CHONGQING, CHINA AUGUST 26: In this photo illustration, a person holds a smartphone displaying the logo of Autodesk, Inc. (NASDAQ: ADSK), a leading American software company known for its design and engineering platforms such as AutoCAD, Revit, and Fusion 360, with the company's branding visible in the background on August 26, 2025 in Chongqing, China. (Photo by Cheng Xin/Getty Images)Getty ImagesAutodesk (NASDAQ:ADSK) is expected to announce its earnings on Tuesday, November 25, 2025. The firm currently ha ...

Core Insights - Copart (NASDAQ: CPRT) is set to announce its earnings soon, with a current market capitalization of $40 billion and revenue of $4.6 billion over the past twelve months, achieving operational profitability with $1.7 billion in operating profits and a net income of $1.6 billion [2] Earnings Analysis - Historical data shows that Copart has had 19 earnings data points over the last five years, resulting in 7 positive and 12 negative one-day (1D) returns, indicating a 37% chance of positive returns [6] - The percentage of positive 1D returns increases to 45% when considering the last 3 years, with a median of 2.6% for positive returns and -1.8% for negative returns [6] Trading Strategy - A strategy to consider is to analyze the correlation between short-term (1D) and medium-term (5D) returns post-earnings announcements, as a positive 1D return suggests a potential long position for the following 5 days [7] - The correlation between 1D and 5D returns is noted to be the highest, which can guide trading decisions [7] Peer Performance - The performance of peers can influence Copart's post-earnings stock reactions, with historical data reflecting the performance of peer stocks that reported earnings just before Copart [7]

Core Insights - Intuit Inc. is set to report its earnings on August 21, 2025, with a historical positive post-earnings reaction rate of 71% over the past five years, yielding a median gain of 2.9% [2][7] - The consensus for the upcoming quarter anticipates earnings per share (EPS) of $2.66 on revenue of $3.75 billion, compared to EPS of $1.99 on revenue of $3.18 billion in the same quarter last year [3] - Intuit's current market capitalization is $201 billion, with trailing twelve months revenue of $18 billion, operating profit of $4.7 billion, and net income of $3.5 billion [4] Earnings Reaction History - Over the last five years, Intuit experienced 12 positive and 5 negative one-day (1D) moves post-earnings, resulting in a positive hit rate of approximately 71% [7] - In the last three years, the positive reaction rate has slightly decreased to 67%, with a median positive return of 2.9% and a median negative return of -3.8% [7] Trading Strategies - A pre-earnings strategy suggests using historical probabilities of positive reactions to establish positions ahead of earnings releases [6] - A post-earnings strategy involves evaluating immediate reactions and their correlation with medium-term performance to inform trading decisions [6][8] Correlation with Peers - The performance of peers can influence Intuit's post-earnings reactions, with historical data indicating correlations between Intuit's 1D moves and those of its peers reporting around the same time [9]

Core Insights - Amgen is scheduled to release its earnings on August 5, 2025, with historical trends indicating a tendency for negative one-day returns post-announcement [2][3] - Analysts project earnings of $5.28 per share and revenue of $8.91 billion, compared to $4.97 per share and $8.39 billion in the same quarter last year [3] - The company has a market capitalization of $160 billion and reported $34 billion in revenue over the past twelve months, resulting in $7.4 billion in operating profits and a net income of $5.9 billion [4] Historical Performance - Over the past five years, Amgen's stock has declined 58% of the time following earnings announcements, with a median drop of -2.8% and a maximum one-day negative return of -7.2% [2][7] - Positive one-day returns occurred approximately 42% of the time, with the percentage increasing to 45% when considering the last three years [7] - The median of the eight positive returns was 3.6%, while the median of the eleven negative returns was -2.8% [7] Trading Strategies - Event-driven traders can utilize historical trends to inform their positioning ahead of earnings releases [6] - A strategy involves assessing the correlation between immediate and medium-term returns post-earnings to guide trading decisions [6][8] - The correlation between one-day and five-day returns can indicate potential trading positions, particularly if the one-day return is positive [8]

Company Overview - Yum! Brands is the parent company of Taco Bell, KFC, Pizza Hut, and Habit Burger & Grill, with a current market capitalization of $41 billion [3] - The company is expected to announce its second-quarter earnings on August 5, 2025, with analysts estimating earnings of $1.46 per share on $1.94 billion in revenue, reflecting a 12% increase in earnings year-over-year and a 10% rise in sales [2] Financial Performance - In the past twelve months, Yum! Brands reported total revenue of $7.7 billion, with operating profits of $2.4 billion and a net income of $1.4 billion [3] - The company delivered strong Q1 results, driven by earnings growth and momentum at Taco Bell and KFC, despite a slight revenue miss [3] Historical Trends - Historically, Yum! Brands stock has exceeded expectations after earnings announcements 63% of the time, with a median increase of 1.9% in one day and a maximum observed growth of 10% [2][6] - Over the last five years, there have been 19 recorded earnings data points, with 12 positive and 7 negative one-day returns, indicating a 63% occurrence of positive returns [6] Market Reaction - The results of Yum! Brands will significantly impact market reactions against consensus expectations, and historical trends may favor event-driven traders [3][4] - The correlation between short-term and medium-term returns following earnings can provide a relatively lower-risk strategy for traders [7]

Company Overview - Eaton Corporation plc is a multinational power management company that provides electrical, hydraulic, and mechanical power solutions for various industrial and commercial applications [2] - The company focuses on smart power management, helping customers utilize power more efficiently and sustainably [3] Financial Performance - Eaton reported impressive Q1 2025 results, with revenue increasing by 7.3% to $6.38 billion and a 9% organic growth rate, driven by strength in the Electrical and Aerospace segments [4] - Adjusted EPS climbed 13% to a record $2.72, with segment margins reaching 23.9% [4] - The company has elevated its full-year guidance, anticipating 7.5–9.5% organic growth and adjusted EPS of $11.80–12.20 [4] - Over the past twelve months, Eaton generated $25 billion in revenue, with operating profits of $4.8 billion and net income of $3.9 billion [4] Market Expectations - Analysts forecast adjusted earnings of $2.92 per share on revenue of $6.91 billion for the upcoming second-quarter earnings announcement on August 5, 2025 [3] - This forecast indicates a 7% increase in earnings year-over-year and a 9% rise in sales compared to the previous year's figures of $2.73 per share and $6.35 billion in revenue [3] Historical Performance Trends - Historically, Eaton's stock has exceeded performance expectations following earnings releases, rising 58% of the time with a median one-day increase of 3.6% and a maximum observed surge of 8% [3] - Over the past five years, there have been 19 earnings data points collected, with positive one-day returns occurring approximately 58% of the time [6] - The median of the 11 positive returns was 3.6%, while the median of the 8 negative returns was -1.6% [6] Trading Strategies - Event-driven traders can leverage historical patterns for competitive advantage, whether by positioning before earnings or reacting to movements post-release [5] - A strategy involving the correlation between short-term and medium-term returns following earnings can be effective, particularly if the 1D and 5D returns show strong correlation [7]

Core Insights - The gold market is experiencing weakness, with potential for upward movement despite current downward pressure [1] - Event-driven trading is intensifying, leading to a countdown of long and short positions [1] - The FOMC meeting may reveal hints for a potential interest rate cut in September, influencing market dynamics [1] Market Analysis - Daily RSI divergence is noted, indicating a possible turning point in the market [1] - The VIX index is approaching a critical level, suggesting an imminent increase in volatility [1] - A significant macroeconomic week is anticipated, which could trigger fluctuations in gold and silver trading [1]

Core Viewpoint - SoFi Technologies is expected to report earnings on July 29, 2025, with historical data indicating a positive stock performance following earnings reports, achieving a positive return in 69% of instances [2][7]. Earnings Expectations - Analysts predict earnings of $0.06 per share on revenue of $804 million for the upcoming report, compared to $0.02 per share on revenue of $597 million in the same quarter last year [3]. Company Financials - SoFi Technologies has a market capitalization of $23 billion and generated $2.8 billion in revenue over the last twelve months, reporting a net income of $482 million [4]. Historical Performance - Over the last five years, there have been 16 earnings data points for SoFi, with 11 positive and 5 negative one-day returns, resulting in a 69% rate of positive returns. This rate drops to 67% when considering the last three years [7]. Post-Earnings Strategy - Traders can consider pre-earnings positioning based on historical odds or analyze the correlation between immediate and medium-term returns post-earnings to guide trading decisions [6][8]. Correlation with Peers - The performance of peer companies can influence SoFi's post-earnings stock reaction, with historical data showing that pricing may begin before earnings announcements [9].

Core Insights - Starbucks is set to announce its fiscal third-quarter earnings on July 29, 2025, with analysts predicting earnings of 64 cents per share and revenue of $9.3 billion, reflecting a 31% decrease in earnings year-over-year and a 2% increase in sales compared to the previous year [2] - The company reported a 50% decrease in profits for Q2, with margins falling to 6.9% due to rising labor costs in the U.S. Sales increased by 2% to $8.76 billion, but same-store sales dropped by 1% for the fifth consecutive quarter [3] - Starbucks management has refrained from providing guidance for fiscal year 2025, indicating a recalibration phase under new leadership [3] Financial Performance - Current market capitalization of Starbucks stands at $109 billion, with revenue for the past twelve months at $36 billion [3] - The company generated $4.4 billion in operating profits and reported a net income of $3.1 billion [3] Historical Earnings Trends - Historical data shows that Starbucks stock has underperformed post-earnings releases, with a 55% decrease rate and a median one-day drop of 4.4% [2] - Over the past five years, there have been 20 recorded earnings data points, with 45% resulting in positive one-day returns, which increases to 58% when considering the last three years [6] - The median of positive returns is 4.3%, while the median of negative returns is -4.4% [6]

Financial Performance - SLB is expected to report earnings of $0.75 per share on revenue of $8.51 billion for Q2 2025, reflecting a 4% decrease in earnings and a 7% drop in revenue compared to last year [2] - For Q1 2025, SLB reported a revenue decline of 3% to $8.5 billion and a net income decrease of 25% to $797 million, with North America revenue rising by 8% while international markets saw a 5% decline [3] - The company has a current market capitalization of $48 billion, with total revenue for the past twelve months amounting to $36 billion, operating profits of $6.3 billion, and net income of $4.2 billion [4] Acquisition and Market Position - SLB's $8 billion all-stock acquisition of ChampionX received final approval from UK regulators, allowing the merger to finalize, which will integrate ChampionX's chemicals and automation into SLB's production systems [3] Historical Trends and Trading Insights - Historically, SLB's stock has increased after earnings reports 50% of the time, with a median one-day gain of 2.1% and a maximum increase of 10% [2][6] - Over the past five years, there have been 20 recorded earnings data points for SLB, yielding 10 positive and 10 negative one-day returns, with a decrease in positive returns to 42% when analyzing the last three years [6] - A strategy to assess the correlation between short-term and medium-term returns post-earnings can be effective, particularly if a strong correlation exists between 1D and 5D returns [7]