中方不买油菜籽，这一举动给加拿大带来了惨重损失，加方已经计划派人访华，希望中国取消反制。那么，中方为何会反制加拿大的油菜籽？加方又应如何 改变这一现状呢？ 近一年来，中加贸易关系持续紧张。尤其是去年加拿大跟随美国对华政策，对中国电动车征收100%关税，对钢铁和铝产品征收25%关税，中方则采取反制 措施。今年8月，中国商务部经过调查，认定加拿大油菜籽存在倾销，对所有加拿大公司加征75.8%的保证金。 这一决定直接让加拿大失去了中国这个价值49亿美元的市场，油菜籽行业立刻陷入困境。加拿大西部地区4万名农户，人均损失数万美元，行业普遍感到不 安。相关数据显示，加拿大是全球最大的油菜籽出口国，中国长期是其最大买家之一。 与此同时，当地时间9月23日，加拿大外交部长阿南德在接受采访时表示，她将在未来几周访问中国和印度，目的是修复近年来的紧张关系。她把贸易、气 候变化、防务和安全列为主要议题，也提到加拿大希望推动自身利益在合作中处于核心位置。 一直以来，中国的态度一直明确。中方强调，加拿大应从维护多边贸易体制和中加关系大局出发，停止错误做法，否则中方将采取一切必要措施，维护自身 企业的合法权益。事实上，反制措施并非突然出 ...

Group 1 - China's recent trade countermeasures against Canada have caused significant turmoil, particularly affecting the canola seed exports, which faced a major setback due to a new margin system implemented by China [1] - Canada exported 4 million tons of canola seeds, and the new measures have nearly eliminated their chances of continuing exports to China, which is critical as 65% of Canada's canola seed exports rely on the Chinese market [2][3] - The Canadian government, represented by Prime Minister Carney, has expressed a willingness to engage in constructive negotiations with China, but there has been no progress from the Chinese side, leading to increased anxiety among Canadian farmers [3][4] Group 2 - The Saskatchewan Premier has announced plans to visit China to persuade the Chinese government to lift the anti-dumping measures on Canadian canola seeds, as the current situation poses a severe threat to the Canadian canola industry during the harvest season [4] - There are doubts regarding the effectiveness of the Premier's visit, as many believe that China's response is more of a retaliation against Canada's unfriendly actions rather than a genuine negotiation opportunity [4][5] - Canada's previous unfriendly measures towards China, including unwarranted tariffs, have severely damaged mutual trust, making it difficult to rebuild relationships and complicating future negotiations [5][6] Group 3 - China has diversified its canola seed import sources, with Australian canola seeds now entering the Chinese market, which poses a competitive threat to Canadian exports [5] - Recent purchases of approximately 50,000 tons of Australian canola seeds by Chinese companies highlight the advantages in price and supply stability, further impacting Canada's market share [5] - Successful negotiations could signal a thaw in China-Canada trade relations and open pathways for resolving other trade disputes, while a breakdown in talks would exacerbate trade tensions and hinder cooperation [6]

Core Points - The Premier of Saskatchewan, Scott Moe, plans to visit China soon to discuss the issue of Canadian canola with Chinese officials [1][3] - The Chinese Ministry of Commerce announced temporary anti-dumping measures on imported canola from Canada, citing substantial damage to the domestic canola industry due to dumping practices [3] - Following the announcement of anti-dumping duties, reports indicate that Chinese companies have booked approximately 50,000 tons of Australian canola, marking the first time since 2020 that China has imported canola from Australia [3] - The Canadian canola industry, which has historically dominated the Chinese import market, now faces significant uncertainty as Australian canola may capture a substantial market share [3] Industry Summary - The Canadian canola sector is seeking federal government assistance in light of the recent trade challenges posed by China [3] - The imposition of anti-dumping duties by China could lead to a shift in market dynamics, with potential implications for Canadian exports to China [3] - The re-entry of Australian canola into the Chinese market raises concerns for Canadian producers about losing their dominant position [3]

Group 1 - The core issue revolves around China's imposition of a 100% tariff on Canadian canola meal, which is seen as a retaliatory measure against Canada's recent tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles and steel products [1][3][5] - Canada is the largest supplier of canola to China, with exports valued at CAD 4.9 billion in 2024, accounting for 67% of its canola exports, making this a critical economic issue for Canada [1][5] - The 100% tariff and a 75.8% temporary anti-dumping tax effectively block Canadian canola from the Chinese market, while China can source canola from other countries like Australia and Russia [1][7] Group 2 - Canada's actions are viewed as aligning with U.S. strategies, which has led to accusations of trade protectionism and discrimination from China, citing violations of WTO rules [3][5] - The political implications of the tariff are significant, as it exacerbates tensions between the Canadian federal government and its western provinces, which are heavily reliant on canola farming [7][9] - China's strong response is framed as a warning to other nations, particularly the U.S. and EU, indicating that those who engage in trade wars will face consequences [7][9]