赣锋锂业 20260205 摘要 赣锋锂业预计 2026 年锂资源增量主要来自马里项目，产量将从 20 多 万吨增至 50 万吨，Mariana 项目也将贡献约 1 万吨。同时，计划启动 马里二期和马良山技改项目，未来几年还将逐步释放非洲混合矿项目产 能。 阿根廷 CO 盐湖目前基本满产，但未达设计产能，计划增加中试线以提 升产量。现金成本低于 6,000 美元，但加工成电池级碳酸锂的完全成本 （含折旧和资本开支）超过 6 万元人民币。 赣锋锂业碳酸锂库存维持低位，即使在行业低迷期也不超过 5,000 吨。 2025 年长协比例高，2026 年已签订单价格无折扣且销量已基本完成， 市场需求依然强劲。 2026 年储能需求依然强劲，公司已签约三十多个项目。预计行业储能 电池出货量将增长 50%，公司目标出货量为 40GWh 以上，同比增长 50%。 下游客户尚未大规模补库，预计春节后需求回升且价格传导顺利，四五 月份可能出现新的电池产能释放，从而推动补库。 Q&A 请介绍一下赣锋锂业在 2026 年四季度的业务情况和市场表现。 2026 年四季度，锂盐价格显著上涨，需求从下游传导至上游。赣锋锂业的出 货量超过预 ...

Group 1: Business Development and Strategy - Ganfeng Lithium focuses on lithium business and is developing the Congo Bougouma potassium salt project, which has an estimated KCl resource of approximately 1.01 billion tons, making it one of the highest quality potassium projects globally [1] - The company is investing in solid-state battery technology, with oxide-based mixed solid-liquid batteries already forming commercial products, while sulfide-based solid-state batteries are still in development [1] - Ganfeng Lithium plans to achieve an annual lithium product supply capacity of no less than 600,000 tons LCE by 2030, supported by resource acquisition and new capacity plans [2] Group 2: Financial Health and Market Position - The company has a diversified funding source, including substantial cash reserves, cash flow from operations, ample bank credit, and bond financing channels, ensuring financial stability [2] - Ganfeng Lithium's battery recycling business, particularly for lithium iron phosphate batteries, is currently leading in the industry [2] - The company believes that current lithium prices are at a relatively low point, supported by strong cost-side support and low historical inventory levels [3] Group 3: Resource Management - Ganfeng Lithium currently holds lithium resources totaling approximately 40-50 million tons LCE, which is sufficient for future development [3] - The company prioritizes the development of low-cost, high-quality lithium mines and will consider projects that are synergistic with existing mines or have high returns [3]