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消费市场“黄金窗口期”临近 上市公司抢滩春节经济
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang· 2026-02-08 12:45
本报记者 徐一鸣 随着农历马年春节临近,作为消费市场"黄金窗口期",白酒、食品等领域上市公司抢抓春节经济,构建起多元化布局矩 阵。 华福证券食饮商业首席分析师刘畅对《证券日报》记者表示,今年春运期间全社会跨区域人员流动量预计将达95亿人次, 创历史新高,这将与消费市场形成共振,同时叠加政策端发力,消费类上市公司一季度乃至全年业绩都值得期待。 具体来看,近日,商务部等9单位关于印发《2026"乐购新春"春节特别活动方案》的通知,为消费行业发展注入政策暖 流。此外,中国商业联合会发布的《2025-2026年中国新春年货消费趋势白皮书》显示,2026年春节年货市场整体规模预计达 1.38万亿元,同比增长17.5%。 在此背景下,消费类上市公司立足自身优势,切入节日消费场景,开启布局。 "春节是我国传统的重要节日,历来是白酒消费的传统旺季。"华致酒行连锁管理股份有限公司表示,作为领先的精品酒水 营销服务商,公司会依托"品牌保真优势和全国化连锁门店",顺应市场消费需求,及时进行战略的布局,积极把握旺季销售。 进一步梳理,部分白酒上市公司通过"文化赋能",绑定生肖IP,挖掘消费潜力。例如,贵州茅台酒股份有限公司推出丙午 ...
三只松鼠(300783):收入增长稳健 盈利能力短期承压
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-10-28 02:43
Core Viewpoint - The company reported its Q3 2025 results, showing an increase in revenue but a significant decline in net profit, indicating challenges in profitability despite revenue growth [1][2]. Financial Performance - Q3 2025 revenue reached 2.281 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.91% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 22 million yuan, down 56.79% year-on-year [1] - Non-recurring net profit was 6 million yuan, a decrease of 83.45% year-on-year [1] - Gross margin improved to 25.71%, up 1.25 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The net profit margin was 0.98%, down 1.48 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The non-recurring net profit margin was 0.28%, down 1.54 percentage points year-on-year [2] Expense Analysis - Total expense ratio for Q3 2025 was 25.24%, an increase of 3.29 percentage points year-on-year [2] - Sales expense ratio was 21.33%, up 2.24 percentage points year-on-year [2] - Management expense ratio was 3.17%, an increase of 0.66 percentage points year-on-year [2] - R&D expense ratio was 0.60%, up 0.32 percentage points year-on-year [2] - Financial expense ratio was 0.14%, an increase of 0.07 percentage points year-on-year [2] Strategic Initiatives - The company is actively promoting its "D+N" omnichannel model, enhancing supply chain efficiency [2] - Online operations are being refined, while offline distribution is accelerating to adapt to a full range of products and channels [2] - The production capacity of the snack and nut supply chain is increasing, which is expected to lower costs and strengthen key products [2] Future Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 11.262 billion, 12.872 billion, and 14.563 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 6.03%, 14.30%, and 13.14% respectively [3] - Expected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 205 million, 437 million, and 531 million yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of -49.80%, 113.35%, and 21.63% respectively [3] - Corresponding P/E ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 45.8, 21.5, and 17.7 times [3] - The company is given a "recommend" rating based on these projections [3]