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多家外资行看好中国市场,高盛:A股仍有超10%上涨空间
Quan Jing Wang· 2025-05-16 02:46
Group 1 - The A-share market showed slight declines at the opening on May 16, with the CSI 300 index closing at 3907.2 and the A500 index at 4577.84, recovering the technical gap formed since the tariff storm began on April 2 [1] - Goldman Sachs raised the 12-month target for the MSCI China Index and the CSI 300 Index to 84 points and 4600 points respectively, indicating potential increases of 11% and 17%, while maintaining an "overweight" rating on Chinese stocks [1] - Nomura significantly upgraded its rating on Chinese stocks to tactical overweight, citing the temporary reduction in tariffs between China and the U.S. as a major surprise that could support market sentiment in the short term [1] Group 2 - Goldman Sachs suggested focusing on multiple themes to capture excess returns, highlighting that the internet and service sectors will benefit from consumption recovery and accelerated digital transformation [1] - In the context of a policy easing cycle, quality regional banks and leading real estate companies are expected to see valuation recovery, while the infrastructure and AI industry chains are also worth attention [1] - The A500 Index ETF (560610) focuses on core A-share assets and provides comprehensive coverage of the CSI secondary industry, with a balanced industry distribution and a higher weight in emerging sector leaders [2]
高盛:沪深300还有17%上涨空间
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-15 12:48
Group 1 - Goldman Sachs raised the 12-month targets for the MSCI China Index and the CSI 300 Index to 84 points and 4600 points, indicating potential upside of 11% and 17% respectively, while maintaining an overweight rating on Chinese stocks [2] - This marks the second upgrade of Chinese stock ratings by Goldman Sachs within the month, with a previous report on May 8 also maintaining an overweight rating and raising earnings per share forecasts for major indices in the Chinese market for 2025 [2] - The Chinese stock market has fully recovered losses since the U.S. "Freedom Day," with the MSCI China Index, CSI 300 Index, and Hang Seng Tech Index exceeding early April highs by approximately 2% to 4% as of May 14 [2] Group 2 - The easing of U.S.-China trade tensions has led Goldman Sachs to raise economic growth expectations for both countries and lower the likelihood of a U.S. recession, while also adjusting the timeline for potential Fed rate cuts [3] - Goldman Sachs suggests focusing on several themes to capture excess returns in the Chinese stock market, particularly in the domestic demand-driven sectors such as internet and service industries, which are expected to benefit from consumption recovery and accelerated digital transformation [3] - The infrastructure industry chain, including building materials, engineering machinery, and new energy vehicles, is anticipated to see solid development due to policy stimulus [3] Group 3 - Other foreign investment banks, including Nomura, UBS, and Invesco, have also expressed optimism about the performance of the Chinese market, with Nomura upgrading its rating on Chinese stocks to tactical overweight [4] - The reduction of tariffs between the U.S. and China is viewed as a significant surprise that could support market sentiment and sustain the recent rebound in the Chinese stock market [4] - Given the current discount of the A-share market compared to global emerging markets, there is an expectation of continued net inflows of global capital into the Chinese market [4]