Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs believes that the U.S. government shutdown may soon come to an end, as it has set a record for the longest shutdown in history [1] Group 1: Economic Impact - The current shutdown could become the most economically impactful on record, potentially exceeding the 35-day partial shutdown of 2018-2019, with a broader scope affecting more sectors [2] - Goldman Sachs estimates that the six-week shutdown could reduce the fourth-quarter economic growth rate by 1.15 percentage points to just 1%, with a rebound not expected until early 2026 [2] - The U.S. Chamber of Commerce reported that the shutdown has caused a weekly revenue loss of $3 billion for 65,500 small business contractors [2] Group 2: Government Operations and Assistance Programs - The shutdown has delayed the issuance of food stamp benefits, with the White House announcing the use of emergency funds to cover 50% of SNAP benefits [2] - DoorDash and Gopuff have initiated emergency food responses to assist SNAP recipients affected by the shutdown [3] - The core of the impasse lies in disagreements over healthcare subsidies, with Democrats seeking to extend ACA subsidies while Republicans refuse to attach conditions to the temporary funding bill [3] Group 3: Political Pressure and Compromise - Increasing operational and political pressures may drive lawmakers to reach a compromise, with expectations for a resolution around the second week of November [1] - The missed salary payments for air traffic controllers and airport security personnel could exacerbate pressures, particularly before the second pay date in November [1]