本文编选自"国家统计局"官网，智通财经编辑：冯秋怡。 | 产品名称 | 单位 | 本期价格 (元) | 比上期 价格涨跌 | 涨跌幅(%) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | (元) | | | 一、黑色金属 | | | | | | 螺纹钢(Φ20mm,HRB400E) | 1140 | 3139.0 | 20.5 | 0.7 | | 线材(Φ8-10mm,HPB300) | 同 | 3282.6 | 10.9 | 0.3 | | 普通中板(20mm,Q235) | HPF | 3393.7 | -18.1 | -0.5 | | 热轧普通板卷(4.75-11.5mm,Q235) | 11年 | 3289.0 | -7.7 | -0.2 | | 无缝钢管(219*6,20#) | 1141 | 4068.8 | -10.4 | -0.3 | | 角钢(5#) | 1145 | 3423.3 | 3.4 | 0.1 | | 二、有色金属 | | | | | | 电解铜(1#) | 1145 | 86636.3 | 427.1 | 0.5 | | 铝锭(A00) | ...

中国统计信息服务中心 卓创资讯 据对全国流通领域9大类50种重要生产资料市场价格的监测显示，2025年11月中旬与11月上旬相比，30 种产品价格上涨，17种下降，3种持平。 2025年11月中旬流通领域重要生产资料市场价格变动情况 3.监测范围 监测范围涵盖全国31个省（区、市）300多个交易市场的近2000家批发商、代理商、经销商等经营企 业。 4.监测方法 价格监测方法包括信息员现场采价，电话、即时通讯工具和电子邮件询价等。 | 产品名称 | | 本期价格 | 比上期 | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 单位 | （元） | 价格涨跌 | (%) | | | | | （元） | | | 一、黑色金属 | | | | | | 螺纹钢（Φ20mm，HRB400E） | 吨 | 3139.0 | 20.5 | 0.7 | | 线材（Φ8—10mm，HPB300） | 吨 | 3282.6 | 10.9 | 0.3 | | 普通中板（20mm，Q235） | 吨 | 3393.7 | -18.1 | -0.5 | | 热轧普通板卷（4.75—11.5mm，Q2 ...

2025年11月18日 国泰君安期货商品研究晨报-黑色系列 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 1 期货研究 商 品 研 究 所 观点与策略 | 铁矿石：震荡反复 | 2 | | --- | --- | | 螺纹钢：前期超跌反弹，偏强震荡 | 3 | | 热轧卷板：前期超跌反弹，偏强震荡 | 3 | | 硅铁：主产区持续减产，偏强震荡 | 5 | | 锰硅：板块情绪扰动，偏强震荡 | 5 | | 焦炭：宽幅震荡 | 7 | | 焦煤：宽幅震荡 | 7 | | 原木：震荡反复 | 8 | 国 泰 君 安 期 货 研 究 商 品 研 究 2025 年 11 月 18 日 来源：Mysteel，东财 Choice，国泰君安期货研究所 【宏观及行业新闻】 （1）财联社 11 月 14 日电，国家统计局数据显示，10 月份，规模以上工业增加值同比实际增长 4.9%。 从环比看，10 月份，规模以上工业增加值比上月增长 0.17%。1—10 月份，规模以上工业增加值同比增长 6.1%。(来自财联社 APP) 国 泰 君 安 期 货 研 究 所 铁矿石：震荡反复 张广硕 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0020198 zhanggua ...

Core Viewpoint - The monitoring of market prices for 50 important production materials across nine categories shows a mixed trend, with 26 products experiencing price increases, 23 seeing declines, and one remaining stable in early November 2025 compared to late October 2025 [2][3]. Group 1: Price Changes in Major Categories - In the black metal category, prices for rebar decreased by 3.8 yuan per ton to 3118.5 yuan, while ordinary medium plates fell by 13.7 yuan to 3411.8 yuan [5]. - In the non-ferrous metal category, electrolytic copper saw a decline of 599.6 yuan per ton, now priced at 86209.2 yuan, while aluminum ingots increased by 319.5 yuan to 21418.3 yuan [6]. - Chemical products experienced varied changes, with sulfuric acid rising by 71.0 yuan to 785.3 yuan, while methanol dropped by 86.9 yuan to 2074.4 yuan [6][10]. Group 2: Energy and Coal Prices - In the petroleum and natural gas sector, liquefied natural gas (LNG) prices increased by 86.8 yuan to 4323.9 yuan per ton, while gasoline (95) prices decreased by 93.3 yuan to 8000.3 yuan [8]. - Coal prices showed a mixed trend, with ordinary mixed coal rising by 24.4 yuan to 611.8 yuan per ton, while coking coal prices were reported at 1623.3 yuan [9]. Group 3: Agricultural Products and Fertilizers - In agricultural products, the price of rice fell by 9.9 yuan to 3909.7 yuan per ton, while soybean prices increased by 49.2 yuan to 4298.3 yuan [10]. - Fertilizer prices also varied, with urea increasing by 3.1 yuan to 1619.8 yuan per ton, while the price of glyphosate decreased by 125.0 yuan to 27375.0 yuan [10]. Group 4: Monitoring Methodology - The price monitoring encompasses 31 provinces and over 300 trading markets, involving nearly 2000 wholesalers, agents, and distributors [13]. - The methodology includes on-site price collection, telephone inquiries, and electronic communications for data accuracy [14].

Core Viewpoint - The monitoring of market prices for 50 important production materials across nine categories indicates a mixed trend, with 26 products experiencing price increases, 22 seeing declines, and 2 remaining stable in late October 2025 compared to mid-October 2025 [2][3]. Group 1: Price Changes in Black Metals - Rebar (Φ20mm, HRB400E) price is 3122.3 CNY per ton, up by 11.8 CNY, a rise of 0.4% [5] - Wire rod (Φ8-10mm, HPB300) price is 3281.7 CNY per ton, up by 17.4 CNY, a rise of 0.5% [5] - Ordinary medium plate (20mm, Q235) price is 3425.5 CNY per ton, down by 19.8 CNY, a decline of 0.6% [5] - Hot-rolled ordinary plate (4.75-11.5mm, Q235) price is 3319.6 CNY per ton, down by 6.7 CNY, a decline of 0.2% [5] - Seamless steel pipe (219*6, 20) price is 4096.3 CNY per ton, down by 9.8 CNY, a decline of 0.2% [5] - Angle steel (5) price is 3412.6 CNY per ton, down by 4.0 CNY, a decline of 0.1% [5] Group 2: Price Changes in Non-Ferrous Metals - Electrolytic copper (1) price is 86808.8 CNY per ton, up by 1378.8 CNY, a rise of 1.6% [6] - Aluminum ingot (A00) price is 21098.8 CNY per ton, up by 192.1 CNY, a rise of 0.9% [6] - Lead ingot (1) price is 17150.0 CNY per ton, up by 229.2 CNY, a rise of 1.4% [6] - Zinc ingot (0) price is 22145.0 CNY per ton, up by 135.0 CNY, a rise of 0.6% [6] Group 3: Price Changes in Chemical Products - Sulfuric acid (98%) price is 714.3 CNY per ton, up by 59.6 CNY [6] - Caustic soda (liquid caustic, 32%) price is 869.3 CNY per ton, down by 7.8 CNY, a decline of 0.9% [6] - Methanol (first grade) price is 2161.3 CNY per ton, down by 51.1 CNY, a decline of 2.3% [6] - Pure benzene (industrial grade) price is 5414.7 CNY per ton, down by 174.6 CNY, a decline of 3.1% [6] - Styrene (first grade) price is 6437.9 CNY per ton, down by 108.1 CNY, a decline of 1.7% [6] Group 4: Price Changes in Energy Products - Liquefied natural gas (LNG) price is 4237.1 CNY per ton, up by 396.9 CNY, a rise of 10.3% [7] - Liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) price is 4240.4 CNY per ton, down by 130.5 CNY, a decline of 3.0% [7] - Gasoline (95 National VI) price is 8093.6 CNY per ton, down by 169.4 CNY, a decline of 2.1% [7] - Diesel (0 National VI) price is 6791.8 CNY per ton, down by 88.6 CNY, a decline of 1.3% [7] Group 5: Price Changes in Agricultural Products - Rice (Japonica) price is 3919.6 CNY per ton, down by 20.0 CNY [8] - Wheat (National Standard Grade 3) price is 2468.6 CNY per ton, up by 23.5 CNY, a rise of 1.0% [8] - Corn (Yellow Corn Grade 2) price is 2152.8 CNY per ton, down by 1.5 CNY, a decline of 0.1% [8] - Cotton (White Cotton Grade 3) price is 14505.4 CNY per ton, up by 239.5 CNY, a rise of 1.7% [8]

Core Insights - The monitoring of market prices for 50 important production materials across nine categories shows a mixed trend, with 17 products experiencing price increases, 30 seeing declines, and 3 remaining stable in mid-October 2025 compared to late September 2025 [2][3]. Group 1: Price Changes in Major Categories - In the black metal category, significant price declines were observed, with rebar (Φ20mm, HRB400E) dropping by 73.6 yuan to 3110.5 yuan per ton, a decrease of 2.3% [4]. - The non-ferrous metals category saw an increase in electrolytic copper (1), which rose by 4220.0 yuan to 85430.0 yuan per ton, marking a 5.2% increase [4]. - Chemical products experienced varied changes, with sulfuric acid (98%) increasing by 10.1 yuan to 654.7 yuan per ton, a rise of 1.6%, while pure benzene (industrial grade) fell by 290.0 yuan to 5589.3 yuan per ton, a decrease of 4.9% [4]. Group 2: Specific Product Price Movements - In the petroleum and natural gas sector, liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) decreased by 113.8 yuan to 4370.9 yuan per ton, a decline of 2.5% [4]. - The coal category showed mixed results, with anthracite coal (washed lump) falling by 43.0 yuan to 874.0 yuan per ton, a decrease of 4.7%, while Shanxi mixed coal (5000 kcal) increased by 18.4 yuan to 635.3 yuan per ton, a rise of 3.0% [4]. - Agricultural products also displayed fluctuations, with yellow corn (second grade) dropping by 145.7 yuan to 2154.3 yuan per ton, a decrease of 6.3%, while soybean meal (with crude protein content ≥43%) increased slightly by 6.0 yuan to 2972.0 yuan per ton, a rise of 0.2% [5]. Group 3: Monitoring Methodology and Scope - The monitoring encompasses a wide range of products, covering 31 provinces and over 300 trading markets, involving nearly 2000 wholesalers, agents, and distributors [8]. - The price monitoring methods include on-site price collection, telephone inquiries, and electronic communications [9]. - The report indicates that the price changes reflect wholesale and sales prices, which include circulation costs, profits, and taxes, differentiating them from factory prices [6].

Core Insights - The monitoring of market prices for 50 important production materials across nine categories shows a mixed trend, with 15 products experiencing price increases, 31 seeing declines, and 4 remaining stable [2]. Group 1: Price Changes in Major Categories - In the black metal category, rebar prices remained stable at 3184.1 yuan per ton, while wire rod increased by 13.7 yuan (0.4%) to 3331.3 yuan per ton. However, ordinary medium plates and hot-rolled ordinary plates saw declines of 5.2 yuan (-0.1%) and 16.4 yuan (-0.5%), respectively [4]. - For non-ferrous metals, electrolytic copper rose by 659.3 yuan (0.8%) to 81,210.0 yuan per ton, while aluminum ingots fell by 174.3 yuan (-0.8%) to 20,720.0 yuan per ton [4]. - Chemical products showed significant declines, with sulfuric acid dropping by 40.4 yuan (-5.9%) to 644.6 yuan per ton and caustic soda decreasing by 25.7 yuan (-2.9%) to 867.5 yuan per ton [4]. Group 2: Energy and Coal Prices - In the petroleum and natural gas sector, liquefied natural gas (LNG) prices decreased by 23.2 yuan (-0.6%) to 3840.6 yuan per ton, while liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) fell by 23.0 yuan (-0.5%) to 4484.7 yuan per ton [4]. - Coal prices showed a mixed trend, with anthracite coal increasing by 47.9 yuan (5.5%) to 917.0 yuan per ton, while coking coal decreased by 14.3 yuan (-1.1%) to 1346.4 yuan per ton [4]. Group 3: Agricultural and Forestry Products - In agricultural products, the price of rice fell by 19.3 yuan (-0.5%) to 4001.7 yuan per ton, while wheat increased by 9.2 yuan (0.4%) to 2422.2 yuan per ton [5]. - The price of corn decreased by 4.0 yuan (-0.2%) to 2300.0 yuan per ton, and cotton prices dropped by 280.2 yuan (-1.9%) to 14,374.1 yuan per ton [5]. - In forestry products, natural rubber prices fell by 239.3 yuan (-1.6%) to 14,633.3 yuan per ton, while corrugated paper saw an increase of 31.3 yuan (1.1%) to 2812.0 yuan per ton [5].

Core Insights - The report by Zhiyan Consulting forecasts the market trends and research for the corrugated box industry in China from 2025 to 2031 [1] Price Trends - As of mid-September 2025, the market price for corrugated paper (AA grade 120g) is projected to be 2780.7 yuan per ton, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 7.22% and a month-on-month increase of 1.19% [1] - The highest recorded price in the past five years for the same period was in September 2021, reaching 4213.7 yuan per ton [1]

Core Insights - The monitoring of market prices for 50 important production materials across nine categories shows a mixed trend, with 25 products experiencing price increases, 23 seeing declines, and 2 remaining stable in mid-September 2025 compared to early September 2025 [2][3]. Group 1: Price Changes in Key Categories - In the black metal category, notable price increases include rebar at 3,184.1 CNY per ton (up 0.3%), wire rod at 3,317.6 CNY per ton (up 0.4%), and hot-rolled ordinary plate at 3,428.8 CNY per ton (up 0.6%) [4]. - In the non-ferrous metal category, electrolytic copper rose to 80,550.7 CNY per ton (up 0.7%), while aluminum ingots increased to 20,894.3 CNY per ton (up 1.0%) [4]. - Chemical products showed mixed results, with sulfuric acid dropping to 685.0 CNY per ton (down 4.4%) and methanol rising to 2,258.5 CNY per ton (up 1.6%) [4]. Group 2: Energy and Coal Prices - In the petroleum and natural gas sector, liquefied natural gas (LNG) decreased to 3,863.8 CNY per ton (down 1.6%), while liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) slightly increased to 4,507.7 CNY per ton (up 0.1%) [4]. - Coal prices showed a slight increase, with anthracite coal at 869.1 CNY per ton (up 2.4%) and ordinary mixed coal at 529.3 CNY per ton (up 0.5%) [4]. Group 3: Agricultural and Forestry Products - In agricultural products, yellow corn rose to 2,304.0 CNY per ton (up 0.2%), while cotton prices fell to 14,654.3 CNY per ton (down 0.4%) [5]. - The price of natural rubber decreased to 14,872.6 CNY per ton (down 0.9%), while the price of corrugated paper increased to 2,780.7 CNY per ton (up 1.2%) [5].

Core Insights - The report by Zhiyan Consulting forecasts the market trends and research for the corrugated box industry in China from 2025 to 2031 [1] Price Trends - According to data from the National Bureau of Statistics, the market price for corrugated paper (AA grade 120g) in late August 2025 is projected to be 2704.5 yuan/ton, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3.58% and a month-on-month increase of 2.42% [1] - Over the past five years, the highest price for corrugated paper (AA grade 120g) was recorded in late August 2021, reaching 4258.6 yuan/ton [1]