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Goldman Sachs CEO says US headed for debt ‘reckoning’ — with national tab to ‘for sure’ surpass $40T. How to prep now
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-05 11:47
Economic Concerns - Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon warns that the U.S. is heading towards a "debt death spiral," where the government must borrow to pay interest, creating a vicious cycle that accelerates over time [1][2] - U.S. national debt has surged from $7 trillion to $38 trillion over the past 15 years, and refinancing it could push the total into the low $40 trillion range [4][5] - Solomon emphasizes that without stronger economic growth, a painful adjustment could follow, indicating that the current trajectory is unsustainable [3][4] Debt and Inflation - High levels of national debt can fuel inflation, eroding the dollar's purchasing power, with $100 in 2025 equivalent to $12.05 in 1970 [6] - The burden of debt increasingly shifts to American citizens if foreign appetite for U.S. debt fades, potentially crowding out investment and slowing growth [2][6] Investment Strategies - Ray Dalio suggests that investors should consider diversifying their portfolios with gold, which has historically been a safe haven during economic turmoil [7][9] - Gold prices have increased over 45% in the past year, and Dalio recommends allocating 10% to 15% of investment portfolios to gold [9][10] - Real estate is also highlighted as a protective asset during inflationary periods, with the S&P Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index rising by 47% over the past five years [12][13]
Economist fumes at major US bank’s ‘apocalyptic predictions’ about Trump tariffs — here’s why and what it means for you
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-27 12:33
Core Viewpoint - The recent increase in the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) is primarily attributed to poor monetary policy rather than tariffs, according to EJ Antoni, chief economist at The Heritage Foundation [1][2]. Group 1: Economic Analysis - The U.S. CPI showed a 3.0% increase over the previous 12 months as of August [1]. - Research from institutions like the Peterson Institute for International Economics and the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis indicates that U.S. businesses have absorbed a significant share of the costs from new tariffs, with limited pass-through to consumers so far [2]. - Goldman Sachs predicts that U.S. consumers will eventually absorb 55% of tariff costs if the impact mirrors earlier tariffs [3]. Group 2: Tariff Impact - Critics argue that the implementation of tariffs has led to concerns about their impact on U.S. consumers, with many banks misjudging the real effects [2][3]. - Antoni contends that predictions of consumers bearing the full burden of tariffs have consistently been incorrect [2]. Group 3: Inflation and Purchasing Power - Inflation has been eroding Americans' purchasing power for decades, with $100 in 2025 equating to $12.05 in 1970 [4]. - The article emphasizes the importance of looking at the broader economic picture rather than attributing inflation to a single policy [4]. Group 4: Investment Strategies - Gold has surged over 45% in the past 12 months, highlighting its role as a safe haven during economic uncertainty [6]. - Real estate is also noted as a powerful hedge against inflation, with the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price NSA Index increasing by 49% over the past five years [10]. - Crowdfunding platforms like Arrived allow investors to participate in real estate with minimal investment and without the responsibilities of traditional property ownership [11].
Jamie Dimon says this red-hot asset could easily go up another 135% — adding it’s one of the ‘few times’ to own some
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-21 11:03
Core Viewpoint - Investors are increasingly turning to gold as a hedge against inflation, which has significantly eroded purchasing power over the decades, with $100 in 2025 equating to just $12.05 in 1970 [1][3]. Group 1: Economic Context - Economic uncertainty, persistent inflation, high equity valuations, and geopolitical tensions are driving investors towards traditional safe havens like gold [2][6]. - Gold prices have surged over 50% in the past year, recently exceeding $4,200 per ounce, with potential for further increases to $5,000 or even $10,000 [2][3]. Group 2: Investment Perspectives - Jamie Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan, acknowledges the high asset prices and suggests that it is rational to include gold in investment portfolios during such times [2][4]. - Gold is viewed as a natural hedge due to its scarcity and independence from central bank policies, making it appealing during financial volatility [5][6]. Group 3: Portfolio Allocation - Prominent investors like Ray Dalio and Jeffrey Gundlach advocate for a significant allocation to gold in investment portfolios, suggesting that 25% is not excessive [7]. - Gold is considered an effective diversifier and an insurance policy against economic downturns and dollar weakness [7]. Group 4: Alternative Investment Options - Gold IRAs offer a way to invest in physical gold or gold-related assets within a retirement account, combining tax advantages with the protective benefits of gold [9]. - Real estate is also highlighted as a powerful hedge against inflation, with property values and rental income typically rising during inflationary periods [11][12]. Group 5: Art as an Investment - Art investments are gaining traction as a way to diversify and preserve wealth, with platforms like Masterworks making high-end art investments accessible to a broader audience [20][22]. - The sale of a collection owned by Paul Allen for $1.5 billion underscores the potential value appreciation in art during inflationary times [21].
Ray Dalio warns America is ‘very much’ like early 1970s — and that this major US asset could fail as a store of wealth
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-10 11:33
Core Insights - Ray Dalio warns that if investors believe the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates artificially low, it could lead to a significant decline in the value of money [1][2] - Dalio highlights the potential for a "debt death spiral" in the U.S. due to the national debt, which is currently around $37.86 trillion [3] - The U.S. Dollar Index has dropped 10.8% in the first half of 2025, marking its worst performance since 1973, indicating a decline in the dollar's value [5] Economic Context - Dalio compares the current economic situation to the early 1970s, a period characterized by high inflation and economic instability, prompting investors to reconsider the value of fiat currencies [4] - Inflation has significantly eroded purchasing power, with $100 in 2025 equivalent to only $12.05 in 1970 [5] Investment Strategies - Dalio recommends gold as a hedge against economic uncertainty, suggesting a 15% allocation in investment portfolios [7] - Gold prices have increased by over 45% in the past year, reinforcing its status as a safe haven asset [8] Real Estate Insights - Real estate is also viewed as a strong hedge against inflation, with the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index rising by 49% over the past five years [12] - Crowdfunding platforms like Arrived allow investors to gain exposure to real estate with minimal investment and without the burdens of property management [13] Alternative Investments - Art investments are gaining traction as a means to preserve wealth during inflationary periods, with notable sales like Paul Allen's collection fetching $1.5 billion [19] - Platforms like Masterworks make investing in high-value art accessible to a broader audience, allowing fractional ownership of blue-chip artworks [20][21]
Americans own more stocks than ever — but experts warn of a ‘red flag.’ Do this before your nest egg gets ‘downshifted’
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-09 11:11
Market Sentiment - Concerns about U.S. stock market valuations are rising, with 91% of fund managers believing stocks are overvalued, the highest since 2001 [1] - Veteran investor Jim Rogers has sold all his U.S. stocks, indicating a lack of confidence in the market [1] - Rob Anderson notes that record levels of stock ownership historically coincide with increased risk of downturns [2] Stock Market Performance - The S&P 500 has returned over 251% in the past decade, while the Nasdaq Composite has surged about 375% [2] - Current stock ownership among Americans has reached an all-time high, with 45% of household financial assets in stocks [2][3] - Economists warn that the high share of equities is a red flag, suggesting potential future downturns [3] Investment Strategies - Gold is highlighted as a safe haven during market downturns, with Ray Dalio emphasizing its importance in a resilient portfolio [5][6] - Historical data shows that gold prices surged nearly 25% during the 2008 financial crisis, reinforcing its role as a protective asset [7] - Gold IRAs are presented as a way to invest in gold while benefiting from tax advantages [8] Real Estate Investment - Real estate is noted for its ability to generate passive income even in downturns, making it a viable investment option [9] - Warren Buffett has expressed strong interest in real estate, indicating its value as a productive asset [10] - Crowdfunding platforms like Arrived allow for easier access to real estate investments with minimal capital [11] Art Investment - Investing in art is becoming more accessible, with platforms like Masterworks allowing investment in shares of high-value artwork [15][16] - The art market has shown significant appreciation, with a notable collection selling for $1.5 billion [15] - Masterworks has successfully distributed approximately $61 million back to investors, highlighting the profitability of art investments [17]
Broke on a $665K salary: This surgeon and his wife didn't know they were being gouged until Ramit Sethi stepped in
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-05 11:11
Core Insights - The article discusses the financial struggles of a high-earning couple, Jeff and Susan, despite their substantial income, highlighting the impact of financial advisor fees on their wealth accumulation [5][9][10] - It emphasizes the importance of understanding fee structures in financial advising, particularly the drawbacks of percentage-based fees on assets under management (AUM) [2][6][20] Financial Advisor Fees - Traditional financial advisors typically charge fees ranging from 0.5% to 2% of AUM, which can lead to significant costs over time [6] - Jeff and Susan currently pay approximately $6,000 annually in fees, which could escalate to around $2,054 monthly in 35 years if their portfolio grows without further contributions [10] Psychological Factors - The article notes that psychological issues related to money can affect spending habits, regardless of income level, as illustrated by Jeff and Susan's financial behavior [3][4] Alternative Investment Strategies - The article suggests that Jeff and Susan could benefit from investing in low-cost ETFs or index funds to reduce fees while achieving similar returns [10] - It also introduces alternative investment options such as commercial real estate through First National Realty Partners (FNRP) and art investments via Masterworks, which provide opportunities for diversification and potential appreciation [12][14][16] Recommendations for Switching Advisors - The article advises clients to communicate their decision to switch financial advisors clearly, emphasizing the need to move away from percentage-based fees towards flat fee structures [19][20]
Are rare sneakers and cars good investments? How you can build wealth with alternative assets
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-16 16:17
Core Insights - Masterworks is democratizing access to elite art investments, making it easier for retail and accredited investors to purchase fractional shares of blue-chip artworks, which have historically outperformed the stock market [1][6][7] - The contemporary art market is experiencing significant growth, particularly among wealthy young Americans, with 83% of individuals aged 21 to 43 expressing interest in art collections [4][5] - Millennials and Gen Z investors are increasingly favoring alternative investments, such as art and collectibles, over traditional stocks and bonds, with a notable shift in wealth-building strategies [5][11] Art Investment Trends - Fine art has delivered an annual return of 11.5% from 1995 to 2023, outperforming the S&P 500's 9.6% return during the same period, highlighting its potential as a lucrative investment [1] - The Bank of America's 2024 Study indicates that millennials and Gen Z with at least $3 million to invest are three times more likely to choose alternative investments compared to older generations [5][11] - The fastest-growing segment of the art market is post-World War II and contemporary art, with a strong interest in "blue chip art" among younger wealthy Americans [4] Alternative Investment Strategies - Collectibles, including art and sneakers, are gaining traction as alternative investment strategies, although they carry inherent risks related to market timing and knowledge [2][8] - Real estate remains a stable investment choice, with new platforms enabling easier access for investors, thus diversifying portfolios [13][14] - Gold is viewed as a safe haven asset, maintaining stability over time and attracting investors during economic uncertainties [19][20]
Spitznagel predicting the biggest market crash since 1929 — How you can prepare your portfolio if he’s right
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-15 13:23
Group 1 - The article discusses the perspective of Mark Spitznagel, who argues that diversification is not the ultimate solution for investors and emphasizes the importance of building a portfolio that can withstand market crashes [2][3] - Spitznagel highlights the current economic environment, citing high national debt and aggressive Federal Reserve rate hikes as contributors to what he describes as the "greatest credit bubble in human history" [2] - He predicts an 80% market crash in the future, asserting that the recent market correction is merely the beginning of a larger downturn [3] Group 2 - The article mentions the role of gold as a safe haven asset during market uncertainty, noting its historical performance as a hedge against inflation [5] - It discusses the potential of commercial real estate as a stable investment option, which has shown lower volatility and a low correlation to the S&P 500, with average returns of 10% over the past two decades [8] - Crowdfunding platforms are highlighted as a means for investors to access real estate markets without the burden of direct property management, allowing investments starting as low as $100 [11][12] Group 3 - The article points out that contemporary art has emerged as a unique investment opportunity, outperforming the S&P 500 with an annual return of 11.5% from 1995 to 2023 [14] - Masterworks is introduced as a platform that allows retail and accredited investors to invest in blue-chip art, providing access to exclusive shares in works by renowned artists [15]
'No different' than gold: Kevin O'Leary just paid $13M for a basketball card — are collectibles the next big thing?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-09 21:37
Core Insights - Kevin O'Leary made a record-breaking purchase of a Kobe Bryant and Michael Jordan dual-logoman collectible trading card for $12.9 million, highlighting the financial potential of rare collectibles [3][8][9] - O'Leary views collectibles as alternative investments comparable to gold and bitcoin, emphasizing their rarity and appreciation potential [3][4][10] Investment Perspective - The purchase is part of a broader trend where collectibles are seen as viable investment assets, similar to traditional alternative investments like gold and cryptocurrency [4][10] - O'Leary's interest in collectibles was sparked by his collaboration with Fanatics CEO Michael Rubin, who acquired Topps Trading Cards, leading him to explore high-value trading cards [2][4] Market Dynamics - The collectible card market is gaining traction, with O'Leary noting that the emotional connection and uniqueness of items drive their value, akin to fine art [10][11] - The card purchased is described as the "finest modern basketball card in the world," indicating a growing recognition of the collectible market's value [8][10] Collectibles as an Asset Class - O'Leary's strategy includes forming a "collector advisory board" and potentially launching a fund related to Secure Collectibles, which focuses on lending, sourcing, and private sales of collectibles [1][3] - The emotional and generational appeal of collecting is highlighted as a key factor in the market's growth, with O'Leary suggesting that it fosters entrepreneurial skills [9][10]