Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [7]. Core Views - The company has shown a quarter-on-quarter improvement in profitability, with a focus on expanding and extending its share buyback program. Despite potential short-term performance pressure due to industry downturns, the company is expected to outperform the industry, especially if significant policies are implemented [2][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company achieved revenue of 26 billion yuan (up 11.3%), with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.3 billion yuan (down 31.2%). Adjusted net profit was 1.8 billion yuan (down 32.4%). For H1 2025, these figures were 49.3 billion yuan, 2.2 billion yuan, and 3.2 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year changes of +24.1%, -7.2%, and -21.3% [4]. Business Operations - The self-operated platform has driven GTV growth, with both Lianjia and Beilian's existing housing monetization ratios improving for two consecutive quarters. The profitability of existing homes, new homes, and rental businesses has improved quarter-on-quarter, while the home decoration business has achieved profitability at the city level. Effective fee management has significantly enhanced potential profit elasticity [2][4]. Shareholder Returns - The company has emphasized shareholder returns by increasing and extending its share buyback program. In H1 2025, it spent 394 million USD on share repurchases, buying back nearly 1.7% of the total shares issued at the end of 2024. The buyback authorization has been increased from 3 billion USD to 5 billion USD, with the program extended until August 31, 2028 [4]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to maintain a valuation premium due to its competitive advantages, relative scarcity, and potential earnings elasticity. The adjusted net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are 6.63 billion, 7.18 billion, and 7.53 billion yuan, with corresponding PE ratios of 23.2, 21.4, and 20.4 [4].

Core Insights - Beike's Q2 performance shows resilience with a total transaction volume of 878.7 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.7%, and net income of 26 billion yuan, up 11.3% [2] - Non-real estate transaction service revenue reached 41% of total net income, indicating a diversified growth strategy [2][5] - The company is undergoing a significant transformation, focusing on balancing scale and efficiency, adapting to consumer demand changes, and leveraging rapid technological advancements [2][8] Business Strategy - Beike is shifting from a scale-focused approach to enhancing network potential and single-point efficiency in real estate transactions [3][4] - The company has established a solid competitive moat through its ACN cooperation network and real source system, addressing the scarcity of quality assets and transaction security [3] - Beike's operational strategy includes refined management and initiatives like a store points system to improve service quality [4] Performance Metrics - In H1, Beike's second-hand transaction volume increased by 26%, outperforming the market's estimated growth of 19%, while new home transaction volume rose by 19% [4] - The gross transaction value (GTV) for existing homes reached 583.5 billion yuan, a 2.2% increase, and new homes GTV was 255.4 billion yuan, up 8.5% [4][6] - The home decoration and furnishing business generated net income of 4.57 billion yuan, a 13% increase, with a profit margin of 32.1% [6] AI Integration - Beike is integrating AI into its operations to enhance efficiency and customer experience, positioning AI as a new production resource [8][10] - The AI CRM tool "Lai Ke" has been implemented in over 60 cities, with more than 335,000 agents using it, significantly improving operational efficiency [8][9] - The company aims to use AI to standardize processes and allow service providers to focus on building trust and delivering high-quality services [9][10] Future Growth - Beike's "one body, three wings" strategy is driving structural changes and creating new growth drivers beyond traditional real estate transactions [5][11] - The company is focusing on customer-centric product design in its development projects, utilizing data-driven insights to enhance living experiences [7] - Beike's exploration of AI and data integration is expected to redefine the residential service landscape, enhancing service delivery and operational efficiency [10][11]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, Beike-W (02423), marking its first coverage [3][7]. Core Insights - Beike has evolved from a leading intermediary to a comprehensive residential service platform, with a projected GTV of 33,494 billion RMB and a revenue growth of 20.2% year-on-year for 2024 [3][11]. - The company's existing housing business remains robust, with a GTV of 22,000 billion RMB and a market share increase to 30.7%, continuing to be the core profit source [3][11]. - New housing business shows counter-cyclical growth, with a revenue increase of 10.1% year-on-year, while home decoration and rental services are rapidly expanding, with revenue growth of 36.1% and 135.0% respectively, forming a second growth curve [3][12]. - The adjusted net profit for 2025-2027 is expected to be 80.8 billion RMB, 90.6 billion RMB, and 99.7 billion RMB respectively, indicating significant platform ecosystem synergy [3][19]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Beike, as a leading one-stop residential service platform in China, covers transactions, rentals, and home decoration, facilitating over 4.9 million transactions in 2024 with a GTV of 33,494 billion RMB [11][25]. Financial Performance - In 2024, Beike achieved total revenue of 93,457 million RMB, a year-on-year increase of 20.2%. The existing and new housing businesses contributed 30.2% and 36.0% to revenue respectively, while home decoration and rental services grew significantly [33][38]. - The GTV has shown a steady increase, with a market share rise in both new and existing housing from 2.2% and 12.6% in 2018 to 11.4% and 31.0% in 2024 respectively [33][37]. Business Segments - The existing housing business is expected to continue its recovery, with revenue projections for 2025-2027 at 298.3 billion RMB, 323.5 billion RMB, and 346.6 billion RMB, reflecting a stable growth trajectory [17]. - The new housing market is under pressure, but Beike's platform advantages are expected to enhance its market share during this phase [17]. - Home decoration and rental services are anticipated to grow significantly, with projected revenues of 182.9 billion RMB, 219.5 billion RMB, and 256.8 billion RMB for 2025-2027, indicating a strong upward trend [18]. Profitability and Valuation - The adjusted net profit for 2024 is projected at 72.11 billion RMB, reflecting a decrease of 26.4% year-on-year due to revenue structure disturbances and one-time employee incentives [12][19]. - The company is actively pursuing share buybacks and dividends, with a buyback plan of up to 30 billion USD and a dividend payout ratio exceeding 75% [56][57].

Core Viewpoint - Beike is the largest real estate transaction and service platform in China, transitioning from a traditional real estate service provider to a comprehensive living service provider with its "one body, three wings" strategy focusing on real estate brokerage, home decoration, and related services [3]. Group 1: Real Estate Brokerage Business - Beike has a significant advantage with its integrated online and offline platform, featuring 50,000 active stores and 445,000 active agents by the end of 2024. The platform integrates various real estate brokerage brands, enhancing its scale advantage [4]. - The company effectively addresses issues such as fake listings and price discrepancies through its "Building Dictionary" and ACN mechanism, while promoting digital transformation to improve efficiency and customer experience [4]. - The growth of the real estate brokerage business is expected to continue due to increasing turnover rates in the second-hand housing market and the company's leading market share [4]. Group 2: Home Decoration and Furniture Business - The domestic home decoration market is projected to reach approximately 3.9 trillion by 2024, characterized by high fragmentation and consumer dissatisfaction due to issues like price transparency and long delivery times [5]. - Beike leverages its real estate brokerage business to drive traffic and employs a "standardization + digitalization + full-link integration" model to enhance delivery capabilities in home decoration [5]. - Following the acquisition of Saintu Home Decoration in 2022, Beike is in a phase of scaling its operations by combining vertical management with an internet platform model [5]. Group 3: Rental and Residential Development - The "Worry-Free Rental" model focuses on sustainable profitability by improving rental efficiency and reducing vacancy periods, managing over 430,000 rental units by the end of 2024 [6]. - The "Beihome" initiative explores a new C2M residential development model, with plans to expand operations in major cities like Beijing, Shanghai, and Guangzhou in 2025 [6].

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [4][11]. Core Viewpoints - The company is the largest real estate transaction and service platform in China, poised to benefit from real estate recovery, with its three wings of business gradually forming a second growth curve [3][11]. - The company has launched a strategic shift from traditional real estate transactions to comprehensive living services, encapsulated in its "One Body, Three Wings" strategy [1][36]. Summary by Relevant Sections Company Overview - The company, originally founded as Beijing Lianjia in 2001, has evolved into the largest real estate transaction and service platform in China, with a significant focus on digital transformation and integration of services [1][20]. - The company has a unique dual-class share structure, with core management holding nearly half of the voting rights, ensuring strategic control [28][29]. Real Estate Brokerage Business - The brokerage business benefits from a strong online and offline integration, with 50,000 active stores and 445,000 active agents by the end of 2024 [1]. - The company has developed a robust mechanism to address issues like fake listings and price discrepancies through its "Building Dictionary" and ACN network, enhancing transaction efficiency [1][10]. Home Decoration and Furnishing Business - The home decoration market is projected to reach approximately 3.9 trillion yuan in 2024, with the company leveraging its brokerage business to drive traffic and enhance service delivery through digitalization [2][10]. - Following the acquisition of Saintu Decoration, the company is in a phase of scaling its operations through a combination of vertical management and internet platform models [2][10]. Rental and Residential Development - The rental business, centered around the "Worry-Free Rental" model, aims for sustainable profitability by improving property turnover rates and reducing vacancy periods [2][10]. - The "Beihome" initiative is being piloted in major cities, with plans for expansion in 2025 [2][10]. Profit Forecast, Valuation, and Rating - The company is expected to see a net profit of 5.77 billion, 6.69 billion, and 7.44 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with corresponding P/E ratios of 28, 24, and 22 [3][11]. - The report highlights the stability of the brokerage business and the high growth potential of the home decoration and rental segments as key drivers for future profitability [3][11].

Core Insights - Beike reported a net income of 23.3 billion yuan for Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 42.4%, and a net profit of 855 million yuan, up 97.9% [1] - The total transaction volume on Beike's platform reached 843.7 billion yuan, a 34.0% increase year-on-year, driven by growth in the existing housing market and improved market coverage [1] - The company aims to focus on input-output ratios and maintain a solid operational safety baseline while ensuring sustainable returns for shareholders [3] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Beike's existing housing business net income rose to 6.9 billion yuan, a 20.0% increase from the previous year, while new housing business net income increased by 64.2% to 8.1 billion yuan [1] - Home decoration and furniture net income grew by 22.3% to 2.9 billion yuan, attributed to increased orders from real estate transactions [2] - Rental service net income surged by 93.8% to 5.1 billion yuan, driven by the increase in rental properties under the "worry-free rental" model [2] Cost Analysis - Beike's total operating costs rose by 51.0% to 18.5 billion yuan compared to the previous year [2] - The external commission cost increased by 66.6% to 5.7 billion yuan, while internal commissions and remuneration rose by 33.1% to 4.8 billion yuan [2] - The cost of rental services saw a significant increase of 91.3% to 4.7 billion yuan [2] Market Outlook - The market performance in Q1 2025 was stable, continuing the positive impact from policy changes since September of the previous year [3] - The number of active stores and agents increased by 29.6% and 23.0% year-on-year, respectively, indicating strong market engagement [3] - Beike's CEO expressed confidence in the "one body, three wings" strategy and plans to continue investing in AI applications while being more cautious in other investments [3]

Core Insights - Beike (NYSE: BEKE; HKEX: 2423) reported strong financial performance for Q1 2025, driven by favorable policies and a dual focus on growth and efficiency [1] - The company achieved a total transaction volume (GTV) of 843.7 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 34.0%, with net revenue reaching 23.3 billion RMB, up 42.4% [1] - Beike's CEO expressed confidence in the company's long-term development under the "one body, three wings" strategy and emphasized ongoing investments in AI applications [1] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Beike's GTV for existing home business reached 580.3 billion RMB, a 28.1% increase year-on-year, while net revenue was 6.9 billion RMB, up 20.0% [1] - The new home business GTV was 232.2 billion RMB, reflecting a 53.0% year-on-year growth, with net revenue increasing by 64.2% to 8.1 billion RMB [1] - Non-property transaction services saw net revenue growth of 46.2%, accounting for 35.9% of total net revenue [2] Operational Efficiency - Beike's operating expenses for Q1 were 4.2 billion RMB, a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 31.3%, indicating improved operational efficiency [1] - Adjusted net profit for the quarter reached 1.393 billion RMB, showcasing enhanced profitability [1] Business Development - The number of active stores on the platform reached 55,210, with active agents totaling 490,862 by the end of Q1 [2] - Beike is focusing on optimizing developer partnerships and enhancing service efficiency in the new home business [2] - The home decoration and furnishing business generated net revenue of 2.9 billion RMB, a 22.3% increase, with a record profit margin of 32.6% [2] Rental Services - Rental service revenue surged to 5.1 billion RMB, a remarkable year-on-year growth of 93.8%, supported by a rapid increase in managed property scale [3] - The company managed over 500,000 rental units, with the "Worry-Free Rental" program accounting for over 490,000 units [3] - An AI assistant for rental services, "Xiao Hui," is being tested in 13 cities, achieving a 25% online resolution rate for tenant requests [3]