Bearish bets on Li Auto’s stock have surged to a record ahead of third-quarter results, where the Chinese electric-vehicle maker is forecast to post the biggest-ever revenue decline since its listing https://t.co/QiNbJu1ldz ...

Industry Trend & Demand - Electrification and datacenter demand necessitate solar and Megapacks [1] - A severe charging infrastructure deficit was forecasted along the San Francisco - Los Angeles corridor for the 2025 holidays and beyond [2] Tesla's Solution & Strategy - Tesla is addressing the charging infrastructure deficit by deploying its own solar generation and Megapacks [2] - Tesla aims to ensure dependable travel for customers [3] - Tesla's solution allows for capacity delivery in under 8 months from construction start [2] Project Details - The largest Supercharger in the world is powered by the sun [3]

Market Overview - The supply of homes for sale has increased by approximately 15% compared to a year ago, indicating a shift in the housing market dynamics [2] - In September, around 85,000 US sellers removed their homes from the market, marking a 28% increase from the previous year, the fastest pace in nearly a decade [1] Consumer Confidence and Labor Market - The Conference Board's consumer confidence index fell to 88.7%, a decline of nearly seven points from the prior month, the lowest since April, and below expectations [3] - Private payrolls data from ADP indicated an average loss of 13,500 jobs per week over the past four weeks, suggesting potential labor market challenges ahead of the Fed's December meeting [3] Federal Reserve and Economic Policy - Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent mentioned that President Trump may announce a new Fed chair by Christmas, with five strong candidates currently in consideration [5] - Kevin Hasset, Director of the National Economic Council, is emerging as a frontrunner for the Fed chair position, expected to align with Trump's preferences on interest rates [6] Economic Activity and Inflation - The upcoming Fed's Beige Book is anticipated to show little change in overall economic activity, with some districts reporting slight declines and others modest growth [10] - Inflation is expected to moderate, but high input costs continue to pressure businesses, indicating mixed consumer spending patterns [10] Company-Specific Insights - Deere is facing headwinds due to waning demand for machinery and lower grain prices, although recent trade deals may provide some benefits [12] - Lee Auto, a Chinese EV maker, has seen its US-listed shares decline over 20% year-to-date, attributed to a slowing Chinese economy and increased competition [14]

Core Viewpoint - The Thanksgiving week is historically bullish for the S&P 500 Index (SPX), with expectations for a positive performance following a volatile week that saw a nearly 2% decline in the index [1][3]. Historical Performance - Over the past 50 years, Thanksgiving week has shown a median return of 0.8%, significantly higher than the overall weekly median return of 0.3% [3][4]. - The SPX has a 70% win-rate during Thanksgiving week compared to a 57% win-rate for all weeks [3][4]. Daily Performance Insights - Each trading day during Thanksgiving week has historically outperformed average returns, with Wednesday showing the highest average return of 0.25% and a 74% positive return rate [4][7]. - In contrast, the average return for other weeks over the past five decades did not exceed 0.07%, indicating that Thanksgiving week presents a unique opportunity for gains [5][8]. Upcoming Influences - The upcoming week will feature earnings reports from companies such as Li Auto (LI), Nio (NIO), Dell Technologies (DELL), HP (HPQ), NetApp (NTAP), and Workday (WDAY), which could impact market movements [8]. - Anticipation surrounding potential rate cuts may also influence market sentiment and performance for the broader market [8].

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The preliminary results indicate that all proposals presented at the meeting have been approved by stockholders, which may impact future financial strategies and capital structure [7][8]. Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Specific product portfolio plans for the merged company will be executed by the new leadership team, focusing on commercial electric vehicles (EVs) which are expected to have lower total cost of ownership compared to internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles [15][16]. Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company anticipates a significant demand for new commercial EV markets in classes 4, 5, and 6, indicating a competitive landscape where at least two U.S.-based original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) will be necessary to meet this demand [16]. Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to leverage U.S.-based assembly capabilities and engineering expertise to design robust trucks, emphasizing the importance of domestic production for long-term success and scalability in the commercial EV sector [15][16]. Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management has expressed confidence that the proposed Motiv transaction will close in the fourth quarter of 2025, contingent upon meeting Nasdaq's new listing criteria and other customary closing conditions [14][15]. - The CEO highlighted the strategic importance of commercial EVs, noting their cost advantages and the necessity for U.S.-based manufacturing to support future growth [15][16]. Other Important Information - The company has withdrawn two proposals from consideration during the meeting, which may reflect strategic adjustments in response to shareholder feedback [3]. Q&A Session Summary Question: What steps are necessary to complete the proposed Motiv transaction? - The transaction is expected to close in the fourth quarter of 2025, pending the completion of customary closing conditions and meeting Nasdaq listing criteria [14][15]. Question: What are the product portfolio plans for the merged company? - The merged company will focus on commercial EVs, which are seen as having a lower total cost of ownership compared to ICE vehicles, with plans for U.S.-based assembly and engineering [15][16].

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The preliminary results indicate that all proposals presented at the meeting have been approved by stockholders, which may impact future financial strategies and capital structure [7][8]. Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Specific details regarding the performance of various business lines were not disclosed in the meeting, but the focus on commercial electric vehicles suggests a strategic emphasis on this segment moving forward [14]. Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company anticipates a significant demand for new commercial electric vehicle markets, particularly in classes 4, 5, and 6, indicating a positive outlook for market growth in these segments [14][15]. Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on completing the proposed Motiv transaction, which is expected to close in the fourth quarter of 2025, and is actively planning for integration to ensure a smooth transition [12][13]. - There is an emphasis on U.S.-based assembly capabilities and engineering expertise to support long-term success in the commercial EV market [14]. Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the commercial EV business model, highlighting lower total cost of ownership compared to internal combustion engine vehicles, which positions the company favorably in the market [14]. - The need for at least two competitive U.S.-based OEMs to meet future demand in the commercial EV sector was noted, with the company aiming to be a leader in this transition [14][15]. Other Important Information - The meeting included proposals for stock issuance, a reverse stock split, and an incentive plan, which are critical for the company's financial maneuvering and shareholder engagement [4][5][6]. Q&A Session Summary Question: What steps are necessary to complete the proposed Motiv transaction? - The transaction requires the completion of customary closing conditions and meeting NASDAQ new listing criteria, with an expected closure in Q4 2025 [12][13]. Question: What are the product portfolio plans for the merged company? - Specific plans will be executed by the new team, but the CEO highlighted the importance of commercial EVs and U.S.-based capabilities for future success [13][14].

AI Chip Market - Meta Platforms is reportedly in multi-billion-dollar discussions with Google to acquire its custom AI chips, known as Tensor Processing Units (TPUs), starting in 2027 [2] - Google may also rent TPUs to Meta from Google Cloud as early as next year, marking a strategic shift in competition with Nvidia [2] - Broadcom shares rose by as much as 4.6% due to its partnership with Google on TPU development [2] - Michael Burry has drawn parallels between Nvidia and Cisco during the dot-com era, suggesting a potential bubble in the AI market [3] Retail Sector Performance - Kohl's reported Q3 2025 net sales of $3.4 billion, exceeding estimates of $3.33 billion, with shares surging by as much as 25% [4] - Kohl's adjusted EPS was $0.07 against an estimated loss per share of $0.16, raising its full-year adjusted EPS outlook to $1.25 to $1.45 [4] - Best Buy's Q3 2025 revenue reached $9.67 billion, surpassing the estimated $9.58 billion, with adjusted EPS of $1.40 compared to an estimated $1.30 [5] - Best Buy experienced a 2.4% increase in U.S. comparable sales and a 2.7% rise in enterprise comparable sales [5] Economic Indicators - Deutsche Bank forecasts a 25 basis point Federal Reserve rate cut in December, followed by an extended pause in rate adjustments through 2025 [6] - The proportion of unemployed Americans with four-year college degrees has reached a record 25.3% of total unemployment, doubling since the 2008 financial crisis [7] Geopolitical and Energy Market Developments - The UK has expressed willingness to deploy military support for a ceasefire and lasting peace deal in Ukraine [10] - Russia's Black Sea Novorossiisk and CPC oil terminals have resumed loadings after drone attacks, indicating a swift recovery in operations [11] - Iranian crude held on tankers at sea has reached a two-and-a-half-year high, suggesting shifts in global crude demand and supply dynamics [11] Corporate and Policy Updates - Tesla's price target was cut by Mizuho to $475 from $485 [12] - Volkswagen plans to reduce electric vehicle development costs in China by up to 50% [12] - Deutsche Bank downgraded DuPont's price target to $46 from $90 [12] - The China Space Agency is developing new policies for commercial satellite launches, indicating a structured approach to its commercial space sector [12] - French prosecutors have initiated an investigation into eBay [12]

Market Overview - U.S. equities experienced a significant surge on November 24, 2025, driven by optimism for a potential Federal Reserve interest rate cut in December and a strong performance in technology and AI stocks [1][2] - The S&P 500 index rose by 1.6%, while the Nasdaq Composite increased by 2.7%, reflecting broad market strength [2] Federal Reserve Insights - Comments from Federal Reserve officials indicated a possibility of a 25-basis-point rate cut in December, with an 80% likelihood priced in by traders [3] Major Stock Movements - Alphabet (GOOGL) shares surged over 5% to an all-time high due to excitement surrounding its new Gemini 3 AI model [4] - Tesla (TSLA) stock rose by 7% following CEO Elon Musk's announcements about ambitious AI chip plans [5] - Nvidia (NVDA) gained 2%, while Broadcom (AVGO) and Micron Technology (MU) saw increases of 10.01% and 7.89% respectively [5] Corporate News - Carvana (CVNA) shares jumped nearly 7% after an upgrade from analysts, while healthcare stocks like Centene (CNC), Elevance Health (ELV), and Molina Healthcare (MOH) also saw gains [6] - Novo Nordisk (NVO) shares declined after an ineffective Alzheimer's drug trial announcement [7] Upcoming Economic Data - Key economic indicators to be released include Producer Price Index, Retail Sales, and Consumer Confidence data, which are expected to influence future Federal Reserve policy decisions [9][10] - Several companies are scheduled to report earnings, including Agilent Technologies and Zoom Communications, which may impact trading in the coming days [11]

Tesla's China sales dropping to a three-year low last month. Ununice Yun joins us this morning from Beijing with a look at the competition. Ununice.>> Thanks, Andrew. Well, Tesla's share of the Chinese EV market shrank from 8.7% in September to 3.2% last month. So, I took a look at some of the latest competition.Tesla's newest direct competitor in the upper echelon of the Chinese EV market is China's Xiaomi. The smartphone makers U7 SUV and Sue7 sedan posted record sales in October despite accidents that ra ...

Core Insights - Tesla's market share in China's EV sector has significantly decreased from 8.7% in September to 3.2% in October, indicating a drop to a three-year low in sales [1] Competition Landscape - Xiaomi has emerged as a direct competitor in the upper segment of the Chinese EV market, with its U7 SUV and Sue7 sedan achieving record sales in October, selling nearly 109,000 cars in Q3 compared to Tesla's 170,000 [2] - Leap Motor, a Chinese EV startup, has begun to outperform its peers in sales and stock price, with its C10 midsized SUV priced at approximately half of Tesla's Model Y [3] - Jile Geom Shining Yuen has become the top EV sales champion in China this year, targeting the budget segment with vehicles priced under $10,000, reflecting a shift in consumer preferences towards value [3][4] Market Trends - The Chinese government plans to end its tax rebate program for EV buyers by the end of December, which may intensify competition in the market [5] - Traditional automakers like Jile are making significant inroads into the EV market, while tech giant Huawei is also becoming a notable competitor by partnering with established car manufacturers [4] Industry Challenges - The EV market in China is crowded, with many state-backed and private companies, leading to challenges in consolidation and competition [8] - Analysts suggest that Tesla's business model, which does not prioritize frequent model refreshes, may hinder its competitiveness compared to Chinese companies that regularly release new models [8][9]