房产交易及服务

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【贝壳-W(2423.HK)】从交易走向居住——投资价值分析报告(付天姿/孙伟风/王贇)
光大证券研究· 2025-05-27 09:13
Core Viewpoint - Beike is the largest real estate transaction and service platform in China, transitioning from a traditional real estate service provider to a comprehensive living service provider with its "one body, three wings" strategy focusing on real estate brokerage, home decoration, and related services [3]. Group 1: Real Estate Brokerage Business - Beike has a significant advantage with its integrated online and offline platform, featuring 50,000 active stores and 445,000 active agents by the end of 2024. The platform integrates various real estate brokerage brands, enhancing its scale advantage [4]. - The company effectively addresses issues such as fake listings and price discrepancies through its "Building Dictionary" and ACN mechanism, while promoting digital transformation to improve efficiency and customer experience [4]. - The growth of the real estate brokerage business is expected to continue due to increasing turnover rates in the second-hand housing market and the company's leading market share [4]. Group 2: Home Decoration and Furniture Business - The domestic home decoration market is projected to reach approximately 3.9 trillion by 2024, characterized by high fragmentation and consumer dissatisfaction due to issues like price transparency and long delivery times [5]. - Beike leverages its real estate brokerage business to drive traffic and employs a "standardization + digitalization + full-link integration" model to enhance delivery capabilities in home decoration [5]. - Following the acquisition of Saintu Home Decoration in 2022, Beike is in a phase of scaling its operations by combining vertical management with an internet platform model [5]. Group 3: Rental and Residential Development - The "Worry-Free Rental" model focuses on sustainable profitability by improving rental efficiency and reducing vacancy periods, managing over 430,000 rental units by the end of 2024 [6]. - The "Beihome" initiative explores a new C2M residential development model, with plans to expand operations in major cities like Beijing, Shanghai, and Guangzhou in 2025 [6].
贝壳-W:投资价值分析报告:从交易走向居住-20250527
EBSCN· 2025-05-27 05:45
Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [4][11]. Core Viewpoints - The company is the largest real estate transaction and service platform in China, poised to benefit from real estate recovery, with its three wings of business gradually forming a second growth curve [3][11]. - The company has launched a strategic shift from traditional real estate transactions to comprehensive living services, encapsulated in its "One Body, Three Wings" strategy [1][36]. Summary by Relevant Sections Company Overview - The company, originally founded as Beijing Lianjia in 2001, has evolved into the largest real estate transaction and service platform in China, with a significant focus on digital transformation and integration of services [1][20]. - The company has a unique dual-class share structure, with core management holding nearly half of the voting rights, ensuring strategic control [28][29]. Real Estate Brokerage Business - The brokerage business benefits from a strong online and offline integration, with 50,000 active stores and 445,000 active agents by the end of 2024 [1]. - The company has developed a robust mechanism to address issues like fake listings and price discrepancies through its "Building Dictionary" and ACN network, enhancing transaction efficiency [1][10]. Home Decoration and Furnishing Business - The home decoration market is projected to reach approximately 3.9 trillion yuan in 2024, with the company leveraging its brokerage business to drive traffic and enhance service delivery through digitalization [2][10]. - Following the acquisition of Saintu Decoration, the company is in a phase of scaling its operations through a combination of vertical management and internet platform models [2][10]. Rental and Residential Development - The rental business, centered around the "Worry-Free Rental" model, aims for sustainable profitability by improving property turnover rates and reducing vacancy periods [2][10]. - The "Beihome" initiative is being piloted in major cities, with plans for expansion in 2025 [2][10]. Profit Forecast, Valuation, and Rating - The company is expected to see a net profit of 5.77 billion, 6.69 billion, and 7.44 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with corresponding P/E ratios of 28, 24, and 22 [3][11]. - The report highlights the stability of the brokerage business and the high growth potential of the home decoration and rental segments as key drivers for future profitability [3][11].