]. Company-Specific Insights - Titan is expected to pursue aggressive network expansion to capture market share as the market transitions from unorganised to organised [5][41]. - The report notes that while Titan's long-term proposition is favorable, the current demand uncertainty warrants a Neutral rating [5][41].

Core Insights - Tmall's "618" event this year saw record user engagement and sales, with 453 brands achieving over 100 million yuan in sales, a 24% increase year-on-year [1] - The high-net-worth 88VIP membership exceeded 50 million, marking a new high, while brand membership numbers grew by 15% [1] - The competition intensified with new players like Meituan and the collaboration between Taobao and Ele.me, drawing significant attention to the delivery battle [1] Group 1: Sales Performance - Tmall's "618" event featured a simplified promotional strategy, starting pre-sales earlier on May 13, with discounts up to 50% [2] - The combination of national subsidies and Tmall's "618" led to a 116% increase in total sales for participating categories compared to last year's "Double 11" [4] - Tmall's market share in home appliances and 3C digital products reached 45.3% and 45.5% respectively during "618" [4] Group 2: Product Trends - New beauty products saw explosive sales, with nearly 100 items surpassing 10 million yuan in sales [4] - The trend of wearing lingerie as outerwear gained popularity, with sales exceeding 200 million yuan during "618" [4] - Sales in sportswear and outdoor apparel grew by over 50%, while categories like trendy toys, jewelry, pets, and beverages also showed high growth [4] Group 3: Strategic Initiatives - Tmall's "618" serves as a critical period for implementing its "support the strong and eliminate the weak" strategy, with a doubled investment in user growth [5] - The platform simplified the registration process for merchants, allowing for easier participation in the event [6] - The competition among e-commerce platforms has evolved from consumer subsidies to a focus on supply chain efficiency and multi-channel growth strategies [6]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for Laopu Gold (6181.HK) with a target price raised to HKD 1,090, indicating an upside potential of 23.7% from the current price of HKD 881.50 [1]. Core Insights - Laopu Gold's earnings are expected to grow by 15-26% in 2025-27E, driven by strong year-to-date sales performance and rapid store expansion, supported by increasing brand awareness and a rising gold price forecast [1][2]. - The company has successfully launched a new product series, "七子葫芦" (Seven-color enamel gold gourd), which has received positive feedback and is expected to enhance brand equity while allowing for higher pricing [2]. - The upcoming quarter is anticipated to be eventful with several strategic initiatives planned, including new product launches and store optimizations, aimed at reinforcing Laopu's market position against traditional jewelers [2][16]. Financial Performance - Revenue projections for Laopu Gold have been significantly revised upwards, with estimates for 2025 increasing from RMB 19,585 million to RMB 26,310 million, reflecting a robust growth trajectory [4]. - The company's online sales have shown remarkable growth, with a total GMV of RMB 1.6 billion from January to May, representing a 511% year-on-year increase [1][22]. - The EBITDA and EPS forecasts have also been adjusted upwards, with 2025 EPS now estimated at RMB 27.60, up from RMB 22.13 [4]. Market Position and Competitive Advantage - Laopu Gold has demonstrated strong same-store sales growth (SSSG) above triple-digit percentages, outperforming both local and international competitors in the jewelry sector [25][26]. - The company is expanding its total store pipeline beyond the initially guided 6-8 new stores, indicating a proactive approach to market expansion [1][2]. - The successful performance of new product launches and the strategic focus on brand differentiation are expected to sustain growth and expand the total addressable market (TAM) [2][25].