Core Viewpoint - The overall industry value added in Macau is projected to increase by 8.2% year-on-year to MOP 384.54 billion in 2024, indicating a continued economic recovery [1] Group 1: Industry Value Added - The value added by the tertiary sector (services, including wholesale and retail, food and beverage, finance, and gaming) is expected to reach MOP 365.88 billion, while the secondary sector (industry and construction) is projected at MOP 18.66 billion [1] - The tertiary sector's contribution to the overall industry value added is anticipated to be 95.1%, an increase of 0.8 percentage points from 2023, while the secondary sector's share will be 4.9% [1] - The non-gaming sector's value added is expected to account for 56.7% of the total value added, up by 7.8 percentage points compared to 2019 [1] Group 2: Income Distribution - In terms of initial income distribution, production and import taxes are projected to reach MOP 97.1 billion, with a year-on-year increase of 21.4% [1] - Operating surplus is expected to be MOP 155.03 billion, reflecting a 3.6% increase year-on-year [1] - Employee compensation is projected at MOP 133.31 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 6.1% [1] - The shares of these components in the local GDP are expected to be 25.2% for production and import taxes, 40.2% for operating surplus, and 34.6% for employee compensation [1]

Group 1: Foreign Direct Investment in Macau - In 2024, foreign direct investment inflow to Macau reached 137.6 billion MOP, a year-on-year increase of 54.9%, primarily due to increased reinvestment of profits by certain enterprises [1] - The total foreign direct investment income for the year recorded 539.2 billion MOP, up 1.9% [1] - By the end of 2024, the cumulative total of foreign direct investment amounted to 3,953.6 billion MOP, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 4.5% [1] Group 2: Sector Analysis of Foreign Direct Investment - The financial sector attracted 101.5 billion MOP in foreign direct investment, while the wholesale and retail sector received 29.1 billion MOP [1] - The gaming industry saw foreign direct investment income of 308.3 billion MOP, with the financial and wholesale/retail sectors recording 81.7 billion MOP and 79.5 billion MOP, respectively [1] Group 3: Source of Foreign Direct Investment - The majority of foreign direct investment came from mainland China (63.0 billion MOP) and Hong Kong (61.8 billion MOP) [1] - Notably, foreign direct investment from the Cayman Islands turned positive at 29.7 billion MOP in 2024, reversing from a negative value in 2023 due to reduced loan repayments by large enterprises [1] Group 4: Cumulative Foreign Direct Investment by Sector - Cumulative foreign direct investment in the financial sector reached 1,430.0 billion MOP, an increase of 9.2%, while real estate development and rental sector saw a rise of 5.5% to 239.6 billion MOP [2] - The gaming sector experienced a slight decline of 0.1%, totaling 1,423.5 billion MOP [2] Group 5: Overseas Investment by Macau Enterprises - In 2024, Macau enterprises had an overseas direct investment flow of 37.4 billion MOP, with total investment income of 11.1 billion MOP [2] - The cumulative total of overseas direct investment reached 1,100.2 billion MOP, marking a year-on-year increase of 2.0% [2] Group 6: Investment in Mainland China and Hong Kong - Cumulative overseas direct investment in mainland China rose by 0.5% to 829.1 billion MOP, with investments in the Greater Bay Area cities increasing by 1.5% to 688.1 billion MOP, accounting for 83.0% of the total [2] - Investment in Hong Kong also saw a year-on-year increase of 14.4% to 85.9 billion MOP [2]

Group 1 - The Hong Kong private sector is experiencing a further contraction, with the S&P Global Hong Kong Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) dropping from 49 in May to 47.8, marking the largest decline since April 2022 [1] - New orders for businesses have decreased for five consecutive months, attributed to tight customer budgets and uncertainty in U.S. trade policies, leading to a significant reduction in business activity [1] - The production output has seen its most notable decline in a year, as both domestic and overseas business volumes have sharply reduced compared to May [1] Group 2 - Companies are cautiously managing employee recruitment due to concerns about business prospects, with pessimism among businesses reaching its highest level since September 2020 [1] - Input costs have risen, but the increase is the smallest since February 2021, with wage inflation slowing down helping to suppress cost increases [1] - The overall business confidence has dropped to its lowest level in nearly five years, raising concerns about the future performance of the sector [2]

Economic Overview - The overall local GDP in Hong Kong increased by 3.1% in Q1 2025 compared to the same period last year, up from a 2.5% increase in Q4 2024 [1] Service Sector Analysis - The total value added by all service activities rose by 2.6% in Q1 2025 year-on-year, compared to a 1.7% increase in Q4 2024 [1] - The value added by import and export trade, wholesale and retail industries increased by 4.2% in Q1 2025 year-on-year, contrasting with a 0.2% decline in Q4 2024 [1] - The accommodation and food services sector saw a decrease of 1.8% in value added in Q1 2025 year-on-year, following a 2.6% increase in Q4 2024 [1] - The transportation, warehousing, postal, and courier services sector's value added rose by 2.9% in Q1 2025 year-on-year, down from a 6.8% increase in Q4 2024 [1] - The information and communications sector's value added increased by 1.3% in Q1 2025 year-on-year, slightly down from a 1.5% increase in Q4 2024 [1] - The financial and insurance sector's value added rose by 4.4% in Q1 2025 year-on-year, compared to a 1.9% increase in Q4 2024 [1] Other Industries - The real estate, professional, and business services sector recorded a 0.3% decline in value added in Q1 2025 year-on-year, following a 1.7% increase in Q4 2024 [2] - The public administration, social, and personal services sector's value added increased by 1.7% in Q1 2025 year-on-year, down from a 3.0% increase in Q4 2024 [2] - The local manufacturing sector's value added rose by 0.7% in Q1 2025 year-on-year, compared to a 1.0% increase in Q4 2024 [2] - The electricity, gas, water supply, and waste management sector experienced a 1.4% decline in value added in Q1 2025 year-on-year, following a 3.0% increase in Q4 2024 [2] Construction Industry - The construction sector's value added declined by 1.9% in Q1 2025 year-on-year, following a 4.7% decrease in Q4 2024 [3]