Group 1: Fiscal Performance Overview - In the first half of 2025, the national general public budget revenue was 11.56 trillion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 0.3%, while public expenditure reached 14.13 trillion yuan, an increase of 3.4% year-on-year [1][4] - Tax revenue, seen as an economic "barometer," has gradually rebounded since the second quarter, with three consecutive months of year-on-year growth [1][4] - The issuance of various government bonds remained robust, with national debt issuance reaching a historical high of 7.88 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 35.28% [1][10] Group 2: Tax Revenue Insights - Tax revenue for the first half of the year was 9.29 trillion yuan, down 1.2% year-on-year, but the decline narrowed by 0.8 percentage points compared to the first quarter [4] - Local public finance revenue increased by 1.6% year-on-year, with 27 out of 31 provinces reporting growth [4] - Notable growth in tax revenue was observed in sectors such as equipment manufacturing and modern services, with specific increases of 32.2% in railway and aerospace equipment and 13.8% in scientific research services [5] Group 3: Government Spending and Support Measures - Public fiscal expenditure focused on social security, education, and health, with significant year-on-year growth in these areas, while traditional infrastructure spending saw a decline [7] - The central government has accelerated transfer payments to local governments, reaching 9.29 trillion yuan, which is 89.8% of the annual budget [7] - The Ministry of Finance plans to introduce measures to boost consumption and enhance the consumption environment in key cities [8]

Group 1 - Jiangsu issued 20-year general special local bonds with a scale of 28.932 billion yuan and an issuance interest rate of 2.04%, with a marginal multiple of 3.97 times, compared to an expected multiple of 2.40 [1] - Jiangsu issued 30-year general special local bonds with a scale of 5.251 billion yuan and an issuance interest rate of 2.03%, with a marginal multiple of 2.79 times, compared to an expected multiple of 4.95 [1]

Group 1 - The Ministry of Finance of China issued a 1-year bond with a scale of 124 billion, an issuance rate of 1.3300%, and a marginal rate of 1.3600%, with a bid-to-cover ratio of 2.53 times [1] - The Ministry of Finance of China issued a 5-year bond with a scale of 108 billion, an issuance rate of 1.5500%, and a marginal rate of 1.5700%, with a bid-to-cover ratio of 3.44 times [1] - The Ministry of Finance of China issued a 30-year bond with a scale of 83 billion, an issuance rate of 1.9724%, with a bid-to-cover ratio of 3.26 times [1] Group 2 - The marginal bid-to-cover ratio for the 1-year bond was 1.64 times, while for the 5-year bond it was 6.90 times, and for the 30-year bond it was 6.11 times [1] - The expected issuance rate for the 30-year bond was 1.9600%, indicating a slight increase in the actual issuance rate [1]

Group 1 - Sichuan issued 10-year general local bonds with a scale of 8.35498 billion, an issuance rate of 1.7400%, and a marginal multiple of 2.62 times, exceeding the expected multiple of 1.75 [1] - Sichuan also issued 10-year ordinary special local bonds with a scale of 1.09302 billion, an issuance rate of 1.7500%, and a marginal multiple of 2.33 times, matching the expected multiple of 1.75 [1]

Group 1 - Hebei issued 10-year general local bonds with a scale of 19.79 billion yuan and an issuance rate of 1.71% [1] - The marginal multiple for the general local bonds was 1.02 times, with an expected multiple of 1.74 [1] - Hebei also issued 10-year ordinary special local bonds with a scale of 4.7 billion yuan and an issuance rate of 1.74% [1] Group 2 - The marginal multiple for the ordinary special local bonds was 6.00 times, with an expected multiple of 1.74 [1]

Core Insights - Yunnan has issued various special local bonds with different maturities and scales, indicating active financing efforts in infrastructure projects [1] Group 1: Bond Issuance Details - Yunnan issued a 30-year special local bond for toll roads with a scale of 2.00 billion and an interest rate of 2.05%, achieving a marginal multiple of 1.82, with an expected multiple of 2.00 [1] - A 7-year special local bond for urban renovation was issued with a scale of 1.10 billion and an interest rate of 1.64%, achieving a marginal multiple of 2.73, with an expected multiple of 1.65 [1] - A 10-year special local bond was issued with a scale of 17.04 billion and an interest rate of 1.70%, achieving a marginal multiple of 2.10, with an expected multiple of 1.74 [1] - Another 30-year special local bond was issued with a scale of 15.01 billion and an interest rate of 2.03%, achieving a marginal multiple of 1.64, with an expected multiple of 1.99 [1] - A 7-year special local bond was issued with a scale of 65.70 billion and an interest rate of 1.64%, achieving a marginal multiple of 2.00, with an expected multiple of 1.65 [1]

Group 1 - Guangdong issued 10-year general local bonds with a total scale of 18.96442 billion, at an issuance rate of 1.7500%, with a marginal multiple of 3.65 times, exceeding the expected multiple of 1.72 [1] - Guangdong issued another 10-year general local bonds with a total scale of 7.34279 billion, also at an issuance rate of 1.7500%, achieving a marginal multiple of 5.63 times, again surpassing the expected multiple of 1.72 [1] - Guangdong issued 20-year ordinary special local bonds with a total scale of 7.64973 billion, at an issuance rate of 2.0300%, with a marginal multiple of 1.16 times, below the expected multiple of 2.00 [1] - Guangdong issued an additional 20-year ordinary special local bond with a total scale of 892.32 million, at an issuance rate of 2.0300%, achieving a marginal multiple of 1.22 times, slightly below the expected multiple of 1.99 [1]

对整体市场供给的影响较为有限。 近日，浙江省成功发行了首批存量房专项债，引起市场关注。根据浙江省财政厅发布的《2025年浙江省 政府专项债券（十三至二十期）信息披露文件》（下称《文件》），此次专项债券的发行规模为552.67 亿元，其中16.53亿元专项用于收购存量商品房。 业内人士称，此次专项债中用于收购存量商品房的部分仅占总规模的3%，但这一举措具有显著的创新 性和重要的政策导向作用。随着相关项目运作模式的不断完善，未来可能会进一步提高专项债券在该领 域的配置比例。 展望未来，市场机构认为，二季度可能会成为地方债集中发行的高峰期，需警惕在"自审自发"等政策推 动下，地方债发行速度加快可能带来的超预期影响。 首批存量房专项债融资总额达16.53亿元 《文件》显示，2025年浙江省政府专项债券（十三至二十期）发行总额为552.67亿元。其中，首批16.53 亿元资金将专项用于支持湖州、温州、嘉兴三市（湖州4个、温州3个、嘉兴1个）合计8个保障性住房项 目建设。 上述项目对应的专项债券已同步发行。据Wind数据，本次浙江共发行了8只政府专项债券，期限涵盖3 年、5年、7年、10年、15年、20年和30年等多种类 ...