中信证券研报表示，绿色液体燃料包括绿醇、绿氨和SAF等，是航运、航空、化工等领域脱碳的主要抓 手之一，受益于碳税等政策加码以及持续降本，正驶入发展快车道，未来5年有望迎来近10倍增长，远 期市场空间达万亿元。国内厂商凭借丰富低廉的绿电资源，完备的设备供应和下游配套体系优势，加速 完善绿色液体燃料产业布局和商业模式，实现跨越式发展。建议重点关注绿色氢氨醇一体化生产厂商， 以及电解槽等核心设备供应商。 ...

中信证券研报表示，绿色液体燃料包括绿醇、绿氨和SAF等，是航运、航空、化工等领域脱碳的主要抓 手之一，受益于碳税等政策加码以及持续降本，正驶入发展快车道，未来5年有望迎来近10倍增长，远 期市场空间达万亿元。国内厂商凭借丰富低廉的绿电资源，完备的设备供应和下游配套体系优势，加速 完善绿色液体燃料产业布局和商业模式，实现跨越式发展。建议重点关注绿色氢氨醇一体化生产厂商， 以及电解槽等核心设备供应商。 （文章来源：第一财经） ...

绿色液体燃料主要分为绿色甲醇（绿醇）、绿氨、可持续航空燃油（SAF）等，具备零碳或超低碳排 放、高能量密度、易于储运等特点，已成为航运、航空、化工等多行业脱碳的重要抓手。 该机构表示，绿色液体燃料作为航运、航空、化工等领域脱碳的主要抓手之一，受益于碳税等政策加码 以及持续降本，正驶入发展快车道，未来5年有望迎来近10倍增长，远期市场空间达万亿元。国内厂商 凭借丰富低廉的绿电资源，完备的设备供应和下游配套体系优势，加速完善绿色液体燃料产业布局和商 业模式，实现跨越式发展。重点关注：1）绿色氢氨醇一体化生产厂商；2）电解槽等核心设备供应商。 （文章来源：证券时报网） 中信证券认为，随着国内外清洁能源体系和脱碳政策逐步完善，在欧洲航运碳关税机制和长期净零框架 目标的指引下（尽管IMO净零框架表决延迟1年，但不改航运业绿色转向趋势），并考虑绿色化工等领 域原料替代需求，绿色液体燃料需求正逐步从"潜在"向"刚性"转化。测算2025年全球绿醇、绿氨、SAF 潜在需求或分别达300万吨、250万吨、250万吨左右，2030年有望增至3600万吨、2300万吨、1100万吨 左右，未来5年或分别增长11倍、9.2倍、3.5倍 ...

Core Viewpoint - Green liquid fuels, including green methanol, green ammonia, and SAF, are key drivers for decarbonization in shipping, aviation, and chemical industries, benefiting from increased carbon tax policies and ongoing cost reductions, with potential for nearly tenfold growth in the next five years and a long-term market space reaching trillions [1] Industry Summary - The green liquid fuel sector is entering a rapid development phase, supported by favorable policies and technological advancements [1] - Domestic manufacturers are leveraging abundant and inexpensive green electricity resources, complete equipment supply, and downstream support systems to accelerate the development of the green liquid fuel industry and business models [1] Investment Focus - It is recommended to pay close attention to integrated production manufacturers of green hydrogen and ammonia, as well as core equipment suppliers such as electrolyzers [1]

Core Insights - Green liquid fuels, including green methanol, green ammonia, and SAF, are key drivers for decarbonization in shipping, aviation, and chemical industries, benefiting from increased carbon tax policies and ongoing cost reductions [1] - The market for green liquid fuels is expected to experience nearly tenfold growth over the next five years, with a long-term market potential reaching trillions of yuan [1] - Domestic manufacturers are leveraging abundant and inexpensive green electricity resources, comprehensive equipment supply, and downstream support systems to accelerate the development of the green liquid fuel industry and business models, achieving leapfrog growth [1] - It is recommended to focus on integrated production manufacturers of green hydrogen, ammonia, and methanol, as well as core equipment suppliers like electrolyzers [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Outperform the Market - A" [6] Core Insights - The green liquid fuel industry is entering a phase of industrialization driven by policy demands and technological advancements, with significant growth potential in sustainable aviation fuel (SAF), green methanol, and renewable ammonia [17][12] - The demand for green fuels is expected to rise significantly, particularly in the aviation and shipping sectors, as regulatory frameworks tighten and companies seek to meet net-zero emissions targets by 2050 [11][44] Summary by Sections 1. Green Liquid Fuels as Key to Renewable Energy Consumption - Green liquid fuels, including biodiesel, sustainable aviation fuel (SAF), green methanol, and renewable ammonia, are crucial for the consumption of renewable energy [17] - The global green fuel industry is rapidly transitioning towards low-carbon and diversified solutions, with SAF, green methanol, and renewable ammonia becoming core areas of focus [17] 2. Policy Drivers of Green Fuel Industry Development - The International Maritime Organization (IMO) has set ambitious targets for reducing greenhouse gas emissions in the shipping industry, aiming for at least 5% of zero-carbon fuel usage by 2030 [39] - The aviation sector is also pushing for net-zero emissions by 2050, with SAF expected to contribute significantly to this goal [44] 3. Supply Side: Accelerated Capacity and Diverse Technological Paths - As of 2024, there are 352 announced SAF projects globally, with a total expected capacity of 89.6 million tons per year, primarily concentrated in the United States [3] - In China, SAF production capacity is projected to increase from 500,000 tons in early 2025 to 1.25 million tons by the end of 2025 [3] 4. Demand Side: Accelerated Decarbonization in Shipping - The shipping industry is actively transitioning to cleaner fuel sources, with a significant number of methanol-fueled vessels already in operation and more on order [11] - The demand for methanol in shipping is expected to reach 693,000 tons annually as new vessels are delivered [11] 5. Investment Logic and Related Companies - The report suggests focusing on three investment themes: 1. Fuel producers with capacity and export qualifications, such as Jiaao Environmental Protection and Haineng Energy [12] 2. New energy companies with advantages in green electricity resources, like Jidian Co. and Goldwind Technology [12] 3. Key equipment manufacturers across the entire production process, including Huaguang Huaneng and Shuangliang Energy [12]

Core Viewpoint - Green liquid fuels are considered "ready-to-use" low-carbon energy sources that can easily integrate into the existing energy system, making them crucial for decarbonization in hard-to-electrify sectors like aviation and shipping [1][3]. Group 1: Policy and Development - The National Energy Administration has approved nine projects, including a 30,000 tons/year cellulose fuel ethanol project, to advance green liquid fuel technology and industrialization trials, with a completion deadline set for December 2026 [3]. - Green liquid fuels, such as sustainable aviation fuel (SAF), sustainable diesel, and green methanol, represent a new industry that is still developing and lacks mature technology [3][10]. - The establishment of a market system for green liquid fuels is essential for large-scale promotion, as the current costs are approximately double that of traditional fossil fuels [5][6]. Group 2: Challenges and Limitations - The production cost of green liquid fuels is significantly higher than traditional fuels, with green methanol costing around 2,900 yuan per ton, which does not provide a competitive edge in the market [6][5]. - The lack of a coordinated industrial chain, involving raw material supply, production, transportation, and end-use, hampers the healthy development of the green liquid fuel industry [6][5]. Group 3: Future Prospects - The green liquid fuel industry is expected to experience rapid growth in the next 3-5 years, driven by increasing demand and supportive policies from the EU and domestic initiatives [11]. - As technology matures and production scales up, the cost of green liquid fuels is anticipated to decrease, enhancing their competitiveness against traditional fossil fuels [11][10]. - Companies are encouraged to invest in R&D, strengthen collaborations across the industry, and actively participate in international standard-setting to improve their market position [11][10].

Group 1: Core Insights - The report from Huazhong Securities highlights the active development in synthetic biology, emphasizing its role in addressing major challenges such as health, climate change, and resource security [2] - The National Energy Administration announced the first batch of pilot projects for green liquid fuel technology, with nine projects selected to promote new technologies and business models in the energy sector [3] Group 2: Industry Developments - The synthetic biology index from Huazhong Securities decreased by 5.72 points to 1549.03 during the week of August 4-8, 2025, underperforming compared to the Shanghai Composite Index and the ChiNext Index [2] - Microgen announced a partnership with Cargill to expand the market application of allulose sugar in China, leveraging Cargill's resources and networks [4] - The first biodegradable plastic production facility in Chongqing, with an annual capacity of 60,000 tons, has been successfully launched, filling a gap in the biodegradable plastic industry in the region [5] - The Shenzhen Institute of Advanced Technology developed a new mini CRISPR nuclease, MiniCasUltra, which significantly enhances gene editing efficiency while maintaining a compact size [5] - PHA water-based barrier coatings have successfully completed industrial-scale production, marking a significant advancement in the commercialization of biodegradable materials [5]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the development of green liquid fuels in Zhejiang Province, highlighting the government's initiatives and the potential for sustainable fuel production in the region [2][12][14]. Summary by Sections Government Initiatives - Zhejiang Province's Energy Bureau has announced the organization of the first batch of green liquid fuel technology research and industrialization pilot projects, following a similar initiative by the National Energy Administration [2][3]. Types of Green Liquid Fuels - The pilot projects focus on several types of sustainable fuels, including: - Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) produced from biomass and renewable energy [3]. - Sustainable Diesel derived from biomass and renewable hydrogen [3]. - Biofuel Ethanol from agricultural waste [4]. - Green Methanol from biomass and renewable hydrogen [4]. - Green Ammonia produced using renewable hydrogen and nitrogen [5]. Current Development Status - As of December 31, 2024, there are 45 SAF projects in China with a total processing capacity exceeding 8 million tons per year, of which 1.07 million tons per year are already built [7]. - There are 119 green ammonia projects in total, with 91 projects disclosing a combined capacity of approximately 2.017 million tons per year [10]. - The total planned capacity for green methanol projects in China is over 52.57 million tons per year [10][11]. Regional Advantages - Zhejiang Province has a rapidly developing offshore wind power capacity, projected to reach 10.41 million kilowatts by 2025, and a significant solar power installation, providing ample renewable energy for green hydrogen production [12]. - The province is home to leading chemical companies, such as Rongsheng Petrochemical and Juhua Group, which are well-positioned to support the green liquid fuel industry [12]. - Ningbo-Zhoushan Port has initiated biofuel refueling trials, marking a significant step in the maritime sector's transition to green fuels [13]. Challenges and Future Outlook - Despite the advantages, challenges such as limited support policies, high costs, and resource constraints need to be addressed for Zhejiang Province to establish a competitive edge in the green liquid fuel sector [14].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent initiatives by the National Energy Administration and Jiangsu Province to promote the development and industrialization of green liquid fuels, highlighting the importance of sustainable fuel technologies in the energy transition [1][2][7]. Group 1: Policy Initiatives - Jiangsu Province is the first to respond to the National Energy Administration's call for green liquid fuel technology development and industrialization trials [2]. - The pilot directions in Jiangsu align with the National Energy Administration's notification, focusing on sustainable aviation fuel (SAF), sustainable diesel, biofuel ethanol, green methanol, and green ammonia [3][4][5]. Group 2: Pilot Project Requirements - The pilot projects should ideally be completed or planned for completion by the end of 2026, with a target for stable high-load production by June 2027 and project completion by December 2027 [5][7]. - The projects are expected to utilize agricultural and forestry waste, CO₂ capture, and renewable energy for hydrogen production as raw materials [7]. Group 3: Supporting Policies - The National Energy Administration has issued multiple core policies regarding green liquid fuels, covering technology pathways, application scenarios, and financial support [7]. - The "Green Liquid Fuel Technology Development and Industrialization Pilot Notification" outlines the five main categories of green liquid fuels and emphasizes the use of specific raw materials and production technologies [7]. Group 4: Specific Pilot Projects - The "B24 Ship Biofuel Oil Pilot" in Zhoushan Free Trade Zone has an annual demand of 720,000 to 960,000 tons, while the kitchen waste oil pre-treatment centers in Beijing and Shandong have a processing capacity of 150 tons per day [8]. - The policies encourage a closed-loop management model for raw material collection, processing, and sales, particularly in key regions like Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, Yangtze River Delta, and Pearl River Delta [8].