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调查:德国经济复苏乏力 企业信心持续低迷
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-11-06 17:04
Economic Outlook - The DIHK's economic survey indicates that despite government reforms, there are no signs of recovery in the German economy, with business confidence remaining low [1] - The survey, covering approximately 23,000 companies, predicts stagnation for 2023 and only a slight growth of 0.7% in 2024, which is significantly lower than most economists' forecasts [1] - The German economy is expected to experience two consecutive years of recession, with a slight growth anticipated in 2025 and a potential growth rate exceeding 1% in 2026 [1] Business Investment Sentiment - The DIHK economic climate index has decreased by 1 point to 93.8, indicating a persistently pessimistic outlook [1] - Only 15% of surveyed companies expect economic conditions to improve in the next 12 months, while a quarter anticipate worsening conditions [1] - Investment intentions remain low, with only one-fifth of companies planning to increase investments and one-third intending to cut back on investments [1] Labor Market Conditions - The labor market is facing challenges, with only 10% of companies planning to hire more employees, while 25% are considering layoffs [2] - A significant 56% of companies identify labor costs as a major operational risk, influenced by rising social insurance contributions and recent minimum wage increases [2] - The DIHK CEO emphasizes the need for the government to accelerate efforts to reduce burdens on businesses to restore confidence [2]
证监会:不断优化可持续披露制度
Core Viewpoint - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) is committed to supporting and guiding listed companies in enhancing the quality of sustainable disclosures, in line with the new "National Nine Articles" requirements [1][3]. Group 1: Disclosure Improvement - The disclosure rate of sustainable reports among listed companies has increased, with 1,869 companies disclosing their 2024 sustainable reports, resulting in an overall disclosure rate of 34.7%, a rise of approximately 10 percentage points compared to the previous two years [1][2]. - 99.3% of the companies that disclosed reports included quantitative indicators, with over 80% of these companies reporting more than 25 indicators [2]. - 62.1% of companies disclosed climate-related risks and opportunities, while 65.9% reported greenhouse gas emissions, showing a significant increase from 57.5% in the previous year [2]. Group 2: Governance and Focus - 67.3% of the companies that disclosed reports have established governance structures, and 63.9% disclosed strategic information, with 44.0% setting and disclosing quantitative sustainability-related goals [2]. - The introduction of guidelines has helped companies focus their sustainable disclosures, reducing confusion and lowering the cost of learning from domestic and international standards [2]. Group 3: Regulatory Framework - The CSRC plans to continue improving the disclosure system by guiding stock exchanges based on disclosure guidelines and adapting to corporate needs, with a focus on policy evaluation after mandatory disclosures begin next year [3][4]. - Approximately 400 companies are required to disclose under the mandatory guidelines, which cover over half of the market's total market capitalization [3]. - The CSRC encourages voluntary disclosures from companies not in the mandatory category, promoting a balanced approach to sustainability reporting [3][4].
IMF下调今年全球经济增长预期至2.8%
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-04-22 19:21
Group 1 - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has revised down its global economic growth forecast for 2025 to 2.8%, a decrease of 0.5 percentage points from the prediction made in January this year [1] - For 2026, the global economy is expected to grow by 3%, which is 0.3 percentage points lower than the January forecast [1] - Developed economies are projected to grow by 1.4% this year and 1.5% next year, while emerging markets and developing economies are expected to grow by 3.7% this year and 3.9% next year [1] Group 2 - The report indicates that the trade tensions and adjustments in financial markets are leading to increased downside risks for the economic outlook [1] - The escalation of trade wars and uncertainty in trade policies may further weaken both short-term and long-term growth prospects [1] - The IMF has noted that the overall inflation rate is expected to decline slightly below the January forecast, with inflation rates projected to be 4.3% in 2025 and 3.6% in 2026 [2] Group 3 - The IMF emphasizes the need for countries to constructively work towards creating a stable and predictable trade environment, promoting international cooperation, and addressing domestic policy gaps and structural imbalances [2]