【导读】全球基金经理预计中国股市将在2026年继续上涨 大家好，简单关注一则外资机构集体看好中国股市的消息。 投资者押注，中国股市凭借在人工智能领域的实力以及在中美关系中的韧性，还有进一步上涨空间。 包括法国东方汇理、法国巴黎资产管理、富达国际和曼集团在内的全球基金管理公司都预计，2026年中 国股市仍将走高。摩根大通近期将中国股市评级上调至"增持"，Allspring Global Investments的投资组合 经理Gary Tan则表示，这一资产类别正变得对海外投资者而言"不可或缺"。 市场机构对于中国的看法，已经从此前的怀疑，转向认可其可以通过技术进步提供独特投资价值。 MSCI中国指数今年已上涨约30%，跑赢标普500指数的幅度创下2017年以来之最，市值增加了约2.4万 亿美元。由于本轮资金流入主要由被动型基金驱动，市场也期待未来若主动资金重返中国，有望推动下 一阶段反弹。 富达国际新加坡的投资组合经理George Efstathopoulos表示："可以说，中国展现出更强韧性，投资者正 越来越多地接受一个'可投资的中国'，这里既能提供多元配置，也能提供创新机会。现在如果中国股市 回调，我会更倾 ...

Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry or Company Involved - The discussion primarily revolves around the Chinese stock market, focusing on the Shanghai Composite Index, the ChiNext Index, and various sectors including brokerage, consumer, and technology industries. Core Points and Arguments 1. **Market Structure and Trends** - The Shanghai Composite Index is maintaining a five-wave structure, with potential upward movement towards 4,100 points as long as it does not fall below the trend line around 3,950 points [1][12] - The ChiNext Index is experiencing a wide range of fluctuations and has broken below the 5-week moving average, indicating a possible weekly level consolidation [1][8] 2. **Brokerage Sector Outlook** - The brokerage sector is currently undervalued and has shown signs of recovery since mid-September, with increasing bullish trends [4][15] - There is a significant potential for upward movement, and holding brokerage stocks is considered a reasonable choice in a bullish market [15] 3. **Consumer Sector Performance** - The consumer sector has shown strong performance despite a lack of significant improvement in the fundamental aspects [10] - Several consumer-related industries have seen notable gains, indicating that these stocks are nearing their bottom [10] 4. **Technology Sector Decline** - The technology sector, particularly the TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications) segment, has experienced a downturn, attributed to year-end settlement demands and new public fund regulations [11] - Despite some segments like the lithium battery industry performing well, the overall trend in technology stocks is negative [11] 5. **Investment Strategy Recommendations** - Investors are advised to focus on individual stocks rather than indices, particularly in sectors like pharmaceuticals, media, light chemicals, mining, and steel, which are expected to rebound [20] - A balanced investment approach is recommended for 2026, with an emphasis on selecting appropriate benchmarks based on product characteristics [18][21] 6. **Future Market Predictions** - The market is expected to continue a wide-ranging fluctuation pattern, with the Shanghai Composite Index having upward potential while the ChiNext Index adjusts based on the main board's performance [6][12] - The brokerage sector is seen as a key driver for the index, and its performance will be crucial for market direction [15] Other Important but Possibly Overlooked Content 1. **Market Sentiment** - The current market sentiment is described as "half-drunk, half-awake," with investors feeling confused due to the contrasting performances of weight stocks and innovative stocks [2] 2. **Historical Context for ChiNext** - Historical data suggests that significant consolidation periods are necessary for the ChiNext Index to break out of its current range, similar to patterns observed in 2020 [13] 3. **Investment Style Trends** - The year 2026 is anticipated to be a year of balanced investment styles, with a focus on stable benchmarks like the CSI 800 and CSI 500 [19][21] - Small-cap stocks and industry-balanced strategies are currently outperforming, with a notable interest in consumer services and chemicals [22][24] 4. **Sector-Specific Opportunities** - Specific sectors such as agriculture, pharmaceuticals, aviation, and home appliances are highlighted as having early momentum signals worth monitoring [23]