Macro conditions also look supportive. The Federal Reserve began cutting rates in late 2025, and markets expect more easing in 2026. Lower yields push capital into risk assets, including crypto. If these conditions persist, the idea of AI XRP prediction models assuming $10 billion in ETF inflows by late 2026 suddenly looks possible.However, there are reasons to think inflows could accelerate. By late 2025, more than a dozen asset managers have filed for spot XRP ETFs, suggesting a competitive race for marke ...

USD1 stablecoin has crossed the $3 billion mark — Source: CoinGape USD1 has seen an increase of almost 6% in its market cap in the last 24 hours. This follows Binance's launch of a 20% yield program for holders of the stablecoin. The World Liberty Financial team described this milestone as a big moment, including for the WLFI community. The USD1 stablecoin, issued by World Liberty Financial (WLFI), has hit a new milestone following a significant increase in its market cap in the last 24 hours. Thi ...

Market Overview - The U.S. stock market closed on December 25, 2025, for Christmas, following a week where major indices reached all-time highs, with normal trading resuming on December 26, 2025 [1] - On Christmas Eve, the S&P 500 rose 0.3% to close at 6,932.05, marking a year-to-date increase of over 17%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 0.6% to 48,731.16, and the Nasdaq Composite edged up 0.2% to 23,613.31, contributing to a 21.6% year-to-date advance [3] Futures and Premarket Activity - Futures contracts for major indices were down approximately 0.1% on December 24, 2025, despite a positive sentiment indicated by a slight gain of 0.09% in the US500 index on December 25, reaching 6,938 points [2] Economic Outlook - Key economic indicators to watch include the Federal Reserve Bank of New York's Staff Nowcast on December 26, followed by reports on international trade, pending home sales, and manufacturing surveys on December 29 [4] - The Federal Reserve recently trimmed its benchmark interest rate to a range of 3.5%-3.75%, with analysts expecting rates to remain steady at the January meeting due to mixed economic data [5] Corporate Highlights - Dynavax Technologies saw a 38.2% surge in shares following Sanofi's announcement of a $2.2 billion acquisition [6] - Nike's stock rose 4.6% after Apple CEO Tim Cook purchased nearly $3 million worth of Nike shares [6] - Nvidia shares dipped 0.3% on Christmas Eve but have a year-to-date return of 30.2%, briefly surpassing a $5 trillion market cap in October [10] - Microsoft achieved a 15.6% gain in 2025, with shares trading near $485, leveraging its partnership with OpenAI [10] - ServiceNow confirmed a $7.75 billion acquisition of Armis, although its stock experienced an 11.5% pullback recently [10] - Caterpillar Inc. saw over 60% growth in 2025, driven by its Energy & Transportation segment [10] - Goldman Sachs shares increased by 61% in 2025, identifying potential buying opportunities in the tech sector for 2026 [10] - Eli Lilly shares climbed 40% this year, while Novo Nordisk shares fell nearly 40% due to competition in the weight-loss medication market [10] - Marvell Technology Inc. gained 3.4% on the Nasdaq on December 24 [10] Commodity Markets - Gold and silver futures reached new all-time highs, with gold at $4,555 and silver at $72.75 per ounce [10] - WTI crude oil futures remained stable, trading near $58.40 per barrel [10]

Hong Kong regulators are moving to legislate new licensing regimes for virtual asset (VA) dealers and custodians, cementing the city’s strategy to build a comprehensive digital asset framework. The Financial Services and the Treasury Bureau (FSTB) and the Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) confirmed the plan after a public consultation period. The proposed rules will bring over-the-counter (OTC) desks, brokers, and asset custodians under the same regulatory umbrella as licensed trading platforms. De ...

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Core Insights - U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have experienced eight consecutive days of institutional selling, with total outflows reaching approximately $825 million, primarily driven by year-end tax strategies and tax loss harvesting, expected to conclude soon [1] - A significant geographic shift is occurring in Bitcoin markets, with the U.S. as the main seller and Asian buyers emerging as the primary accumulation force, marking a reversal from traditional capital flow patterns [2][3] - Whale activity on Binance has sharply declined, with large holder deposits dropping nearly 50% from $7.9 billion to $3.9 billion, indicating reduced selling pressure and less immediate liquidation risk [3][4] - Bitcoin's market behavior has decoupled from traditional assets, with its correlation to the Nasdaq nearing zero and turning negative against gold, suggesting it is establishing its own market regime [5][6] Summary by Category Institutional Selling - U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded total outflows of approximately $825 million over eight days, primarily due to tax loss harvesting [1] - On December 24, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs saw net outflows of $175 million, with BlackRock's IBIT leading at $91.37 million [2] Geographic Market Dynamics - The U.S. is currently the dominant seller in Bitcoin markets, while Asian buyers are stepping in as the primary accumulation force [2] - This shift represents a notable reversal from historical capital flow patterns in crypto trading [3] Whale Activity - Whale deposits on Binance have decreased significantly, with large holder deposits falling from $7.9 billion to $3.9 billion [3] - Monthly whale inflows also dropped from approximately $7.88 billion to $3.86 billion in December, indicating a halving in just weeks [3] Market Behavior and Correlation - Bitcoin's correlation with traditional assets has diminished, with its relationship to the Nasdaq approaching zero and turning negative against gold [5] - This decoupling suggests that Bitcoin is no longer trading like a tech stock or safe haven, instead developing its own market regime [5][6]

Market Overview - Major stock indexes, including the Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, and Nasdaq Composite, have seen significant year-to-date increases of 14%, 16%, and 20% respectively as of December 19 [1] - Despite historical trends of long-term growth, equities rarely advance in a straight line, indicating potential challenges ahead for investors in the new year [2] Company-Specific Insights Palantir Technologies - Palantir Technologies has a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of nearly 127, which is considered unsustainable and indicative of a bubble [7] - The company's AI platforms, Gotham and Foundry, provide a sustainable growth rate, but the current valuation is excessively high compared to historical norms [5][6] Beyond Meat - Beyond Meat's stock has experienced volatility, including a 1,600% increase in October due to a debt-for-equity exchange, but the company's operating performance has declined, with U.S. retail sales dropping 18% year-over-year in Q3 [9][11] - The company's share count has significantly increased due to capital raises, reducing the likelihood of a short squeeze and indicating a lack of pricing power [10][11] Tesla - Tesla's sales are projected to decline by 3% in 2025, yet the stock has reached an all-time high, raising concerns about its valuation [13] - The company relies heavily on unsustainable income sources, such as automotive regulatory credits, which could impact its long-term financial health [16] Apple - Apple has a strong market position with its iPhone and growing services segment, but its valuation appears inflated with a price-to-earnings ratio of 33 for fiscal 2026 [19][21] - The company's substantial share repurchase program has masked its true operating performance, with net income growth of only 12% from fiscal 2022 to 2025 [20][21] Strategy (MSTR) - Strategy holds a significant amount of Bitcoin but has seen its stock price drop 43% year-to-date, with concerns about its operating model and reliance on issuing shares to pay dividends on preferred stock [24][26][27] - The company's outstanding share count has increased by 149% over the past three years, raising questions about its sustainability and attractiveness as an investment [27]

The crypto industry recorded a banner year for mergers, acquisitions and public listings in 2025, with dealmaking hitting a record $8.6 billion as a more accommodating regulatory stance in the United States encouraged investors and financial institutions to re-enter the sector. Key Takeaways: Crypto dealmaking hit a record $8.6 billion in 2025 as regulatory easing in the US revived investor and institutional interest. Mega-acquisitions led by Coinbase, Kraken and Ripple drove a sharp rise in mergers an ...

Welcome to Motley Fool Money. I'm your host Emily Flippen. Today, I'm joined by Fool analysts Jason Hall and Sanmeet Dao to discuss the IPO market. We'll be taking a look back at what reopened the IPO window over the course of the past year, run the biggest IPOs of 2025 through a rule Breakers lens, and make a few predictions for the 2026 IPO markets, including discussing if it really never makes sense to buy into an IPO. Now, the IPO market in 2025 was obviously much hotter than 2024. The third quarter of ...

Crypto Retail Investors. Photo by BeInCrypto Retail participation in the cryptocurrency market has continued to decline throughout this cycle, with interest weakening further as the year draws to a close. While some analysts still interpret fading retail engagement as a classic bottom signal, others argue the current downturn reflects a deeper cultural and social shift, where investor attention has moved away from crypto altogether. Does Retail Apathy Mark a Bottom or a New Phase? The crypto market’s ...