手袋及配饰制造
Search documents
九兴控股(01836.HK):运动类及新客户需求拉动增长
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-29 03:51
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a year-on-year revenue increase of 3.7% in Q3 2025, driven by growth in manufacturing revenue and shipment volume, despite a decline in average selling price (ASP) [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company's revenue reached $400 million, with manufacturing revenue at $390 million, and shipment volume increased by 7.8% to 13.9 million pairs [1] - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of $1.18 billion, with manufacturing revenue at $1.15 billion and total shipment volume up by 5.1% to 41.4 million pairs [1] - The company plans to maintain a dividend payout ratio of approximately 70% in 2025 and 2026, returning up to $60 million annually to shareholders through share buybacks and special dividends [1] Group 2: Production Capacity and Strategy - The company is set to expand its total production capacity by 20 million pairs starting in 2025, focusing on enhancing capacity at its new factory in Indonesia and launching a second factory in Bangladesh [1][2] - The company aims to improve production efficiency at its Indonesian and Philippine facilities by the second half of 2025, although profitability may face short-term pressure [2] - The company is committed to developing its handbag and accessories manufacturing business as a core growth driver, having recently acquired a small handbag factory in Vietnam to enhance production quality and efficiency [3] Group 3: Future Outlook - The company is on track to achieve its three-year plan (2023-2025) with a target of 10% operating profit margin and low double-digit compound annual growth rate for after-tax profits, having exceeded these targets in 2023 and 2024 [2] - The company continues to diversify its product mix and expand its customer base, with expectations of strong demand for its product development and production capacity despite current market uncertainties [2] - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted to $1.58 billion, $1.66 billion, and $1.76 billion, with net profits projected at $160 million, $170 million, and $190 million respectively [3]
天风证券:维持九兴控股(01836)“增持”评级 运动类及新客户需求拉动增长
智通财经网· 2025-10-27 08:35
Core Viewpoint - Tianfeng Securities maintains a "Buy" rating for Jiu Xing Holdings (01836), adjusting profit forecasts due to a relatively weak consumer environment while still expecting revenue and net profit growth in the coming years [1][2] Group 1: Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are adjusted to $1.58 billion, $1.66 billion, and $1.76 billion, respectively, down from previous estimates of $1.62 billion, $1.71 billion, and $1.81 billion [1] - Net profit estimates for the same years are maintained at $160 million, $170 million, and $190 million, consistent with prior forecasts [1] - Corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios are projected to be 11x, 10x, and 9x for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [1] Group 2: Strategic Initiatives - The company aims to achieve a 10% operating profit margin and a low double-digit compound annual growth rate in after-tax profits by the end of its three-year plan (2023-2025), having already exceeded these targets in 2023 and 2024 [1] - Continuous improvement in product category mix, diversification, and expansion of the customer base are key strategies moving forward [1] - The company plans to optimize production capacity between luxury, high-end fashion categories, and new sports category clients, with new client shipments expected to begin in the second half of the year [1] Group 3: Business Development - The company is committed to making its handbag and accessories manufacturing business a core growth driver, targeting the introduction of more high-end clients [2] - Accelerating the development of this business will be a focus in the next three-year plan starting in 2026 [2] - A recent acquisition of a small handbag and accessories factory in Vietnam aims to leverage high-end production expertise and enhance the quality and efficiency of the company's manufacturing operations [2]
天风证券:维持九兴控股(01836)“增持”评级 扩充海外基地优化客户组合
智通财经网· 2025-10-13 06:14
Core Viewpoint - Tianfeng Securities maintains a "buy" rating for Jiu Xing Holdings (01836), adjusting profit forecasts based on the performance in the first half of 2025 and considering last year's high base effect and operational efficiency from new capacity deployment [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are adjusted to $160 million, $180 million, and $190 million, respectively, down from previous estimates of $180 million, $200 million, and $220 million [1] - Earnings per share (EPS) estimates are revised to $0.20, $0.21, and $0.23 for the same period, compared to earlier projections of $0.22, $0.24, and $0.26 [1] Group 2: Strategic Planning - The company is currently in a stable position, a direct result of its three-year plan (2023-2025), which aims to improve product category mix, diversify and expand the customer base, and optimize manufacturing base layout [1] - The company has set two main profit targets: achieving a 10% operating profit margin and a low double-digit annual growth rate in after-tax profit over the three-year period [1] - The company has already exceeded these targets in 2023 and 2024, expressing confidence in achieving them by the end of 2025 [1] Group 3: Operational Challenges - The company faces short-term challenges in profitability due to two main factors: a high base effect from customers advancing orders to meet demand before the Paris Olympics and operational efficiency issues related to increased capacity in Indonesia and the Philippines [2] - To meet demand and ensure customer goals, the company has shifted some production to a factory in Vietnam, resulting in increased costs, including overtime expenses [2] - Despite initial challenges, the company expects conditions to improve in the second half of the year [2] Group 4: Future Growth Plans - As the company prepares to finalize its next three-year plan (2026-2028), it remains on a growth trajectory [2] - The new plan includes an expansion of total capacity by 20 million pairs, achieved through increasing capacity at the new factory in Solo, Indonesia, starting operations at a second factory in Bangladesh, and accelerating the construction of a dedicated factory for its largest sports client in Indonesia [2] - Another focus of the upcoming three-year plan is the development of handbag and accessory manufacturing, which the company aims to establish as a significant long-term growth driver [2] - The company has recently acquired a small but experienced handbag factory in Vietnam to enhance product quality and production efficiency in its handbag business [2] - The next three-year plan will enable the company to meet cross-product category demands from brand customers, positioning itself as an ideal partner that combines high-quality standards with added value [2]